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Campbell and the 2009 Free-Agent QB Class

The race to sign young starting quarterbacks to contract extensions will begin in earnest by the end of the season, and in some cases perhaps sooner. There is a fine class of emerging passers whose rookie contracts all expire in 2009, including your very own Jason Campbell, and most of them are in line for significant paydays.

The Redskins to this point seem to want to put off negotiations until the end of the season, according to sources, which is fine. And that could be the case with most of this group: Philip Rivers (San Diego), Eli Manning (Giants), Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay), and Kyle Orton (Chicago). I would expect most of this bunch to have new deals before the start of 2009 training camp regardless of the fact that, sans a new collective bargaining agreement, some of these kids would be restricted and not unrestricted free agents in 2010. Some teams tend to be more proactive than others in situations such as this, and may try to get guys signed early, knowing that the longer you wait, the more you often end up paying.

One contract begets the next begets the next as the dominos fall; agents, of course, know this, so they have to gamble on whether it makes sense to wait it out, and when to go all in.

Several of the teams represented on this list have already begun getting their information together, crunching numbers, looking at comparable stats, examining other recent contracts by QBS. With so many passers in essentially the same boat (and I'm sure Buffalo's Trent Edwards, a free agent after the 2010 season, and Denver's Jay Cutler, a free agent after 2011, will be watching these negotiations closely, too), there could some very interesting dynamics at play when contract talks eventually heat up.

Of the group (including Cutler and Edwards), all rank in the top 14 in passer rating, with Manning actually bringing up the rear (88.9); of course, he's coming off a Super Bowl win. Rivers leads the NFL with a 107.8 rating (Rivers and Manning were traded for each other at the 2004 draft), Campbell is fifth (100.5), Rodgers is seventh in his first season as a starter (98.8) and Orton is quietly having a very solid season and perhaps finally bringing quarterback stability to the Bears (91.4).

That's not too shabby.

Then throw in Ben Roethlisberger, another QB taken in the first round of the 2004 draft, and you're looking at the next wave of elite passers just starting to reach their prime. The always-financially prudent Steelers signed Roethlisberger to an eight-year, $102-million deal last year (talk about being proactive), with $36 million guaranteed. I would imagine Rivers and Manning would be shooting for that kind of money, while Campbell will no doubt get a primer from his agent on Tony Romo's 2007 contract extension (six-years, $67.5 million, $11.5 million signing bonus).

Here's a look at the 2009 salaries of these young quarterbacks, and their career stats.

Romo (2003 undrafted FA), $620,000*
32 GS - 69 TDs-37 INT, 64.6%, 97.8 rating

Roethlisberger (11th overall 2004), $4.75 mil*
62 GS -94-61, 62.9%, 91.7

Rivers (4th overall in 2004), $6.5 million
32 GS, 63-31, 61.4%, 90.8

Rodgers (24th overall in 2005), $800,000
7 GS, 13-5, 64.3%, 93.4

Campbell (21st overall in 2005), $782,000
28 GS, 30-17, 60%, 83.5

Manning (1st overall in 2004), $8.95 million
64 G, 86 -68, 55.4 comp%, 75.1

Orton (106th overall in 2005), $620,000
18 GS, 22-19, 55.5%, 72.1

* Does not include guaranteed bonus money on new 2007 contracts

The ground floor for JC? Well, I think it's safe to say that most of this group will top the contract signed by Derek Anderson with Cleveland last season. Anderson, who was drafted 213th overall by Baltimore in 2005 and then claimed on waivers by Cleveland, put up Pro Bowl numbers last season in his first real playing time and got a three-year deal worth a maximum of $27million in the offseason, with $14.5 million guaranteed.

Barring a crazy collapse or a terrible injury, Campbell is in line for a much longer contract than that, and, again, I don't see it averaging anything less than $8 million a season (Anderson is having an awful year for the Browns and perpetually on the verge of losing his job to 2007 first-round pick Brady Quinn).

By Jason La Canfora  |  October 31, 2008; 8:09 AM ET
 
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Comments

Pretty obvious you hate contracts, Jasno.
~

Posted by: ifthethunderdontgetya | October 31, 2008 8:28 AM | Report abuse

Sign Jason now. Please................!


Hail!

Posted by: MistaMoe | October 31, 2008 8:31 AM | Report abuse

Pretty obvious you hate contracts, Jasno.
~

Posted by: ifthethunderdontgetya | October 31, 2008 8:28 AM | Report abuse


It's Pretty obvious that you are going to post the same lame comment on every thread

Posted by: jonthefisherman | October 31, 2008 8:38 AM | Report abuse

There is no need right not to go into contract talks with JC. Let's keep our focus on the task at hand. No one here in their right mind thinks that Dan is not going to get JC sign.

JM220

Posted by: icetotalpackage | October 31, 2008 8:43 AM | Report abuse

this is for you corky...

"Coach Zorn was asked about the rookie class after practice today, and after praising Chris Horton, he said “Fred is doing just as well. He just hasn’t had the opportunities — he’s got Chris Cooley in front of him.” And, later, “he has not said a word, just worked hard and looked great on the show team.” At some point, albeit maybe not this year, Fred Davis will impress.
“Devin Thomas is starting to play faster as well,” Zorn said, also praising Thomas for his effort after the catch on his one catch in the Detroit game.

But don't let the what the coach of the team say's change what you think. Just keep your head firmly lodged in your spincter.

Posted by: BeantownGreg | October 31, 2008 8:48 AM | Report abuse

Jasno,

What impact would resigning JC today have on the Redskins' salary cap for this year, and how would it differ if we wait until after the Super Bowl? Are there advantages or disadvantages in the regard if we get it done during the bye week?

Posted by: talent_evaluator | October 31, 2008 8:49 AM | Report abuse

I have to say that I am always critical of the slant that Jla has on this team. But he has been fair if not dead on IMO this season about the play. But he seems to be pushing this "The Redskins to this point seem to want to put off negotiations until the end of the season, according to sources, which is fine." To me he is blatantly stirring the pot. This is the one time I think he is truly reporting on a complete non relevant issue. Here is why: Has Snyder never not PAID through the nose!!!!!!!!! I mean time and time again we have over paid for outside talent. Chris Cooley done, everybody happy, etc. I am sorry, but this story's headline is easily "OF COURSE SNYDER WILL PAY CAMPBELL" We dont need to give it a second thought. Let them play the waiting game. Just more money for JC... But they are gonna pay they always do.

Posted by: Club320 | October 31, 2008 8:51 AM | Report abuse

There is no need right not to go into contract talks with JC. Let's keep our focus on the task at hand. No one here in their right mind thinks that Dan is not going to get JC sign.

EXACTLY...JC isn't going anywhere...we hired our head coach for the starting quarterback...when does that happen? Also, Dan Snyder actually seems like he is content to pay whatever...he just wants to win and isn't going to risk the distraction.

Posted by: 44riggosranger44 | October 31, 2008 8:56 AM | Report abuse

I did not get a chance to post on earlier threads, but after reading the article this morning about players being tired after 5 preseason and 8 regular season games, I need to vent.

One word: puhlease!

How many of these players actually played more than 1/4 of each preseason game?

8 games in a row? Oh no! What about prior to bye weeks when they had to play 16 games in a row.

I sm sorry to be so hard, but suck it up for a game and make it to your vacation week.

I am stepping down from my soap box now.

HTTR

Posted by: CTCapsPhan | October 31, 2008 9:06 AM | Report abuse

When is Colt Brennan a free agent? That is what we have to worry about.

I told all of you before the season that Campbell sucked and look what's happened...he leads the league in interceptions, fumbles, and he has no blocked punts...none!

Not to mention he has no original material for the post-game interviews in the locker rooms. It's the same "team this, team that" well how about some individuality and maybe a dance or at least a shimmy.

Here is a video of Peter King and Ed Werder arguing about Campbell, I agree with King 100%.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yu_moia-oVI


Posted by: isnadd | October 31, 2008 9:06 AM | Report abuse

I did not get a chance to post on earlier threads, but after reading the article this morning about players being tired after 5 preseason and 8 regular season games, I need to vent.

One word: puhlease!

How many of these players actually played more than 1/4 of each preseason game?

8 games in a row? Oh no! What about prior to bye weeks when they had to play 16 games in a row.

I sm sorry to be so hard, but suck it up for a game and make it to your vacation week.

I am stepping down from my soap box now.

HTTR

Posted by: CTCapsPhan | October 31, 2008 9:06 AM | Report abuse

I agree with most of the thoughts here, this is a NON-ISSUE. If JC continues in the general direction he's been on all year, it's a done deal already, whether it's in writing or not.

I also have a question: wasn't there a time when JLC actually interacted with this blog? I thought that was one of things that many were attracted to here.

Cindy, can you shed some light on why this has changed? There are many questions that are asked here, and there is NEVER an answer.

Posted by: craig2 | October 31, 2008 9:08 AM | Report abuse

Here is a video of Peter King and Ed Werder arguing about Campbell, I agree with King 100%.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yu_moia-oVI


Posted by: isnadd | October 31, 2008 9:06 AM |

isnadd,

That is the second time you got me with that Rick Astley sh!t.

Posted by: Flounder21 | October 31, 2008 9:13 AM | Report abuse

Flounder, a little background for you.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rickrolling

I fully understand if you need to "report abuse."

isnadd,
That is the second time you got me with that Rick Astley sh!t.
Posted by: Flounder21 | October 31, 2008 9:13 AM | Report abuse

Posted by: isnadd | October 31, 2008 9:24 AM | Report abuse

beeps

Posted by: BeantownGreg | October 31, 2008 9:26 AM | Report abuse

Flounder, a little background for you.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rickrolling

I fully understand if you need to "report abuse."

isnadd,
That is the second time you got me with that Rick Astley sh!t.
Posted by: Flounder21 | October 31, 2008 9:13 AM | Report abuse

Posted by: isnadd | October 31, 2008 9:27 AM | Report abuse

Thanks for the analysis, Jason. I agree that the Redskins will probably want to wait until after the season to get into negotiating Jason Campbell's contract. They don't want to do anything to disrupt his focus in the middle of a breakout season (unless they deliberately want to disrupt his focus, so they can sandbag his payday - but then, these ain't the Raiders). As for Campbell's side of things, he and his representatives can probably relax without feeling the need to press the issue, because they know Campbell's playing for one of the few owners in the league who will gladly pay a player whatever it takes to adequately reward him for great play.

Posted by: manalive | October 31, 2008 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Isnadd:
thanks for the background. I have officially been "rick rolled" twice now. Son of a B!

Posted by: marleyb313 | October 31, 2008 10:59 AM | Report abuse

Isnadd:
thanks for the background. I have officially been "rick rolled" twice now. Son of a B!

Posted by: marleyb313 | October 31, 2008 11:01 AM | Report abuse

TYPO ALERT: Jason Campbell was drafted as the 25th overall pick in the 2005 draft, not 21st.

That honor went to Matt Jones of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Just sayin'

Posted by: 88mph | October 31, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

TYPO ALERT: Jason Campbell was drafted as the 25th overall pick in the 2005 draft, not 21st.

That honor went to Matt Jones of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Just sayin'

Posted by: 88mph | October 31, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

TYPO ALERT: Jason Campbell was drafted as the 25th overall pick in the 2005 draft, not 21st.

That honor went to Matt Jones of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Just sayin'

Posted by: 88mph | October 31, 2008 11:23 AM | Report abuse

yeah man that damn rickrolled thing has gotten me a couple times now too. i find it funny and thanks for the background info insadd....

Posted by: cosmiccatnip1 | October 31, 2008 11:40 AM | Report abuse

yeah man that damn rickrolled thing has gotten me a couple times now too. i find it funny and thanks for the background info insadd....

Posted by: cosmiccatnip1 | October 31, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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