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12:45 p.m. ET: Politics is all about combat, and four competitions are dominating today's news:
1) Free vs. Paid Media. So far, John McCain has gotten a remarkable amount of mileage out of the William Ayers story without spending a dime on it. The latest example: This morning's new Web video, which the press has eagerly debated and analyzed. This free coverage has been useful for McCain, who doesn't have the cash to match Barack Obama on the airwaves. Reportedly, the McCain camp will be out with an actual paid ad on the subject soon. But will it have real cash behind it, or will it just air a couple of times on Fox and then prompt all the networks to run it on their newscasts -- for free?
2) Vote Fraud vs. Vote Suppression. Every cycle, Republicans accuse Democrats of registering fake or illegal voters, and Democrats accuse Republicans of trying to scare or block people from voting. With record registration numbers in so many states, this dynamic is amplified this cycle. The GOP has been stepping up its attacks on ACORN -- especially after the group's Nevada office was raided -- while Democrats have been highlighting cases where voters have been improperly removed from the rolls. How messy will Election Day get? How many lawyers will be on call for both campaigns?
3) National vs. State Polls. As discussed in this morning's post below, Democrats are fantasizing about a massive electoral college victory on Election Day. And current projections, based on polling in a host of swing states, gives them a reason to cheer. But there remains one stubborn fact that could prevent a landslide -- nationally, the race is still close. RCP's average has Obama at 49.1 percent, and McCain at 43.5. Is that a real lead? Yes. An insurmountable one? No.
4) Hope vs. Reality. Read today's front pages. On one hand, you've got McCain's pricey proposal ($700 billion? $800 billion) to buy bad mortgages and Obama's plan for health care reform. On the other hand, you've got the global economy going into the tank, a recession coming, retailers worried about holiday shopping, and much more. What will tax revenues look like next year? Is there any chance that either candidate could really do even half of what they've promised on the policy front in 2009? What programs would they cut? Both McCain and Obama have avoided that question in the debates. But one of them will have to answer it, one way or another, next year.
8 a.m. ET: If the press keeps writing that Barack Obama is going to win next month, does that make it so?
This morning's clips are brimming with Democratic confidence. Some in the party even see "a landslide in the making," predicated on the idea that Obama could take Virginia, Ohio, Florida and North Carolina out of the red column. Obama's got the issue set he wants, the money, the turnout operation, he's taller, and so on.
Except ... there are still 27 days left, Obama's only up around 5 points nationwide despite all those advantages, the GOP ground game may be catching up a bit, Karl Rove says there are still lots of undecided voters and McCain continues to run well ahead of the Republican party generally.
The McCain shop keeps working to plant those seeds of doubt about Obama's background and preparedness for the top job, releasing a new video on Bill Ayers. The Republican's campaign is also working to build some buzz behind the mortgage rescue plan he announced during Tuesday's debate.
McCain is in Wisconsin today, where Obama's current polling lead is in the high single digits. Obama will spend the day in Ohio, where the contest is tighter and where the Sierra Club is helping out by bashing McCain in a new ad.
On the spousal front, Michelle Obama told Larry King last night that she wasn't offended by McCain's now-famous "that one" comment during Tuesday's debate (glad we cleared that up). And Cindy McCain continues her attack-dog role, accusing Obama Wednesday of cutting off money for the military. How about a prospective First Ladies' debate? There's still time to make it happen.
By
Ben Pershing
|
October 9, 2008; 8:00 AM ET
Go to full archive for The Rundown »
Posted by: regor | October 9, 2008 9:00 AM
I 100% agree with you. Some people have made comments about the fact that Mrs. Obama was not poised enough to be the first lady (most of these arguments came from a fist bump Mr. and Mrs. Obama shared.) However I feel once you listen to Mrs. Obama speaks, you see the poise and potential she has to potentially be one of the finest first ladies America has seen in recent memory.
Posted by: Colby | October 9, 2008 9:42 AM
I think Mrs Obama will be a plus for the white house. She is well versed in all the element of political life. She has poise, charm and very intelligent without being arrogant. This is the kind of person that the americans needs at the white house.
Refreshingly honnest with candor and a sense of humour.
Posted by: guy | October 9, 2008 9:54 AM
Not to worry Ben, people won't be leaving your vaunted horse race. It was reported elesewhere that the McSames were taking down their Ayers ads. Anyway, I expect the polls to show Obama leads lenghing in about two weeks.
Posted by: Ashley Hardwick | October 9, 2008 9:57 AM
Look. I am never confident when it comes to this bunch of slimy, sleazy right wing types who will do anything to win. One reason is because you people in the media always end up carrying water for these right wing types.
This Ayers crap is a perfect example. Instead of pointing up just how dirty and sickening this tactic is, you all report it in this process-oriented, "balanced" way that gives what should be looked upon as nothing more than gutter style hate speech, an air of legitimacy.
Look. This smells. And we don't need this sort of crap stinking up our print media and broadcast airwaves. You people need to be more responsible and more professional than simply allowing this rotten bunch to spread this sort of anger and hatred.
Posted by: Jaxas | October 9, 2008 10:02 AM
Why are you surprised? Do you realize how accomplished she is, and educated? She will be, on paper at least, the most accomplished First Lady in US history.
Posted by: ihr | October 9, 2008 10:02 AM
I don't know. Publisher's got me ringing hells bells here. Again!
Posted by: A-G | October 9, 2008 10:03 AM
Ben, I don't think Democrats are giddy with excitement about winning. We're taking it a day at a time. Sen. Obama is showing a lot of class, lot of leadership and he's looking presidential. I think More of the Same McCain is definitely acting erratically. He is like a crazy man. Who cares about Ayers; Obama was a kid when the guy was a homegrown terrorist. My bigger question is, have you looked at your 401 K recently. What about the gas and the supermarket? Been there, lately?
The Obama/Biden ticket has smart, intelligent people on it--hard workers at the top of their game. The McCain/Palin almost seem too radical for me with their craziness. And let's be real, McCain is 72, he may be unable to carry out presidential duties and we'll have one crazy person running the country. Bad judgement on the part of McCain. I shudder to think, when she starts feeding us moose burgers and puts judges who could repeal some cases.
Posted by: Michelle | October 9, 2008 11:19 AM
Michelle Obama is a well educated, self-made individual, with great charm and grace and delivered, in my estimation, one of the most eloquent speeches at either of the conventions. She will make a superlative first lady! She made a fine appearance on The Daily Show last night, and is so balanced and gracious about the whole campaign process. I have to wonder why the media is not better about dispelling all the myths that keep springing up from the Right, except I suppose it sells better than actually telling the truth in the coverage...
As a Caucasian, 55 year old male, I am exicted by the prospect that in my lifetime we might actually show the rest of the world that "all men (and women)are created equal" and put our money where our mouth is. And shame on all the bigotry and lies from the Republicans -- once the party of Lincoln.
Posted by: Tom | October 9, 2008 11:31 AM
I hope there is time left to let voters think about these truths.....
This election has me very worried. So many things to consider. About a year ago I would have voted for Obama. I have changed my mind three times since than. I watch all the news channels, jumping from one to another. I must say this drives my husband crazy. But, I feel if you view MSNBC, CNN, and Fox News, you might get some middle ground to work with. About six months ago, I started thinking "where did the money come from for Obama". I have four daughters who went to College, and we were middle class, and money was tight. We (including my girls) worked hard and there were lots of student loans.
I started looking into Obama's life.
Around 1979 Obama started college at Occidental in California . He is very open about his two years at Occidental, he tried all kinds of drugs and was wasting his time but, even though he had a brilliant mind, did not apply himself to his studies. "Barry" (that was the name he used all his life) during this time had two roommates, Muhammad Hasan Chandoo and Wahid Hamid, both from Pakistan . During the summer of 1981, after his second year in college, he made a "round the world" trip. Stopping to see his mother in Indonesia , next Hyderabad in India , three weeks in Karachi , Pakistan where he stayed with his roommate's family, then off to Africa to visit his father's family. My question - Where did he get the money for this trip? Nether I, nor any one of my children would have had money for a trip like this when they where in college. When he came back he started school at Columbia University in New York . It is at this time he wants everyone to call him Barack - not Barry. Do you know what the tuition is at Columbia ? It's not cheap! to say the least. Where did he get money for tuition? Student Loans? Maybe. After Columbia , he went to Chicago to work as a Community Organizer for $12,000. a year. Why Chicago ? Why not New York ? He was already living in New York .
By "chance" he met Antoin "Tony" Rezko, born in Aleppo Syria , and a real estate developer in Chicago . Rezko has been convicted of fraud and bribery this year. Rezko, was named "Entrepreneur of the Decade" by the Arab-American Business and Professional Association". About two years later, Obama entered Harvard Law School . Do you have any idea what tuition is for Harvard Law School ? Where did he get the money for Law School ? More student loans? After Law school, he went back to Chicago . Rezko offered him a job, which he turned down. But, he did take a job with Davis, Miner, Barnhill & Galland. Guess what? They represented "Rezar" which Rezko's firm. Rezko was one of Obama's first major financial contributors when he ran for office in Chicago . In 2003, Rezko threw an early fundraiser for Obama which Chicago Tribune reporter David Mendelland claims was instrumental in providing Obama with "seed money" for his U.S. Senate race. In 2005, Obama purchased a new home in Kenwoood District of Chicago for $1.65 million (less than asking price). With ALL those Student Loans - Where did he get the money for the property? On the same day Rezko's wife, Rita, purchased the adjoining empty lot for full price. The London Times reported that Nadhmi Auchi, an Iraqi-born Billionaire loaned Rezko $3.5 million three weeks before Obama's new home was purchased. Obama met Nadhmi Auchi many times with Rezko.
Now, we have Obama running for President. Valerie Jarrett, was Michele Obama's boss. She is now Obama's chief advisor and he does not make any major decisions without talking to her first. Where was Jarrett born? Ready for this? Shiraz , Iran ! Do we see a pattern here? Or am I going crazy?
On May 10, 2008 The Times reported, Robert Malley advisor to Obama was "sacked" after the press found out he was having regular contacts with "Hamas", which controls Gaza and is connected with Iran . This past week, buried in the back part of the papers, Iraqi newspapers reported that during Obama's visit to Iraq , he asked their leaders to do nothing about the war until after he is elected, and he will "Take care of things".
Oh, and by the way, remember the college roommates that where born in Pakistan ? They are in charge of all those "small" Internet campaign contribution for Obama. Where is that money coming from? The poor and middle class in this country? Or could it be from the Middle East ?
And the final bit of news. On September 7, 2008, The Washington Times posted a verbal slip that was made on "This Week" with George Stephanapoulos. Obama on talking about his religion said, "My Muslim faith". When questioned, "he make a mistake". Some mistake! We trained them to fly airplanes; so they could carry out their mission. Now we're training them to run our country.
All of the above information I got on line. If you would like to check it - Wikipedia, encyclopedia, Barack Obama; Tony Rezko; Valerie Jarrett: Daily Times - Obama visited Pakistan in 1981; The Washington Times - September 7, 2008; The Times May 10, 2008.
Now the BIG question - If I found out all this information on my own, Why haven't all of our "intelligent" members of the press been reporting this?
A phrase that keeps ringing in my ear - "Beware of the enemy from within"!!
Posted by: woodstock1969 | October 9, 2008 11:46 AM
President Gore was ahead by 11 points on October 8,2000 so President Obama better not reveal his cabinet until the huge amount of undecided and unfirm deciders actually decide. I, myself, a former Rep am undecided and very angry at the incompetent McCain campaign run by an amateurish candidate who is not a fighter and actually voted against the GI Bill. Do you believe it? I think McCain will win in spite of polls and his fear of Obama.
Posted by: mascmen7 | October 9, 2008 11:48 AM
Some tidbits from Obama Nation by Jerome Corsi plus an opinion by me. Corsi said that three relatives of Obama in Kenya stated he was born in Kenya because airlines refused to let a 9 month pregnant mother get on plane. She then flew to Honolulu and registered birth of Barack.
Barack's dad was a Sunni Muslim so Barack wants USA to withdraw from Shia Iraq so that Sunnis can attempt to regain control. Saudi Arabian Sunni paid for all Obama's travels around world and his huge tuition at Occidental,Colombia and Harvard. I read Saudi's admittance on internet. Most of Baracks financiers in Chicago were Muslims from Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq. Muhammad would be proud of Barack Hussein Obama and his great campaign. He still might make a great president as he is very intelligent and calm unlike McCain who is erratic, angry and not very bright.
Posted by: mascmen7 | October 9, 2008 12:05 PM
RE:woodstock1969/ where's the money coming from?
Back in those days, the federal and state govt's were giving VERY generous grants to law schools who were admitting minorities, it is not surprising that if he had the grades, he would have received a faster, easier track to the big expensive schools. Scholarships from industry were also very generous in those days as it was of great benefit for those companies to train and retain minorities, frankly these policies had a tremendous payoff for both business and government. If you still don't get it, think inter-office marketing, more minorities means a larger customer base, a larger voting and donation pool. There's your money trail. It's refreshing to see people actually thinking about these and other issues, I wish you well.
Posted by: R Proulx | October 9, 2008 12:29 PM
It's good to see the conspiraloons having to resort to lies & smears against Obama, it shows that they know they are on the losing side.
Posted by: Robin | October 9, 2008 12:32 PM
'Tom' said:
I hope there is time left to let voters think about these truths.....
This election has me very worried ...I have four daughters who went to College, and we were middle class ... About a year ago I would have voted for Obama. I have changed my mind .. A phrase that keeps ringing in my ear - "Beware of the enemy from within"!!
Heh .. that last phrase should read "Beware the black-ops specialist from the Repulbican National Committee pretending to be a Democrat in an attempt to spread the seeds of doubt" .. a casual blogger would not have posted a 1000 word hate screed laced with innuendo .. The depth of Malevolence and depravity of Republican bloggers is almost beyond belief ..
Posted by: tightwhiteright | October 9, 2008 12:40 PM
McCain and Palin can't sell their platform because even they realize that they have no substantive policies to present which differ significantly from those of the Bush years.
So instead they rely on instilling fear and hatred of somebody who is "different", a philosophy that is consistent with the history of the extreme right of the GOP. They are all about morality, but care nothing about ethics.
Posted by: labman57 | October 9, 2008 1:09 PM
Posted by: woodstock1969 | October 9, 2008 11:46 AM
Everything that you posted above has been repeatedly asked and answered by the media. You gave yourself away by quoting the Washington Times which is well known for its inaccurate info and the fact that it is owned by none other than Rev. Moon.
Sen. Obama and Mrs. Obama have been thoroughly vetted.
When Sen. Obama initially threw his hat in the ring, I was skeptical. After thorough research, I'm now a supporter of him and Sen. Biden.
Posted by: puggles | October 9, 2008 1:11 PM
if you want higher taxes vote for nobama if you want to not fell safe or be safe vote for nobama if you want to not have a job or have our jobs return vote for nobama. remember the democrats came up with NAFTA that is what took all of the jobs away and is sucking all the money out of the u.s. today.
Posted by: badz34 | October 9, 2008 1:22 PM
I think the bigger issue with the Obama/Ayers relationship is the foundation they sat on, The Chicago Annenberg Challenge. I think everyone can agree that Bill Ayers is a bad guy and it is a shame he was never prosecuted. So the question is do we really want to teach our children based on Bill Ayers ideology? Well, he was the idea man for the CAC whose agenda Obama worked to further. For further reading...
Stanley Kurtz in the Wall Street Journal 9-23-08 "Obama and Ayers Pushed Radicalism On Schools" and for more indepth analyses Sol Stern in City Journal summer 2006 "The Ed Schools' Latest and Worst Humbug"
Posted by: Gary | October 9, 2008 2:02 PM
Gary wrote:
Stanley Kurtz in the Wall Street Journal 9-23-08 "Obama and Ayers Pushed Radicalism On Schools" and for more indepth analyses Sol Stern in City Journal summer 2006 "The Ed Schools' Latest and Worst Humbug"
Ya gotta love the fanatical right-wing hate mongers trying to bolster their arguments by referencing OTHER fanatical right-wing delusional psychotics .. Stanley Kurtz, and 'impartial' source who writes for the tabloid National Review and Sol Stern charitably referred to as 'a conservative contrarian' .. so much hate .. so Republican, tsk, tsk.
Posted by: Anonymous | October 9, 2008 2:36 PM
Can anyone tell me why Sen. McCain and Gov.Palin are bringing up some mess about William Ayers? It seems to me that they will do and say anything to win office. Gov. Palin says she is a christian,but I wonder if she knows christians don't spread lies about another person. It is against God's laws, so she should be very careful as to what she has to say about a person and be very sure it is the truth. Gov. Palin how many persons were you palling around with while in college?
Posted by: Riley | October 9, 2008 3:24 PM
Sen. McCain showed his true-self on Wednesday night with the "that-one" remark. He showed the entire nation what type of person he really is and what his plans are for the little man of America.
NOTHING!!!!!!!!!!! Don't be fooled by that smerk on his face. He is from the old days.
You know what I mean?
Posted by: Debra | October 9, 2008 3:31 PM
I'm reading the comments and can't believe that we are treading in the mud with them. Sen. McCain stated numerous times that his campaign would run on the issues and not stoop to smears and attacks as the Bush campaign did. Today, what type of campaign is McCain running? He has been reduced to begging people to vote for him and he is scared. Tell the whole story on both sides (Keating/S&L scandal, hello) Come on people, get it together. We are back in this mess again 18 years later. Because of deregulation. I never knew an old dog that learned a new trick!
Posted by: bygrace | October 9, 2008 4:11 PM
WOOKSTOCK1969, GARY, BADZ34
Lord give it a rest, it simply IS not true! Gary not everyone thinks Ayers is a bad guy...Ayers was a young idealist man when he belonged to the Weathermen and was not convicted of a crime...Bush when he was a young man was a womanizer and a cocaine abuser...as was McCrazy (at lest the womanizer part)! If we can forgive them for there past, why can't you? I have quite a variety of friend, Independents, Republicans and Democrats and a few that have jail time...Am I part of their ideology by being their friend...Huh NO! I have worked for all kinds of Businesses, does that mean I am part of their Idealogy, again NO! So please give it a rest, or come up with some real prof of what you beleve to be..(BADZ34) NAFTA was signed by U.S. President George H.W. Bush, Mexican President Salinas, and Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney in 1992. It was ratified by the legislatures of the three countries in 1993. The impetus for NAFTA actually began with President Ronald Regan, who campaigned on a North American common market. In 1984, Congress passed the Trade and Tariff Act. This is important because it gave the President "fast-track" authority to negotiate free trade agreements, while while only allowing Congress the ability to approve or disapprove, not change negotiating points.
Posted by: nallcando | October 9, 2008 4:20 PM
To Woodstock: you said you've read alot. Did you read the story about Obama's counselor at Occidental, how they worked together to find scholarship money and make applications to larger schools. Have you read the stories about what his roommates and schoolmates say about him? They all talk about how he was "different" - serious, quiet and well spoken. Sometimes a very gifted person comes along - and we need someone like this. I choose a candidate for one reason: intelligence, vision, steadiness in crisis, understanding of history and ability to bring people together. That's called leadership.Barack Obama has, I believe, unparalleled skills to become a great President (and heaven knows, we need one!) [note: as someone who works at a major University I hear students all the time talk about going to Europe or Latin America for the Summer. I, too, wonder how they can afford to travel - when they don't work! But I don't conclude they are financed by a terrorist network, as I believe you suggest].
Posted by: Larry J | October 9, 2008 4:25 PM
I came across this post sometime ago:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Sorry, but the truth isn't "liberal." It's pretty funny to hear you right-wingers screech when things don't go your way, just like infants in the sandbox. And I don't need to be lectured on "loving America" by the same self-loving conservatives who opposed every advance in human rights in this country for the last 70 years. You have destroyed this economy every time you've gotten your hands on it, though Democrats always clean up your messes. You have killed thousands of Americans and hundreds of thousands of innocents around the world. You have beaten, dragged, lynched, and defamed everyone who looks different from you or disagrees with you.
I don't need your moral judgments on liberalism, because you have no ground from which to make them. You are morally, intellectually, and now financially bankrupt. It is you who hate the idea that America means dialogue and compromise--you want it all, all to yourselves.
I love my home and my country too much to cede it to the likes of you. It's not America I hate--it's your philosophy. America is more generous, decent, and kind than you have ever let it be, or would ever let it be.
That said, it's an American tradition to honor our fellow Americans' hatefulness as their "right." So I honor your right to continue hating everyone to the left of Hitler. But you will never, never, get my vote, and I will work as hard as I can to undermine your every effort, in every way I can, as long as I live.
Enjoy watching history move past you. It will whether you want it to or not.
Posted by: Mike A | September 3, 2008 1:50 AM
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Great comment by an enlightened 'thinking' American. Thank you, Mike.
Posted by: TruePatriot | October 9, 2008 4:35 PM
It looks like the losers are really paniced now and we're just into the first phase. The permanent plan doesn't change. They want you to believe they can change it, even when the reality proves beyond any doubt that it won't change. I'm good to go and the question is who will be going and who will be all-gone. It's looking real bad for some and it's going to look worse before it looks better. With time and liberty there's justice for all. The market is exacting some justice. It's a great time to go private and get away from the mess that's going to keep growing. You do what you want to do. I just hope they don't wreck our little communications post here. I guess that's possible because anything is possible. With the permanent plan it's always been that way and that will not change. We'll see what happens and it's still an ideal country. It's going to stay that way and the chimps can fight over the scraps and bananas.
Posted by: A-G | October 9, 2008 4:37 PM
Woodstock 1969 - please, please, please gather and use information from somewhere else besides the mainstream media and wikipedia before you make your choice. While entertaining, wikipedia is by no means a reliable source of facts (anyone can submit information). Think critically, drawing your own conclusions, rather than allowing them to be drawn for you by inevitably biased information.
Posted by: CLC | October 9, 2008 5:05 PM
Amazing. Mrs. Palin gets her faithful all hot and bothered with a reference to Senator Obama being at a meeting with a 60's radical while at the same time she has been living under the same roof as a Secessionist.
A secessionist is, by definition, a traitor. We fought a civil war over it. Perhaps her History tutor hasn't gotten that far yet.
Posted by: Diogenes | October 9, 2008 5:09 PM
I worked with some guy from Kenya back in 1999. The guy was bad mouthing FDR, like he knew him or something. I said look, my grandfather served under FDR. The guy wouldn't let it go, just kept going at it. A month or so later a friend of JFK is at the store Christmas shopping and we're just laughing about the whole thing. It's hard to write about things you never did or people you never knew. These were all old combat guys, D-Day and Navy patriots. I knew them well.
Posted by: Anonymous | October 9, 2008 7:51 PM
How is it that Barack Obama received his undergraduate degree from Columbia and law degree from Harvard but never heard of the Weathermen or the Weather Underground and their violent actions? The actions by those groups would be seen by Americans of today's generation as spitting on the graves of our Iraqi and Afgan War vets. Mr. Ayers is still not sorry for his actions. How is it that the University of Chicago even hires him and how can so violent a person be considered a distinguished educator by the media? How is it that he attended Reverend Wright's church for 20 years but never noticed that any of the sermons and literature were hateful and racist? Why is it that the media considers Mr. Obama a christian when his example is based on hate filled preaching? What is the basis of the media's assertion that these things don't matter other than Obama or his campaign cronies saying that it does not matter? Barack Obama cites his African Kenyan heritage which he says he got from his father. If Mr. Obama's father was so proud of his African roots, how come he gave his son two Arabic names, Barack and Hussein? How come the Washington Post and the New York Times among others have not questioned Mr. Obama about why his father did not give his son African names especially since Kenya is a country rich in its own heritage? Reports are that his father was more arab than african. Wouldn't that make Mr. Obama the first Arab American President?
Given that the there was no reason for today's continued drop in the stock market, and the media's claim that it benefits Obama's campaign, why have the media not asked whether his billionaire backers are trying to manipulate the market down on purpose to secure the election? And what happens when he is elected? Joy and happiness as his friends drive up stocks again? But what of the ruined lives along the way? Where are the media questions?
Posted by: BS11201 | October 9, 2008 11:25 PM
The comments to this entry are closed.


After watching the Larry King interview with Michelle Obama, I came away surprised at how clear-headed and well spoken this lady is. Mrs. Obama had no awkward moments during the interview in spite of some awkward questions. She was forthright and honest with her answers.
Michelle Obama, First Lady, will be one of the best First Ladies America has ever had.