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Posted at 9:37 AM ET, 12/31/2010

Final 2011 predictions

By Jennifer Rubin

As we head into the final hours of 2010, there are a couple more predictions for the coming year.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of American Action Forum and former economic adviser to John McCain has this sober take:

1. Continued steady recovery. GDP growth 2.5-3.0 percent.

2. Sustained high unemployment. Rises over 10 percent before falling to 9 percent by end of 2011.

And on the legal front, John Yoo, former Justice Department lawyer and now professor at Boalt Hall School of Law offers this regarding the Supreme Court's calendar:

For me, the two most important issues headed the Court's way might not reach it by the end of 2011, but get there they will: gay marriage and Obamacare. Liberals want the Court to strike down the results of the democratic process in the former; conservatives want judicial review in the latter. And with both cases, the Court will be evenly balanced between the four Democratic appointments (Ginsburg, Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan) and four Republican appointments (Scalia, Thomas, Roberts, and Alito), with the nation's fate in the hands of the ever fickle Anthony Kennedy. That the future of national policy should be up to one judge will only further politicize the Court -- and the Court has only itself to thank for willingly entering these debates.

By Jennifer Rubin  | December 31, 2010; 9:37 AM ET
Categories:  economy, law  
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Next: Recess appointments send mixed messages

Comments

You would think that after the abortion debacle, the justices would walk humbly when confronted with another contentious social issue that has no clear constitutional mandate. You would be wrong. Justice Kennedy in particular seems to crave the affection of the chattering classes. And so he will likely vote to impose his personal morality on the rest of us but I am sure he will dress it up in all the appropriate gaseous legal rhetoric about justice, tolerance, bigotry, blah, blah, blah. And so, like in abortion, the Nation will not be allowed to work out the gay marriage issue in the messy laboratory of democracy but will have it imposed on us by our social betters.

Posted by: gord2 | December 31, 2010 10:58 AM | Report abuse

If John Yoo is the one guide to the law that you use, you really should not write at all.

Posted by: MarkThomason | December 31, 2010 12:00 PM | Report abuse


2. Sustained high unemployment. Rises over 10 percent before falling to 9 percent by end of 2011

http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/the-real-unemployment-rate-215_07022010

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&source=hp&biw=1004&bih=534&q=real+unemployment+rate&aq=0&aqi=g10&aql=&oq=Real+Unemployment+Rate&gs_rfai=

Posted by: rcaruth | December 31, 2010 12:41 PM | Report abuse


1. Continued steady recovery. GDP growth 2.5-3.0 percent.

http://www.shadowstats.com/

Posted by: rcaruth | December 31, 2010 12:45 PM | Report abuse

Is Holtz-Eakin the same genius who advised McCain that the fundamentals of the economy were sound just before the catastrophe of '08? I get the strong sense that uber conservatives are hoping and praying for a continuation of national misery just to deny Obama a second term. Keep your fingers crossed, boys, maybe unemployment will rise again.

Posted by: Southernwriter | December 31, 2010 12:59 PM | Report abuse

Interesting that Professor Yoo doesn't even consider the possibility that the court might consider constitutional or legal questions. It will just be a straight party-line vote. I thought conservatives were going to bring some judicial restraint to the court.

Posted by: stevedwight | December 31, 2010 1:26 PM | Report abuse

The King of the Tea Party,Ron Paul,are we forgetting to discuss his role in 2011?

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/255968/who-ron-paul-interview

Posted by: rcaruth | December 31, 2010 1:59 PM | Report abuse

I think Ted Olsen would deny Yoo's claim that it is "liberals" who want to strike down the results of Prop. 8.

Olsen presents a clear conservative argument for the same result.

Sorry if that destroys your talking point.

Posted by: Amminadab | December 31, 2010 3:16 PM | Report abuse

Jennifer is posting the informal predictions of a couple of people. As with anybody else's predictions, they will reflect the predictors' personal views.

Some of the harsh criticism in the ensuing comments (above) seems to imply that either Jennifer or Professor Yoo (or both) are in a position to influence what the Supremes will or will not do. That line of reasoning is puzzling.

Posted by: HenriLeGrand | December 31, 2010 5:12 PM | Report abuse

I think Rubin is deliberately driving leftists mad by waving their hate objects in front of them, like red flags. There are studies that have shown that Leftists start to foam at the mouth at the very mention of John Yoo, who has somehow escaped court-martial and execution on some thought-crime or another he is guilty of.

Posted by: adam62 | December 31, 2010 5:16 PM | Report abuse

adam62:

I agree with you. I think it would especially ironic if Yoo was the one who was chosen to read the Constitution aloud at the beginning of the 112th Congress. It would undoubtedly be his first time!

Posted by: 54465446 | December 31, 2010 9:48 PM | Report abuse

Adam62 does a disservice to John Yoo by implying that Professor Yoo is not persuaded by the principles of the constitution as interpreted by the courts. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

Posted by: ajbarton | December 31, 2010 10:11 PM | Report abuse

My apology to Adam62 for my comment above, which should have been directed to 54465446.

Posted by: ajbarton | December 31, 2010 10:16 PM | Report abuse

ajbarton wrote:

" . . . does a disservice to John Yoo by implying that Professor Yoo is not persuaded by the principles of the constitution as interpreted by the courts.

Except that virtually all of Yoo's work for the Bush administration has since been repudiated by the courts or even by the Bush administration itself when his memos became public. He will spend the rest of his life writing pathetic op-ed pieces trying to justify his work.

Posted by: 54465446 | January 1, 2011 12:55 AM | Report abuse

There have been studies that show leftists start to foam at the mouth at the mention of John Yoo. Is there any video of that? Sounds interesting.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | January 1, 2011 9:37 PM | Report abuse

In reading through the comments, I missed a beautiful quote. Thanks for finding it, Jennifer:

"Liberals want the Court to strike down the results of the democratic process in the former; conservatives want judicial review in the latter."

To wit, when it's review of legislation that conservatives like, it's striking down the results of the democratic process. When it's something that conservatives like, it's judicial review.

H Y P O C R I T E

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | January 1, 2011 9:40 PM | Report abuse

Until the preferential tax treatment of capital gains (now 15% compared to the top 36% income tax)is ended (and lowering the top income tax to 15% doesn't count) there will be no jobs recovery.
Bush tax cuts have accelerated the gutting of America's markets (I mean the markets in which the real needs for goods and services are met). Small businesses like stores, construction, restaurants, trades, etc don't stay in business unless people have jobs and money with which to pay for their needs. Bigger corporate profits fueled by cutting jobs and income for Americans shrinks markets and our economy. We are living in the Ownership society which exists solely to serve (you guessed it)owners and no one else. They own and earn income on investments that create jobs in Communist China.

Posted by: tigman_2 | January 2, 2011 10:47 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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