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8 a.m. ET: It's increasingly possible that we will look back and see that August 2009 was this election cycle's height of Republicans' optimism over their political fortunes, and the depth of Democrats' despair.
By the time the midterm elections reach a fever pitch next year, President Obama may well have passed health-care reform, his signature domestic initiative, if not with overwhelming public support then at least with the backing of a solid majority of voters. The now common criticism that he hasn't accomplished anything will have been blunted. And while a high joblessness rate may persist, the narrative will have taken hold that the economy has either recovered or is well on its way.
The scenario above represents Democrats best-case scenario, and no element of it is assured. But the new Washington Post-ABC News poll makes it appear a bit more likely. The survey found "that support for a government-run health-care plan to compete with private insurers has rebounded from its summertime lows and wins clear majority support from the public." While ratings for Obama's handling of health care and the overall reform plans remained roughly the same, the president has regained the support of some Independents. The Fix points out that the poll also contained bad news for Republicans, giving the party low marks for its ability to make good decisions and handing Democrats a 12-point lead on the generic Congressional ballot. (George Stephanopoulos' headline: "New Poll: Public Option Up … GOP Down.")
Other recent surveys tell a similar tale. Pollster.com's generic ballot chart shows a clear trend since late August in Democrats' favor. Obama's job approval rating has ticked up slightly since its summer low, while the percentage of self-identifed Republicans has moved steadily down. The president's rating for his handling of health care, while still low, is climbing, Add to those charts this one, showing the upward march of the stock market since spring, and -- accepting all the necessary caveats -- the ingredients are in place for Democrats to be cautiously optimistic.
Improved poll numbers for the public option come as the idea, "once on life support in the Senate, is making a recovery among Democrats writing health-care legislation," the Wall Street Journal reports. The chances that the chamber will include some form of public-option compromise -- most likely a trigger or state-based pilot program -- are on the rise, and the House is all but certain to include a public plan in its bill. The New Republic's panel of judges, all supporters of reform, encourages Harry Reid to include much of the Senate HELP Committee's plan in the final bill, deeming it better than the Finance Committee measure. The White House is stepping up its involvement in drumming up support for reform, USA Today writes, publicly prodding wavering members of Congress and encouraging grassroots activism around the country.
If there is one obvious issue that could halt Obama and his fellow Democrats' rising political stock, it's Afghanistan. A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll found that "a slight majority of Americans think that the war in Afghanistan is turning into another Vietnam" and "nearly six in 10 oppose sending more U.S. troops to the conflict." At least the White House can take heart that Hamid Karzai "appears set to concede as early as Tuesday that he fell short of a first-round victory in the nation’s disputed presidential election," the New York Times writes, "but the path to ensuring that the country has credible leadership remains uncertain." The Washington Post reports that a U.N. investigation stripped Karzai of nearly a third of the votes initially tallied in his favor, and that Obama administration officials were "palpably relieved" by the "apparent breakthrough in tense negotiations with Karzai." The Associated Press says Karzai could accept a runoff election, or he could try to negotiate a power-sharing agreement with the No. 2 finisher.
By
Ben Pershing
|
October 20, 2009; 8:00 AM ET
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Go to full archive for The Rundown »
Posted by: nuzreporter | October 20, 2009 9:06 AM
Pass a Bill with a Public Option. Watch Private Insurance dry up. Watch a Gov Plan slow to start with a bill processing system falling apart. Then plenty of investigations on the folks contracted to process claims (those same nasty insurance companies). Democrats will be far better off with failure on reform than getting the reform they seem to be planning. Pass this bill, get a Bill Processing Katrina, and kiss Democrats goodbye.
Posted by: bill_baar | October 20, 2009 9:24 AM
You are missing the point.
We don't want his health care program,
we don't want his foolish cash for clunkers
we don't want his apologizies to the world
we don't want OBAMA
Is it any clearer than that!
Posted by: twilarak | October 20, 2009 10:12 AM
I do not believe your poll! I believe what I saw with my own eyes- hundreds of thousands of people marching on the capitol 9/12/09 in opposition of this farce and of Obama. I believe the 1.3 million people that signed a petition and had it delivered to Congress opposing government run health care. I believe over 1,000 Drs. that marched in opposition 9/10/09. That was not propaganda, faux, or deliberately misleading. Your trumped up poll is. You are obviously owned by the left and cater to such.
Posted by: inmanorj | October 20, 2009 10:23 AM
Hey twilarak Speak for yourself this country is made up of millions of people not just YOU. I happen to want health care reform w/ a public option and I am only one of millions don't lump everyone into your comment because you don't like our President and want a return of doing nothing for the American people by our elected officials
Posted by: moreamericanthanyou | October 20, 2009 10:51 AM
Mr. President: "First, Do No Harm."
COVERT FED DEPLOYMENT OF MICROWAVE/LASER RADIATION 'DIRECTED ENERGY WEAPONS' AGAINST U.S. CITIZENS MAKES HEALTH CARE REFORM A CRUEL JOKE
Access to health care doesn't help untold thousands of unjustly targeted Americans damaged by the devastating physiological effects of being silently irradiated by microwave and laser radiation "directed energy weapons"...
...the weaponization of the electromagnetic spectrum, camouflaged as cell towers -- a silent "final solution" that may have the nation's political leadership in its ideologically-driven cross-hairs.
This technology is capable of altering moods, emotions, inducing fatigue, weakness, exhaustion, confusion, life-altering injury, disease and a slow-kill death.
And key elements of the Obama administration -- chief among them the defense/security/intel establishment -- are proliferating these technologies by various modalities -- reportedly, from hand-held weaponry to satellite and terrestrial cell tower based delivery systems.
American citizens and families targeted by this covert torture matrix also are subject to financial sabotage that decimates their livelihoods and financial resources...
...and relentless "community stalking" -- harassment, surreptitious home entries and vandalism by government-enabled vigilantes affiliated with federally-funded community policing and anti-terrorism organizations.
Warrantless, covert placement of GPS tracking devices and misuse of cell phone technology to hunt down the unjustly targeted enables this grassroots terrorism.
But the Obama administration continues to allow these warrantless intrusions into the lives of unjustly targeted American families.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: BAN the use of microwave/laser radiation directed energy weaponss against the American people (including experimentation); and
BAN the warrantless tracking of individuals via GPS or cellphone technology -- the electronic backbone of an American Gestapo now operating on YOUR watch.
The bureaucratic saboteurs and Dr. Strangeloves behind these multi-agency crimes against humanity and the Constitution must be removed from power, immediately, before this silent genocide claims more victims -- endangering democracy, making a mockery of the rule of law.
http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america
OR (if link is corrupted / disabled):
http://NowPublic.com/scrivener RE: "GESTAPO USA"
Posted by: scrivener50 | October 20, 2009 11:05 AM
I think the gun toters at townhalls might have set the stage for disapproval this summer. A lot of gun owners were offended with open carry of weapons into crowds like that including my hunting relatives. It is not safe in a group of people they say. All the Obama as Hitler signs only appealed to a certain type of person and there were some racist signs also. Maybe they should of stuck with the Dems are trying to kill all the old people. You lie Wilson is rolling in dough but it doesn't help the party image much.
Posted by: carolerae48 | October 20, 2009 12:09 PM
Scrivener you could be right about the Microwave weaponry and Gestapo just hangin out in America now with lots of secret plans,but I haven't noticed them. The reason is I am grinning from ear to ear because I am so happy you and your friends, the Republicans and the Tea Partiers are not in office. You get more attention than the Democrats because you wear funny costumes, carry hateful signs, and say funny things, but we are the ones who voted for Obama, 70,000,000 people and I am thanking God about it.
I see Obama and the Dems giving the dregs of the Republican leadership (all elected by Tea Partiers, no intellectual Republicans in their states) so much repect, deference, handling with kid gloves! The media is constantly predicting the next candidate for Pres and talking incessantly about Republicans. But it's too late, I'm afraid, you have shown your colors early in this, all the important legislation came your way and you poo-pooed it. The party came before our county's needs in a crisis. Your strategy to win back the government with combative negative obstruction makes sense for countries like Iran, where irrational leaders do stay in power.
You did your harm during the Bush years,you keep trying now but it isn't working, now slink off into the shadows and have a cup a' Tea.
Posted by: cgmacmomma | October 20, 2009 2:33 PM
Obama has so many Americans in favor of his Government Crap care of NO choice that he has to hide behind closed doors with NO CSPAN, NO REPORTERS and NO Opposition to secretly conspire...something Obama said he would never do...Obama Lies...
Posted by: ekim53 | October 20, 2009 2:40 PM
The far right has truly gone crazy. Since they can't accept being wrong on anything and GOP rule during the Bush years have been a total disaster, their denial mechanism has clashed with their dim bulb mechanism and triggered their insanity mechanism. Since the media loves crazy, these folks got a lot of attention at first, but the public soon got tired of watching the loony claims that Obama is a foreign-born, teleprompter-using, mustard-eating, enemy-list-keeping, kid-indoctrinating non-citizen socialist fascist Muslim Nazi commie who wants to kill grandparents and turn the United States of America into the U.S.S.R. Now the crazies inundate online newspaper commentary sections and indulge in their ranting without recognition of just how loony they appear to everyone else.
Posted by: zvelf | October 20, 2009 5:55 PM
That was extremely eloquent and well said, cgmacmomma.
Posted by: zvelf | October 20, 2009 5:56 PM
The Republicans think that they can bank on "anger" to get them back into power, however they've played right into the hands of Obama. He was very skillful in how he laid out the way in which the stimulus money must be spent. No politician - Republican or Democrat - has refused to dole out the money once the bill was passed. They are on camera with huge fake checks giving to local initiatives. They've been talking up the largess of the federal government when only a few months ago they were trying to gin up public anger over too much spending. They've played right into the trap and its probably now coming into view just how they've contradicted themselves. But the stimulus aside, the Republicans have a bigger problem down the road with the Consumer Protection Agency and the Climate Change bills. The President has been using the ruckus over health care reform as cover to fight against entrenched positions and appears to be winning those fights. He will sacrifice poll points on healthcare reform but will make it all back plus more in one fell swoop once healthcare reform passes, then the Consumer Protection Agency and climate change comes into play. The Republicans will never ever - NEVER - vote against Wall Street reforms and the Consumer Protection Agency. It will be, after not voting for healthcare reform, the death of the Republican Party. It will be their Waterloo.
Posted by: ATLGuy | October 20, 2009 10:50 PM
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More liberal spin from the Washington Post with misleading headlines based on misleading poll questions. The public option most people think of is not the public option specified in the poll question. Let's hope the Democrats pass it. It's quite likely this will give the Republicans something to run on, i.e., repealing the bill.