Tim Redding starts tonight for the Nats. His three most recent starts -- all no decisions -- share some alarming similarities. In each, he's been chased from the ballgame in the middle of the sixth inning. In each, the third time he's faced the opposing team's order, his stuff has failed to be effective.
Here's a little statistical breakdown.
vs. Milwaukee (May 25)
Redding's line: 5.2 IP, 10 H, 5 ER
The Brewers scored six runs in the sixth.
Brewers sixth. Fielder singled to center. Hart homered to center on a full count, Fielder scored. Branyan doubled to right. Rivera fouled out to catcher Flores. Counsell lined out to left fielder Pena. Dillon pinch-hitting for DiFelice. Dillon singled to center, Branyan scored. Weeks was hit by a pitch, Dillon to second. Rivera pitching. Cameron doubled to left, Dillon scored, Weeks scored. Kapler singled to right, Cameron scored. Fielder lined out to right fielder Dukes.
vs. Arizona (May 30)
Redding's line: 5.1 IP, 4 H, 3 ER
The D'backs scored one run in the sixth.
Play-by-play of inning:
Diamondbacks sixth. Tracy singled to center. Upton grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman Boone to second baseman Harris, Tracy out. Upton stole second. Salazar walked. Hanrahan pitching. Dukes in as right fielder. Snyder singled to center, Upton scored, Salazar to second. Owings grounded into a double play, third baseman Boone to second baseman Harris to first baseman Young, Snyder out.
vs. St. Louis (6/5)
Redding's line: 5.2 IP, 9 H, 6 ER
The Cardinals scored three runs in the sixth.
Play-by play of inning:
Cardinals sixth. Ludwick popped out to second baseman Lopez. Glaus walked on four pitches. Mather grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman Casto to second baseman Lopez, Glaus out. LaRue singled to left, Mather to second. On Redding's wild pitch, Mather to third. Worrell homered to left on a full count, Mather scored, LaRue scored. Rivera pitching. Izturis grounded out, second baseman Lopez to first baseman Boone.
It's again worth revisiting Redding's splits, since the numbers have become far more dramatic since I first mentioned them. Here are the averages of opposing hitters against Redding.
Facing him for the first time: .155
For the second time: .262
For the third time: .343
Oh, and by the way.
I didn't explore this with any depth, but the Nationals might be the only team in the league whose averages don't improve the more they see a pitcher. Here are the team season totals.
First time against a pitcher: .227
Second time against a pitcher: .238
Third time against a pitcher: .236
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