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Virginia Tech basketball: Where will Hokies finish?

Halfway through the ACC schedule, Virginia Tech is amid a tangle in the league standings and its NCAA tournament picture seems to be changing on a day-by-day basis.

The Hokies' fate seems likely to be determined over the final eight regular season games, and perhaps in the early action of the ACC tournament. So this seems like as fair a time as any to ask for the pulse of the people. How will the Hokies finish the ACC season? [See poll, after jump.]

The second half of Virginia Tech's ACC schedule is more difficult than the first.

It plays four teams ranked in the top 50 of the current Rating Percentage Index: Wake Forest (No. 16), at Duke (No. 4), Maryland (No. 44) and at Georgia Tech (No. 24). The Hokies' other four games are winnable, although nothing is a gimme in ACC basketball. They play North Carolina State twice (home and away), host Virginia and travel to Boston College.

In the past, a good mark for whether an ACC team like such as Tech would end up in the NCAA tournament was a conference record of 9-7. Get there, and you'd probably be in.

That might not be the case this year for the Hokies, who are hurt by a nonconference schedule that ranks 340th nationally. Their remaining games against the ACC's upper-echelon teams seem as if they will make or break the Hokies' chances. It could, in fact, matter less for an NCAA tournament bid if Virginia Tech loses to a lesser teams as long as it can get some wins over top teams, which is an issue I will address on Wednesday.

But for now, it's fun to project the finish. Will the Hokies win half of their final regular-season games? Will they win more? Less? You be the judge.

By Mark Viera  |  February 9, 2010; 1:00 PM ET
 
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Comments

Nice article, Mark. But with all due respect, ALL eight of VT's remaining ACC games this year are "winnable", not just NC State, UVA and BC.

Posted by: danram | February 9, 2010 2:25 PM | Report abuse

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