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Ginny Brown-Waite retires, but her Florida seat looks out of reach for Democrats

Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (R-Fla.) has announced her retirement from Congress, encouraging Republicans to back a local sheriff as her replacement.

Does it create an opening for Democrats only 19 hours after the state's U.S. Senate race became a free-for-all? Not really.

The Obama-Biden ticket won only 43 percent of the vote in Brown-Waite's district in 2008; up from Sen. John Kerry's (D-Mass.) 41 percent in 2004, but down from Al Gore's 46 percent in 2000. And David Wasserman, who covers House races for the Cook Political Report, tells me the seat is not fertile territory for Democrats.

"It's unwinnable at this point," said Wasserman. "I think it's the second-most senior-heavy district behind Rep. Vern Buchanan's (R-Fla.) -- it's the Villages, it's where Glenn Beck goes to do his rallies."

Expect Cook to keep the race rated "Solid Republican."

By David Weigel  |  April 30, 2010; 12:54 PM ET
Categories:  2010 Election  
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