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Statistical analysis: What impact has Clinton Portis had on the Redskins?

Statistical analysis

Clinton Portis is out four to six weeks, but this may be a blessing in disguise for the Redskins. For over six years Portis has been the Redskins' workhorse back. Despite high hopes, he was never able to match his two great seasons in Denver, posting mostly negative seasons in Washington. In fact, he only had one truly solid season in 2008.

How can a running back put up over 1,200 yards in four out of six seasons and a total of 46 rushing touchdowns still be considered a liability? Touchdowns and total yardage are very deceptive, and they turn out to be terrible ways to measure the productivity of a running back. If it takes 350 carries to accumulate 1,200 yards, that's going to hurt much more than help a team. Performance like that will leave an offense with lots of third downs, and doesn't help move the chains or protect leads. If a back gains 1,200 yards in 240 carries, that's a different story. That kind of efficiency will help win games.

It's important to note that Clinton Portis' stats are not his alone. They reflect his performance given the team around him. He hasn't been blessed with a particularly reliable offensive line during his time in Washington, nor has he benefited from a strong passing game. Plus, his value as a pass blocker can't be measured statistically. Still, over the course of six years, he's had ample opportunities to display the same flash of talent he showed in Denver.

Before we look at Portis' career statistics, let's define a few terms. First, there's Win Probability Added (WPA). This stat measures a player's direct contribution to his team's chances of winning games. For example, if a play moves a team's chances of winning from 60% to 70%, that play's WPA would be 0.10. Adding up the WPA for all the plays in which a player is directly involved tells us a lot about his contribution to his team's prospects of winning, accounting for game situation. It discounts "trash time" and it heavily weights plays in critical circumstances.

Expected Points Added (EPA) does much the same thing, except instead of measuring win probability, it measures a player's contribution to his team's net point differential.

Success Rate (SR) counts how frequently a player makes a "successful" play, defined as a play that helps move the chains and scores points. WPA, EPA, and SR all include run plays, pass plays, turnovers, and penalties. A perfectly average NFL player would net zero WPA and EPA. The break-even SR for a running back is slightly over 41%.

Here are Portis' career stats:
YearTeamWPAEPASR(%)AttYdsYPCRush TD
2002DEN1.2853.752.42731,5085.515
2003DEN1.2138.744.82651,4745.613
2004WAS-1.23-28.639.43431,3153.85
2005WAS0.15-2.840.73521,5164.311
2006WAS0.19-1.034.41275234.17
2007WAS-0.07-10.937.73251,2623.911
2008WAS0.7010.041.63421,4874.39
2009WAS-0.41-19.034.31244944.01
2010WAS0.04-2.245.8491954.02
AvgDEN1.2546.248.62691,4915.614.0
AvgWAS-0.09-7.839.12379704.16.6
Totals1.8637.941.622009,7744.474

Compare Portis' 2003 season with his 2005 season. He gained about 1,500 yards and scored over 10 TDs in both seasons, but in 2003 he ran at a 5.6 Yards Per Carry (YPC) clip, compared to 4.3 YPC in 2005. He generated about 1.21 WPA and about 38.7 EPA in 2003, compared to 0.15 WPA and -2.8 EPA in 2005. He had the same total number of yards but made a completely different impact in terms of winning games and scoring points in those two seasons.

I'm not attacking Portis or his efforts. It's possible another RB in the same backfield may have done even worse. My point is that his contributions to the Redskins fortunes are vastly overrated by looking at only total yardage and touchdowns. Fantasy stats aren't what win games, and the Redskins' focus on Portis as the main feature of their offense has likely been counterproductive, whether under Gibbs, Zorn or Shanahan.

Brian Burke is a former Navy pilot who has given up his F/A-18 for the less dangerous hobby of football analysis. He is the creator of Advanced NFL Stats, a Web site about football, statistics and game theory.

By Brian Burke  | October 7, 2010; 11:32 AM ET
Categories:  Statistical analysis  | Tags:  Redskins, Statistical analysis  
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Next: Hunter Smith returns as Redskins punter

Comments

Wow, drinking the hater-ade..

Posted by: ash10 | October 7, 2010 11:40 AM | Report abuse

Here's an interesting stat that surprised me...

After 4 weeks, DHall is the leading tackler at the CB position with 34 (22 solo, 12 assist). He has 3 PDs, 1 INT, 1 FF, 1 REC, and 1 TD. Not bad.

Posted by: swowra | October 7, 2010 11:41 AM | Report abuse

Hi, my name is Brian and I hate Clinton Portis.


Posted by: rich20ssu | October 7, 2010 11:46 AM | Report abuse

This post ought to be retitled, "I'm a numbers nerd and no nothing about football".

Our offense has been a wasteland since Brad Johnson left because of either QB play, bad lines, or both. CP has done yeoman's work consider the hand he was dealt here and he deserves credit, not a stupid article comparing him to his Denver numbers that had incredible lines, an in place system, and a strong passing attack to what he's had here. Brunel, Ramsey, Campbell, are pitiful excuses for QB's and the line he ran behind steadily deteriorated in front of him since the day he got here and at times completely disappeared. Yes, now that he finally has a legit QB and management that has invested in the oline he's used up, and we are better off going with younger guys, but don't insult us by telling us he's been a liability here every year, he was at times our only weapon for years.

Posted by: zjfr2 | October 7, 2010 11:48 AM | Report abuse

wow. Waht a Duuuuuuuuuuuusche.

Not to mention you're just wrong.

Posted by: DikShuttle | October 7, 2010 11:52 AM | Report abuse

would be interesting to see how these numbers compare to the rest of the Skins roster.

I'm thinking he'd probably rank top 5 in any given yr.

Posted by: PortisPocketsStr8 | October 7, 2010 11:52 AM | Report abuse

Statistical analysis: What impact has Clinton Portis had on the Redskins?


The better question is, what have the redskins done for Clinton Portis?

Dude is making 7 million rehabbing.

I wish him all the best.

But I also wish RTorain to be the BE(A)ST!!!

Posted by: MistaMoe | October 7, 2010 11:53 AM | Report abuse

lmao Str8.

So how often does the WaPo Skins' staff change their tampons?

Posted by: DikShuttle | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM | Report abuse

Until Ryan Torain proves himself I'm not jumping off of the CP bus. Granted, CP had a little problem with running with his head down this season, but he was picking up yards and no one can argue with his pass blocking skill. Not questioning Torain's ability to carry the team, but I still want to see more proof than one game and seventy yards. Equally important is what the other backs do. The idea was to use CP and RT as complementary backs. With CP out, who is going to rise up to spell RT?

Posted by: RedSkinHead | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM | Report abuse

Hey has anyone brought up that "THE" Steve Smith(not the wannabe on the Gaints)is on the trading block? ESPN insiders are reporting he could be had at a less cost than Randy...Skins maybe? ESPN insiders has four WR's that may be traded before the deadline, and that is Lee Evans, Vincent Jackson, Steve Smith, and Deion Branch. Deion is most lykly going back with the Pats. But Steve and Lee's price tag may not be that high...and we all know about VJ.

Posted by: roccoskins | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM | Report abuse

Must admit that I'm having a hard time understanding these statistical constructs, but intuitively I know that Clinton's production has fallen off -- and greatly -- in recent years.

What's more, he has often proven to be a disruptive and negative influence in the locker room, on the practvie field, on the sidelines, in the huddle, and out in the field of play -- and has only contributed 689 yards of offensive production to the Redskins over the past two seasons -- while working on guaranteed money contracts that gave him well in excess of $15 million for the same period.

That equates to something like $21,500 per yard.

And regardless of whether he is able to return from his injury and get back into playing shape, the time is long overdue for the Redskins to part company with this clown, his over-priced contract, and his under-performing ways.

Posted by: Vic1 | October 7, 2010 11:58 AM | Report abuse

Maybe we could get a post from Brooke Burke also?

Posted by: skinswest | October 7, 2010 12:00 PM | Report abuse

Hey has anyone brought up that "THE" Steve Smith(not the wannabe on the Gaints)is on the trading block? ESPN insiders are reporting he could be had at a less cost than Randy...Skins maybe? ESPN insiders has four WR's that may be traded before the deadline, and that is Lee Evans, Vincent Jackson, Steve Smith, and Deion Branch. Deion is most lykly going back with the Pats. But Steve and Lee's price tag may not be that high...and we all know about VJ.

Posted by: roccoskins | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM
------------------------------------------
No thanks. We already had one receiver that beat up on his teammates and that didn't work out too well.

Posted by: RedSkinHead | October 7, 2010 12:00 PM | Report abuse

I would lean towards bringing back LJ. He's a tough blocker who can stone LBs like CP can. He's typically a good north south runner(why he ran backwards 10 yds against hou is beyond me) and knows the offense. He won't be a liability with handling the football bc he's put up probowl numbers before with terrible olines in kc. He's the best bet at a solid 3rd down/blocking back we have.

Posted by: DGreen28BestEver | October 7, 2010 11:46 AM


Dude, have you ever seen NFL football? LJ is an epically AWFUL blocker and made a name for himself as a Redskin as the guy who ran -10 yards on a crucial drive late in the Texans game. And KC had a bad line? Are you serious? Six years ago when LJ was hot, the Chiefs had one of the BEST O-lines in the league. I mean, wow...

If LJ ever plays another down in the NFL (let alone as a Redskin) it'll be a crime against humanity...

Almost as big a crime as RI passing along offseason numbers-crunching as hard-hitting, in-season journalism...

Posted by: brownwood26 | October 7, 2010 12:01 PM | Report abuse

Another interesting stat: 99.9999999999 percent of all WP Redskin posts not written by LaVar Arrington are worthless. Note to Post publisher -- please hire sports writers who have a modicum of real football knowledge.

Posted by: BusterK | October 7, 2010 12:02 PM | Report abuse

Brian Burke = NERD!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: monk811 | October 7, 2010 12:02 PM | Report abuse

Hey has anyone brought up that "THE" Steve Smith(not the wannabe on the Gaints)is on the trading block? ESPN insiders are reporting he could be had at a less cost than Randy...Skins maybe? ESPN insiders has four WR's that may be traded before the deadline, and that is Lee Evans, Vincent Jackson, Steve Smith, and Deion Branch. Deion is most lykly going back with the Pats. But Steve and Lee's price tag may not be that high...and we all know about VJ.

Posted by: roccoskins | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM

If any can be had cheaply (i.e.,leave next years 1st and 2nd round picks out of it) I'd be for it.

Posted by: skinswest | October 7, 2010 12:06 PM | Report abuse

Hey has anyone brought up that "THE" Steve Smith(not the wannabe on the Gaints)is on the trading block? ESPN insiders are reporting he could be had at a less cost than Randy...Skins maybe? ESPN insiders has four WR's that may be traded before the deadline, and that is Lee Evans, Vincent Jackson, Steve Smith, and Deion Branch. Deion is most lykly going back with the Pats. But Steve and Lee's price tag may not be that high...and we all know about VJ.

Posted by: roccoskins | October 7, 2010 12:07 PM | Report abuse

You know what they say, things happen in three's. We've already heard from 2 NERDS today, who's the 3rd?

Posted by: monk811 | October 7, 2010 12:08 PM | Report abuse

Wow...stunned to hear Steve Smith is on the trading block, he's literally the ONLY receiver they have there. At least we have Moss and Cooley, they have NOTHING outside of Smith. They must be quitting on 2010 (and at the same time quitting on John Fox) if they're shopping their best offensive weapon...

I'm generally opposed to giving up picks at this point; VJ was one thing since he's still relatively young, but Smith is over 30 and has a history of being hurt quite a bit. For DT and Fred Davis, I'd make the move though...

Posted by: brownwood26 | October 7, 2010 12:08 PM | Report abuse

With Rally, Yankees Prevail Once Again

Ahhhh, yes.

It must be October again.

Ooooops!!!: wrong blog.

Posted by: MistaMoe | October 7, 2010 12:09 PM | Report abuse

Another interesting stat: 99.9999999999 percent of all WP Redskin posts not written by LaVar Arrington are worthless. Note to Post publisher -- please hire sports writers who have a modicum of real football knowledge.

Posted by: BusterK | October 7, 2010 12:02 PM


Yet still better than LaVar's 100% worthless rate...

Posted by: brownwood26 | October 7, 2010 12:11 PM | Report abuse

You know what they say, things happen in three's. We've already heard from 2 NERDS today, who's the 3rd?

Posted by: monk811 | October 7, 2010 12:08 PM

You know monk...three NERDS don't make a right.

Posted by: PlayAction | October 7, 2010 12:13 PM | Report abuse

You guys are shooting the messenger and missing the message. Burke is right, the level of impact is less than those first two years in Denver. But he was the best we had at that particular time, and he was far from bad. I actually give him a lot of respect for that '05 season, because he had to work A LOT harder for it. But don't dump on Burke, the numbers don't lie. They just may not form a complete picture.

Posted by: walkdwalk | October 7, 2010 12:15 PM | Report abuse

He set the Skins rushing record in 2005 but his most solid season was 2008?
Despite being injured for most of 2006, 2009 and 2010 - he has a good shot at breaking the skins all time rushing record... but he really has never panned out has he?

If you Flew as well as you "analyze" football, then thank god you retired. Your wingman must have been relieved.

Posted by: sott1 | October 7, 2010 12:15 PM | Report abuse

So far, the front runners to get moved to L.A. are Jacksonville, Carolina, and St. Louis. My bet is Jacksonville. They suck, hardly have any talent on either side of the ball, their coach was a better player and should have been fired 2 years ago, and nobody comes to their games to see them play. Los Angeles Jaguars, how does that sound?
There any jaguars in California?

Posted by: monk811 | October 7, 2010 12:17 PM | Report abuse

Another interesting stat: 99.9999999999 percent of all WP Redskin posts not written by LaVar Arrington are worthless. Note to Post publisher -- please hire sports writers who have a modicum of real football knowledge.

Posted by: BusterK | October 7, 2010 12:02 PM
------------------------------------------
As a regular poster on RI, I am very concerned that I may not have offered the kind of insight that you receive by the Godlike reporters for WaPo... not. If you don't like what we post then stop reading and go back to plucking dingleberries out of your butt fuzz.

Posted by: RedSkinHead | October 7, 2010 12:18 PM | Report abuse

The 2002 Broncos were 9-7 and missed the playoffs with Portis having his 'statistically' best season.

The 2005 Redskins were 10-6 and won a playoff game with Portis stuck in average land.

So right there that should tell you that the WPA is a crappy measuring stick.

A quick look at when he was healthy, though, and you will find a different story.

He started 16 games just 3 times for us, and we made the playoffs in 2 seasons, and the 3rd he was a top NFL rusher until Zorn decided that 5 yard outs with smurf receivers were the way to open up the offense.

Posted by: mattsoundworld | October 7, 2010 12:25 PM | Report abuse

This is so "intellectually" dishonest it's shameful. Just shows you how stats never tell the full story.

Posted by: learnedhand1 | October 7, 2010 12:26 PM | Report abuse

You know monk...three NERDS don't make a right.

Posted by: PlayAction | October 7, 2010 12:13 PM | Report abuse

You NERD Hater!!!
I don't hate, I just make fun of. Where's zcezcest1, our KING! Off with his head!!!

Posted by: monk811 | October 7, 2010 12:27 PM | Report abuse

Most of the comments about Portis are neither right nor wrong, just irrelevant. He has been a decent back, just not worth anything close to what he got paid or what the team gave up to get him.

I have criticized Shanahan a lot, but one thing he understands is that RBs are a dime a dozen. Put any halfway decent back behind a good line and they will produce. You should never draft a RB before the fourth round, and going with undrafted FAs is even better. Save the money for positions that add value.

Posted by: Iamhumongous | October 7, 2010 12:28 PM | Report abuse

"You guys are shooting the messenger and missing the message. Burke is right, the level of impact is less than those first two years in Denver."


Raise your hand if you knew the substence of Burke's argument about Portis' declinging production.

(INSERT image of about 1 million hands going up.)

Thought so.

Posted by: MistaMoe | October 7, 2010 12:28 PM | Report abuse

"Hey has anyone brought up that "THE" Steve Smith(not the wannabe on the Gaints)is on the trading block?"

Posted by: roccoskins | October 7, 2010 11:54 AM

Their respective production last season leaves room for doubt as to who the "real" Steve Smith is. If it was feasible (which it isn't), I'd rather have the knock-off Smith (Giants) at this point in their respective careers. Carolina Steve would be an improvement over what we have (with the possible exception of S. Moss), so if he could be had at a reasonable cost, I say do it.

Posted by: rufus_t_firefly | October 7, 2010 12:34 PM | Report abuse

This is so "intellectually" dishonest it's shameful. Just shows you how stats never tell the full story.

Posted by: learnedhand1 | October 7, 2010 12:26 PM | Report abuse

This is so true I don't even know where to begin. Let's just look at a few things first here.

#1 The NFC East defenses are and have been much better especially against the run than the AFC west has been.

#2 TDs and Yards are not the only impact Clinton has had here. Only using those 2 categories takes away from his skills as a pass blocker and the most important skill of his is running out the clock.

Posted by: PAskinsfan17 | October 7, 2010 12:49 PM | Report abuse

Yeah, not a good post, and the timing makes it piling on.

Where was this article before the beginning of the season? Lies, damned lies, and...

Posted by: WorstSeat | October 7, 2010 12:54 PM | Report abuse

Here's your stat, from today's Sports Bog:

"So Riggins's all -time yards-per-carry is 3.76, while Portis's is 4.09."

Now we ask, what impact has Brian Burke had on RI?

Posted by: WorstSeat | October 7, 2010 1:10 PM | Report abuse

I think its time for Portis to give it up.He is not producing, and is highly paid. Torain is doing a good job right now, so let's get rid of Portis, replace him with a back-up for Torain and move on. Most players today are in it for the money; look at Haynesworth. Crying like a baaby because Shanahan went to a good defensive set up. McNabb isn't too good either. Never understood that trade other than Andy Reid figured Vick is better. We have great young quarterbacks coming out of college and want the opportunity to play. Get one of them, train him and let him go. Let the older guys go.

Posted by: edeerfield | October 7, 2010 1:22 PM | Report abuse

One Hit And Down Portis...that's a fact,as are these numbers.
He's been a cancer on the team and has NOT been an effective back.

Posted by: petebowling1 | October 7, 2010 1:23 PM | Report abuse

Mr, Burk should go back to flying F/A-18s and like most Hornet pilots I'm sure he is his own best friend! I hope he was more knowledgable in a plane than he is at writing football related stories.

This story was a perfect example of someone deciding on a story they wanted to tell and then forcing stats to tell that story.

The old adage, "numbers don't lie!" is a half truth. Numbers by themselves don't lie, but plenty of people have used numbers to tell a lie and this is a perfect example of such an effort.

Posted by: tanlynch | October 7, 2010 1:25 PM | Report abuse

Clinton Portis was the v12 engine that we stuck in a 88 Dodge Daytona.

Posted by: Parlett316 | October 7, 2010 1:29 PM | Report abuse

I, for one, would like to applaud Mr. Burke for applying logic and reason to the evaluation process of Clinton Portis. He acknowledges that Portis' stats should be taken with a grain of salt due to Cerrato-level talent in DC and then goes on to explain well the significance of the stats. I always prefer this sort of analysis to the screaming (baseless) opinionators on ESPN. More Moneyball, less opinion.

Posted by: rucks35 | October 7, 2010 1:50 PM | Report abuse

The 2010 statistics to compare Portis and Torain are interesting: Torain has a higher Win Probability Added and Expected Points Added than Portis, while Portis has a higher Success rate (in fact, his highest Success rate as a Redskin). (To all the laymen on the forum who don't understand statistics: this means that Portis is more effective at moving the chains, and Torain is more effective in the redzone at scoring and helping the team win.)

As Redskins fans, we should be most concerned about having a consistent running game between the 20's with the loss of Portis, where Torain has not been as effective, and having good pass blocking, where Portis has always excelled.

Mr. Burk, ignore all the criticism, you are doing a fine job and offering a different and unbiased perspective to the game: solid statistics. Thank you for your service to our country and to RI.

Posted by: steveb2005 | October 7, 2010 1:56 PM | Report abuse

"if it takes 350 carries to accumulate 1,200 yards, that's going to hurt much more than help a team." Not if half the time they are running him is to eat up clock time. Its going to hurt him in terms of the milelage it puts on his body, but bold statements like the one i'm quoting are very misleading. Portis has given much to this team. Last year you saw he wasnt the same running back as when he first came here, and really since 07 its been rare to see him have a game like the one yesterday. Chalk it up to a bad line before partly, but honestly he's in the best shape he's been in in 5 years at least. Losing him is not a good thing. The new RB is doing well but thats at running alongside Portis. Sellers may fumble, and Larry Johnson obviously was past his prime. I look forward to Portis return and while Id like a speed running back as well, having a power back like Portis will only help for now.

Posted by: corrUPTkingpin07 | October 7, 2010 2:08 PM | Report abuse

The only WR on that list who i would want is VJAX. And yeah i get what the anti VJax mafia is saying... SD overvalues him (except when AJ Smith has to pay him anywhere near his value), but the guy is big. We need big, not another 5'10" guy.

Carolina Steve is aging quickly (this is the perfect time for Panthers to ship him) and as of today, he has a high ankle that he got in the Superdome last Sunday. Lee Evans is 5'10"... and for the asking price it would take to get him, no thanks, better to roll with what we got for now. Deion Branch?? Ditto. An upgrade, but not worth the price.

BTW, i'm loving SM89 taking it for the team. Opposition is paying all their attention to him.

On AA13 long catch and stumble, SM89 ran a deep in from the right slot that drew the Safety into the middle to cover. AA ran an up and gone and only the lone blade of grass kept him from the endzone. AA= Jacoby Jones.

Now, all we need is SOMEBODY to step the F up and relieve Grampa Galloway of his Kevin Walters' duties. Any chance DT can be hypnotized into not being a complete dumbazz?

Posted by: SkinsfaninKaneohe | October 7, 2010 2:09 PM | Report abuse

Hey Maverick.... go find Goose and do a rendition of "you've lost that..." never
mind.

Posted by: cowbell | October 7, 2010 2:15 PM | Report abuse

The 2010 statistics to compare Portis and Torain are interesting: Torain has a higher Win Probability Added and Expected Points Added than Portis, while Portis has a higher Success rate (in fact, his highest Success rate as a Redskin). (To all the laymen on the forum who don't understand statistics: this means that Portis is more effective at moving the chains, and Torain is more effective in the redzone at scoring and helping the team win.)

As Redskins fans, we should be most concerned about having a consistent running game between the 20's with the loss of Portis, where Torain has not been as effective, and having good pass blocking, where Portis has always excelled.

Mr. Burk, ignore all the criticism, you are doing a fine job and offering a different and unbiased perspective to the game: solid statistics. Thank you for your service to our country and to RI.

Posted by: steveb2005 | October 7, 2010 2:36 PM | Report abuse

He rambled on for 16 minutes that day, a steam of consciousness rant, as if the psychiatrist's couch. He said that his back ached, said all evil. Several times he referred to himself old, because he knows that in football terms, it is that football is no country for old men, although in the real world 33 is very young. It was a strange explosion that day, full of fear and doubt and frustration, if different from the usual postgame pablum we receive a testimony of shots. Deion Branch
http://usspost.com/deion-branch-18825/

Posted by: susan166 | October 7, 2010 2:52 PM | Report abuse

This is so "intellectually" dishonest it's shameful. Just shows you how stats never tell the full story.

Posted by: learnedhand1 | October 7, 2010 12:26 PM

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics."
-- Mark Twain's Own Autobiography: The Chapters from the North American Review

Posted by: smokeybear2 | October 7, 2010 3:03 PM | Report abuse

Portis was forced by gibbs to run between the tackles.. he gained 20 plus pounds to do so.. of course the extra weigh would have slowed him down.. we used him the wrong way for many years.. all the pounding he took has shortened his

Posted by: dean4 | October 7, 2010 3:26 PM | Report abuse

There has always been something that I liked about Clinton and that he has cocos por huevos. Portis has been dealt a poor offensive line (as someone mentioned above) and I never remember him ever making note of that. I love Joe Gibbs but Clinton Portis isn't a John Riggins type of back but he was used that way when Gibbs returned.

Now he is in the system where he prospered the most and unfortunately he gets injured. I saw a couple of moves in the Dallas game that reminded me of the old Clinton. I thought he entered the pre- season a little banged up but sure enough he was ready to go come game day.

Seems like every year, somebody comes up with a paranoid conspiracy theory regarding what somebody's statistics mean and how they compare to other players without taking into account what they are working with. In this case, I am alluding to our offensive line which is no great shakes. This data is convoluted and seems like an effort on the part of the statistician ( I dare not call him a reporter or writer) to make it appear as he has taken into account all the variables in his little scheme. He obviously has not and presents his numbers as if they are dogma. They are really dog -s##t.

We are talking football here and not rocket science. I think Portis has been an extremely positive addition to the Skins and I am still glad we traded Bailey to get him.

Maybe I am wrong and his days are done. However , I hear multitudes of Wizards' fans saying how great it is to still have the services of Arenas whose value was never near what we paid for him when we resigned him and who has obviously lost any "explosion" that he may have had which was never that much to begun with.

If I am not mistaken , CP nearly beat Laron Landry in a 40 yard dash last year after getting all banged up the previous season. I don't think that he has lost his pop and he has the heart of a lion. Let Clinton recuperate fully and put him back on the field and see what we have. People don't seem fully aware that this is the system in which he produced the most.

We have had to pass to set up the run instead of the reverse for all of Portis' years here. Now with McNabb we can possibly become more balanced and Clinton will have a fighting chance. This remains to be seen.

If we had a better runner than CP then I would be all for switching gears and giving that other guy the ball. I certainly have not seen that guy yet.

Posted by: rickywarner49 | October 7, 2010 9:14 PM | Report abuse

What cracks me up is up is that clowns like this guy Burke, assume that their theories are too complicated for the average Joe to understand. I have a good grasp of statistics and this is all hogwash, he should get back in his Navy plane and fly to Iraq and leave sports alone.

Anybody knows a back with more and bigger holes will get more yards with all things being equal.


Burke's only mention of this is "He hasn't been blessed with a particularly reliable offensive line during his time in Washington, nor has he benefited from a strong passing game."

There is a big stat that one can't measure and Burke seems to add this as a sideline and proceeds with his malarkey.

He is the kind of guy who would have called Wilt a loser because he played against Celtic teams that had minimally 5 hall of famers on their roster and one year 8 HOFers - during his first 9 seasons in the NBA. By the way , Wilt still managed a title going through that Boston team on the way to the title.

Back to football and statistics , I have read one article by this guy Burke and he is 0 for 1.

Posted by: rickywarner49 | October 7, 2010 9:38 PM | Report abuse

this guy is a complete d-bag. Stats can be argued both ways for any athlete. so its obvious this d!ck hates portis and the skins so i say p!ss on his stat opinon.

Posted by: SkinEm1 | October 8, 2010 12:05 AM | Report abuse

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