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You Be the Pundit Contest Winner!

We have a winner. Tuesday's primary prediction contest asked you to deploy your political acumen to answer five questions about the outcome of the elections in Maryland and the District, and about 50 of you completed entries.

The gimmes turned out to be the defeat of Comptroller William Donald Schaefer and Senate candidate Kweisi Mfume winning the majority of the vote in Prince George's County. And most of you predicted the correct order of finish in the D.C. mayoral race.

But only one person correctly predicted that every single ward in the District would give a plurality of its votes to the D.C. Council chairman candidate who belonged to the largest racial group in that ward. Interestingly enough, although that appears to be evidence of race-based voting, the overall results both in this contest and in the city's voting overall backs up the argument that voters were NOT basing their decisions on skin color. In the chairman vote, VIncent Gray won healthy portions of the total in wards with large white populations, and in the at-large contest, Phil Mendelson won every ward--race was clearly not the decisive factor there.

The one person who called this one correctly also happens to be our Grand Winner, who goes by the handle ConsDemo.

ConsDemo, please email me at marcfisher@washpost.com with your name and address and I will get your prize out to you pronto. Congratulations.

ConsDemo scored 4.66 of a possible 5, correctly calling the losses by incumbents Schaefer and state Sen. Ida Ruben, correctly predicting Prince George's and Baltimore city as the places where Mfume would win a majority of the vote, pegging the order of finish in the DC mayor's race precisely right, getting the above race question right, and almost nailing the question about the three contests that pitted black candidates against Jewish candidates. ConsDemo got the Cardin and Gansler victories, but missed Ike Leggett's win for MoCo Executive, choosing Steve Silverman instead.

No other contestant scored higher than a 4. Quite a few got 3-plus.

Thanks to all for playing. We'll have at it again in the general election.

By Marc Fisher |  September 14, 2006; 7:18 AM ET
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Comments

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Wow, ConsDemo, you read the future better than I read yesterday's paper.

We're planning an outdoor wedding next June 23. Can you please tell us whether we need to rent a tent? Oh, and what will be the price of Intel's stock on that same date?

Posted by: Kalorama Kat | September 14, 2006 3:01 PM

Missed the chat today (that work stuff sometimes gets in the way of fun) so I read it later when I took a break. My question -- Is every good Metro reporter and commentator dog phobic or deer phobic?
And on another part of Metro - what's with these people hating squirrels? They're smart and cute and if you don't want them eating your bird food, don't put it out. The squirrels live out there, they get hungry, and they eat, big deal. Share a little. Some strange guy is even bragging about live trapping them (illegal in most jurisdictions to trap wildlife without a license) and torturing them with orange paint. That's just cruel. A friend rescued a squirrel from a crazy AU Park trapper and the squirrel's leg had gotten caught in the trap. To free himself, he was chewing off his leg. What choice did he have? He'd been left for a day in the hot sun without water in an illegal live trap. Can't we all just get along (Rodney King) and live and let live (my mother and probably yours too) with squirrels and other living creatures? How about "make love not war." (College hippies and most guys) Rainy days are cliché days.

Posted by: Rover | September 14, 2006 3:51 PM

June 23rd will be a perfect sunshiny day with a lovely breeze. Get the tent just for the fun of it.

Posted by: Anonymous | September 14, 2006 3:54 PM

I think I'll quit my day job and take up political prognostication. Then again, this is first time I've ever won this type of contest, so maybe I better try it a few more times as a amateur!

As to Kat, if you have your wedding the Bahamas next June, I can guarantee it will be warm. No word on intel, but pork bellies look good. Beyond that my crystal ball is little cloudy.

Posted by: ConsDemo | September 14, 2006 4:52 PM

Congrats to ConsDemo. I prognosticated in the mealy middle. Qustion -- Did you vote what you thought would happen or what you wanted to happen?

Posted by: Rover | September 14, 2006 5:01 PM

Shiminy pee-pee what do I see. Shiminy pee-pee, what will the weather be? I will never tell, KK. Never tell........

Posted by: Merlin | September 14, 2006 5:31 PM

Some media are starting to spin Fenty as a "stateman."
STATESMAN??!!
What state or city does Fenty REALLY represent?
Soon enough, many will discover what other DC councilmembers and clear-minded voters already know: Fenty is an actor not an activist.
Here is some factual wisdom I found based in reality:

"Mandate"..."Landslide"...GET REAL! Despite the hype, less than one-third (103,406*) of registered DC citizens (321,087*) voted in the September 12th Primary. Anyone affirming a "mandate" or "landslide" is, to put it gently, a liar. What amount of arrogant disrespect for the majority two-thirds of District voters (285,483*) does a candidate possess to assume and proclaim they are the people's choice? Hype can't disguise numbers -- or a mandate of the minority. By not voting for the hype, two-thirds of DC voters spoke. The real news? Integrity and real choice still count. (*DC Board of Elections and Ethics)

FOUND ON THE WEBSITE:
http://www.mooreforpeople.com/html/dennis_moore_for_dc_mayor.html

Posted by: Easternmarketeer | September 19, 2006 2:24 PM

As I sit here, I am watching George Allen (CNN) make what is probably the biggest mistake of his career - denying that he EVER used the "n" word, that it was NEVER in his vocabulary. Never say never, George.

I remember hearing bits and pieces about George Allen from earlier elections. But, the Democrats have been so cowed over the last decade or so, and unable to make political hash with the stories, like the Rove-ites. I hope that tide is turning.

Posted by: Away from Home | September 26, 2006 11:09 AM

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