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Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 01/12/2011

Midseason NCAA tournament resume comparison

By Eric Prisbell

It's mid-January, and these resumes will change considerably. But if you had to make decisions on these teams today -- they are all tournament teams -- how would you rank them? (All records reflect games only against Division I teams.)

Team A
Record: 12-3
RPI: 20
SOS: 38
Vs. top 50: 1-3
Best win: 42
Worst loss: 24
Road/neutral court: 3-3

Team B

Record: 13-3
RPI: 10
SOS: 4
Vs. top 50: 3-2
Best win: 28
Worst loss: 70
Road/neutral court: 5-1

Team C
Record: 12-4
RPI: 3
SOS: 2
Vs. top 50: 2-4
Best win: 30
Worst loss: 19
Road/neutral court: 6-3

So in what order would you want these teams? I'd go Team C, then Team B then Team A -- with some distance between each team. All three are solid NCAA tournament teams right now. They all have played and beaten strong competition. And a lot of this depends on what you value most: overall wins, strength of schedule, road record, top 50 wins. Team C has not beaten a team in the top 25 of the RPI, but it has a respectable two top 50 wins. It has not lost to a team outside the top 20, which is impressive. And six wins away from its home court are particularly impressive. So despite four overall losses, this team has some considerable bright spots. Team B is not in the same category because of the loss to the 70th-ranked team in the RPI -- not horrible but still something to keep in mind. And Team A has a solid, though unspectacular tournament resume.

Who are the teams? Team A is Washington. Team B is Florida. Team C is Georgetown. My point is that I think some people are going overboard with Georgetown's struggles right now. Yes, the Hoyas need conference wins right now. But the schedule lightens up some after tonight's game against Pittsburgh, as much as a Big East schedule can lighten up. The league has eight teams ranked in the top 17 of the RPI. If the season ended today, as many as 11 teams would make the NCAA tournament. It is a brutal league. As high as the Hoyas are in the RPI and SOS, if they hover near .500, they'll be fine. So, in a word, relax.

By Eric Prisbell  | January 12, 2011; 11:15 AM ET
 
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Next: Duke falls to Florida State, Georgetown's slide continues vs. Pittsburgh

Comments

Hardly reassuring Eric. The regression of the offense the last three games v. ND, SJU and WVU has been stark. Players pointing fingers, Chris Wright doing more harm than good and Austin Freeman's frequent disappearances are more of a concern now than our NCAA Tourney profile. The comparisons to '08-09 are beginning to show (epic start, late Big East collapse) and it reflects badly upon JT3's reign - especially with this senior laden team and its "leadership". I am mostly optimistic the Hoyas can turn it around - but tonight's test against Pitt will probably tell us a lot about where this team is headed.

Posted by: Buffalo66 | January 12, 2011 12:41 PM | Report abuse

interesting analysis but I would go B then C then A. yes, I chose that way before seeing who the teams were!

my case for B over C, based on known selection committee criteria:

- one less overall loss (3 vs 4)
- very similar or nearly identical SOS, RPI, and best win
- better record vs top 50 (.600 vs .333)
- more wins vs top 50 (3 vs 2)
- better record on road/neutral sites (.833 vs .667)

Posted by: DCPowerGator | January 12, 2011 1:15 PM | Report abuse

I would also have chosen team B first, even before seeing who the teams were. But I believe Mr. Prisbell chose Georgetown first because he writes for the Post, so therefore he is in love with the Hoyas. Georgetown need only be halfway decent and this paper treats them like Wooden's UCLA teams. They are not halfway decent this year, and yet, they are still overhyped.
Conference wins are very important, and after 4 games Georgetown only has one. And they won't get their second conference win tonight, either.
And no, their schedule doesn't really "lighten up" after this: of the five teams they play between Jan. 26 and Feb. 9, one has already beaten them (St. John's) and three are currently undefeated in the conference (Villanova, Louisville, Syracuse).
The Hoyas' "bubble" will have burst by Feb. 10.

Posted by: Sportaholic | January 12, 2011 1:39 PM | Report abuse

This blog is just beyond ridiculous Eric. Why must you do this earlier and earlier every year. Is there really a demand for it? Doesn't seem like it. Why not just wait until at least midway through the conference seasons, as most of the prognosticators do.

Posted by: Barno1 | January 12, 2011 2:42 PM | Report abuse

I'm a WVU fan, not a Gtown fan. That said, after tonight's game, Gtown plays @rutgers, @seton hall and then home against st. john's. Those are two games they should win and they only lost to st. john's by 3 @st. john's.

They would still have usf, 2 against cincy and then marquette on the schedule. So yes, they would still need to win a couple against the big boys, but Gtown is still very much alive no matter what happens tonight against pitt.

I'll be rooting hoyas all the way tonight...

Posted by: WrongDog | January 12, 2011 2:48 PM | Report abuse

my choice team D GO'CUSE'

Posted by: 92857 | January 12, 2011 5:24 PM | Report abuse

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