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Predicting Maryland's Record

When I appeared on "Washington Post Live" yesterday to talk about the Maryland football team, I basically said that if the defensive line, offensive line and place kicker are adequate, Maryland go to a bowl game. If it isn't, then the Terrapins could be home for the holidays.

I’m wondering what everyone thinks the best-case record is for this team, and what’s the worst-case record. If you checked Sports Illustrated’s college football preview, it had the Terrapins going 2-6 in the ACC and 5-7 overall. While that is certainly possible, to me, that’s the worst-case scenario.

I understand that there is really not a sure victory on the schedule. I don’t think any of the games is a lock for the Terrapins. The Duke game will be a trap down there, a dangerous contest. Al Groh is coaching for his career at Virginia this season, and the Cavaliers blasted the Terrapins last season. Boston College, while rebuilding this season, beat Maryland last season, and it remains to be seen what is on the line for either team during that regular season finale. Middle Tennessee was one of the nation’s youngest teams last season; now Maryland is. And James Madison has had all summer to prepare for Maryland, while the Terrapins will need to shake off the residue of the California game in a few days to get ready for that one.

On that note, what does everyone think the best-case and worst-case scenarios are for the Terrapins?

BEST CASE: 7-5 (5-3)
WORST CASE: 5-7 (3-5)

Now, what do I think will happen: 7-5 (4-4).

By Eric Prisbell  |  August 25, 2009; 11:21 AM ET
Categories:  Football  
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Comments

The last option only adds up to 11 games. I'll go completely off the chart and vote for 8-4 (I'm very optimistic). Go Terps!!

Posted by: TerpGrad | August 25, 2009 12:23 PM | Report abuse

Final record will be mostly determined by injuries along the offensive line and injuries to Chris Turner. They are relatively deep everywhere else. If the O-line and Turner stay healthy, the Terps could go 8-4. 5-7 if the O-line and Turner are injured early and often.

Posted by: larry31 | August 25, 2009 12:30 PM | Report abuse

So SI thinks we'll win only 2 conference games, but will still beat either Cal or Rutgers?

I'm with Larry31...8-4.

Posted by: ICBomber | August 25, 2009 12:32 PM | Report abuse

i was looking for the 8-4 option but chose 7-5 as i think its more realistic than 9-3...

beat cal baby!!!

Posted by: deadskin | August 25, 2009 12:58 PM | Report abuse

Here is a fact. This team has MORE talent than any in the Friedgen era.

Who did the Terps lose from last year that can't be replaced? Darius Haywood-Bey may have been the 7th selection in the draft, but his college career was average. He had difficulty creating separation from defenders.

This group of recievers is the deepest in recent Terp history. They have a great attitude, are fast and sure handed. They are also playing with a quaterback who isn't looking over his shoulder for the first time in three years.

The defense is going to surprise a lot of people. Coach Brown will make them way more aggressive that Coach Cosh ever did. They will atack and blitz almost EVERY down.

We now have arguably three or four very good running backs. Scott, Meggett, Green, Dougals and true freshman Porzel are all talented and fast.

The line is a question mark, but they can't play any worse than the group from last year.

I hear Coach Friedgen talk, many years he is very much questioning the talent in front of him. He is excited about this team. So am I.

If things go well, they could be playing in the ACC championship game.

Posted by: jimbo561 | August 25, 2009 1:10 PM | Report abuse

The benefit of talent at skill positions is greatly diminished when you have a lack of talent on the lines. I think they can go 7-5, but think 6-6 is more likely. They will have 3 or 4 games where they get destroyed because of the lack of line talent. They'll lose at least one game to someone they shouldn't because, well, they always do it seems.

Posted by: kingrob76 | August 25, 2009 1:41 PM | Report abuse

Sure, its never likely but...14-0 + a NC until proven otherwise. Proven, senior QB + proven running game. Kicking game will need to deliver. But until proven otherwise, UNDEFEATED - unfortunately, our in-conference-easy-win-bunch of patsies UNC (there ya go hclark) are not on the schedule this year for their annual beating from us. Oh well, powder puff blue does look good on their cheerleaders.

Posted by: HughGRection | August 25, 2009 1:48 PM | Report abuse

Barno -

what is our recent record vs. Chapel Hill Community College in football? My memory isn't that great when it comes to teams in the conference that never contend. I figured you'd know off-hand.

I usually don't get into it with the negative posters but hclark cracks me up with his vitriolic negativity and support for a consistently terrible team. My tar Heel buddy from work even refuses to discuss football - and HE WILL talk women's soccer. The really funny thing is he has been cutting and pasting the same message on the Wizards, Redskins and Nats boards (not that I READ the Nats boards being an Orioles fan).

Regards -

HGR

Posted by: HughGRection | August 25, 2009 1:54 PM | Report abuse

The season will start and end with cal.If we win very promising season if fridge does his job and keep them focused for the jmu and mts game. If we lose and get beat bad then i feel we could be in for a long season.Still beat jmu and mts but clemsonwake virgbecome toss ups duke we should winnc state will be a loss if wilson is playing and then fsu and tech demolish us bc will be toss up

Win at cal and we go 10-2 lose to cal and we go 5 and 7...

Say what ya want but 5-7 fat ralph waves goodbye and do not let the door hit ya in that fat can

10-2 he is a hero and has earned my respect!!

Posted by: carolina1 | August 25, 2009 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Barno -

what is our recent record vs. Chapel Hill Community College in football? My memory isn't that great when it comes to teams in the conference that never contend. I figured you'd know off-hand.

Posted by: HughGRection | August 25, 2009 1:54 PM

Md is 5-1 against UNC in the Fridge era.

We've outscored them 204 - 96 since 2001.

Posted by: Barno1 | August 25, 2009 4:05 PM | Report abuse

My prediction is we'll still be in the hunt for an ACC division title come November...and that's all I ask of this year's squad.

Posted by: Barno1 | August 25, 2009 4:14 PM | Report abuse

you guys realize we could very well be 7-5 but win the ACC this year? Hell, we could be 5-7 but win the acc...don't think that would go over too well with the BCS...

Posted by: Barno1 | August 25, 2009 4:15 PM | Report abuse

Barno -

Thanks for the answer vs. UNC. Looking forward to Carolina1 regaining respect for the Fridge. But in all seriousness, we need to pummel the Wahoos this year. A victory vs. Va Tech would be nice as well.

Regards -

-hgr

Posted by: HughGRection | August 25, 2009 5:39 PM | Report abuse

carolina, I think a loss to Cal does not mean they won't get to the 7-5 mark (or better). They'll beat the spread in that game by a solid margin I think.

Posted by: jake177 | August 25, 2009 5:42 PM | Report abuse

carolina, I think a loss to Cal does not mean they won't get to the 7-5 mark (or better). They'll beat the spread in that game by a solid margin I think.

Posted by: jake177 | August 25, 2009 5:42 PM

We may be better off in the long run losing to Cal. We respond well to losses early in the season (Just ask the squads from 02, 03, 06, 07, 08). No one expects us to win and it won't affect our ACC chances.

Posted by: Barno1 | August 25, 2009 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Prisbell is a moron. Does he watch the games?

This team can win 9 games if our o-line holds up.

Our defense will be like night and day from last year under Brown. We will actually blitz and play man coverage and mix stuff up...unlike loser Cosh. Teams can't prep for us anymore. Cosh was cover 2 and a blitz maybe on 3rd down...that was it.

We have our most seasoned QB coming back since Millanovich. Great depth at RB and especially receivers.

Just need the o-line to give time to Chris "Big Game" Turner.

Posted by: jdgreger@yahoo.com | August 25, 2009 10:12 PM | Report abuse

9-3. Will be in the ACC Championship game vs. Georgia Tech. I don't know why sportswriters are so lazy when it comes to college football preseason picks. They base their opinion on what a team did last year. The Terps have a 3 year vet at qb who understands the system, a stable of sick rb's, their best group of wr's ever. The season hinges on the O-line but our best two starters from last year are back. On D, we have a disgusting secondary with a two deep at safety. The back ups would start anywhere else in the ACC. At LB, you have Moten and Wujciak (two future pros) and Hartsfield, who many are picking as an All-ACC break out performer. The D-line is a question mark, however, with the amount of blitzes Don Brown will be calling, it is less of a concern then our previous Cosh defenses of sitting back and letting people punch you in the mouth. The preseason polls don't matter. Every year they pick the Terps to finish 5th in the division and we almost never do! Go Terps!

Posted by: aviscardo | August 26, 2009 9:57 AM | Report abuse

Md starts 8-0. Period.

After upsetting Cal, the Terps play the next 4 in a row and next 5 of 6 at home.

They could beat Va Tech depending on if they can stop their offense (and if their star RB is still out).

Posted by: ecglotfelty | August 26, 2009 10:07 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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