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Afternoon Fix: Cornyn says GOP won't retake Senate; projections for House continue to tilt toward Republicans; O'Donnell can't air 30-minute ad

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* National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn (Texas) predicted in an appearance on NBC's Today Show this morning that "we don't get the majority back, but we come awfully close and finish the job in 2012."

* The Cook Political Report has moved four more Democratic House seats into the "lean Republican" category, making 29 where Republicans are favored, 49 toss-ups and 120 total Democratic seats in play. Reps. Jim Oberstar (D-Minn.), Mike McIntyre (D-N.C.), Rick Boucher (D-Va.) and Chellie Pingree (D-Maine) are among the newest "toss-up" seats.

* A new Reuters/Ipsos poll predicts Republicans are poised to win some 53 seats and take a 231-204 majority in the House.

* Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele said Republican leaders talking bad about Sarah Palin "need to shut up" and focus on winning on Tuesday.

* Christine O'Donnell is trying to run a new 30-minute campaign ad in the Delaware Senate contest. Unfortunately, she's having trouble getting it on the air.


* Cornyn poo-pooed talk of a new GOP Senate majority next year, but a 50-50 Senate seems entirely possible; Republicans would need to win five of seven toss-up races to get an even split. At that point, of course, the wooing of Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) and Ben Nelson (D-Neb.) by Republicans and Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) by Democrats would be intense. All three are up in 2012, though, and are close to a man who lost a primary after switching parties - outgoing Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.).

* Former President Bill Clinton is stumping today for Democratic Reps. Scott Murphy and Bill Owens in New York, as well as Senate candidates Joe Manchin (W.Va.), Jack Conway (Ky.) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (Fla.), and Florida governor candidate Alex Sink.

* Want to know what turnout is expected to be like in key states? Or how much of that turnout was in early voting? Check out George Mason University professor Michael McDonald's projections.

* Check out some of the odder moments of the 2010 campaign, in a three-minute video from the Washington Post's Anqoinette Crosby.

* Make sure to take part in The Fix's Election Prediction Contest. The winner gets a Fix T-shirt! For cash prizes, try Anzalone Liszt's "Beat the Pollsters" contest.


Lee Fisher gets down, and not in the polls this time

With Felicia Sonmez and Aaron Blake

By Aaron Blake  | November 1, 2010; 5:00 PM ET
Categories:  Afternoon Fix  
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Next: Late Senate polls show GOP trending up slightly

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