Does Campaign Season Have to Go On Forever?
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Dear Stumped,
I'm annoyed with the duration of the presidential campaign. It seems to have started immediately after the November 2006 election. Even more annoying is the fact that Iowa and New Hampshire have (and have had) disproportionate influence on the selection of the parties' nominees. A system of four or five regional primaries would seem preferable to a system where two atypical states effectively make or break candidacies. But how do we get from where we are to some such solution?
-- John S. Batson
Dear John,
If nothing else, you do have to wonder what kind of a wreck the next leader of the free world is going to be on Inauguration Day, after what he or she has gone through to get the job. I don't think John Edwards has taken a day's break since he began running for president in 2003; maybe he'll just keep going, with an eye toward 2012. Iowans should take mercy on him and elect him mayor of Des Moines or something.
I was amused to read the other day that Karl Rove shares your annoyance at the length of the campaigns and the dysfunctional nature of the primary system. The hack has gone statesman on us. In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, he endorsed longstanding proposals to schedule a series of rotating primaries (in the sense that your state's place in line changes each election year) throughout the winter and spring.
The problem is that both parties have failed to institute sensible reforms to a process everyone knows is dysfunctional. Each state is yearning to be relevant. And so their primaries creep earlier and earlier, which forces the candidates to start campaigning earlier. As Rove mentioned in his piece, Bill Clinton didn't even announce he was running for president until Oct. 3, 1991, and most of America didn't know who he was then. By that point in this election cycle, we'd had close to two dozen debates, and most of the candidates were practically living in Iowa already.
The unintended consequence of all the frontloading this year has been to further increase the influence of Iowa and New Hampshire. Rudy Giuliani, God bless him, seems to be deviating from the conventional wisdom in thinking you don't necessarily have to do well in those two states and that you can focus on some of those later states that are actually, well, populated. Whatever you think of the prospect of a Giuliani presidency, it'd be healthy for the system for someone to get away with snubbing Iowa and New Hampshire. But I'm not betting on that happening anytime soon.
Let's think bigger here, though: Why not just abolish states altogether and hold a national primary? How about it?
You think this is coming out of the blue? Hardly. I've spent a good deal of my adult life having to deal with sovereign bureaucrats in Texas, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, California and (this Boxing Day) D.C., getting new papers every time I move across a state line. This most recent move was from California to the District, and Bank of America, despite its name and apparent ubiquity, is insisting that I close my old checking account and open a new one, because apparently bank accounts in California and D.C. aren't quite the same. It's been years since Congress supposedly embraced interstate banking. The Union won the Civil War, last time I checked (though I see Ron Paul is now taking on Abe Lincoln!). What gives?
So let's not just do away with Iowa and New Hampshire, let's do away with all states, I say, and have federal DMV commissars assigned to each of the 50 federal zones!
(Note to my editors: The next Stumped will not be about installing new cable service. Promise.)
Dear Stumped:
What evidence do you have that anyone on the right of the political spectrum yearns for an end to partisanship on grounds other than total surrender to their position? The only ones yearning for this are complacent "moderates" who have nothing at stake on Medicare, Social Security, the economy, the environment, who are content to have others to the dirty work in Iraq and Afghanistan, and who see no particular threat in the religious-fundamentalist approach to education and quest for truth. Once we asked, "Where were the good Germans?" The question for the Bush era is: "Where are the good Americans?" Answer: mindlessly yearning for an end to partisanship.
-- Dehud
Dear Dehud,
I have no such evidence. You are right that George Bush, a president lacking any mandate and who ran in 2000 as a uniter who could play well with others, governed from the far right and mistakenly saw any compromise as a sign of weakness.
That said, I take issue with your insinuation that moderates are by nature uncaring and complacent. Contempt for the center is in vogue on both extremes of the political spectrum, especially in the blogosphere, to a point where many people assume that any sign of political moderation is inherently insincere, or purely tactical. Exhibit A is the liberal Democratic critique of Bill Clinton's presidency -- that it was all about opportunistic triangulation and succumbing to what the left of the party then deemed Republican priorities (welfare reform, for instance, or prioritizing a balanced budget).
This is a narcissistic view: Clinton didn't do what I wanted him to do, therefore something nefarious was at play. No, Clinton happens to have been a centrist Democrat who remained socially liberal but wasn't reflexively anti-business or reflexively opposed to the use of force overseas. He really did believe in reforming the welfare system, and being tough on crime, and free trade; it wasn't all some tactical gambit.
It's hard for extremists in either party to accept, but a great deal of the country is somewhere in the middle, and it's not because of expediency or for lack of patriotism, and it doesn't mean moderates have less of a stake in the fate of Medicare, the economy or the environment, as you bizarrely put it. It's the self-righteousness on both ends of the political spectrum -- you're either for us on everything, or you're against us -- that is self-destructive.
Isn't that the lesson of the Bush presidency?
By Andres Martinez |
December 28, 2007; 12:00 AM ET
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Posted by: The Angry One | January 2, 2008 4:19 PM
I am so tired to throwing money at everything to fix it. Our Money has become an idol of worship. Families have terrible expenses, with raising children and educating them to fend for themselves. We are throwing billions to education; do we see any improvement, no. We pay people hundreds of millions to dribble a round ball seventy-five feet and shoot at a basket and they only make the shot count 28% of the time. The owners do not pay the professionals we do. It costs over five hundred dollars for a family of four to attend a college football game.
It is claptrap my Grandfathers farmed with Mules, sold cream and eggs to buy staples and raised productive children. If we quit throwing money at politicians, we would not have to have term limits. They need to show taxpayers what they can do for their money instead of being like a spoiled child asking for bigger allowances. Politicians are a perfect reflection of the Paris Hilton disorder. The government wants 39% of your wages, the preacher wants 10%, and the School, State, and City wants 26% we are expected to save for retirement and live on the remaining 25%.
Posted by: Billgl.s | December 28, 2007 3:12 PM
Hmmm, what's up with the "what's up with Ron Paul and Abe Lincoln"? I need to google what sounds too interesting not to know what it is. I only know, re Bush and the price of oil, that oil states like Texas and Oklahoma - where most of his big donors live - are booming economically, while the rest of us pay for it.
Posted by: jhbyer | December 28, 2007 4:41 AM
Sorry, last line below should read... IN THEORY...the true protector of our liberties is the federal government.
Posted by: jhbyer | December 28, 2007 4:09 AM
The best part of getting rid of states is there'd be no more states' rights, a euphemism for their right to be unAmerican. Unfortunately, state's rights are in the GOP platform. Republicans imagine they protect us from the federal government, never mind the true protector of our liberties is the federal government.
Posted by: jhbyer | December 28, 2007 3:49 AM
"Partisanship" like "political correctness" is a legitimate put-down prone to being used falsely, as when Bush calls Congressional Democrats partisan merely for opposing him. What's worrisome is some pundits have allowed him to redefine the word to cover legitimate division. By definition, to be partisan is to contrive differences. Thus Bush is being partisan when he pretends only Republicans have sincere positions. The push to pretend there are no real party differences is an unwittingly totalitarian tactic. Division has always been a necessary prelude to social revolutions that have bettered America.
Posted by: jhbyer | December 28, 2007 2:50 AM
Uhm.
Why did Tim Russert even ask Ron Paul about Abe Lincoln? It really is not clear to me how a US civil war (over 150 years ago!!) relates to anything happening in the world today. Is it possible that it was just a simple diversion from the real questions that Russert should have asked? I for one would like Russert to have asked Ron Paul: What is the role of Congress and the President in the economic disaster looming for 2008? What is the proper role of the government in overseeing the Federal Reserve? Why are both the Fed and the government spending money and creating money as if there were no tomorrow? Why is Bush doubling the size of the oil reserve AND trying to fill it at $90 per barrell? What does Bush know about the future price of oil? Ron Paul has some good ideas about the economy and how to fix things. Scary times and Russert wants to hear about Abe Lincoln. Goodness gracious! What are Russert and his meet the Press staff smoking nowadays?
Posted by: DenisL | December 28, 2007 1:14 AM
This whole left vs. right discussion has become unendurably tiresome.
Posted by: Tom Carter | December 28, 2007 1:04 AM
A national or small set of regional primaries would mean the voters would effectively have a choice only among the anointed candidates of the political machines. Grass roots candidates need not apply.
Though outsiders might achieve ballot status, the voters would ignore even those that exactly represent their own political views in favor of the least-unpleasant candidate they consider electable. (Mathematical Psychologists call this phenomenon "dishonest voting". It wreaks havoc when modeling elections.)
You can see how this works now, notably with the candidacy of Ron Paul. There are only a handfull of primaries and caucuses before the massive "Super Tuesday" elections where an outsider can prove his mettle and popularity before the mass election that gives a near-certain lock on the nomination.
With a single national primary the operators of the media can maintain an untestable impression that the outsider candidates are unelectable, right up to the point were all the voters must decide what vote to cast. The prophecy becomes self-fulfilling. With a series of individual primaries this image rams head-on into actual vote counts. An outsider with real support can demonstrate that support, exposing any bias in the coverage and convincing a progressively larger fraction of the voters that his cause is not lost, before enough delegates are chosen that it BECOMES lost.
= = =
Regarding Ron Paul's comments on Lincoln and "What's up with that?": He was asked a direct question - one which relates directly to his proposed policies on when to go to war and how else to solve problems that have historically led to war. Had he ducked it he'd have been subject to (deserved) criticism for doing so.
What would YOU have had him do? Is there ANYTHING he could have said that would have satisfied you?
Posted by: Michael McClary | December 28, 2007 12:42 AM
What I'd like to know is, if conservatives are put out with Bush for being a big spender and soft on illegal immigration, why are they flocking to Huckabee, who has the exact same shortcomings?
Posted by: Lex | December 28, 2007 12:20 AM
I'd like to know, given the huge amount of conservative dissatisfaction, when, if ever, Bush is going to supposedly govern from the "Far Right," which would take major changes from his first 7 years.
Posted by: John D. Froelich | December 28, 2007 12:15 AM
No, that isn't the lesson of the Bush Administration. The lesson is that the Republicans will never compromise on anything, and that if they once get the upper hand, as they did in the years 2000-2005, there is no dirty trick, no unfair tactic, and no illegal rigging that they will not stoop to to get their way. Oh, and they lie. That's the other lesson of the Bush Administration. Republicans will lie even when they know for sure that the public will find out they were lying in a month or so, just for the temporary political advantage they will get from it. Not just Bushies, but Republican leaders in Congress, Party officials, media allies, and Supreme Court Justices will do anything to enable the Republican agenda, which is both profoundly selfish and fundamentally ignorant.
The lesson is that the choices are to let them have their way, or to fight against them using every and all weapons available in order to stop them from destroying the Constitution in order to exalt the corporate class above any other value.
Posted by: Querent | December 27, 2007 9:17 PM
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Bush very simply has not governed from the far right with any consistency.
No Child Left Behind was coauthored by the very unrighty Ted Kennedy.
Under Bush, government spending grew even slightly faster than under Clinton. He campaigned as a "compassionate conservative," which of course means lots of wasteful (non-DoD) bureaucratic spending, which is an olive branch to the far left.
He also has been less of a military interventionist than he campaigned. He was asked in a 2000 debate what he'd do if North Korea developed nuclear weapons, and said "I'd take 'em out." In office, he did no such thing, opting for the pointless multilateral negotiations that the left loves. The story with Iran is similar.
He campaigned in opposition to nation building, which the left historically has loved, and ended up doing it. This of course was a compromise, that the left reflexively rejects because they just don't want to believe the implementation of one of their policy goals could be so unseemly.
Steel tarriffs, farm subsidies, possible AMT reform, the list of lefty olive branches Bush held out goes on.