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Lottery Lowdown

As we reported here the other day, Israel Sesay, a 16-year-old forward from Sierra Leone has has spent the past six-plus years in the Washington area and in the U.S. u-17 residency program, has indeed signed with MLS and will be allocated through a weighted lottery Friday at 2:30 p.m. The winning club will announce the acquisition shortly after the lottery takes place.

Using a special formula that improves the chances of the league's weaker teams over the past year of winning the lottery, here are the percentages:

RSL 22.5% chance of winning
L.A. 18.8
Colorado 15.4
Chicago 12.4
Kansas City 9.7
New York 7.4
Chivas 5.4
D.C. 3.7
Dallas 2.3
Houston 1.3
New England 0.7
(Columbus, which won the Robbie Rogers lottery in the spring, and expansion Toronto will not participate)

A word of caution: Sesay is not going to jump into a club's starting lineup. In fact, he might not even play in a league match this year. But for a team looking to develop a long-term prospect, this could be a nice pick-up.

By Steve Goff  |  August 23, 2007; 3:40 PM ET
Categories:  MLS  
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