The RNC chairman's race goes down to the wire
The RNC will cast votes this week for its chairman. Long-time Republican strategist Mike Murphy thinks there is "about a 60% chance that [Reince] Priebus will take it, followed by a 35% chance for [Saul] Anuzis and a 10% chance for a [Maria] Cino upset." He thinks there is no chance Michael Steele will prevail, and the good news, Murphy says, is that "Priebus, Anuzis and Cino would each make an excellent chair; we'll find out next week which of them has best mastered the art of inside wheeling and dealing in a tricky multiple ballot election."
My own take is that Annuzis actually has the inside track. Steele can't win. Priebus hasn't built up enough momentum.
Priebus, Steele's former general counsel, is unlikely to prevail on the first ballot since he currently is far short of a majority. Following the debate, there was widespread agreement among insiders that Priebus hadn't put the race away. If anything, all the Steele opponents came across as fully capable of handling the job. There has been some momentum for Priebus since that debate, but he only has 38 committed votes. That's not all that good for the prohibitive frontrunner.
In the second round, the Steele supporters who are out for vengence against Priebus (who they see as a traitor and betrayer of Steele), could tip the race to the strongest Priebus opponent. My bet is on the committee shifting to Annuzis in the second or third round, giving the party a new, noncontroversial and competent chairmen.
But I heartily second Murphy's take -- the only disastrous choice here is Steele.
Posted by: Howard17 | January 11, 2011 4:45 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: eoniii | January 11, 2011 5:50 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: j3hess | January 11, 2011 7:00 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: eoniii | January 11, 2011 7:22 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: Jaded2 | January 11, 2011 8:18 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: noneckmd | January 12, 2011 2:57 PM | Report abuse