NCAA tournament 2011: Blind resume comparison
To get an idea how difficult it will be to separate some of these so-called bubble teams, let's compare two resumes without revealing the names of the schools.
Vs. top 50: 1-2
Vs. top 100: 6-4
Best win: vs. RPI No. 9
Worst loss: vs. RPI No. 156
Road-neutral court: 8-3
Vs. top 50: 1-4
Vs. top 100: 5-4
Best win: vs. RPI No. 46
Worst loss: at RPI No. 156
Road-neutral court: 6-4
These two NCAA tournament resumes are very similar. They have the same number of overall losses. The RPIs are close. The schedules are nearly identical in terms of strength. They have the same number of top 50 wins. They have a similar record against top 100 opponents. Both even suffered their worst loss against the same middling opponent. The difference I see - without commenting on observations of both teams in games - is that Team A's best win is considerably better than Team B's best win. That may be the best way to separate these two bubble teams.
Who are the teams? Team A is Richmond. Team B is Virginia Tech. I have both teams in the NCAA tournament at the moment, and a slight edge goes to Richmond because of the early-season victory over Purdue. Tech's best win is against Penn State.
| January 31, 2011; 12:38 PM ET
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