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Afternoon Fix: Carnahan raises $2.1 million in third quarter; Rand Paul up with ad featuring Obama impersonator


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* Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan's (D) Senate campaign will announce $2.1 million raised in the third quarter, a campaign source tells The Fix, bringing it near parity with Rep. Roy Blunt's (R) more than $2 million raised. Outside groups are spending heavily for Blunt, but this remains arguably Democrats' best pickup opportunity.


* Republican Rand Paul's Kentucky Senate campaign is up with a new ad featuring an Obama impersonator - Paul's first negative ad against state Attorney General Jack Conway (D).

* A new poll from California GOP governor candidate Meg Whitman's campaign shows her statistically tied with state Attorney General Jerry Brown, with Brown at 43 percent and her at 41. The poll, from pollster David Hill, also shows Whitman holding on to the support of 30 percent of Hispanics, despite a recent flap over her hiring and subsequent treatment of an illegal immigrant.

* New Fox News polls show Republicans leading in West Virginia (John Raese 48, Gov. Joe Manchin 43), Nevada (Sharron Angle 49, Sen. Harry Reid 46), Missouri (Blunt 50, Carnahan 42) and Ohio (Rob Portman 53, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher 37). Meanwhile, a third-straight poll shows state Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D) up double-digits on Linda McMahon (R) in Connecticut.

* Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R) outraised Rep. Joe Sestak (D) $3.8 million to $3.2 million in the third quarter, according to numbers released by their respective Senate campaigns. Toomey has outraised Sestak every quarter this cycle.

* Democratic Governors Association Chairman Jack Markell, at a press conference this morning, said things are improving for his candidates. "Republican are counting on the electorate to be blindingly hostile ... but voters are not looking to punish a party," Markell said. "They're looking for results, and I'm confident they'll gravitate toward governors who will produce those results."

* Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden (D), the son of Vice President Joe Biden who opted not to run for Senate this year, is the most popular politician in his state, according to a new poll. Sixty-one percent of voters view him favorably.


* President Obama will do a "youth town hall" airing on MTV, BET and CMT the afternoon of Oct. 14.

* Now that Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) is officially on the 2012 GOP presidential radar, does Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.) join him? Pence gets the treatment in the Des Moines Register - the main newspaper in a state he would likely need.

* Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and former Ambassador to Ireland Tom Foley (R) take part in a Connecticut gubernatorial debate tonight at 7.

* Outgoing Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle (R) is dropping hints about a 2012 challenge to Sen. Daniel Akaka (D), as well as an increased role in the national GOP. For a party seeking female voices, she could be a big one.

* Doug Hoffman has opted not to pursue another third-party campaign in New York's 23rd district. Hoffman lost the Republican primary and remains on the ballot as the Conservative Party nominee, but he will not campaign - helping the GOP's chances of winning a seat it lost in a special election last year.


Don't ask us to explain it. Just watch it.

With Felicia Sonmez and Aaron Blake

By Aaron Blake  | October 5, 2010; 5:00 PM ET
Categories:  Afternoon Fix  
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Next: Senate Republicans seek to link Michael Bennet to Obama, Pelosi

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