THE FRIDAY LINES
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Connecticut Democrat Up
2 Delaware Democrat Down
3 Nevada Democrat
4 New Hampshire Republican Up
5 Ohio Republican Down
6 Missouri Republican Down
7 Colorado Democrat Down
8 Arkansas Democrat Up
9 Pennsylvania Democrat Up
10 Illinois Democrat Down
Depressed Democrats (Nov. 13, 2009) Polling in Ohio and Connecticut spells trouble for Democrats.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 LA-02 Republican None
2 LA-03 Democrat Up
3 NY-23 Republican Up
4 NM-02 Democrat Up
5 IL-10 Republican Down
6 AL-02 Democrat Up
7 MD-01 Democrat Down
8 PA-06 Republican Down
9 CO-04 Democrat Up
10 PA-07 Democrat Up
A GOP-Friendly Environment (Sept. 25, 2009) The signs of an environmental change are everywhere.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Kansas Democrat None
2 Tennessee Democrat None
3 Hawaii Republican Up
4 Rhode Island Republican Up
5 Oklahoma Democrat None
6 Vermont Republican Down
7 Virginia Democrat Up
8 Michigan Democrat None
9 California Republican Up
10 New Jersey Democrat Down
What Will VA and NJ Mean? (Oct.16, 2009) Given the dynamics in each race, Republicans have the better chance of pulling off a sweep of both states.
Rank Race Primary Change
1 Texas Gov. Republican None
2 Pa. Senate Democrat None
3 Fla. Senate Republican Up
4 Connecticut Sen. Republican None
5 Calif. Governor Republican Down
6 Nev. Senate Republican Up
7 Ill. Senate Democrat Up
8 Ky. Senate Republican Up
9 Mich. Governor Republican Up
10 Ariz. Senate Republican Up
Game off in CA (or not) (Nov. 6, 2009) The Fix's top 10 list of best intraparty battles.
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The Fix: October 25, 2009 - October 31, 2009

GOP responds to Scozzafava dropping out of race

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) today released the following joint statement from House Republican Leader John Boehner, House Republican Whip Eric Cantor, and NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions regarding the the special election in New York's 23rd Congressional District: "As...

By Washington Post Editors  |  October 31, 2009; 12:29 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (44)
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Scozzafava drops out of NY-23 special election

The decision by Republican Dede Scozzafava to suspend her campaign makes it a two way race between Democrat Bill Owens (left) and Conservative Doug Hoffman (middle).AP photos State Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, the Republican candidate for the open 23rd District...

By Paul Volpe  |  October 31, 2009; 10:58 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (94)
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CA-Gov: Newsom Is Out

San Francisco Gavin Newsom (D) ended his campaign for governor today amid faltering fundraising and an inability to make up ground on frontrunning state Attorney General Jerry Brown.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2009; 6:42 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (32)
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The Live Fix!

Earlier today we fielded questions for an hour in our weekly "Live Fix" online chat. (Don't know about it? There's still time. Every Friday. 11 am to 12 pm. Impress your friends. Vanquish your enemies.)

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2009; 4:46 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
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Friday House Line: A Republican wave?

With election day 2009 rapidly approaching, this is the last House Line limited to just 10 races. And, it couldn't come a moment too soon. The playing field for 2010 continues to expand as Republicans sense opportunity in the national atmospherics and Democrats look to stay on offense enough to build a bulwark against a possible wave.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2009; 11:07 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (43)
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Morning Fix: What NY-23 means

Two things have become abundantly clear about the special election in New York's 23rd district over the past week. The first is that Conservative party candidate Doug Hoffman can and may well win the special election next Tuesday. The second is that neither major party knows what to think about the Hoffman candidacy and both are trying to adjust their spin to accommodate what a victory by the Conservative party candidate would say about the national political field.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2009; 5:33 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (121)
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The Most Important Number in Politics Today

3.5 That's the percentage that America's gross domestic product rose between July and September, its largest quarterly increase in two years and a sign, according to economists, that the recession is likely over.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2009; 2:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (36)
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Fix Political Hall of Fame: The Case Against Rudy Giuliani

Yesterday we made the case for why former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani belongs in the Fix Political Hall of Fame. Today we tackle the opposite side of that argument.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2009; 12:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (37)
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Quiz Show!

The Fix is an unabashed devotee of game shows -- from "The Price is Right" to the "$25,000 Pyramid" to our personal favorite "Sale of the Century". So, we were pretty excited to find out that the Post has launched a daily politics quiz to test your knowledge of current events.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2009; 10:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (11)
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Morning Fix: Public option blinders?

Republicans' decision to make the public option the focus of their efforts to defeat President Barack Obama's health care plan may look like sound political strategy from afar but runs the risk of distracting voters from more GOP-friendly issues like taxes and spending.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 29, 2009; 5:20 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (70)
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Fix Poll: Rick Perry wins! (Or loses)

Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) beat back a stiff challenge from Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) to claim the title of most overrated governor in the country in the eyes of Fixistas.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2009; 4:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (33)
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The Most Important Number in Politics Today

68 That's the percentage of voters in a new Quinnipiac poll that agree with the sentiment that independent candidate Chris Daggett has "no chance" of winning the New Jersey governor's race next Tuesday.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2009; 2:32 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (44)
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Fix Political Hall of Fame: The Case for Rudy Giuliani

With the Yankees back in the World Series and a new New York magazine profile of Hizzoner getting lots of attention, now seems like the right time to debate whether former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) deserves a spot in the Fix Political Hall of Fame.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2009; 12:30 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (73)
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No room for a 2012 underdog?

A new national poll out of CNN/Opinion Research Corporation shows that less than one in five Republicans haven't picked a horse in the 2012 presidential primary fight, a remarkably small group of undecided voters that suggests there may be little room for a darkhorse to emerge.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2009; 11:10 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (44)
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Morning Fix: Races heat up in NY, NJ; Palin to Iowa?

With the Nov. 3 election just six(!) days away, we continue to tweak and test the format for the new and improved "Morning Fix" that will debut the day after the election.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 28, 2009; 5:21 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (54)
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Deeds' Down-Ballot Drag?

Amid tumbling poll numbers and signs of major money problems, Democratic strategists have begun privately grousing that state Sen. Creigh Deeds could prove a significant drag on critical downballot races next Tuesday.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2009; 3:10 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (25)
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The most important number in politics today

53 That's the percentage of likely Virginia voters who oppose the proposed changes to the health care system, according to new data in a Washington Post poll on the Commonwealth's governor's race.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2009; 12:18 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (79)
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Fix Poll: The most overrated Governor in the country

Last week, Fixistas voted Delaware Gov. Jack Markell (D) as the most underrated chief executive in the country. Today in our Fix poll we tackle the other side of that equation: the most overrated governor.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2009; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (44)
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Morning Fix: NY-23 as 2012 litmus test?

The Iowa caucuses may be more than two years from now but a series of moves by potential Republican presidential contenders has turned a special election in New York's 23rd district into an early test of conservative bona fides. In the last week three GOPers with an eye on 2012 -- former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.), Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin -- have weighed in on the race with Tpaw and Palin throwing their support behind Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman and Gingrich endorsing state Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 27, 2009; 5:05 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (50)
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Short Takes: Club poll shows Hoffman ahead in NY-23

A new survey commissioned by the Club for Growth puts Conservative party nominee Doug Hoffman in the lead with just eight days remaining before he special election in New York's 23rd district.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 26, 2009; 3:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (73)
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Vilsack a "no" for Senate, playing field crystallizes

Former Iowa First Lady Christie Vilsack (D) told the Des Moines Register this morning that she would not pursue a challenge to Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) in 2010, taking a big-name recruit of the table and likely ensuring that the Republican will win a sixth term next November.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 26, 2009; 1:30 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (8)
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The Most Important Number in Politics

That's the percentage of Americans who describe themselves as conservative in nine months of collected Gallup polling, the highest that number has been since 2004. The data, which also showed 36 percent of the sample calling themselves moderate and just 20 percent saying they were liberal, was a compilation of 16 surveys (and more than 5,000 interviews) that Gallup conducted between January and September.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 26, 2009; 11:17 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (33)
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Morning Fix: The (political) dangers of H1N1

President Barack Obama's decision to declare the "H1NI" flu a national emergency over the weekend is a recognition of the political peril the virus could inflict on the White House.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 26, 2009; 5:55 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (75)
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