Kevin Drum says Obama has already called the Daniels truce.
I've started to get more and more e-mail about the stories I post here; below, some questions and their answers.
The article, by Lisa Miller, is so insightful and sympathetic to conservatives that I can picture Newsbusters bloggers banging their heads against a wall, unable to find bits to disagree with.
During the transition, liberal web sites mocked Angle for pulling down an issues page. That page is back up, with the original text, including Angle's unpopular suggestion to open Yucca Mountain to nuclear waste and "invite scientists to do research and development in a secure test site environment as well as mentoring students who would come to UNR and UNLV to study under these great minds."
Republicans who backed TARP mostly avoided challenges in Virginia and other states, but you're looking at an average of around 40% opposition in primaries against these incumbents.
I think everyone's a winner here -- Daniels gets a (probably expected) moment of McCain-like straight talk endearing him to the less-than-socially-conservative press corps, while Huckabee gets to attack what is basically a non-existent threat.
The issue isn't whether Palin helped the candidates. She did -- there are few Republicans who could have hurt candidates by endorsing in the primaries, as Republicans like their potential 2012 nominees. The issue that was obscured by the silly "Palin racks up wins" narrative is that Palin is so popular among Republicans that fans of two conservatives who lose, Bob Vander Plaats in Iowa and Chuck DeVore, believe that Palin could have made them contenders by giving them her endorsement. She didn't, choosing instead to endorse one candidate, Iowa's Terry Branstad, who had an overwhelming lead, and two candidates, South Carolina's Nikki Haley and California's Carly Fiorina, who were in the last stretches of their campaigns and going up on the air against opponents who were running out of money.
What if Rand Paul gave an interview and nobody noticed?
That's Coulter being Coulter... except, as Jim Geraghty points out, Simmons has actually picked up ground in polling since he left the race, and as McMahon has failed to cut into Democrat Richard Blumenthal's lead. After pointedly failing to endorse McMahon, Simmons is welcoming the attention.
The passage of health care reform soothed a lot of Democratic angst about Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley's botched Senate bid against Brown. But we're going to look back from November and see a number of Republicans who either won or drove the Democrats to the wire, having got into their races, basically, because Coakley didn't want to stand outside Fenway in the cold, shaking hands.
Hard to get more obvious than that -- Kurokawa, who worked at Cato with Cannon before joining the Winston Group, was making the sort of joke liberals (who see eye to eye with most Cato scholars on this issue) make at the expense of immigration obsessives. But Cannon, in re-tweeting her, clipped off "like, really?" while adding his own joke: "I hear they're very absorbent." You have to put on blinders to miss the fact that Cannon is joking about what he sees as craziness in Louisiana.
Ben Smith profiles blogger/scandal-monger Will Folks. Marc Ambinder sees business interests and Schwarzenegger behind California's Prop 14 win. Nick Gillespie shames Obama over the BP spill. Lisa De Pasquale talks to Fox News Channel's Greg Gutfeld. David Roberts minimizes the...
The Associated Press is reporting that Sen. Bob Bennett (R-Utah) will endorse businessman Tim Bridgewater, who defeated the three-term senator for the GOP nomination at April's party convention. This comes after fourth-place candidate Cherilyn Eagar backed Bridgewater, and as FreedomWorks blogger Tabitha Hale speculates that Bridgewater's hunt for establishment support will backfire.
I discussed many things with the Daily Caller's Moira Bagley on this week's episode of the Winston Group's "The Right Idea" podcast/show/entertainment spectacular. Here's the video.
One theory coming out of Republicans right now -- more a response to Clyburn than anything serious -- is that Democrats, for all their bluster, might have gotten Greene into the race to give defeated candidate Vic Rawl a boost. In South Carolina, if a candidate has no opponent, he is not listed on the ballot.
The "responsibility" Boehner was talking about was not taxpayer money cleaning up the spill. It was whatever reform and restructuring comes after the leak is stopped. As Boehenr put it this morning, "figure out what the hell went wrong, and then have the hearing and get the damn law fixed!"
You know, Corey, there are a lot of folks who will look at what happened with regard to that Hawaiian birth certificate and say, you know what, why isn’t all the truth coming out, or why are things being hidden?
Is there actually a case somewhere of a Democrat making fun of Fiorina's hair? This is minor, minor stuff, but one of the ways Republicans have ginned up opposition to Boxer is by painting her as rude and entitled -- they made much hay last year out of an incident where she beseeched a military witness to call her "senator" instead of "ma'am." So, odd to see Boxer come out of the gate with so little respect for Boxer.
Yes, it's slightly disturbing that even 26% of a party's electorate would vote for Taitz. And it will continue to be news if elected Republicans jump on board with the birther quest, whether led by her or by someone else. But let's stop talking to her and stop indulging her.
"Candidates evolve," said Mackey, "and they tend to evolve toward us, not toward the libertarian streak that Guinta came in with. And when that happens, that tells us we won't just have a good vote. We'll have an advocate."
American "anti-Jihad" blogs are celebrating the news, led by Pamela Geller of Atlas Shrugs, who calls it "a roadblock on the road to Eurabia."
The new Quinnipiac poll out of Florida has Rick Scott, the multimillionaire who seeded the anti-health care bill group Conservatives for Patients Rights, surging in the GOP primary for governor and leading all-but-certain Democratic nominee Alex Sink. After spending $11 million of his own money on ads, Scott leads Attorney General Bill McCollum by 13 points, 44-31, in the party primary. In the general election, Scott leads Sink 42-32, cruising in every part of Florida except the Miami area. He holds Sink to the support of only 69% of Democrats, which is really something when you consider that he's behind ads like this:
Newt Gingrich has the headline of the day.
This phenomenon isn't actually too widespread, but I think the fact that it's happening in two districts so close to Washington has colored the coverage of the "third party" tea party threat.
I asked where Democrats could take this argument, exactly, if Angle and Paul simply closed off access to the national media. "Well, we're happy to engage them because they're out of the mainstream," he said. "Nevada is not an isolated incident. In Florida the establishment candidate was forced out of the party, in Kentucky the Republicans nominate a candidate who questions the Civil Rights Act. They forced out the moderate candidate in Connecticut. Even where they get the candidate they supposedly want in California, in Carly Fiorina, she's had to run far to the right to win over the party. Republicans are in the very unique position of having to support the candidates they didn't want."
Not long after that, the South Carolina Democratic Party discovered that Greene was facing felony charges over having allegedly shown obscene material to a college student. Carol Fowler, the party chairman, has talked to Greene and asked him to quit the race. As of right now DSCC has not responded or signed on to the South Carolina party's request.
Only that! Nothing else -- certainly not Fiorina owning the airwaves while Campbell, running low on cash, went dark.
I'm off to discuss whether tea parties represent "the future of politics" at the American Enterprise Institute, alongside pollster Kristen Soltis, New York Times columnist Ross Douthat, and "Liberal Fascism" author Jonah Goldberg.
I'm hearing the same from other Republicans. The Reid assault on Angle was telegraphed weeks ago -- Rand Paul primed the pump for reporters to look for "crazy" candidates, so if she avoids brand new gaffes this week, they're not sweating it.
Biographer explains why Limbaugh booked Elton John to play his wedding: Rush doesn't get exercised about gay issues.
Rep. John Culberson (R-Tex.) writes an open letter to President Obama which indicates -- accidentally or not -- why Republicans prefer to raise questions about the administration's response to the disaster in the gulf than to re-open the debate on offshore drilling. The Interior Department's moratorium on deepwater drilling, writes Culberson, is "based more on emotion than fact."
It's also irritating to Republicans who, generally, like Palin but believe that the media uses her as a cudgel against their party.
Still, there was a less colorful defeat for believers in that conspiracy over in South Dakota. Chris Nelson, the GOP secretary of state, had speculated that Obama's citizenship might be a scam. He watched a huge early advantage crumble and lost handily to first-time candidate Kristi Noem.
Message: Republicans are ready to celebrate their newest star.
Despite plenty of hype over the past 24 hours, early California returns have Orly Taitz losing badly in the GOP primary for California Secretary of State. Votes are being counted quickly in voter-right Los Angeles and San Diego County, where she's losing by a 3-1 margin -- just about the margin in the rest of the state.
If Thurmond wins the other run-off spot, where does the GOP establishment's support go? And in the wake of Nikki Haley's surge over a group of candidates with more establishment support, does that even matter? The story of Strom Thurmond's son facing off against a man who could be the first black Republican member of Congress from the South since Reconstruction is just too good to keep national conservatives from looking hard at backing Scott.
And so Democrats face Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.), one of the political leaders of the tea party movement, with a wholly unserious candidate.
Chris Cillizza judges this as bad news for tea partyers. That's fair -- months and months of attacks on Rigell and Hurt led to a result you could have predicted nine months ago.
California -- Few House races in the Golden State have attracted any attention. That's too bad. In the 11th district, Elizabeth Emken -- who strongly implied to voters that she had Sarah Palin's endorsement (she doesn't) -- faces off against David Harmer, who put up a strong fight last year in a special election for the 10th district. In the 19th district, former Rep. Richard Pombo (R-Ca.) is trying to make a comeback -- he used to represent the nearby, less Republican, 11th district. In the 37th district, held (securely) by Rep. Laura Richardson (D-Ca.), black conservative pundit Star Parker is unopposed for a GOP nomination. In the 45th district, Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R-Ca.) -- who voted for TARP and the House's version of cap-and-trade -- is battling a tea party activist displeased by all of that, Clayton Thibedeau.
I'm struck with the sense that Daniels is a perfect tea party representative -- unconcerned with the details of foreign policy while broadly supportive of Republican ideas, bored by social issues, and very annoyed with the way Republicans tried to wedge Medicare cuts against the Democrats during the health care debate. Klein:
Stein should be ashamed of himself.
You couldn't imagine a TV series more fitting for a Paul appearance. At the same time, you couldn't imagine one where Paul would be more inclined to wax philosophical about libertarian ideas.
The quick take -- this is an impossible election to predict. Taitz could win in a squeaker. She could lose by 90 points. We don't know, which is why California Republicans will spend the next eight hours idly wishing they'd raised Damon Dunn's profile a bit and made Taitz a non-factor.
A possible Taitz victory would work like this. Republican voters, brought out in sizable numbers by the contested primaries for governor and U.S. senator, fill out the rest of their ballot with progressively less information about their candidates. They know Taitz's name from... somewhere. And she's listed first on the ballot, thanks to the state's randomized ranking system. (Some of these voters, of course, will know and avidly support her.) She's identified on the ballot as an attorney, while Dunn is a real estate agent. They check off her name, and she wins.
This district, home to plenty of activist Republicans but far too many Democrats to make it a real race is often, mystifyingly, a hotbed of negative campaigning. In 2008, Ron Paul support Amit Singh ran a strong and well-funded campaign before being felled by misleading direct mail attacks on his libertarian stances and criticism of the Iraq War.
Via HotAir, which also grabbed this video from IowaRepublican of Branstad learning of the endorsement and then, chuckling, declining to immediately endorse Palin.
On Thursday, the American Action Forum is going back to the well with an event titled "America Not Greece: What the Greek Debt Crisis Means for American Policy Makers." The big draw is Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) who in his final year in Congress has become an ever-louder voice for deficit reduction, but I see slightly more ideological diversity here than on the GOP's panel -- I don't expect liberal economist Dean Baker to tow a line here.
I don't think this is really a sign of anti-incumbent anger ending -- the results on voter views of incumbents dispel that notion. Since the last poll, however, we have had two months of news about tea party-identified Republicans winning their primaries or leading in them, which has started to diminish the independent brand of the movement. We had, in Rand Paul, a candidate nationally identified as a "tea party" icon, who quickly identified himself and the movement with philosophical but politically toxic ruminations about whether America still needed anti-discrimination laws. I'll get the whole batch of results so you can take a closer look, but that's my first read on what's happening.
This is the point I was making yesterday -- Thomas had been making conservatives, especially pro-Israel conservatives, angry for years. A lot of the trouble went back to her 2000 resignation from the collapsing UPI and hiring by Hearst Newspapers. Thomas's seat in the front row came because she worked for UPI; out of generosity and respect, she was allowed to keep it even as she lobbed opinionated questions, often from the left on foreign policy. She spent eight of her years as a columnist irritating the Bush administration and supporters of Israel. That built up the reservoir of ill feeling that led, over the weekend, to an effort to oust Thomas. Fleischer's role in that campaign -- acting as countless conservatives would have wanted him to act -- should not come as a surprise.
Kasie Hunt reports on something I'd been asking around about -- how Republicans will cope if Orly Taitz wins a California primary tomorrow.
The 101-year-old Society of Professional Journalists may rename its Helen Thomas Award for Lifetime Achievement in the wake of that reporter's career-ending comments about Israel.
Foxman pointed out that the esteem for Thomas among reporters is so high that the Society of Professional Journalists gives out a lifetime achievement award named after her -- she received the first one in 2000.
Last year, the event ended with a brunch. This year it ends with a "March On The Treasury: We Want Our Money Back."
The report about Karen Diebel, candidate in Fla. GOP primary, is at RedState -- here's the part that's raising eyebrows, along with the volume of 911 calls.
I don't think any MSNBC documentary on conservatism would appeal to the subjects, but the network's preview of Hardball's "Rise of the New Right" promises to really get on their nerves.
Nesenoff tells Michael Calderone that he approached her on May 27 not because he -- like many, many conservatives -- had problems with her views on Israel. He talked to her because she was "an icon," and subsequently talked to Hearst Newspapers as the company decided whether or not to fire her. And since then he's been interviewed by Fox News and had a hit video on Drudge.
For a long time, supporters of Israel -- especially conservatives, who were annoyed at Thomas's liberal stances on other issues -- gritted their teeth and accepted Thomas. And during that time, many liberals embraced her for tossing questions that literally no one else in the press corps would have asked.
Other tea party figures said the movement should not get bogged down in fights over which federal programs to keep or slash, including weapons programs. They prefer to stay more general in opposing government spending and deficits.
This is an almost entirely one-sided story -- if anyone has leaped to defend Helen Thomas, it's escaped me. Many conservatives see Thomas as a representative of bias in the entire Washington press corps; that press corps considers Thomas a novelty, the Betty White or Alan Arkin of the political fourth estate.
That's a strategy Gingrich has more or less mastered -- some reporters still have the stubs of plane tickets they bought to cover the former speaker's 2007 "Solutions Day," where hints were dropped that he would run for president... and where, in front of many TV cameras, he announced that he wasn't running.
No longer. I don't know how her reputation survives this scandal. Conservatives who have attacked her credibility for years finally have the proof they need to end her special status.