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Posted at 9:15 AM ET, 01/19/2011

ObamaCare repeal vote

By Jennifer Rubin

The Republican effort to repeal ObamaCare begins in earnest today. House leadership aides tell me that only a handful of Democrats are likely to vote for H.R. 2, the bill to repeal ObamaCare. Some optimists are putting the number of Democratic defectors between five and ten. But the wind does appear to be at the Republicans' backs.

In a statement Tuesday night, President Obama said:

So I'm willing and eager to work with both Democrats and Republicans to improve the Affordable Care Act. But we can't go backward. Americans deserve the freedom and security of knowing that insurance companies can't deny, cap or drop their coverage when they need it the most, while taking meaningful steps to curb runaway healthcare costs."

Now, why would he be offering to "fix" his "historic legislation"? A GOP House leadership advisor says: "I think it is a bow to the reality of the unpopularity of the law, without actually proposing any real or substantive fixes." Other senior House Republican advisors were even more emphatic, saying the bill is fundamentally flawed and isn't fixable.

A Quinnipiac poll finds the public more supportive than not about outright repeal:

The key to the public support for repealing the new health care law is among independent voters who want it taken off the books 54 - 37 percent. Republicans agree 83 - 12 percent, while Democrats support the health care reform 76 - 16 percent. Men want it repealed 53 - 40 percent, while women are split with 46 percent in favor of health care reform and 44 percent for repeal. White voters support repeal 56 - 37 percent, while black voters say let the law stand 75 - 15 percent and Hispanics want to keep the law 51 - 28 percent.

"The Republicans pushing repeal of the health care law have more American people on their side. They may not have the votes in the Senate, but they have many on Main Street," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "While President Obama's poll rating has improved in recent weeks, the coalition against his health care plan remains and is quite similar to the one that existed when his numbers were at their nadir."

Looking at adult voters, CNN's survey shows that 50 percent favor repeal and 42 percent oppose it.

When we look at likely voters, rather than all Americans, the numbers are even more troubling for ObamaCare supporters. Rasmussen reports that 55 percent of likely voters favor repeal, while 40 percent oppose repeal.

When Democrats rammed through ObamaCare on party-line votes, they assured themselves that the public would learn to love it and, in any case, that they were making history. But in a democracy, the governing class can't survive by pushing policies that the majority dislikes. Hence, we had the November 2010 wipeout. Will Democrats who defy popular opinion (especially in red states) face a similar comeuppance in 2012? Stay tuned, but, this time around, the White House and congressional Democrats are plainly nervous.

By Jennifer Rubin  | January 19, 2011; 9:15 AM ET
Categories:  Obamacare  
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Comments

Your column and all the others in the Post, point out what was a huge flaw in Obama's thinking. He has been forever linked by name to a piece of legislation that he did relatively little to craft.

He was too inexperienced at the time to realize that if your're the one going to do the time, you may as well be the one to commit the crime, so to speak. Hard to say whether his active involvement from the beginning would have made for a better bill, or no bill at all, but suffice to say he blew it on closely supervising work that was the biggest part of his legacy.

Posted by: johnmarshall5446 | January 19, 2011 10:41 AM | Report abuse

New Obama Health Care law effective Jan.1,2011-----My sister-in law had brain surgery on Wednesday Jan.12th,3 aneurysms,large open window in the back of her head,closed with staples.Discharged on Saturday Jan 16th!!!from Mass General (told before surgery 7-10 days in the hospital)--Services for VNA declined until approved by HER Primary Physician--even though M.D. covering OK-ed referral ASAP on Saturday Night. VNA could not go in until PRIMARY physician approved it. He was not working Monday,MLK day---so had to wait until yesterday!!! Disgusting. This is just the beginning of what we DON'T know is in the bill!!! If this happenned to someone in the Administration,Senate or House THESE rules don't apply---Repeal and start over!!!!!

Posted by: blackirishblonde | January 19, 2011 11:59 AM | Report abuse

For the umpteenth time, the bill is too big, with too much pork, and was passed
in an unprecedented partisan manner. It will cost jobs, cause an enormous attrition of physicians, and will not save money but
will actually cost much more over time than what we have now. Oh yea, it will dumb-down the quality of medical care most of us enjoy now. Oh yea,
it's also unconstitutional. Any questions?

Posted by: pgreer1 | January 19, 2011 12:22 PM | Report abuse

This hated, unworkable bill will be repealed in two years when we have a Republican president and Republican Congress. It will be the biggest issue in the next election, as it was two months ago.

Posted by: eoniii | January 19, 2011 3:13 PM | Report abuse

So, looks like sometimes Obamacare, and sometimes Obamadon'tcare.

I say kill Obamacare. Oh, wait -- does that sound racist?

Not anymore it doesn't.

Funny how the "god" became the world's smallest man. It would be hilarious if it weren't for the coddling of despots, the Obamadon'tcaring about human rights, the enabling of global abortion (on his first night as president), and the destruction of the US economy and looting of the Treasury. What a great second black president!

But by all means, as La Pelosi suggested, let's find out what's in it! They say 90 percent of health is good hygiene. Well, sunlight is the best disinfectant. Do libs agree?

Bomb that sucker back into the O-Age.

Posted by: johnnyramone | January 19, 2011 3:41 PM | Report abuse

WOW, Jen posted this article this morning and here it is late in the afternoon, yet still not one of the Liberals that flock around WaPo ventures to say one thing to defend the greatest achievement of the Progressive agenda in almost two generations and the culmination of Lord-only-knows how many man-years of Liberal machinations and skulduggery.

Are they now going to let the greatest government funded abortion evah simply twist in the wind?

Posted by: nvjma | January 19, 2011 5:08 PM | Report abuse

10 years of taxes for 7 year of benefits, to game the CBO scoring.
And hundreds of organizations getting waivers... I just want to be fair and let everybody have a waiver.

Posted by: TominColorado | January 19, 2011 5:51 PM | Report abuse

Kindly tell me what taking over student loans have to do with health care.

Kindly tell me what requiring a 1099 for every purchase has to do with health care.

Lenn Harley

Posted by: lenn1 | January 19, 2011 6:55 PM | Report abuse

Rework some parts. Don't throw out.

Posted by: lidiworks1 | January 20, 2011 4:32 AM | Report abuse

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