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The Fix: November 1, 2009 - November 7, 2009

The most important number in politics this weekend

8 That's the number of House Democrats who voted against tonight's health care bill who represent districts carried by President Barack Obama during the 2008 election.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 7, 2009; 11:57 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (63)
Categories:  Most Important Number  
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The Friday Primary Line: Game off in CA (or not)

The recent decision by San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom to drop his candidacy for governor of California left only state Attorney General Jerry Brown in the race for the Democratic nod, knocking one of the Fix's top 10 primaries off of our Line.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 6, 2009; 4:25 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (63)
Categories:  The Line  
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Live Fix roundup

The Fix took questions this morning on why Deeds lost, election hangovers, Crist vs. Rubio, DINOs and RINOs, and other assorted topics (Cillizza's new role on 'Vampire Diaries'?). Below is a taste of the conversation -- for the full dish,...

By Paul Volpe  |  November 6, 2009; 12:13 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (30)
 
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Morning Fix: Crist and the Club for Growth

1. The new ad being run in Florida by the Club for Growth should send shivers down Gov. Charlie Crist's (R) spine. The commercial features Crist saying "we know that it's important that we pass a stimulus package" and embracing...

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 6, 2009; 5:28 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (52)
Categories:  Morning Fix  
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And the winner is....

After hours of tabulations and calculations, we are ready to declare a victor in the Fix's election prediction contest.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 5, 2009; 5:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (2)
Categories:  Fix Notes  
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The most important number in politics today

50 That's the percentage of adults who believe former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) is qualified to be president as opposed to 36 percent who believe he is not in a new national poll from Gallup.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 5, 2009; 3:50 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (28)
Categories:  Most Important Number  
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Tpaw's bad week

Minnesota Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty, after making a series of smart strategic moves over the past few months in advance of an expected run for president in 2012, has struggled on the national stage over the past week.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 5, 2009; 1:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (34)
Categories:  Eye on 2012  
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Conservatives attack on H1N1

The American Future Fund, an Iowa-based conservative interest group, will launch ads tomorrow that seek to link the Obama Administration's handling of the H1N1 flu with broader questions about the viability of a public option being included in a health care overhaul.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 5, 2009; 11:41 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (56)
Categories:  White House  
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Morning Fix: Courting Sarah Palin

The news that Illinois Rep. Mark Kirk (R) is actively seeking the backing of former Alaska governor Sarah Palin in his Senate primary race is the latest evidence of the power the 2008 vice presidential nominee carries -- thanks to the fact that she has become the voice of the angry right.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 5, 2009; 5:44 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (107)
Categories:  Morning Fix  
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The most important number in politics today

40 That's the percentage of the Virginia electorate that identified themselves as conservatives, the highest number among that ideological group in the Commonwealth since 1994.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 7:59 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (41)
Categories:  Most Important Number  
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IL-Sen: Kirk Seeks Palin Endorsement

Illinois Rep. Mark Kirk penned a memo to Republican poobah Fred Malek hoping to secure an endorsement from former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin for his Senate candidacy, according to a copy of the memo obtained by the Fix.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 1:44 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (115)
Categories:  Eye on 2012 , Senate  
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CA-Sen: Fiorina's in

Former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R) ended months of speculation today by formally announcing her candidacy for Senate in California, a bid that was once touted by national Republicans but has run into structural problems before it even begins.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 12:40 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (89)
Categories:  Senate  
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Election 2009: Winners and Losers

The Fix has slept (a little) and sifted through the data (a lot) since last night to bring you our take on the winners and losers from yesterday's votes. Have winners and/or losers of your own? Feel free to add them in the comment section below. Heck, if they're good, we'll add them to the post.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (143)
Categories:  Governors , House , Senate  
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Morning Fix: Sorting through the numbers in Va., N.J., and N.Y.

The topline numbers in New Jersey and Virginia are, by now, familiar to any political junkie. We dug into the exit polls in both states for some inside information about the political landscape.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 5:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (73)
Categories:  Morning Fix  
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Democrats Salvage Night with NY-23 Special Win

Attorney Bill Owens won one of the most topsy-turvy special elections in recent memory tonight in Upstate New York, giving Democrats nationally something to cheer about on a day that saw them lose the governorships of New Jersey and Virginia.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2009; 12:32 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (100)
Categories:  House  
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Republican Sweep NJ, VA Governors Races

Former U.S Attorney Chris Christie (R-N.J.) ousted New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine (D) tonight, delivering Republicans a sweep of the two gubernatorial contests on the ballot today.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 10:22 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (51)
Categories:  Governors  
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An independent move to GOP

Independent voters are moving strongly to Republican candidates in the New Jersey and Virginia governors races, an ominous sign for Democrats whose gains in 2006 and 2008 was built on heavy support from unaligned voters.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 8:57 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (19)
Categories:  Hall of Fame , White House  
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McDonnell wins, NJ and NY-23 await

Former state Attorney General Bob McDonnell cruised to victory in the Virginia governor's race, an expected win that nonetheless buoys Republicans nationally and inserts McDonnell as a potential player in national politics in 2012.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 8:01 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (45)
Categories:  Governors  
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VA-Gov: Rocking the suburbs

Exit polling in the Virginia governor's race shows a fascinating dichotomy between the inner suburbs of Washington, which state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) is winning overwhelmingly, and the outer exurbs that have moved to former state Attorney General Bob McDonnell (R) heavily.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 7:51 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Governors  
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Exit Polls: Obama as (non) factor?

The early exit polls in Virginia and New Jersey are in (out?) and the most striking thing to us is that a majority of voters in both states said that President Barack Obama was not a factor in their vote and in each state the chief executive's job approval rating was above 50 percent.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 5:48 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (38)
Categories:  Governors , White House  
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Fix Election Center!

In just a few hours poll will close in Virginia (7 p.m.), New Jersey (8 p.m.) and New York (9 p.m.). And, as always, the Fix is your one-stop shop for everything you need to know. We'll be blogging in this space throughout the night as events warrant but will also be twittering breaking news so make sure to sign up for the "The Hyper Fix" immediately.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 4:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (7)
Categories:  Fix Notes  
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An Obama referendum (or not)

For the first time since President Barack Obama won the White House last November, voters in a significant number of states head to the poll today to choose -- among other things -- new governors in Virginia and New Jersey and a new Member of Congress in Upstate New York. While Obama isn't on the ballot anywhere in the country, the shape of these races -- to varying degrees -- have been influenced by the president and the policies he has put into place since taking over as the 44th president of the United States in January.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 11:31 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (268)
Categories:  White House  
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Prediction Time!

Polls are open in New Jersey, New York and Virginia and voters are voting! That means the return of the Fix's election prediction contest. So, in the comments section below offer your predictions -- with percentages! -- of the results in the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia and the special election in New York's 23rd district.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 10:14 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (86)
Categories:  Fix Notes  
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Election Day 2009: The Fix's cheat sheet

It's been a year since any meaningful votes were cast. But, our long national nightmare is over as voters in New Jersey, Virginia and New York (among other places) head to the polls today to pick winners in races that will be analyzed ad nauseam for their meaning -- or lack thereof -- on the national stage.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 5:35 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (51)
Categories:  Morning Fix  
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Fix Poll: Tomorrow's Political Headline Today

With governors races in New Jersey and Virginia as well as a very unpredictable House special election in upstate New York on the ballot tomorrow, the Democratic and Republican spin machines are working in overdrive at the moment. Democratic Governors Association executive director Nathan Daschle has released a memo to the media detailing the long historical odds his party faced in winning either of the two gubernatorial races up for grabs tomorrow.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 2, 2009; 3:01 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (61)
Categories:  Fix Poll  
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The Most Important Number in Politics Today

5 That's the number of times that a new Republican National Committee ad running in New York's 23rd district uses the word "conservative", evidence that establishment GOPers are trying to wrangle the energy of the party base for their political purposes.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 2, 2009; 1:24 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (44)
Categories:  Most Important Number  
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Dede Scozzafava and the Fix Endorsement Hierarchy

State Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava's (R) stunning Sunday decision to support Democrat Bill Owens over Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman in the special election in New York's 23rd district got us to thinking about where such a move fits into our Fix endorsement hierarchy.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 2, 2009; 10:31 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (26)
Categories:  House  
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Morning Fix: A ground war in New Jersey

Nearly $40 million has been spent on television ads by the three candidates and a myriad of interest groups in the New Jersey governor's race but it is on the ground not in the air where the race will be won and lost tomorrow, according to strategists on both sides of the partisan divide.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 2, 2009; 5:32 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (79)
Categories:  Morning Fix  
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NY-23: Scozzafava Endorses Owens

State Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava (R), who dropped from the special election in Upstate New York yesterday, has now thrown her support to Democrat Bill Owens.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 1, 2009; 2:23 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (215)
Categories:  House  
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