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Posted at 3:12 PM ET, 02/21/2011

NCAA tournament 2011: A look at where the local teams stand

By Eric Prisbell

[Note: If you are planning to run an NCAA tournament office pool or a pool among friends, please contact me via e-mail. I'd like to hear from you about your pool. I'm not quoting you or anything; I'm just interested in your thoughts about an idea I have. prisbelle@washpost.com.
Thanks.]

Georgetown
Record: 21-6
RPI: 5
SOS: 3 (4 in non-conference)
Vs. top 50: 8-6
Vs. top 100: 12-6
Best wins: St. John's (12), Utah State (19), at Syracuse (22)
Worst losses: at Temple (31), West Virginia (21), at Connecticut (14)
Road-neutral court: 11-4
As of today: a solid No. 3 seed
Comment: The Hoyas have a very good tournament resume, and they are a very good team, capable of beating any team in the country on a given night. There is not much of a difference between a No. 2 and No. 3 seed. And they are likely headed to Charlotte to play the first two rounds unless North Carolina can make a dramatic run and wind up ahead of G-town on the S-curve. The Hoyas have three more regular season games overall, all against top 50 teams: Cincinnati twice and Syracuse. They still have a chance at a No. 1 seed, but they will need to finish strong and beat Notre Dame and/or Pittsburgh on their run to a Big East tournament title.

Maryland
Record: 17-10
RPI: 85
SOS: 81 (156 in non-conference)
Vs. top 50: 0-8
Vs. top 100: 4-10
Best wins: at Penn State (60), Charleston (61), Clemson (66)
Worst losses: at Virginia Tech (65), Virginia Tech (65)
Road-neutral court: 4-7
As of today: Out of the tournament by a healthy margin
Comment: I question why I include the Terrapins, but we cover the team on a daily basis, so why not, right? But the Terps are not close, and they won't enter into the conversation until they win the next two games, Florida State and at North Carolina. If they lose either, they will have to win the ACC tournament. I don't think we're quite at that point yet because they can beat any of the remaining teams on their schedule and because you don't count out a Gary Williams-coached team. These Terps have been notably consistent, meaning they beat who they are supposed to beat and lose to who they are supposed to lose to. But they are not close at the moment. A 4-10 record against top 100 teams speaks for itself.

George Mason
Record: 23-5
RPI: 20
SOS: 65 (57 in non-conference)
Vs. top 50: 2-1
Vs. top 100: 9-4
Best wins: Old Dominion (28), Harvard (40), at Virginia Commonwealth (57)
Worst losses: vs. Wofford (145), vs. N.C. State (95), at Hofstra (87)
Road-neutral court: 10-5
As of today: No. 7 seed
Comment: This will take a little luck, but the key for George Mason is to avoid a No. 8 or No. 9 seed. If I were Mason, I would take a No. 10 seed before a No. 8 seed. You don't want to have to play a No. 1 seed in the second round. The Patriots own the nation's longest winning streak (13) games. If they win out and capture the CAA tourney title, perhaps they can get a No. 6 seed. But that's difficult to project, especially at the moment, because the landscape changes daily. Also, committee members will likely see different things when they compare Mason's resume to those of relatively strong major programs contending for a No. 6 seed (West Virginia, Missouri, Texas A&M, etc.). This is an inexact science and difference committee members value different criteria more than others.

Virginia Tech
Record: 17-8
RPI: 65
SOS: 97 (166 non-conference)
Vs. top 50: 1-5
Vs. top 100: 7-5
Best wins: Florida State (50), vs. Oklahoma State (59)
Worst losses: Virginia (144), at Virginia (144), at Georgia Tech (157)
Road-neutral court: 7-6
As of today: bubble
Comment: Virginia Tech is determined to sweat it out on selection Sunday once again. The Hokies don't have a loss as ghastly as Butler has (Youngstown State) or St. Mary's has (San Diego), but the three mentioned above are questionable. On top of that, FSU is barely a top 50 team. Most impressive to me is a winning record against top 100 teams. A lot of bubble teams have losing records against the top 100, and some have losing records against the top 200. If VT beats Duke, it's gold. If it doesn't, it needs to beat Wake Forest, either Boston College or Clemson and at least one team in the ACC tourney.

By Eric Prisbell  | February 21, 2011; 3:12 PM ET
 
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Next: NCAA tournament 2011: A look around the bracketology world

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