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Posted at 6:04 AM ET, 01/18/2011

Free throws (or lack of) a big factor for Terps

By Liz Clarke

While free-throw shooting alone rarely determines a game’s outcome, it’s easy to look back at Maryland’s six losses to date and wonder, ‘What if?’

If the Terps had converted a few more attempts from the free-throw line, they could have won five of those six contests and be 16-1 rather than 11-6. And if they had made ALL their foul shots Saturday against Villanova, they could have tied in regulation and forced overtime.

Here’s a recap of each Maryland loss, the margin of defeat, and the number of free throws the Terps left on the table:

Nov. 18: Pittsburgh, 79-70. Lost by 9. Missed 16 free throws (14 of 30).
Nov. 19: Illinois, 80-76, Lost by 4. Missed 5 free throws (13 of 18).
Dec. 5: Temple, 64-61. Lost by 3. Missed 7 free throws (10 of 17)
Dec. 12: Boston College, 79-75. Lost by 4. Missed 6 free throws (8 of 14.)
Jan. 9: Duke, 71-64. Lost by 7. Missed 8 free throws (9 of 17).
Jan. 15: Villanova, 74-66. Lost by 8. Missed 8 free throws (10 of 18).

It’s no secret that 6-10 sophomore center Jordan Williams has struggled in particular. And his struggles tend to become the team’s, in effect, because Williams, as the Terps’ most dominant player, typically draws the most fouls.

Still, it’s tough to wag a finger at Williams, who has single-handedly kept Maryland in numerous games this season. He was a one-man wrecking crew in the first half against Villanova, storming to his 11th consecutive double-double with more than 16 minutes remaining the game. (He finished with a game-high 25 points and 14 rebounds).

Coach Gary Williams has studied the young center’s technique on the line and is struck by the consistency of his form and its lack of any glaring hitch.

“The shot looks OK,” Coach Williams said Monday. “I watch it a lot.”

So rather than tweak the center’s shot, Coach Williams thinks the key to improvement is getting him more comfortable with what seems like a simple process: Walking to the free-throw line and completing a shot that’s entirely in his control.

“He plays at such a high rate, the environment [of playing at full tempo] doesn’t affect you at all,” Williams says. “All the sudden [when it’s time to shoot a free throw], everything stops. He walks to the line. It’s a different situation for him. He’s got to get to where he can handle that situation. He’s working at it. Hopefully the last half of the ACC season, he’ll do a great job from the line.”

Jordan Williams is shooting 51.6 percent from the free-throw line (66 of 128) this season. The Terps as a whole are shooting 62.8 percent (251 of 400). Williams has taken 32 percent of the team’s foul shots.

By Liz Clarke  | January 18, 2011; 6:04 AM ET
Categories:  Gary Williams, Men's basketball  | Tags:  Gary Williams, Jordan Wiliams, Maryland basketball, free-throw shooting  
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Next: Williams muses about changes wrought by the 3-point shot

Comments

Bring in a sport psychologist to help them focus on the mental aspect of the shot...pro golfers have done it for decades

Posted by: TerpfanMA | January 18, 2011 8:54 AM | Report abuse

Trite analysis. If I'm not mistaken, the other teams in those games missed several FTs,too. What if they'd hit all of their FTs? Pitt missed 11 FTs, ILL missed 9, Temple missed 6, BC missed 4, Dook missed 8, and Villanova missed 5.

Your whole premise is bogus. Write a better story, maybe about the Terps' lack of a legit 2nd scoring option or the lack of 3 point shooting? Those are the real problems not FT shooting.

Posted by: WheelsRI | January 18, 2011 8:56 AM | Report abuse

Yes, the Terps lack a consistent second scoring option and a three-point threat. But a focus on the free-throw problem is not a bogus premise. It's a genuine problem. In each of the contests cited by Clarke, better foul shooting would have markedly changed how the Terps played the final minutes. In several cases, they would have played on the front foot, not the back foot. I'll renew the call I made weeks ago for Gary to bring in a free-throw consultant.

Posted by: runningcloud | January 18, 2011 9:23 AM | Report abuse

In regards to a second option, I believe that will have to wait until next year when (hopefully) Faust can provide that for us. It's clear that there is no one on this team that can fill that second scorer role consistently right now. Stoglin needs to stop shooting. He has the second worst FG% (ahead of only Hawk) and is a horrendous 5-29 in his last 3 games. A freshman chucker is not what this team needs at this time.

And Wheels, I was thinking the same thing regarding our opponents FT's.

Posted by: fushezzi | January 18, 2011 9:32 AM | Report abuse

There's only so much time for a coach to run drills and prep for a game. Shooting should be taken seriously after hours. Just yesterday during the Mizzou K-State game a broadcaster said few players are willing to take the hours and hours of dedication to improving their shots the way Phil Pressey does. Asked how many shots a day it takes to be reliable from the outside he said 500-1000 everyday. He went to add that most future stars spend their time on what it takes to get on the highlights. Be that as it may it is a waste of time to continually rerun stories on the what ifs this year. Yes the boys lost close games to legitimate power houses. But one story in ESPN said it was not a shocker that they were leading by 12. They are highly regarded. I think while all teams will improve through February and into March the Terps have the chance to improve the most and win these close ones. Their d is almost always good. But simple things I've noticed they've already improved on is Jordan has controlled his bad fouls which bench him. Now if some of the rest can eliminate some bad plays, take a few more shots after practice, at least 200 free throws a day, work on strength and agility and learn to maintain composure they can win a lot of games. But I agree they need a pg who can drive and at least draw fouls and then make them, and a dependable outside shooter. Meanwhile Dino and Mosley are excellent from inside the arc. Open the game a bit but don't lose sight of the big under the board. Tucker has great skills from 3. This team has a lot of speed but needs to improve on ball handling up and down the court. Howard is smooth. A Pearl. The potential is there.

Posted by: KraftPaper | January 18, 2011 10:03 AM | Report abuse

I think the only two games FT shooting has caused the Terps to lose so far this season are the Pitt and BC games. The shooting in the Pitt game was simply attrocious, and they missed at least 3 or 4 front ends that I can remember. Just making 65-70% in that game would have put one in the win column. The FT misses in the BC game came at inopportune times, which allowed BC to get back into the game late in the second half with all of those 3's.

The other 4 games, FT shooting certainly was a factor, but I don't think hitting at a 70+% clip would have changed the outcomes. What the real question is, what happens when the Terps have a close leas down the stretch and have to win a game at the FT line. That senario has yet to play out this season, and I think at least 2-3 games will come down to that.

As bad as his percentage has been, I don't think JW is the problem. He is very rarely put on the line for a 1 and 1, so him hitting at a 50% clip does not usually result in empty trips. He's typically getting fouled going to the basket, so he gets 2 shots or is getting an "and 1." The problem is with other players missing front-ends. Tucker missed 2 front ends against 'Nova, and I think Dino missed a front end. Those misses are what really kill the Terps. Plus the front-end misses negate the ability to set up the press, which let 'Nova to maintain momentum during their 19-0 run.

It seems the shooting on this team appears to snowball. If the first few go in, they typically have a pretty good night, but if those first few are misses (like in the North Florida game where JW missed his first 10), it just goes downhill from there. The guys are feeding so much off of each other that when one guy misses a couple in a row, everyone on the team tightens up and it becomes contagious. I think all of the guys need to take a little more time at the line to catch their breath. You're given 10 seconds to compose yourself once you get the ball, and rarely do the Terps take more than 5 before shooting.

It's certainly a problem Gary's never had to deal with before. He's had a few guys here and there that have trouble at the line, but there have always been 2-3 guys on the floor at all times that can step up and hit their FTs. This team seems to be snakebit at times, and no one can hit a shot. It may be one of those problems the team just has to shoot their way through, and fans will always be on the edge of their seat at the end of a close game.

Posted by: Russtinator | January 18, 2011 10:22 AM | Report abuse

The converse is that excellent FT shooting teams tend to win a lot of games. This team is nowhere near excellent, and should make a goal of competence.

Any predictions for the VT game? I predict the Terps win big - 15+ points with MP seeing a minute or two in mop-up time.

I recall the 2000-2001 team seeming absolutely snakebit and they made a decent run.

This time last year, we were arguing about the value of GV to the team and whether we would make the dance. I probably was stating a lack of faith in his ability to deliver. Right now, today, I miss GV.

Regards -

-hgr

Posted by: HughGRection | January 18, 2011 10:29 AM | Report abuse

The converse is that excellent FT shooting teams tend to win a lot of games. This team is nowhere near excellent, and should make a goal of competence.

Any predictions for the VT game? I predict the Terps win big - 15+ points with MP seeing a minute or two in mop-up time.

I recall the 2000-2001 team seeming absolutely snakebit and they made a decent run.

This time last year, we were arguing about the value of GV to the team and whether we would make the dance. I probably was stating a lack of faith in his ability to deliver. Right now, today, I miss GV.

Regards -

-hgr

Posted by: HughGRection | January 18, 2011 10:30 AM | Report abuse

testudo times reporting that Kenny Tate will return. THAT WOULD BE HUGE.

11 wins next season.

Regards -

-hgr

Posted by: HughGRection | January 18, 2011 10:54 AM | Report abuse

Go ahead and blast Liz, but we all know that FT shooting is a problem and it was good to see all of the individual game numbers in one place. She certainly wasn't suggesting that we need to make ALL of our FT's and that's why we lost all those games. But let's not just look at the FT misses and the point differential as the answer. One, two or three more made FT's in those games make them closer and create a positive mental factor for the Terps and eliminate a positive factor for the opponent. Plus, the opponent has to inbound the ball, eliminating a transition situation. Everyone who follows this team knows that our shooting, mostly from behind the arc and from the FT line, is what is killing us. It's just killing us. So lay off of Liz or we are not going to get the posts we all want to have on this board.

Posted by: petecard | January 18, 2011 11:19 AM | Report abuse

FTs have killed us in several games, but not really fair to include Illinois as one of those games. We'd have to have gone 18 for 18 to win by 1.

I'm just as concerned with Tucker hitting only 70% as I am with Jordan hitting 52%. Cliff has way too sweet a stroke for him to only be hitting 70%. If he want to earn a good living in Europe one day, he's got to improve the little things like FT shooting. I like Cliff game, but he hasn't shown very much year to year improvement in his 3 1/2 years here--and that's pretty rare for a Gary player.

Posted by: Barno1 | January 18, 2011 12:58 PM | Report abuse

FTs have killed us in several games, but not really fair to include Illinois as one of those games. We'd have to have gone 18 for 18 to win by 1.

I'm just as concerned with Tucker hitting only 70% as I am with Jordan hitting 52%. Cliff has way too sweet a stroke for him to only be hitting 70%. If he want to earn a good living in Europe one day, he's got to improve the little things like FT shooting. I like Cliff game, but he hasn't shown very much year to year improvement in his 3 1/2 years here--and that's pretty rare for a Gary player.

Posted by: Barno1 | January 18, 2011 12:58 PM | Report abuse

I think assuming anything greater than 75% is ridiculous. Even the best FT shooting teams in the country don't shoot much north of 75%. If the Terps shot 75% in all of the losses, they would have tied Pitt and Temple, but still would have lost the other 4. I think you also need to look at the number of front-ends that the Terps missed, and the number of completely empty possessions they had because of missed free throws. Those might as well count as turnovers.

Here are the "empty trips" caused by missed free throws:

'Nova--none in the 1st half
Adrian Bowie missed front end at 5:05 (already down 59-62)

Duke--none in the 1st half
Jordan Williams missed 2 at 16:30 (38-32 Terps)
Dino Greggory missed 2 at 11:01 (46-44 Duke)
Cliff Tucker missed front end at 10:10 (46-46)
JW missed front end at 2:45 (65-60 Duke), but got the offensive rebound

BC--none in the 1st half
CT missed 2 at 1:47 (75-73 Terps)
Stoglin missed front end at 1:03 (75-75)

Temple--Pe'Shon Howard missed front end at 3:46 1H (26-19 Owls)
JW missed 2 at 1:18 2H (59-56 Owls)

Illinois--none in the 1st half
JW missed front end at 2:32 (74-67 Illinois)

Pitt--JW missed 2 at 12:26 1H (11-9 Terps)
Padgett missed 2 at 10:47 1H (13-11 Terps)
Mosely missed front end at 7:49 1H (17-16 Terps)
DG missed front end at 7:02 1H (18-17 Pitt)
DG missed front end at 2:27 1H (25-24 Terps)
CT missed front end at 11:00 2H (55-49 Pitt)
JW missed 2 at 10:07 2H (57-51 Pitt)
JP missed 2 at 6:55 2H (64-56 Pitt)

If you analyze each of these situations, games that could have changed on free throws are a little clearer.

'Nova would have probably still been a loss even shooting 75% and making the one front end that was missed. Bowie making the front end down 59-62 may have stemmed the tide, but the momentum had already swung in that game.

Duke may have been a little different if the Terps were able to stretch the lead a bit, but I think Duke would have still won in Cameron.

Tucker's 2 misses and Stoglin's front end miss in the BC game definitely lost that one, and allowed BC to take the lead.

If JW doesn't miss both late (along with the DG turnover that led directly to a layup), the Terps may have taken Temple to OT.

Illinois would not have changed with better FTs.

Pitt was definitely lost at the FT line, where they had 8 empty trips.

Posted by: Russtinator | January 18, 2011 1:54 PM | Report abuse

As I said before, you can't just look at the difference in the score when evaluating missed FT's. You have to look at the impact the miss has, positively and negatively on both teams. You have to consider that a tighter score and an in bounds play as opposed to a rebound and transition situation changes the flow of the game.

Posted by: petecard | January 18, 2011 2:25 PM | Report abuse

This is really a waste of everyones time...the other teams missed FTs, FG, 3Pt shots also so sitting here like a bunch of basketball know-it-alls is comical...Gary knows what he is doing and what they need to work on but there are no guarantees....

I think I will send him an email and advise him to clue in to TI where all the wisdom of the universe resides....if only he would pay heed to what is said here, we would be 21-0


Posted by: TerpfanMA | January 18, 2011 2:26 PM | Report abuse

Russ, I think you and I are saying similar things. Your analysis is solid.

Posted by: petecard | January 18, 2011 2:30 PM | Report abuse

gary williams doesnt recruit good shooters (free throw or otherwise). a few exceptions here and there but for the most part no

Posted by: slick3 | January 18, 2011 2:44 PM | Report abuse

gary williams doesnt recruit good shooters (free throw or otherwise). a few exceptions here and there but for the most part no

Posted by: slick3 | January 18, 2011 2:44 PM | Report abuse

A "few" exceptions...Are you kidding?

Just on this year's team, all of the guards were considered above-average shooters coming out of high school. Stoglin and Howard were scoring machines (Stoglin with the second-highest points in AZ history after Mike Bibby), and Bowie was recruited as a shooter, not a PG. Mosely has a good stroke, and all Hawk did in high school was shoot 3's.

Next year, Gary's got Nick Faust, a top-15 2-guard (13 by ESPN), and Sterling Gibbs, who is suppsed to be better than his brother (#23 PG by ESPN).

Gary's recruited some of the best shooting guards in basketball...

Mike Jones (#2 SG to LeBron James and some thought he was even better than Mr. I'm takin' my talents to South Beach)
Juan Dixon
Steve Blake
Eric Hayes (won the 3-point title at the 2010 NCAA Final Four)
Greivis Vasquez
Chris McCray
Sarunas Jasikevicus
Johnny Rhodes
John Gilchrest (he might have been crazy, but he could stroke it when he was motivated)
Steve Francis
Drew Nicholas
Don't forget the one that got stolen from him by Jim "Cheater" Calhoun, Rudy Gay

Gary doesn't recruit shooters....That's the funniest thing I read all day. Thanks for that!

Posted by: Russtinator | January 18, 2011 3:02 PM | Report abuse

Great post Russ. McCray was 2nd in the nation in FT shooting (only reason he wasn't first was bc JJ Redick never missed) and the best in MD history. Dixon was also top 5 nationally.

This is off topic but since you mentioned Gilchrist...just want to say that I never thought he was crazy and to this day I think he got a really bad rap here at MD. Gary I think would be the first to admit of all the players he has dealt with over his 20+ years at MD, the one he failed was Gilchrist. Of course Gil accepts some of the blame, and has apologized to Gary since leaving the program years ago. They've made amends and Gil can be seen at Comcast these days sitting behind the MD bench as he rehabs from injury (he's looking for another professional team overseas).

Anyhow, from what I can tell he seems like a pretty normal guy nowadays...happily married with kids and doing quite well with his life and career. I will always believe he had NBA starting point guard talent and had he not gotten mixed up with a shady agent his junior year at MD, he'd have gone on to much bigger things professionally and at MD.

Posted by: Barno1 | January 18, 2011 3:36 PM | Report abuse

russtinator. most of those "shooters" you just named were certainly not pure shooters. granted some of them could score. gary also has no clue how to coach 3-pt shooting. they never get 3's in the flow of any kind of offense. always a jacked up afterthought. see durhum for the definition of great shooters.

Johnny Rhodes? Steve Francis? John Gilchrist? Great shooters? LMAO. You're an idiot

Posted by: slick3 | January 18, 2011 3:43 PM | Report abuse

He cemented himself as one of my all time favorites with his performance that weekend...just listening to Dickey V at the end of this brought chills down my spine.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yzOoh1dL2I

Posted by: Barno1 | January 18, 2011 3:43 PM | Report abuse

What more do you want Jordan Williams to do? The guy is the reason the Terps are in all the games vs. real teams. Big men keep you in the game, guards have to close it out. Jordan's form is pretty good too.

A majority of the Terps free throws this year are from PF/C position, which traditionally don't shoot as well as guards at the foul line.

And saying "it's the same shot with nobody guarding you" really is undermining many other factors, such as exerting a ton of effort up and down the court, battling down low with other big men, getting a shot off and then getting to shoot your free throw while somewhat tired.

Posted by: BrokenClipboard | January 18, 2011 3:47 PM | Report abuse

russtinator. most of those "shooters" you just named were certainly not pure shooters. granted some of them could score. gary also has no clue how to coach 3-pt shooting. they never get 3's in the flow of any kind of offense. always a jacked up afterthought. see durhum for the definition of great shooters.

Johnny Rhodes? Steve Francis? John Gilchrist? Great shooters? LMAO. You're an idiot

Posted by: slick3 | January 18, 2011 3:43 PM | Report abuse

Johnny Rhodes as a 4-year starter averaged 46.2% from the field and 33.3% from the arc.

Steve Francis 1 year (after 2 years of JUCO) was 52.3% from the field and 38.8% from the arc.

John Gilchrist in 1 year off the bench and 2 years starting was 47.0% from the field and 39.2% from the arc.

For a little perspective...

JJ Redick averaged 43.3% from the field and 40.6% from the arc in his 4 years at Duke.

Greg Paulus averaged 41.5% from the field and 39.8% from the arc.

Jon Scheyer averaged 40.6% from the field and 38.1% from the arc.

Those three match up pretty close against 3 of the most prolific shooters in ACC history. I was a little surprised Johnny's stats were a little low, but he did a lot of heavy lifting his first two years (before Joe Smith and Keith Booth). Historically, Maryland's best 3-point shooters are Mike Jones (41.0%), Eric Hayes (40.5%), Duane Simpkins (40.4%), Taj Holden (39.9%), and Drew Nicholas (39.4%).

Also, in case anyone was curious, Maryland ranks #2 in total offense and scoring margin behind Duke in the ACC. The Terps are also #2 behind BC in field goal percentage offense, #2 behind FSU in field goal percentage defense, and surprisingly #2 in 3-point defense behind FSU. The Terps also lead the ACC in offensive rebounding, #2 in rebounding margin, and #1 in assists per game. The only categories they rank at or near the bottom is in FT percentage (12th), 3-point percentage (11th)/attempts (12th), and conference record (t-7th).

Posted by: Russtinator | January 18, 2011 4:23 PM | Report abuse

Russ,

Thanks for the insights. not knocking Liz, but you coud have e-mailed her that last set of stats and if she had posted / plagiarized it we would have thought it was an excellent update from the TI.

note that my kids chanting the ugly jeer at Nolan Smith seemed to have no impact on his FT%.

Regards-

-hgr

Posted by: HughGRection | January 18, 2011 5:53 PM | Report abuse

>>While free-throw shooting alone rarely determines a game’s outcome

WRONG!!!!! In tournament or playoff basketball, free throws more often than not are the difference.
Gary should lock the gym door and make those guys do nothing else but shoot a 1000 foul shots a day for a week.

Posted by: skins_fan_22 | January 18, 2011 6:44 PM | Report abuse

Liz Clarke...What are you talking about saying free throws rarely affect the outcome of basketball games? Wheres the punch line?? I mean... huh??

Posted by: cmclaxton | January 18, 2011 7:22 PM | Report abuse

Is it possible to get the schedule updated to the BB schedule, now that football season is over?

Posted by: SirPelleas | January 18, 2011 8:37 PM | Report abuse

Do it Granny-style....

Posted by: iamasofaking | January 18, 2011 9:17 PM | Report abuse

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Whenever I need some cheering up after a Duke loss I can come look at what Terps are talking about. Now let me state I am a MD native who happened to have far too high a GPA and great SAT score so I went to Duke where we win NCs and go to the Final Four all the time. Get over it, I grew up rooting for MD and still do except for when we play each other. Besides, when I was a kid the MD coach was a Duke grad.

Wow, you guys do not get it. Your coach, sweaty Gary, is the best in-game coach after only Saint Michael K. Certainly much better than that weasel working at UNC. Ok, he may be better than St. Michael K on a few head to head occasions but I am not slumming here to to argue head to head but to add two cents to the discussion. MD has good players. MD could have won every one of the games they played this year like we did until this weekend. I expect you to pummel the stinking tar heels if nothing else. In all seriousness, I would not be surprised to see them make another Gary run through the conference. The talent is there. Gary will bring out the winning. I'll pick them as a dark horse to go far in at least a few of my brackets come March.

They do this every year - start a bit slow and end strong. And please understand, its not that MD is our rival, MD is our competition. We could never hate you as much as we hate the Tar Heels because we root for you to beat them a every opportunity and in EVERY sport. So we expect to see you at the dance. Out west somewhere, but in the dance. Not as a number one seed like us, but certainly at the dance.

So cheer up Terrapins!

Posted by: Duke-Rulz-1995 | January 18, 2011 10:01 PM | Report abuse

DukeRulz - I remember a weekend I spent in Buffalo 4 years ago with the Duke team and players, coaches and families. The Terps and Devils teams shared the same hotel the first two rounds. Your annoying attitude of Coach K, who I had breakfast with twice, was not reflected by Saint K. He was very humble and appreciative of the MD support his team got back at hotel when VCU beat you. So was a crying Demarcus Nelson and Gerald Henderson who, still in their game sneakers, balling their eyes out after the loss, in the hotel bar, surrounded by hundreds of partying Terps, since we won that day. I saw 200 Terp fans/families/players all line up to congratulate Nelson and Henderson and their families on an outstanding season, and wish them luck next year.

So, not our rival - that's for sure. Saint K can coach, but it makes it easy when, on the team I just mentioned, Duke had the all time state high school scoring champ from 4 states (Nelson -Cali, Scheyer - Ill, McFivefouls - Ind, Henderson - Pa) and they STILL lost to VCU. No final 4 that year, huh chief?

Posted by: reindeerterp | January 19, 2011 7:55 AM | Report abuse

Free throw shooting is nothing more than getting a routine at the line, doing it everytime, and practice, practice, practice.. Kids that aren't good free throw shooters don't spend time shooting them.. It's that simple.. You can have a great jumper, but if you can't shoot the freebie, practice... And for gosh sakes, bend those knees a little bit on the shot.. All these kids that just throw it up there with their arms and wrists, bad technique....

Posted by: frostanna | January 19, 2011 8:16 AM | Report abuse

Had a friend who was the long time general manager at a premium hotel in Lexington, KY. Over the years his hotel hosted many, many teams that played at UK or in tournaments hosted by UK.
1) In all those years, the only coach who took time to send him a thank you letter was Coach K.
2) My friend would always offer the deluxe, fanciest room with concierge service and in room hot tub to each coach. They all declined, opting to stay on the same floor as their teams. Except one. Gary Williams took the room. That's funny since if he had not taken it, my wife & I would have got the fancy room. We were there to see the Steve Francis team lose at UK.

Posted by: erniegogo | January 19, 2011 8:18 AM | Report abuse

I'm sorry reindeer terp, I was busy reading an article about last year's FF and the eventual champion. You were saying something about a game lost four years ago?

From every thing I have seen and experienced Gary and St. Mike K are two of the classiest guys in that business. No recruiting issues although I will admit, St. Mike K has a much easier time recruiting. We get good kids who get good grades, win games and graduate. Certainly we get better kids than the professional players at UNC where Roy the pretender Williams presides.

The shots willbegin to fall and I expect to see MD playing deep into March.

Have a great day!

Posted by: Duke-Rulz-1995 | January 19, 2011 8:35 AM | Report abuse

Liz's analysis is faulty because it doesn't consider the contrasting case. That is, of differences between opponents' free-throw opportunities and makes. Which games our brave lads won would have had a different outcome if their opponents had made all their free throws?

Posted by: AncientTerp | January 19, 2011 11:31 AM | Report abuse

Liz's analysis is faulty because it doesn't consider the contrasting case. That is, of differences between opponents' free-throw opportunities and makes. Which games our brave lads won would have had a different outcome if their opponents had made all their free throws?

Posted by: AncientTerp | January 19, 2011 11:31 AM | Report abuse

Unfortunately that's one of the few stats you cannot control, so speculating on that really doesn't have any meaning. The Terps can improve their own FT shooting, and hit shots that could turn the momentum of a game. However, when you opponent is standing at the line, there's nothing you can do to control that shot other than having the crowd try to distract the shooter.

Posted by: Russtinator | January 19, 2011 12:43 PM | Report abuse

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