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Posted at 8:45 AM ET, 12/28/2010

What will 2011 bring?

By Jennifer Rubin

I'll share some prognostications this week for 2011. The first comes from House Majority Leader (as of January) Eric Cantor, who replied via e-mail from his holiday travels:

a) GOP blocks unionization by regulation b) All trade bills on table pass c) GOP House rejects State and local requests for bailouts d) Oil price hikes spur passage of common-sense energy policy

Super Bowl winner: Falcons

His first item is a timely reminder that although the Obama administration may try to govern by executive fiat and agency regulations, ultimately Congress can have the last say. Watch for that not only on "card check," to which Cantor refers, but also the EPA efforts to regulate carbon dioxide.

Keep an eye out for more predictions this week.

By Jennifer Rubin  | December 28, 2010; 8:45 AM ET
Categories:  House GOP  
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Next: Voters really don't like ObamaCare -- still

Comments

I'm very disappointed repealing Obamacare was not his top prediction.

Posted by: cajunkate | December 28, 2010 9:09 AM | Report abuse

What is a common sense energy policy? Also, as you saw last night, the Falcons have no shot whatsoever!

Posted by: 54465446 | December 28, 2010 9:22 AM | Report abuse

They can't repeal Obamacare. They can strap it for funds, though. And they CAN pass repeal bills that fail in the Senate, which they should do several times. Make 'moderate Democrats' in the Senate have to stake out a position on Obamacare repeal. Make em squirm.

Posted by: jmpickett | December 28, 2010 9:36 AM | Report abuse

I predict that Jennifer will continue her policy of avoiding all articles and literature concerning Economics. Her current sources,Fox News&her buddies at Commentary are definitive.

Posted by: rcaruth | December 28, 2010 10:33 AM | Report abuse

Obama will want to pivot to the economy, but it will be overtaken by events. 2011 will be all about the crisis at state and local governments.

The state and local government problem will come to a head when the stimulus funds run out, and if the municipal bond market grinds to a halt, watch out.

The crisis will mean cuts in governmental payroll, which hits directly at AFSCME, who will obviously scream bloody murder.

Republicans should relish a fight between AFSCME and the taxpayers.

I expect liberal defenders of the big state will be as exhausted and demoralized as defenders of the free market were in 2008.

Posted by: sold2u | December 28, 2010 10:47 AM | Report abuse

So a Rassmussin majority, i.e., respondents to slanted poll questions, want to repeal Obama care? What would one expect considering Fox News' jihad against medical care for all and the other networks, excepting MSNBC, reporting only he said/she said commentary about such plans.

Republicans are desperate to screw up any program that provides medical care for all without bankrupting hard working people not employed by large corporations. They are all for spending $trillions on defense, ".....provide for the common defense...." but not the ".....promote the general welfare...." charges in the Constitution. Republicans know that once a national health care program is established and people see the benefits and the removal of threats to their economic survival such a program provides, they will become as relevant as the Whigs.

Why does Ms. Rubin never discuss the polls of other countries with national health care, i.e., all other industrialized countries, which ask if given the choice would they choose U.S. style health care or their badly run national health care programs? Perhaps because well over 90% chose their national health care and that a change to a U.S. style system would result in a rebellion.

P.S. Eric Cantor is a joke put into his leadership position so that Republicans could get at more New York money.

Posted by: Lazarus40 | December 28, 2010 10:57 AM | Report abuse

sold:

C'mon, you know the Fed is going to prop up the market in munis, and may already be doing so.

Posted by: 54465446 | December 28, 2010 11:09 AM | Report abuse

More Progress in Afghanistan
Max Boot - 12.28.2010 - 10:34 AM

I predict that Max and his ilk will continue braying about progress in Astan even as the last US trooper flys home. We will also hear how our democracy in Iraq just temporarily will need a "strongman" to hold it together until the fragments coalesce.

Posted by: rcaruth | December 28, 2010 11:17 AM | Report abuse

@numbers:

It will save the state / local governments only if the Fed buys their paper in the primary market or commits to buy it in the secondary market. That is much further afield from what they are doing already and will probably be a step too far even for Bernake.

The big question for now will be the language in the indentures for currently outstanding munis. If there are borrowing limits written in current indentures, then the governments will have to get waivers from current creditors and that will be tough.

Posted by: sold2u | December 28, 2010 11:19 AM | Report abuse

My predictions:(a) Republicans fail miserably in their attempt to repeal health care reform. (b) Tea Party newcomers try to shut down government rather than increase debt ceiling. (c) Spiraling fuel prices generate renewed interest in energy independence. (d) Boehner cries again.

Saints win the Superbowl. Did you see Drew Brees scramble last night?

Posted by: Southernwriter | December 28, 2010 11:30 AM | Report abuse

sold:

Are we talking large or small, rated or unrated? I think the Fed is already using straw purchasers, and has plans to go public when/if necessary. I can see small municipalities like Harrisburg etc. being allowed to go belly up as a warning shot to politicians.

Posted by: 54465446 | December 28, 2010 11:41 AM | Report abuse

@5446546: "What is a common sense energy policy?"

One that agrees with the opinions and prescriptions of the person advocating the "common sense" policy.

Common sense in complex policy issues most usually means "agreement with me". It would be better stated as: "An energy policy that my constituents mostly support and that I, personally, approve of."

Posted by: Kevin_Willis | December 28, 2010 11:43 AM | Report abuse

BTW, I heard on the most recent Ricochet podcast that Jennifer Rubin ignores the comments (or almost entirely ignores the comments) on this blog. I wonder if this is true.

Is this true, Jennifer? Do you never read the comments? Are you sure that's the best strategy for a blog, if true?

Or were you just showing out for Rob Long, as I suspect?

Posted by: Kevin_Willis | December 28, 2010 11:46 AM | Report abuse

Kevin_Willis

Here's the way Jennifer operates. She is paid a bonus on the # of comments she generates,WAPO's decision to put here in their system is marketing,they are hoping she will attract new customers (I'm not sure that's a good bet.)But JR has no interest in the Comments whatsoever.
I comment here becauseI like to interact with many other interesting types ,but all Jennifer does,is throw the first ball in,they really don't need her at all,we all could have just as good a time without her stupid opinions.

Posted by: rcaruth | December 28, 2010 11:56 AM | Report abuse

kevin:

Always good to see you drop by.

Speaking of energy, you know that I consider high speed rail second only to biofuels as a boondoggle. Now, even Berkeley is getting into the act!:

"Proponents have vowed the train, once operational, will be profitable. That would be a first for mass transit in California. "We expect well over 40 million passenger to ride a year," says the Rail Authority's Tom Umberg.

However, a study this summer by UC Berkeley's Institute of Transportation Studies calls ridership forecasts "not reliable...it is not possible to predict whether the proposed high-speed rail system in California will experience healthy profits or severe revenue shortfalls."

I can predict!


Posted by: 54465446 | December 28, 2010 12:10 PM | Report abuse

@numbers.

the one thing that has me thinking that the muni problem may not be too big is that Bill Gross has been buying PIMCO muni closed-end funds. If anyone is going to have an inside scoop into how this will all play out, it is him.

Of course, the funds may have traded at such a discount to NAV that he decided to pick some up and plans to be gone before the fit hits the shan.

Posted by: sold2u | December 28, 2010 12:12 PM | Report abuse

"What is a common sense energy policy?" (54465446)

Let's see. How about starting with the recognition that the Global Warming (a.k.a., "climate change") craze and its "spinoffs" like "green technology options" are scientific, technological, political and financial scams? A common sense policy would then recognize that we still need our traditional energy sources, and will work hard and smart on exploiting them to with the least amount of damage to peple and our environment. Unless, of course, we actually decide to fling our civilization back to the Bronze Age (or worse, Jimmy Carter's sweater days), and embrace poverty, wars, famine, diseases and tyranny as our "natural" lot.

Posted by: p_kovachev | December 28, 2010 12:58 PM | Report abuse

Anyone who would describe global warming as a "craze" should not be allowed anywhere near a computer.

Posted by: Southernwriter | December 28, 2010 2:07 PM | Report abuse

"Anyone who would describe global warming as a "craze" should not be allowed anywhere near a computer." (Southernwriter)

My regrets, "craze" is indeed too pedestrian a term. Would the terms "messianism," "obsessive compulsion," "pyramid scheme," "21st century's first huge pseudoscientific scam" or "sheer and utter idiocy" work better? Pick one.

I guess not being "allowed to go near a computer" is a step up from being equated with Holocaust deniers and threatened with trials for crimes against humanity. See, the push-back is working!

Posted by: p_kovachev | December 28, 2010 3:19 PM | Report abuse

Like the panicky pod people in "Bodysnatchers" encountering an untransformed human, many AGW proponents go into high-pitched screeching (and name-calling a la Tourette's) if their theory is questioned. This way of defending a theory, dear Southernwriter, gives AGW the reputation of a "craze." Table-pounding demands to halt further inquiry into AGW tend to confirm that panic over AGW is another fraudulent crisis of the left, creating opportunities for control-freaks to push people around and punish the class enemy.

Posted by: kelpius | December 28, 2010 3:37 PM | Report abuse

It's a historic day today in the History of Atrocities. I'm surprised JR didn't beat me to the punch.
Today in History, today is Tuesday, Dec. 28, 2010
Red Bluff Daily News
In 1973, Alexander Solzhenitsyn published ""Gulag Archipelago,'' an expose (eks-poh-SAY') of the Soviet prison system.
http://www.redbluffdailynews.com/news/ci_16957766
I use Google Alerts to remind me about really important matters as opposed to the bickering than goes on here.

Posted by: rcaruth | December 28, 2010 4:09 PM | Report abuse

P.S. Eric Cantor is a joke put into his leadership position so that Republicans could get at more New York money.

Posted by: Lazarus40

___________________________________
Hmm. Nothing I can put my finger on, of course, but since Eric Cantor isn't from New York and has no obvious connection with that state (though I imagine it's the city that's relevant here), something gives me the nagging feeling that "New York" is a disguised reference to something else. Can anyone help me out with clarifying this vague impression of mine? Of course I suspect that the disguising of the allusion will have been done out of a mixture of hatred and cowardice, but that's only a suspicion and I'll withhold judgment until it's made clear what, if anything, is really meant by "New York" here.

Posted by: Jeroboam | December 28, 2010 5:12 PM | Report abuse

"Hmm. Nothing I can put my finger on, of course....only a suspicion and I'll withhold judgment until it's made clear what, if anything, is really meant by 'New York' here." (Jeroboam)

Lazarus' "New York money"? Naah, that's crazy, Jeroboam; antisemitism doesn't exist anymore. I'm sure that's just a reference to untapped potential donations from ACORN.

Posted by: p_kovachev | December 28, 2010 8:34 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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