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The midterm election in one graph

John Sides has compiled the House election forecasts from a variety of political scientists (and Nate Silver) and put them together on one chart. As you can see, most of them suggest that Democrats will lose the majority.

midtermforecasts3-thumb.png

By Ezra Klein  |  September 13, 2010; 9:01 AM ET
Categories:  2010 Midterms  
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Comments

I'm not buying the doom and gloom about the November elections for a number of reasons, which I lay out here - http://www.winningprogressive.org/?p=239

In short, the Republicans are extremely unpopular and the Democrats are mainly suffering from an enthusiasm gap not actual opposition to their proposals. In addition, Democrats have a track record of success over the past two years that they can promote, they have a great spokesperson in President Obama, and we will have a better ground game. All of us progressives just need to get involved - canvass, phonebank, write letters to the editor, talk to our friends and neighbors - to make sure that we continue to move our country forward in November, rather than handing the car keys back to the folks who drove our economy into the ditch.

Posted by: WinningProgressive | September 13, 2010 9:40 AM | Report abuse

It was recently big news when gallup reported the GOP had a historic advantage in polling. But a week later gallup reported Dems and the GOP were tied and, what do you know, no major media stories reported that little quirk. It is clear the "liberal media" is trying to achieve a GOP win, and it's no wonder considering the GOP wants (as evidenced by their stand on citizen's united) to keep funneling all that campaign money to the media whereas Dems want corporate bucks out of the elections and also want public financing of elections.

Posted by: lauren2010 | September 13, 2010 9:58 AM | Report abuse

Agree with WinningProgressive that the Dems have a great spokesperson in President Obama. . . but he has to "speak," not whisper, for it to do any good!

Posted by: miesque | September 13, 2010 11:20 AM | Report abuse

Democrats squandered an enormous advantage in only 18 months. All that positive potential flushed down the toilet. Now, in the final minutes before an election, our "leaders" in Congress are interested in the issues of the majority? Too little, too late. One month of focus on the people's issues after 20 months of self-serving agendas has the faint smell of hypocracy. When either party spits on the sidewalks of Main Street America for too long, you can damn well be sure that America will spit back. I look forward to saying thank you at the voting booth.

Posted by: donchew1 | September 13, 2010 5:39 PM | Report abuse

Find out what Boehner's internal polls are telling him. Bet he didn't back down on All the Tax cuts All the Time because he had a personal conversion. His epiphany is that all the GM workers in the 8th don't like his rhetoric.

Posted by: ceflynline | September 13, 2010 11:26 PM | Report abuse

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