Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity
On Twitter: Washpost68 and PostSports  |  Facebook  |  Sports e-mail alerts  |  RSS
Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 03/10/2011

NCAA tournament 2011: Updated 68-team tournament field projection

By Eric Prisbell

(Really busy day, but I'd love to hear which team you're thinking of picking to win the national championship this season and which team could be a sleeper. Drop me a quick email: prisbelle@washpost.com.)

Each year I am judged on two things: how many teams I correctly predict in the bracket, and how many teams I seed within one seed of their actual seed. I tied for first nationally last season out of 80 bracketologists. What has me worried most this season are the teams between the seventh and 10th seed lines. There is just so little separation among those teams. The other issue is you have a handful of teams in that cluster moving in opposite directions - climbing fast or falling hard - and it's always a crapshoot to try to figure out how many selection committee members will put a lot of weight in the last 10-12 games. I feel fairly confident Mason will fall in the eight, nine or 10 spot. So I may seed the Patriots ninth Sunday afternoon so I'm covered on both sides.

On another note, I'm in the minority with some of my twos and threes. In other words, most people have Florida a three, BYU a two and San Diego State a two. I really believe Florida is a two right now (and also a strong Final Four possibility), but, in any case, all this will sort itself in the next few days. Some will be twos, the others threes - and there is little difference between twos and threes; they'll meet in the Sweet 16. The seeding of UAB has caused me some headaches, and, in general, untangling the web of Conference USA bubble teams has made me ill. Whatever happens in that tournament, I just hope it is clear whether it deserves an at-large team or not. I'm sure it won't be. And let's not forget about St. Mary's, which I am unsure belongs in the bracket. But I cannot get them out!

Here is my updated bracket as of Thursday morning:

No. 1s
Ohio State (BIG TEN)
Kansas (Big 12)
Pittsburgh (BIG EAST)
Notre Dame

No. 2s
Duke
San Diego State
Syracuse
Florida (SEC)

No. 3s
BYU (MWC)
Purdue
North Carolina (ACC)
Texas

No. 4s
Wisconsin
Louisville
Kentucky
St. John's

No. 5s
Connecticut
West Virginia
Vanderbilt
Arizona (PAC-10)

No. 6s
Texas A&M
Cincinnati
Kansas State
Xavier (A-10)

No. 7s
UNLV
Temple
UCLA
Missouri

No. 8s
Old Dominion (CAA)
George Mason
Utah State (WAC)
Georgetown

No. 9s
Illinois
Florida State
Washington
Marquette

No. 10s
Villanova
Georgia
Gonzaga (WCC)
Tennessee

No. 11s
Butler (HORIZON)
Michigan
St. Mary's
Virginia Tech
Michigan State
Colorado

No. 12s
Boston College
Richmond
Clemson
UAB (CONFERNCE USA)

No. 13s
Harvard (IVY)
Belmont (ATLANTIC SUN)
Indiana State (MVC)
Oakland (SUMMIT)

No. 14s
Wofford (SOUTHERN)
Morehead State (OVC)
Bucknell (PATRIOT)
Kent State (MAC)

No. 15s
Northern Colorado (BIG SKY)
St. Peter's (MAAC)
LIU (NORTHEAST)
Long Beach State (BIG WEST)

No. 16s
Texas Southern (SWAC)
Boston University (AMERICA EAST)
Bethune Cookman (MEAC)
Arkansas-Little Rock (SUN BELT)
McNeese State (SOUTHLAND)
UNC-Asheville (BIG SOUTH)

By Eric Prisbell  | March 10, 2011; 10:00 AM ET
 
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: NCAA tournament 2011: Alabama, VCU among first teams out
Next: NCAA tournament 2011: Is the bubble vanishing?

Comments

Wow an 8 seed for the Hoyas? Guess that #1 SoS, #12 RPI, and the fact that Chris Wright is practicing doesn't mean much huh?

Posted by: douglasfarrar | March 11, 2011 8:53 AM | Report abuse

Post a Comment

We encourage users to analyze, comment on and even challenge washingtonpost.com's articles, blogs, reviews and multimedia features.

User reviews and comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. Finally, we will take steps to block users who violate any of our posting standards, terms of use or privacy policies or any other policies governing this site. Please review the full rules governing commentaries and discussions.




characters remaining

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2011 The Washington Post Company