You Be the Pundit Contest Winner!
We have a winner. Tuesday's primary prediction contest asked you to deploy your political acumen to answer five questions about the outcome of the elections in Maryland and the District, and about 50 of you completed entries.
The gimmes turned out to be the defeat of Comptroller William Donald Schaefer and Senate candidate Kweisi Mfume winning the majority of the vote in Prince George's County. And most of you predicted the correct order of finish in the D.C. mayoral race.
But only one person correctly predicted that every single ward in the District would give a plurality of its votes to the D.C. Council chairman candidate who belonged to the largest racial group in that ward. Interestingly enough, although that appears to be evidence of race-based voting, the overall results both in this contest and in the city's voting overall backs up the argument that voters were NOT basing their decisions on skin color. In the chairman vote, VIncent Gray won healthy portions of the total in wards with large white populations, and in the at-large contest, Phil Mendelson won every ward--race was clearly not the decisive factor there.
The one person who called this one correctly also happens to be our Grand Winner, who goes by the handle ConsDemo.
ConsDemo, please email me at firstname.lastname@example.org with your name and address and I will get your prize out to you pronto. Congratulations.
ConsDemo scored 4.66 of a possible 5, correctly calling the losses by incumbents Schaefer and state Sen. Ida Ruben, correctly predicting Prince George's and Baltimore city as the places where Mfume would win a majority of the vote, pegging the order of finish in the DC mayor's race precisely right, getting the above race question right, and almost nailing the question about the three contests that pitted black candidates against Jewish candidates. ConsDemo got the Cardin and Gansler victories, but missed Ike Leggett's win for MoCo Executive, choosing Steve Silverman instead.
No other contestant scored higher than a 4. Quite a few got 3-plus.
Thanks to all for playing. We'll have at it again in the general election.
By Marc Fisher |
September 14, 2006; 7:18 AM ET
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