Colder than Average, With Snow Aplenty
The guys over at capitalweather.com, one of the great volunteer endeavors on the web locally, have issued their winter weather outlook for the Washington area, and they're predicting colder than usual conditions with about 20 inches of total snow. This would be the coldest winter since '03-'04, with several storms dumping six-plus inches on us. To which I say, hooray!
The long-range forecasting business has a notoriously low batting average. This is because the whole thing is based on some pretty flimsy science. The idea of forecasting a season ahead is only a couple of steps beyond the old Farmer's Almanac scheme of predicting the future. And our friends at Capital Weather are honest and forthright enough about all this to note that the federal government's forecasters disagree with them and think this winter will be warmer than average, with about average precipitation. You can compare that forecast with others that are more in line with Capital Weather's (Accuweather and yes, the Farmer's Almanac) here.
Anyone can play this game, so come ahead with your own fake expertise.
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