Afternoon Fix: Republican polls show four Western House races in dead heat; DSCC launches new ads in Delaware and West Virginia
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FIRST ON THE FIX
* The National Republican Congressional Committee's independent expenditure unit is coming out with new polls in four key districts, all showing the races virtually tied. Rep. John Salazar (D-Colo.) 45 percent, state Rep. Scott Tipton (R) 45 percent; former Maricopa County Treasurer David Schweikert (R) 45 percent, Rep. Harry Mitchell (D-Ariz.) 44 percent; state Rep. Scott Bruun (R) 45 percent, Rep. Kurt Schrader (D-Ore.) 44 percent; and dentist Paul Gosar (R) 45 percent, Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.) 42 percent. The GOP leads the generic ballot by double digits in all but Schrader's district.
* The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has reserved time in the Davenport, Iowa, and the Champaign-Springfield-Decatur, Ill., media markets -- likely both for Rep. Phil Hare (D-Ill.). Hare is perhaps the biggest surprise among members the DCCC has spent money on thus far, but recent GOP polling has shown him in the 30s.
WHAT YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED
* The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is up with new TV ads hitting businessman John Raese (R) and marketing consultant Christine O'Donnell (R) in the West Virginia and Delaware Senate races.
* New Fox News polls show Democrats trailing in the Wisconsin, Colorado and Ohio Senate races and statistically tied in Washington and Illinois. In gubernatorial races, Republicans lead in Wisconsin and Illinois, and are tied in Ohio. And in Colorado, Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) has a ten-point lead over American Constitution Party nominee Tom Tancredo, who has surged ahead of businessman Dan Maes (R).
* The Republican National Committee is launching a new TV ad in Alabama's 2nd district featuring Montgomery Councilor Martha Roby (R) promising to deliver "real, conservative change."
* Former Rep. Rick Lazio (R-N.Y.) said in a radio interview that controversial emails sent by gubernatorial nominee Carl Paladino (R) "are completely offensive, unacceptable, have never been part of the party I belong to or associate with." Lazio added: "I believe the Republican Party has a lot of soul searching to do here."
* A new CNN poll shows that 47 percent of adults -- and 51 percent of independents -- think that the national health care overhaul should be repealed and replaced.
WHAT YOU SHOULDN'T MISS
* President Obama headlines a "Moving America Forward" rally at the University of Wisconsin at 7 p.m. Eastern. Meanwhile, Vice President Biden headlines a fundraiser for Illinois Senate nominee Alexi Giannoulias (D) in New York.
* Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden (D) will be on "John King, USA" tonight at 7 p.m. Eastern. Will he weigh in on the Delaware Senate race and his dad's comments that the Democratic base should "stop whining"?
* Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) stops by "Hannity" at 9:30 p.m. Eastern. Will he give any more clues as to his potential 2012 aspirations?
* California Attorney General Jerry Brown (D) and former eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R) face off in their first gubernatorial debate at 9 p.m. Eastern tonight. Watch it live here.
* Obama will campaign for Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) on Oct. 7, according to two Maryland Democratic sources. Obama also recorded a radio ad for O'Malley saying that the governor "has moved Maryland forward."
THE FIX MIX
Don't try this at home.
With Felicia Sonmez and Aaron Blake