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You Be the Pundit Election Day Contest

It's contest time, folks, and the subject is today's elections in Virginia, Maryland and the District. Post your predictions and answers to these six questions and the tiebreaker by 6 p.m. Tuesday; the reader whose responses come closest to the actual results wins a lovely little prize from the big blog's Vast Vat of Values. (Please check back here Thursday for the winners' names; winners should email me their addresses to receive their prize.)

Here goes:

1. Which, if any, of these incumbents will lose their job in today's vote? (Multiple responses ok.)
a. Montgomery County Council member Howard Denis
b. Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen
c. Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich
d. Virginia Rep. Frank Wolf
e. none of the above

2. Which will win a larger percentage of the vote in Virginia, George Allen's Senate campaign or the constitutional amendment on marriage, and by how much? (Answer should follow this form: "Allen, by 4 percent" or "marriage amendment, by 3 percent.")

3. Two Yes or No questions: Will Democratic gubernatorial candidate Martin O'Malley win any Maryland counties other than Montgomery, Prince George's and Baltimore city? And will he win the election?

4. Last year, Tim Kaine won the Virginia governor election by collecting 50 percent of the vote in Prince William County, 52 percent in Loudoun County and 60 percent in Fairfax County. Will Democratic Senate candidate Jim Webb surpass Kaine's performance in any of those three northern Virginia counties, and if so, in which of the three?

5. Rank these three Democratic candidates by the share of the vote (from highest percentage to lowest) they will receive in Prince George's County in their respective races:
a. Senate candidate Ben Cardin
b. Attorney General candidate Doug Gansler
c. Governor candidate Martin O'Malley

6. Predict the order of the top two finishers in the race for D.C. school board president:
a. Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham
b. Robert Bobb, Timothy Jenkins
c. Carolyn Graham, Robert Bobb
d. Carolyn Graham, Timothy Jenkins
e. other

TIEBREAKER:
Predict the Virginia Senate outcome by percentages Allen and Webb will receive (remember that Green Party candidate Gail Parker is also on the ballot).

By Marc Fisher |  November 6, 2006; 6:32 PM ET
Previous: What Not to Say: "I Own This [Town, Turf, Team]" | Next: Election Day Shenanigans

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1. George Allen and Bob Ehrlich

2. marriage amendment, by 7 percent

3. yes, yes

4. Fairfax

5. Cardin, Gansler, O'Malley

6. Graham, Junkins

TIEBREAKER: Allen 45, Webb 46

Posted by: slm | November 6, 2006 7:03 PM

1. b, c

2. Marriage amendment, 6 percent (unfortunately)

3. No, yes

4. Yes, Loudon

5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin

6. Graham, Jenkins

Tiebreaker: Webb: 50%, Allen: 48%

Posted by: Lindemann | November 6, 2006 8:27 PM

Hi Marc--

1. Allen (b) and Ehrlich (c)

2. Marriage Amendment, by 1 percent

3. Yes (probably Charles and Howard), Yes

4. Yes, Prince William

5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin

6. Robert Bobb, Timothy Jenkins (b)


TIEBREAKER -

Jim Webb 50%
George Allen 48%

Posted by: ask2002 | November 6, 2006 10:19 PM

1. B George Allen

2. Marriage Amendment by 20%

3. No (Prince Georges) Yes (Montgomery

4. No

5. Gansler, Cardin, O'Malley

6. Timothy Jenkins, Robert Bobb

Posted by: Carl Bostick | November 7, 2006 1:53 AM

QUESTION 1 - (a) Montgomery County Council member Howard Denis; (b) Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen

QUESTION 2 - Marriage amendment by 9 percent

QUESTION 3 - (a) O'Malley will squeak by in Howard and Anne Arundel counties; (b) O'Malley will lose the governor's race by a narrow margin, and the result might require a recount

QUESTION 4 - Will surpass Kaine in Fairfax and Loudoun Counties

QUESTION 5 - Attorney General candidate Doug Gansler, Governor candidate Martin O'Malley, Senate candidate Ben Cardin

QUESTION 6 - Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham

TIEBREAKER - Webb - 52 percent; Allen - 47; percent; Parker - 1 percent

Posted by: ldsw | November 7, 2006 2:47 AM

1.
a. Montgomery County Council member Howard Denis
b. Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen
c. Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich

2. Marriage amendment, by %

3. Yes and Yes

4. Yes - Prince William

5.
Attorney General candidate Doug Gansler
Governor candidate Martin O'Malley
Senate candidate Ben Cardin


6.
a. Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham

TIEBREAKER:
Webb: 49%
Allen: 48%

Posted by: Laney | November 7, 2006 7:38 AM

Whoops, #2 should say by 12% :)

Posted by: Laney | November 7, 2006 7:40 AM

1) c-Bob Ehrlich
2) Marriage amendment, by 11 percent
3) Yes (Howard). Yes.
4) Yes (Fairfax).
5) c-Gansler, b-O'Malley, a-Cardin
6) a-Bobb/Graham
Tie) Allen-49, Webb-47

Posted by: MikeB | November 7, 2006 8:20 AM

1. C (Allen) only.
2. Marriage amendment, by 6 percent.
3. No, Yes.
4. Yes--Fairfax and Loudoun.
5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin.
6. a. Bobb, Graham.

TIEBREAKER: Allen 50, Webb 48, Parker 2.

Posted by: Barlap | November 7, 2006 8:51 AM

1.
a. Montgomery County Council member Howard Denis
b. Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen
c. Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich
d. Virginia Rep. Frank Wolf


2. marriage amendment by 10 percent

3. Two Yes or No questions: Will Democratic gubernatorial candidate Martin O'Malley win any Maryland counties other than Montgomery, Prince George's and Baltimore city? Yes And will he win the election? Yes

4. Last year, Tim Kaine won the Virginia governor election by collecting 50 percent of the vote in Prince William County, 52 percent in Loudoun County and 60 percent in Fairfax County. Will Democratic Senate candidate Jim Webb surpass Kaine's performance in any of those three northern Virginia counties, and if so, in which of the three? Prince William and Fairfax

5.
c. Governor candidate Martin O'Malley
b. Attorney General candidate Doug Gansler
a. Senate candidate Ben Cardin

6. Predict the order of the top two finishers in the race for D.C. school board president:
a. Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham


TIEBREAKER:
Predict the Virginia Senate outcome by percentages Allen and Webb will receive (remember that Green Party candidate Gail Parker is also on the ballot).

Webb 51, Allen 45

Posted by: Michael Bindner | November 7, 2006 9:54 AM

1. B
2. Marriage Amendment 10%
3. No, No
4. Yes (Fairfax)
5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin
6. A
Tie Breaker:
Allen - 47%
Webb - 49%

Posted by: MAX | November 7, 2006 10:03 AM

Question 1

b. Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen
c. Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich
d. Virginia Rep. Frank Wolf

Question 2

None Both loose

Question 3

Yes and Yes

Question 4

Yes Jimmy will surpass Tommy is all three counties.

Question 5

Dont care about MD GO!!!! VA

Question 6

See Ans to Question 5

Racist Allen: 42%

Warrior Webb: 56%

Gale Parker-Nader: 2%


Posted by: Harry Singh Macacca | November 7, 2006 10:10 AM

1. Allen, Denis, Ehrlich
2. Amendment by 9 percent
3. Yes, Yes
4. Yes. Fairfax, Loudon
5. O'Malley, Gansler, Cardin
6. a
Tiebreak: Webb 49%, Allen 47%

Posted by: lerch | November 7, 2006 10:39 AM

1. e) none of the above
2. marriage amendment by 7 percent
3. no and no
4. no
5. gansler, o'malley, cardin
6. Bobb, Graham
Tiebreaker:
Allen 51% Webb 48%

Posted by: Mike G | November 7, 2006 11:13 AM

1. C.

2. Marriage amendment, by 3%.

3. Yes and yes.

4. Yes - Fairfax and Loudon.

5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin.

6. B.

7. Allen 50%, Webb 49%.

Posted by: fs | November 7, 2006 11:15 AM

1. b. Allen; c. Ehrlich.

2. Marriage amendment by 5%.
3. Yes (he'll also win Howard Co.).
Yes (O'Malley will win).

4. No.

5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin.

6. a. Bobb, Graham.

Tiebreaker - Allen 51%, Webb 49%.

Posted by: Linda | November 7, 2006 11:24 AM

1. Allen.

2. Allen, by 1 percent.

3. No. No.

4. No.

5. a, c, b. (Cardin, O'Malley, Gansler.)

6. e.

Tiebreaker: Webb, 50; Allen, 47.

Posted by: jaded | November 7, 2006 11:40 AM

1. B and C
2. Marriage amendment by 6%
3. No, just P.G., Montgomer, and Baltimore. Yes, he will win.
4. Yes, in Prince William.
5. C, B, A
6. C
Tiebreaker: Webb: 46%
Allen: 45%

Posted by: Ryan L. | November 7, 2006 11:52 AM

1. b, c
2. marriage, by 20%
3. yes, yes
4. no
5. b, a, c
6. a
Tie: Webb: 51 Allen: 48 Parker: 1

Posted by: Kevin | November 7, 2006 12:03 PM

1. B C
2. Marriage by 6
3. No Yes
4. Yes Fairfax
5. C B A
6. A
7. W 51 A 48

Posted by: Matt | November 7, 2006 12:09 PM

1. Allen
2. Amendment by 8 percent
3. No, No
4. Yes. All three.
5. Gansler, Cardin, O'Malley
6. e
Tiebreak: Webb 49.5%, Allen 49.3%

Posted by: rf | November 7, 2006 12:25 PM

1. B - Allen, C - Ehrlich, D - Wolf.

2. Marriage Amendment - 2%

3. Yes (three extra counties: Howard, Baltimore County and Somerset), Yes

4. Yes, Prince William by 1% extra percent.

5. Gansler, then O'Malley, then Cardin.

6. A: Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham

TIEBREAKER: 51% Webb, 47% Allen, 1% Parker

Posted by: Matt is friends with Cthuhlu | November 7, 2006 12:38 PM

1. A, B
2. Marriage by 5%
3. No, No
4. Yes, Fairfax
5. Gansler, Cardin, O'Malley
6. A
TB: Allen-47%; Webb-49%

Posted by: MAX | November 7, 2006 12:40 PM

1. e - none
2. Marriage amendment, 6%
3. no, no
4. yes - Fairfax
5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin
6. c
Tie breaker:
Allen 50%
Webb 48%

Posted by: Brian | November 7, 2006 1:03 PM

This is boring. I'm going to go fight it out with the parents on the Balance discussion.

Posted by: Anonymous | November 7, 2006 1:24 PM

1. B, C and D

2. Marriage amendment, by 5 percent

3. Yes, Yes

4. Yes, Fairfax County

5. Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin

6. Graham, Jenkins

Tiebreaker:

Allen 48, Web 50%, Parker 2%

Posted by: Buttons | November 7, 2006 1:37 PM

1) Ehrlich (narrow defeat)
2) marriage amendment, 8%
3) Yes & Yes
4) Webb will unfortunately not do any better than Kaine
5) Gansler, O'Malley, Cardin
6) Bob Bobb, Graham
TB) Allen - 51% (ugh)
Webb - 48%

Posted by: Erin | November 7, 2006 1:43 PM

1. Allen.
2. Allen by 6%.
3. Yes. No.
4. Yes--Prince William & Loudoun.
5. Gansler, Cardin, O'Malley.
6. Graham, Bobb.
Tiebreaker: Webb--51%, Allen--48%, Parker--1%.

Posted by: sen | November 7, 2006 1:56 PM

1. b. Allen
2. Marriage by 6%
3. Yes, no
4. Yes, Loudon and Fairfax
5. Gansler, OMalley, Cardin
6. Bobb, Jenkins
Tiebreaker Webb 54, Allen 45

Posted by: depublicrat voter | November 7, 2006 2:39 PM

1 - b, Allen
2 - Allen, by 5%
3 - No and No
4 - No
5 - O'Malley, Gansler, Cardin
6 - d
Tiebreaker: Webb 50%; Allen 48%

Posted by: Penni | November 7, 2006 2:39 PM

1. C)Bob Ehrlich
2. marriage amendment, by 6 percent
3. yes (Charles County); yes, he will win
4. Prince William and Loudoun
5. b)Doug Gansler, c)Martin O'Malley, a)Ben Cardin
6. a)Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham
Tie Breaker- Allen-51%, Webb-47%

Posted by: Lateefah | November 7, 2006 2:49 PM

1. b. Virginia U.S. Senator George Allen and c. Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich

2. Marriage Admendment by 9%

3. a) yes and b) yes

4. Webb will not outperform Kaine in those three counties, but will outperform him overall statewide.

5. O'Malley, Cardin, Gansler

6. d. Carolyn Graham, Timothy Jenkins

TIEBREAKER:
Webb 49% (will win)
Allen 48%
Parker 3%


Posted by: Matt Rinker | November 7, 2006 2:50 PM

1.
a. Montgomery County Council member Howard Denis
d. Virginia Rep. Frank Wolf

2. constitutional amendment 9%

3. No, Yes

4. No

5.

2 Senate candidate Ben Cardin
1 Attorney General candidate Doug Gansler
3 Governor candidate Martin O'Malley

6. Predict the order of the top two finishers in the race for D.C. school board president:
a. Robert Bobb, Carolyn Graham

TIEBREAKER:
Allen 50
Webb 49
Other 1

Posted by: clairvoyant | November 7, 2006 2:58 PM

1. Allen, Ehrlich

2. marriage amendment by 8 percent

3. No, and yes.

4. Yes - fairfax and loudon.

5. Gansler, OMalley, Cardin.

6. Robert Bobb, Timothy Jenkins


TIEBREAKER:
Predict the Virginia Senate outcome by percentages Allen and Webb will receive (remember that Green Party candidate Gail Parker is also on the ballot).
Webb 50, Allen 48.

Posted by: NickJ | November 7, 2006 5:15 PM

1. c
2. marriage amendment, by 4 percent
3. yes, and yes
4. yes, in Loudoun and Prince William
5. Gansler, Cardin, O'Malley
6. c
TIEBREAKER: Allen 50.8, Webb 48.7

Posted by: GrandpaGeo | November 7, 2006 5:46 PM

Today Senator George Allen was the first sitting U.S. Senator to be raped in front of his children by waerewolves.

Posted by: Billy Hayseed | November 7, 2006 6:26 PM

Dear George W.,

How are you feeling today? Did you taste bile when you ate breakfast this morning? I bet your speech writers are working pretty hard this morning. HA, HA, HA, HA, HA!!!!

Posted by: HOT DEM | November 8, 2006 10:09 AM

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Posted by: ztbchutn | November 30, 2006 5:33 PM

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