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Keeping up with health-care polling

After a few weeks in which support was trending upward and opposition was trending downward, the recent CBS and Pew polls have shown opposition to the bill. Here's the Pollster.com chart:

By Ezra Klein  |  July 14, 2010; 10:53 AM ET
 
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Comments

not a big fan of Pollster.com They have way too many Rasmussen polls that slant the polls. Wonder how that'll be affected now by Huffington Post's purchase??

Posted by: visionbrkr | July 14, 2010 10:57 AM | Report abuse

i dont follow astrology, but at this point, it may be worth looking into:-(
well, a cheerful uptrend...
the flowers and songbirds in southern california seem to be trending upwards. it seems there are even more than last year. (maybe less construction) so things are looking more beautiful than ever:-)
something to feel very happy about, in spite of the decapitated well news, and ski-slope graphs.

Posted by: jkaren | July 14, 2010 11:03 AM | Report abuse

And yet, how many are in favor of repealing it, vs. oppose repealing it?

Abstract questions of whether you "favor" or "oppose" the health care bill are more or less meaningless. The health care reform bill has been signed into law. Voters are going to vote based on whether they favor a politician standing up and declaring that he's going to repeal health care reform. And I don't think that's going to happen, and the support for that doesn't exist.

Posted by: constans | July 14, 2010 11:05 AM | Report abuse

If the Court now hearing Virginia's PPACA suit sustains the defendant's motion to dismiss (which is somewhat likely), the issue is thrown back into the political arena, likely triggering an upsurge in PPACA opposition (and election turnout by PPACA opponents). The September paycheck effect of the PPACA is also likely to trigger an upsurge in opposition.

Regardless of the future, to date the PPACA has never seen support by a simple majority of Americans. The lack of support is one aspect [Democrat] Joe Califano mentioned several months ago in a Charlie Rose interview: without the popular support necessary for implementation, the effort is doomed to a short life.

Posted by: rmgregory | July 14, 2010 11:17 AM | Report abuse

You know the numbers are bad when a shill like Ezra doesn't even try to spin it.

Posted by: JackIL08 | July 14, 2010 11:42 AM | Report abuse

"And yet, how many are in favor of repealing it, vs. oppose repealing it? "

Exactly. I wonder how many polls are artificially skewed because of people's hatred of all things political right now. At some point, it seems like unemployment numbers and people's "frustration" (whether they're targeting Obama, bankers, etc) would start affecting anything you could poll, no matter what their actual merits.

Posted by: Chris_ | July 14, 2010 11:46 AM | Report abuse

The Democrats should have called time out as soon as the "death panels" argument floated to the surface.
That was a signal they would be debating opponents who were attacking cost controls which have been, and always will be part of the health insurance system (it's just a question of whether the controls are put in place by the public or private sector)

If the other side starts promising a free lunch, it's a sign the argument is going to slide off into the ditch, which it did.

And come to think of it, the same thing's about to happen with tax policy.

Posted by: hackett1 | July 14, 2010 11:51 AM | Report abuse

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