Convention placement doesn't matter
The Obama administration announced today that the 2012 Democratic Convention will be in Charlotte, North Carolina. This has been taken as evidence that the Obama administration is worried about North Carolina, confident in North Carolina, or otherwise focused on North Carolina in 2012. And that's how this always goes: The 2012 Republican Convention will be in Tampa, Florida, suggesting that Republicans would like to win Florida. The 2008 Democratic Convention was in Colorado, and that was taken as evidence that the Democrats wanted to win in the West.
In general, everyone wants to win everywhere. But convention placement does not help them in that quest. And nor, it turns out, do governors. A comprehensive analysis of presidential elections since 1930 found that "generally, parties do not derive significant electoral benefits in states selected to host the national convention or those in which they control the governorship."
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