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AFL-CIO Forum Preview: The Big 3

The Democratic presidential candidates will hold their umpteenth debate tonight. And, of course, we'll be liveblogging the proceedings starting at 7 p.m. (You can also watch the event on MSNBC).

But, before the forum begins here are our thoughts on tonight's proceedings.

The biggest question is how much former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) and Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) take the fight to Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) over the lobbying issue. In last weekend's YearlyKos forum the duo of Edwards and Obama managed to throw Clinton off her game by forcing her into a defense of lobbyists -- not the most popular stance in a race where "change" is the operative word.

Edwards will likely to continue to pressure Clinton to take a pledge to stop accepting any contributions from registered federal lobbyists, Clinton will resist making such a pledge, believing that sticking to her guns keeps her from being called a flip-flopper. The linchpin will be Obama who is working feverishly to carry the mantle of reform in this race. If Obama again throws in with Edwards, it could be a tough night for Clinton.

Attacking Clinton can be a dangerous proposition, however. Just ask former Rep. Rick Lazio (R-N.Y.). At a debate during their 2000 senate race Lazio crossed the stage to challenge Clinton to sign a clean campaign pledge; the move totally backfired as viewers thought Lazio was trying to bully Clinton. Edwards and Obama run that same risk -- especially because tonight's forum, unlike YearlyKos, is on national television.

It will also be interesting to watch how hard Clinton pushes back (if at all) on the fundraising records of Edwards and Obama as it relates to lobbyists, A Los Angeles Times story (registration required) that ran over the weekend detailed the lobbyist ties of both candidates, giving Clinton ready ammunition if she chooses to fire it.

Aside from the Clinton-Edwards-Obama dynamic, watch to see whether Edwards takes advantage of the pro-labor audience. He has spent much of the time since losing the vice presidential race in 2004 courting labor unions and his message fits nicely with the crowd he will address tonight. Edwards benefitted at Kos from a crowd favorably disposed to him and could build momentum if he is able to put together another strong performance tonight.

By Chris Cillizza  |  August 7, 2007; 5:39 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Next: A Forum Disclaimer

Comments

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Posted by: mbvtheo unxhyqaci | August 21, 2007 9:30 AM | Report abuse

Obama-Gore? Are you crazy? Of course you are.

Posted by: Mike | August 9, 2007 2:29 AM | Report abuse

Well, it's a catch-22. Until REAL campaign finance reform is passed, special interest/corporate $ is the only way to be a real player in the game. If you don't accept special interest and corporate $, the chances of being competitive in a presidential race are none to none. Even if you could get the Dem nomination, how the heck can you compete against Repubs like Bush Jr., with his billionaire frat buddies? The problem is systemic, and until the system changes - whining about Hillary raising tens of millions of dollars will only serve as a red herring that further prevents discussion of the real issues. Then again, the only real issue these days seems to be fundraising.

Posted by: BlueDog | August 7, 2007 9:18 PM | Report abuse

Finally. GET HER. Bush-Cheaney clone

The time for change is now. Obama Gore 08

Obama Edwards 08

Posted by: rufus | August 7, 2007 6:39 PM | Report abuse

Edwards needs to shine in front of the labor crowd. That's his only hope for a victory.

Good debate preview
http://political-buzz.com/2007/08/07/afl-cio-democratic-debate-preview/

Posted by: matt | August 7, 2007 5:52 PM | Report abuse

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