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Posted at 2:18 PM ET, 02/22/2011

Fix prediction contest: The Chicago mayoral election!

By Chris Cillizza



Former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel is running for mayor of Chicago. Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images

It's been 112 days since the November election -- who's counting? -- but voters are (finally) voting again!

The Chicago race for mayor is today.

Adding to the intrigue is the presence on the ballot of former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel who is trying to return to elected office after several years of working by President Obama's side in Washington.

Emanuel is the clear frontrunner although he faces former Chicago board of education president Gery Chico and former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun among others.

The real drama is not whether Emanuel will finish first, however, but whether he will win a simple majority of the vote and, in so doing, avoid an April 5 runoff with the second highest vote-getter.

Polling shows Emanuel very close to 50 percent but even his staunchest allies are hesitant to predict that he will break the majority mark tonight.

What do you think? In the comments section below, make your prediction for the order of finish -- with percentages! -- for Emanuel, Chico and Moseley Braun.

The person who finishes closest to the mark will win an official Fix t-shirt, making you the envy of political nerds everywhere!

Polls close in Chicago at 8 p.m. eastern time so any predictions made after that time won't count. Looking for more on Rahm and his campaign? Make sure to check out Scott Turow's terrific piece in the New York Times magazine.

Predict away!

By Chris Cillizza  | February 22, 2011; 2:18 PM ET
Categories:  Democratic Party  
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