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The Fix: October 26, 2008 - November 1, 2008

The Fix's Crystal Ball Predictions

Long ago, when The Fix was nothing but a twinkle in the eye of John Harris, Russ Walker and Jim Brady, we expectantly waited for the Sunday before the election for the Post's Crystal Ball Contest. Starting way back in...

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 1, 2008; 8:35 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (62)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Did the Debates Matter?

Barack Obama and John McCain squared off in the third and final debate at Hofstra University. Photo by Gary Hershorn of Getty Images Although there are still three days before the presidential election, some already are looking back at...

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 1, 2008; 11:06 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (85)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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The Dole Ad: Over the Line?

UPDATE, 8:35 pm: Unbowed by the criticism over her first ad attacking state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) for her connections to the Godless Americans PAC, North Carolina Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) is up with a new commercial tonight that doubles...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 31, 2008; 5:55 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (102)
Categories:  Ad Wars , Senate  
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The FINAL House Line: The Top 50!

table.smallTable th { font-size: 8pt; padding: 0 2px; } table.smallTable td { font-size: 8pt; } .pollDiff { color: #666; white-space: nowrap; } table.smallTable td.incumbentGOP { font-weight: bold; color: #a13229; text-align: center; background-color: #fde6df; } table.smallTable td.incumbentDem { font-weight: bold;...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 31, 2008; 2:29 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (55)
Categories:  House , The Line  
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Who's Got The Momentum?

Which candidate has the momentum? It depends on where you look and whom you ask. In the last 96 hours of any election, both parties seek to cast themselves and their candidate as the ones closing strong with a...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 31, 2008; 12:02 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (117)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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The FINAL Senate Line: The Fix Predicts

After two years of ranking the Senate races most likely to switch parties, we have reached the last Senate Line of the 2008 election. (Can you believe it?) Below you'll find our final rankings of the races; we've included 11...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 31, 2008; 6:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (83)
Categories:  Senate , The Line  
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The Fix Ad Competition: The Best (and the Worst)

It's just five days before the election and, for The Fix at least, the wistfulness has already set in. In an attempt to stave off the almost certain post-election depression that will set in, we are gathering our favorite commercials...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2008; 4:35 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (105)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Governors , House , Senate  
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Florida, Florida, Florida! (In Honor of Tim Russert)

Barack Obama can win the White House next Tuesday over John McCain without carrying Florida and its 27 votes but it has become increasingly clear that the Democratic nominee and his campaign see the Sunshine State as a critical symbolic...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2008; 1:10 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (280)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Wag the Blog: Does Drudge Matter?

Internet newsman Matt Drudge No Fix post in recent memory has provoked the sort of reaction -- some of it good, but mostly bad -- generated by the two pieces we did on the influence of Matt Drudge (and...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2008; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (152)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Wag The Blog  
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Parsing the (Tracking) Poll: October Surprise

Although there are only two days left in October, there are still many people in the political world waiting for an "October Surprise" -- some sort of game-changing event in the final moment before the general election that could fundamentally...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2008; 6:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (55)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Parsing the Polls  
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The Obama Informercial: Good, Bad or Indifferent?

For those of you who missed the 30-minute infomercial paid for by Barack Obama's presidential campaign, which ran across nearly every television network between 8 and 8:30 pm eastern tonight, here it is: What did you think of it? It...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2008; 9:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (548)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Political Take: On Tightening In A Center-Right County

The Fix and Newsweek boss Jon Meacham got together this morning to chat about the next six days and what comes next. It's the Political Take:...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (62)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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IL-Senate: Who Would Step Into Obama's Shoes?

Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich has a tough choice in front of him if Obama wins the White House -- one on which his own political future could hinge. The 2008 presidential election may not be over for another week...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2008; 3:02 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (109)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Senate  
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Is McCain Coming Back? (Revisited)

John McCain at a rally in Dayton, Ohio. Photo by Melina Mara -- The Washington Post Nine days ago, we asked in this space whether John McCain was cutting into the lead -- both nationally and in key battleground...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2008; 10:53 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (358)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Parsing the (Tracking) Poll: The White Catholic Weathervane

Looking for a bellwether group to focus on in the final week of the presidential race? Look no further than white Catholics, who have gone for the winner in every single presidential election for which exit polling exists. That means...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2008; 6:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (140)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Parsing the Polls  
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RNC Borrows $5 Million For Senate Races

The Republican National Committee has taken out a $5 million line of credit to help fund last minute efforts to keep Senate Democrats from winning a filibuster-proof 60 seat majority, according to an official with the committee. Of the $5...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2008; 3:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (161)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Senate  
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Should Republicans Cut Bait?

Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., greets supporters as he enters a campaign rally at the University of Northern Iowa in Cedar Falls, Iowa, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2008. AP Photo/Stephan Savoia With each passing day the political outlook...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2008; 11:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (417)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Republican Party  
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Parsing the (Tracking) Poll: Are We A Center-Right Country?

The latest Washington Post/ABC News tracking poll -- using interviews conducted Thursday through Sunday -- shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 52 percent to 45 percent. Almost every other internal measure in the survey also provides good news for Obama;...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2008; 6:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (130)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Parsing the Polls  
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RNC Takes to the Airwaves in Montana (!)

The Republican National Committee will begin running television ads in Montana beginning on Wednesday, a sign of how heavily the playing field is tilted against the GOP with just eight days left in the presidential election. Montana has been a...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2008; 7:25 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (46)
Categories:  Battlegrounds , Eye on 2008  
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Corruption Conviction of Sen. Stevens Enhances Democrats' Prospects

Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert) UPDATE, 10/28 10:15 am: John McCain released a statement this morning in which he called for Stevens to step aside from the Senate. Calling the verdict "a sign of the corruption and...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2008; 4:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (143)
Categories:  Republican Party , Senate  
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Obama: The Final Frame

Barack Obama will return to the stage today with a major speech to present his case for why voters should put him in the White House. (Photo by Nikki Kahn -- The Washington Post) Seeking to frame the final...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2008; 11:59 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (214)
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Updated Fix Electoral Map Picks: An Obama Landslide?

Barack Obama stands on the cusp of an electoral vote blowout over John McCain with just eight days left in the 2008 general election. On our latest Fix electoral map, we have Obama at 349 electoral votes -- his...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2008; 6:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (235)
Categories:  Battlegrounds , Eye on 2008  
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Wag the Blog Redux: Palin's Shopping Spree

Earlier this week, the report by Politico's Jeanne Cummings that the Republican National Committee dished out $150,000 to clothe and provide makeup for Alaska Gov. Sarah Palinset off a barrage of media coverage. In yesterday's Wag the Blog, we layed...

By Washington Post editors  |  October 26, 2008; 1:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (138)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Wag The Blog  
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The Dean Does New Hampshire

Continuing his tour of battleground states, the Post's own David Broder -- the Dean of the political press corps -- spent a few days in New Hampshire late last week, taking soundings on both the presidential race and the hotly...

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 26, 2008; 7:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (61)
Categories:  Eye on 2008 , Senate  
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