Weather Gang Blog
Customize your weather

Enter your zip code and click "Accept" to set weather for any U.S. location. (You'll have to do this again - once - for each computer you use.)

Predictions Anyone?

7:36 PM ET, 11/ 1/2010
As I look at RedGreen's diary comparing 2008 to now here in the world of Pols, I can't help but think that two years ago we were all about making predictions about the election.  Of course, two years ago making predictions was fun because, at the end of the day, we knew Dems would win and all would be right with the world.  Now, not so much.

But, come on, Polsters.  Time to man (and woman) up.  Is Betsy (not to be confused with Edward) Markey a one-termer?  Is John Salazar unexpectedly going to find himself out of a job?

And, for the love of Christ, don't just let the beej, h-man, and libby dominate with there shillery...

There are real races here, who wins?
I fully admit I think tomorrow is going to be a bad night for Dems.  My faith in polls is probably a bit stronger than most of yours for a variety of reasons.  The bottom line is I just don't think the numbers are there for Dems.  

And with that, I lay myself before the court of Pols.  Here are my (sad) predictions:

Senate:  Ken Buck is going to be an awful Senator...worse that Dullard...but the next US Senator from the state of Colorado he is.  Buck by 3.

CO 3rd:  Like Pols says, Salazar did get caught napping, but he should pull this thing out.  Repubs just didn't pay enough attention while Salazar wasn't.  Salazar by 4 at the end of the day.

CO 4th: I like Betsy, I really do, but she won in '08 by 12% against a ridiculously unpopular incumbent.  Gardner's not perfect, but he's miles ahead of Musty and good enough for the 4th in the eyes of Repubs.  Gardner by 6 in a bit of a surprise.

Gov: If Hick doesn't win, I pledge to stop following politics entirely...seriously...
AG:  Suthers in a walk
SoS: Buescher
Treasurer: Stapleton...ugh...

Other races:

WV Sen: The only reason Manchin is still ahead in the polls against anyone with an 'R' attached to his name is because his numbers started in the stratosphere.  That should be enough to win, but not by much.  Manchin by 2.
PA Sen: Toomey by 6
NV Sen: Say hello to Senator Crazy McGoo.  Angle by 4.
AK Sen: Does anyone have the slightest idea about what's going on here?!  I think this race gets caught up in the courts Coleman/Franken style...that's all I've got.
IL Sen: The numbers lean towards Kirk, but like with Salazar's seat, I just cant see it happening.  Giannoulmnopqrsias in a squeaker.
WA Sen: Today's PPP poll should scare the crap out of Dems.  This race easily has the two best know candidates to their electorate in the country, and people have reject Dino the RINO twice.  Third time's a charm...for losing.  Murray by 4.

Obviously there are tons of interesting races out there, but here's the bottom line.

Senate 52-48 Dems
House 52 seat net swing to repubs

I hope I'm wrong...


Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz
Comments

A brand name that is remembered is a brand name that wins in the marketplaceā€”and possibly the polling place. Lisa Merriam, naming consultant to Fortune 500 companies, conducted a fast survey of top-of-mind associations with candidate names in the 2010 House and Senate races. Here find race-by-race name analysis and winning predictions: http://bit.ly/ad2ydC

Posted by: LDMerriam1 | November 2, 2010 11:32 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

About Colorado Pols

Colorado's most widely read and discussed political blog, Colorado Pols has become a must-read for politicos in the state since 2004. Colorado Pols attracts readers from both sides of the aisle, and its "Big Line" tracker of the state's top races has become a barometer for politicians, staffers and local media.
Visit Site

Other Blogs in the Political Blog Network

Alabama

Doc's Political Parlor

California

Calbuzz

Calitics

Colorado

Colorado Pols

Iowa

The Iowa Republican

Massachusetts

Blue Mass Group

Missouri

Fired Up! Missouri

New Jersey

Save Jersey

Ohio

Buckeye State Blog

Third Base Politics

Pennsylvania

pa2010.com

Politics PA

South Carolina

FITSNews

Virginia

Bearing Drift

Blue Virginia