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Which bowl could land Maryland?

(This one is all Maryland, 27-7, at halftime. The Terrapins are on their way to becoming bowl eligible before Halloween, a significant accomplishment for this team. Maryland has blocked two punts and quarterback Danny O’Brien has thrown three touchdown passes. Wake Forest’s defense was as bad as advertised.)

Maryland is bowl eligible for the first time since 2008. It is obviously too early in the season to predict which bowl will land Maryland. But it is not too early to offer educated speculation on the three most likely scenarios for the Terrapins.

Orange Bowl, Jan. 3:
Maryland controls its own destiny in the ACC’s Atlantic Division. Should the Terrapins win the division and also the subsequent ACC championship game in Charlotte, then the Terrapins will head to the Orange Bowl in Miami Gardens, Fla.

Sun Bowl, Dec. 31: If Maryland wins the Atlantic Division but loses in the ACC championship game, then the furthest the Terrapins can fall in the bowl selection process is fourth. The Sun Bowl, which is played in El Paso, Texas, has the fourth pick. Chances are Maryland would drop to fourth because other contending teams – notably Florida State, North Carolina State and Miami --- possess a stronger brand name and/or bring a larger fan contingent.

Military Bowl, Dec. 29: The game at RFK Stadium has been the most likely destination for Maryland all season. It simply makes sense. And this would be a strong step in the right direction for a rebuilding program. The folks at the Military Bowl, formerly known as the EagleBank Bowl, certainly would not mind a hometown team in the game. How would it happen? The Military Bowl has the eighth selection among ACC teams. Assuming Maryland does not win the Atlantic Division and has won three to five conference games, chances are the Terrapins --- yes, it’s that brand name thing again --- fall all the way to the eighth slot IF there are eight bowl eligible teams from the ACC. There is an outside chance that the Music City Bowl in Nashville, Tenn., or the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, La., could nab Maryland a pick or two earlier, but don’t bet on it at this point.

By Eric Prisbell  | October 30, 2010; 3:37 PM ET
Categories:  Football  
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Comments

After today's game and seeing what the Terps can do when they aren't playing inconsistently, I believe the Orange Bowl is a possibility.

Posted by: SirPelleas | October 30, 2010 6:52 PM | Report abuse

I'm a Terp fan, but let's be realistic. You think the odds are better that they'll actually get to the Orange bowl, rather than the random chance at any of the ACC bowls #5-#7?

I'd say any of #4-#8 are almost equally likely (and #4 is still pretty optimistic). Sure, the Military Bowl would want them, but they get last pick. I could see the game in Shreveport choosing Maryland over UVA for the 7th spot. I'd even think the Meineke Bowl picking a Maryland team that's never played in Charlotte is a better bet than a BCS game.

Posted by: Chris737 | October 30, 2010 6:55 PM | Report abuse

With the contacts Fridge has with the Peach Bowl folks, you have to consider them strong contenders for that game.

Especially since they had scouts at the game today because nobody is looking at Wake Forest for a bowl game this year.

Posted by: CapsNut | October 30, 2010 6:59 PM | Report abuse

Mr. Prisbell....that opinion about the TERPS falling to the DC bowl is about as accurate as your preseason prediction for
the team.

Come on, did you see the fans (affluent fans by the way) that went to the Orange,
Peach, Gator and Champs Sport Bowls??

Posted by: jplyn527 | October 30, 2010 9:28 PM | Report abuse

NC State is certainly not a bigger brand name and does not have a history of bringing better crowds to bowl games. MD brought 30K to the orange, 20+ to the Peach and good crowds to the Gator and Champs. This year may be different because the program has lost some interests recently, but the Peach and Gator would certainly remember the crowds we brought. Also, Yow was masterful at ensuring strong crowds from MD to win bids.

Miami is obviously a brand name, but when they're not great, their fan base doesn't travel great either.

Posted by: minhle1 | October 31, 2010 12:08 AM | Report abuse

Also, keep in mind that the Peach skipped over Uva to pick the Terps and the Champs picked MD over Clemson (granted CU has played year prior), but CU travels well almost everywhere. Prisbell obviously doesn't know MD's travel history.

Posted by: minhle1 | October 31, 2010 12:13 AM | Report abuse

pribell---

you continue to show how little you actually know about college sports and sports in general. try sticking to simply writing objective articles and ditch your role on this blog. You dont even address facts

First - ZERO chance the Terps play in the Military Bowl for 3 reasons. 1) That bowl is during exams/graduation. One thing about Friedgen is he is understands the "student" part in all this and will not try to re-work 100 exam schedules 2) A bowl eligible Navy is automatically in that bowl game and while a rematch would seem intriguing for the bowl committee, rematches are not that common unless both schools have a chance to win recruiting wars by taking the game. 3) Since MD does not recruit against Navy, zero upside and only everything to lose. Not sure how much clout Friedgen has with Anderson yet, but surely Anderson recognizes the program only stands to lose in that situation.

Miami - yes, great brand name, but they probably travels less fans than anyone in the conference save for Duke. They barely traveled 10 years ago when they beat Nebraska for the National Title. Small alumni base compared to the state schools.

NC State - never travels well for football and has ZERO brand name. Sure, they have bigger wins than the Terps, but they are no stronger brand name than MD. Also, far less affluent alumni base.

From people who spoke with bowl committee reps, if we get to 7 wins, Terps are likely headed to Memphis. 8 wins and its a lock.

Posted by: jperkmd82 | October 31, 2010 10:27 AM | Report abuse

jperk: The Military Bowl is Dec 29th...ummm are you really saying that UMD has final exams 4 days after Christmas??? seems a little hard to believe

Posted by: TerpfanMA | October 31, 2010 12:17 PM | Report abuse

Oct. 16, 2010 - TERRAPIN INSIDER: How Many More Games Will Maryland Win This Season?
-----------------------

Is there a reason you didn't offer the choice of ZERO?

What a farce.

Posted by: petecard | October 17, 2010 11:20 AM | Report abuse

Posted by: Barno1 | October 31, 2010 12:28 PM | Report abuse

6-6 or 5-7 may be more realistic. At least we won't go 2-10 like last year, but that ain't sayin' much. It may be time to shake the tree at the end of the year.

Posted by: SirPelleas | October 17, 2010 12:10 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: Barno1 | October 31, 2010 12:29 PM | Report abuse

Jperk is also wrong about concerns over a Navy rematch. A bowl-eligible Navy would go to the Poinsettia Bowl this year, not the Military Bowl.

Posted by: evwill | October 31, 2010 12:39 PM | Report abuse

Sounds like jperk needs to take a closer look at the facts before posting an arrogant rant.

Posted by: Section505203 | October 31, 2010 1:13 PM | Report abuse

This knock by Prisbell that the Terps dopn't possess the "brand name" to be picked higher than 4th is simply absurd. The Terps have travelled well to bowls in the past (even the last one in Boise), and pull good numbers on the bowl TV ratings. To completely dismiss all of the other potential bowls in this post is just lazy. At least he could have listed all the bowls that have ACC ties, and ones that are potentially looking at the Terps.

Prisbell I guess forgot that representatives from the Chick fil A Bowl were at the game Saturday. Why would they be scouting the Terps in person if they had zero interest in selecting them.

Also, Prisbell forgets to note the bowl selection rules and that the Terps cannot be leapfrogged by a team the has two more losses than they do, meaning if they finish at 8-4, a 6-6 team cannot be selected ahead of the, which pretty much rules out the Military Bowl.

Posted by: Russtinator | November 1, 2010 12:00 PM | Report abuse

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