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JC Through 15 Games

Was in the process of looking up some stats on Jason Campbell. and how other QBs fared in their first 15 starts, when, whatdya know, an email should arrive in my inbox from Andrew Lerner with a brief statistical comparison.

Here's what Andrew sent:

With 15 games under his belt, I figured that is enough of a statistical sampling size to compare with some other young Qbs in the league, thru their first 15 games.

I left off Vince Young, because his style is so very different, but the remaining Qbs for comparison are Romo, Alex Smith, and Matt Leinart. These Qbs are all young and anointed as the Qb of the future for their respective teams. Romo is heads-and-tails above the rest (and it pains me to say it), but J-Cam is a pretty solid second place...

Qb G % Yds TD/Int

Tony Romo 15 63.80% 4102 30/16
Alex Smith 15 55.20% 2295 10/17
Matt Leinart 15 56.30% 3001 13/15
Jason Campbell 15 55.99% 2817 16/13

Also, check out J-Cam's numbers versus another NFL Qb thru 15 games:

Jason Campbell 15 55.99% 2817 16/13
Un-named Qb 15 53.40% 2846 15/12

Eerily similar, huh? Well who is the un-named Qb you ask???? None other than P-Ram, Patrick Ramsey. Interesting. I think J-Cam will be much better than Ramsey but they're pretty much even thru 15 games statistically passing wise. Scary huh.

Okay, here's my own stuff, now. Jasno taking over from here. Thanks again Andrew:
Now, check out these comparisons:

John Elway's first 15 NFL games: 165 - 339 - 49 % - 2143 yards - 10 TDs - 18 INTs - Rating: 56.69

What do you think Brett Favre's TD-INT ratio was through his first 15 starts? A pretty comparable 18-13 (this from the all time leader in both categories and a fellow Mississippi product).

How about Eli Manning's first 15 games, considering he was the top pick and all a year before JC came out?
225 - 447 - 2789 - 20 - 14 - 71.88 rating

JC has a 75.6 career rating.

What about Doug Williams, a player Coach Joe has compared Jason to at times? Well. Doug's career passer rating is 69.4.

Bottom line - I'm not trying to project what Jason will or won't be, and I'm not saying that just because his numbers through 15 games dovetail with some others that his career will mirror theirs. But for those impetuous swinging souls out there trying to make significant statements about this kid, or dropping the hammer on him, I'd just urge them to do some homework on the development of young QBs. Jason has plenty to work on, but he has plenty to build on as well, and if this franchise is ever going to truly stabilize and progress, then cultivating this kid and giving him every chance to become the face of the organization is the best bet. Sure, some come in like Roethlisberger and look like the finished product right away, but that's not the norm.

Randoms: Got a bunch of emails about Mike Williams when the WR got cut last week. Redskins have made no attempts to contact him, league sources said. Williams worked out for the Titans on Tuesday in Nashville, but not sure how that went. Figure someone will take a shot at him at some point but not sure it'll ever really work out for him ... Glad to see Schill is back on board for the Sox impending back-to-back Series wins. I figure winning three rings with the Sox will put his HOF credentials over the top ... My man Freddy Adu is tearing it up in Portugal as a super-sub. Has scored in 3 of the last 5 matches and had a hand in the game-winning goal against Celtic in the Champions League a few weeks back in another. He has scored late-game goals - either tying the game or winning it - in the League Cup, the league and the Portuguese Cup and is loving life on the beaches of Lisbon. Met that kid for the first time when he was 11 and have been blown away by him ever since and look forward to catching up with him when he gets back to DC for the Christmas break ...

Have a feeling the Eagles are going to come after Smoot a little bit this weekend. McNabb and Springs are very close and I think Donovan will prefer to go to the opposite side because I know he respects Shawn's ball skills immensely from all of their time training together in the offseason. Smoot has the bad hammy. I think they try to get the burner, Curtis, on him a lot ...

You guys tell me if this is a coincidence, or symbolic of a larger issue? So JC gets a ball tipped and picked off on the final Skins offensive play of the second quarter against Arizona a few weeks back, in what turned out to be a very tight game, and in the second half the Redskins run the ball 16 times and throw it just 7 and barely squeak by with a 2 point win. Then against the Jets Sunday he is hit as he tried to throw, gets picked off on a play that wasn't his fault - Barton made a heck of a catch and the protection failed - and then the rest of the way the Skins run the ball 21 times and throw it just twice as they come from behind to eventually beat NY in OT by 3. That's 37 rushes to 9 passes in what amounts to a full game post-INTs totaled all together.

By Jason La Canfora  |  November 8, 2007; 6:12 AM ET
 
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