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Michigan Primary Prediction Time!

One week after the shocking finish in New Hampshire's Democratic primary, it's time to get back on your prediction horse. The Michigan primary, which is only being contested on the Republican side, gives everyone in The Fix community a chance to bounce back from last Tuesday.

So, have at it in the comments section below. Remember: We want the correct order of finish on the Republican side (with percentages) as well as the story line coming out of the Michigan primary.

The winners will get the increasingly coveted Fix t-shirts, which we will hopefully have ready before Election Day 2008!

Looking for ways to entertain yourself between now and when polls close at 8 p.m. ET? Click on this interactive Michigan map. Also, this video is just plain funny.

Need a little guidance for your guessing? Our "experts" were a little more skittish about offering predictions this time around; as Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster who is not aligned with any candidate, put it: "Getting it right has a lot more to do with luck than insight."

But there were a brave few souls who forged on despite the recent adversity. Their picks are below:

* Matt Bennett, Democratic strategist

McCain: 33%
Romney: 25
Huckabee: 18

Storyline: "Independents boost McCain; Romney is a Dead Man walking."

* John Feehery, Republican consultant

Romney: 33%
McCain: 32
Huckabee: 27

Storyline: "A close election gives only a small bounce to Romney."

* Mark Nevins, Democratic consultant

McCain: 27%
Romney: 26
Huckabee: 20

Storyline: "You can't stop the McCain train."

* Neil Newhouse, Republican pollster

Romney: 31%
McCain: 30
Huckabee: 21

Storyline: "Michigan favorite son wins narrow victory."

* Bob Stevenson, Republican consultant

Romney: 34%
McCain: 30
Huckabee: 23

Storyline: "Detroit puts Romney back in gear."

By Chris Cillizza  |  January 15, 2008; 2:27 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Wag the Blog: Clinton, Obama and Race
Next: Expectations Game Underway in Michigan

Comments

How do I go about suing for the rights of Michigan voters to have their primary votes counted?Voter's Rights
judi775@earthlink.net

Posted by: jak | April 25, 2008 1:39 PM | Report abuse

Hmmm, 9:45 PM ET now, so it may be too late for me to enter some bona fide predictions on the outcome of the Michigan Republican primary today? But I honestly have not seen any returns, exit polls, nothing. So here's what I'm wagering will happen with the GOP this evening:

36% Romney
30% McCain
19% Huckabee
8% Paul
4% Giuliani
1% Thompson
2% Other

Will be interesting to see who wins out! This is the first U.S. presidential primary election in my lifetime (born 1969) where the Republican establishment had not clearly crowned a royal successor by this point or soon after! How strange it is to see some stirrings of democracy among the R's. Very unfamiliar territory.

Posted by: Expelliarmus | January 15, 2008 9:48 PM | Report abuse

I found this great article on the topic at www.SAVAGEPOLITICS.com. It raises some great issues. Here is an excerpt:

"For the last couple of days we have heard incessant commentary in the mainstream mediums about the racial issues brought up recently in the Democratic side of this season's primary elections. This, amongst the vast criticisms that the Clinton campaign has received for supposedly sending out "agents" to spread rumors about Barack Obama's not too lustrous past, has Hillary's supporters scrambling for cover. Apparently, or so the press claims, there exists certain knowledge about a candidate's past that we are not supposed to discuss because they are "insensitive" or "negative". Robert L. Johnson, founder of Black Entertainment Television and supporter of Hillary Clinton's candidacy, recently caught some heat when he made public references to Barack Obama's past drug use (cocaine and marijuana) for being "ugly" attempts to discredit Obama's reputation amongst conservative Democrats. Tonight, in Nevada's Democrat debate, we will probably get to hear these candidates respond to this so-called "mud slinging" charges, which up until now are being leveled against both camps, and probably witness a pathetic "coming together" in which both lead candidates leave all this controversy behind. An act which is only done out of pure self-interest since they both know that this "race and gender" discussion hurts both camps somewhat equally. Once again, instead of witnessing an actual debate on real issues, we will get washed down campaign slogans, ad nauseum. What is the information contained in this Fine Print that the Media keeps pushing us to ignore until the election is over?..." Visit www.SAVAGEPOLITICS.com to see the rest of the article.

Posted by: elsylee28 | January 15, 2008 9:43 PM | Report abuse

romney 32
mccain 28
huckabee 14

clinton 52
uncommitted 38

storyline: GOP Game of Cut Throat Continues

Posted by: hawkgrrrl | January 15, 2008 8:43 PM | Report abuse

Romney 31
McCain 30
Thompson 13

Posted by: halloitsmark | January 15, 2008 8:14 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:06 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:05 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:05 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:05 PM | Report abuse

Ron Paul 30
John McCain 26
Mitt Romney 25

Anti war democrats vote heavily for Ron Paul.

Posted by: bbsdixon | January 15, 2008 8:03 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:03 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 31
Huckanee 19

Posted by: paul.deignan | January 15, 2008 8:03 PM | Report abuse

Pubs:

Romney 36%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 23%

Storyline: Mitten for Mitt, Back Up Mac!


Dems:

Uncommitted 63%
Clinton 37%

Storyline: Uncommitted Defeats Clinton!

Posted by: broxocrat | January 15, 2008 7:56 PM | Report abuse

Romney 33%
McCain 29%
Huckabee 14%

Storyline: The Mitten goes for Mitt. Mac's still back, but not on track.

Posted by: SofiaMJ | January 15, 2008 7:49 PM | Report abuse

storyline: only people who care about their candidates show up due to weather, romney drops out.

Posted by: xlrbnc | January 15, 2008 7:48 PM | Report abuse

mccain 31
huckabee 26
romney 25


clinton 70%
uncommitted 20%
other 10%

Posted by: xlrbnc | January 15, 2008 7:47 PM | Report abuse

32% Romney
29% McCain
20% Huckabee
8% Paul
6% Giuliani
4% Thompson

The race becomes even more muddled.

Posted by: mdthurlow | January 15, 2008 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36%
McCain 32%
Giuliani 12%
Huckabee 10%
Paul 5%
Thompson 4%

Storyline: McCain's "Straight Talk" too much for Michigan; Romney's Upbeat Message Carries the Day

Posted by: chickens97 | January 15, 2008 7:40 PM | Report abuse

McCain 33%
Romney 31%
Huckabee 24%

Story: Detroit jobs may be gone, but McCain isn't.

Posted by: cwalzberg | January 15, 2008 7:38 PM | Report abuse

I predict

35% Romney
30% McCain
18% Huckabee
9% Paul
5% Giuliani
1% Thompson

Storyline:

"Romney gets a desperately-needed gasp of air to stay alive, but troubled waters may still lie ahead in South Carolina and Nevada"

Posted by: mustafa.hirji | January 15, 2008 7:36 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 35
McCain: 30
Huckabee: 18
Paul: 8
Thompson: 5
Giuliani: 4

Romney wins big; helps himself ... and Giuliani.

Posted by: mschmidt73 | January 15, 2008 7:36 PM | Report abuse

McCain will be the next President of America, I think that Michigan wants to vote for the next "President of the United States of America McCain"!

Posted by: nicklan | January 15, 2008 7:30 PM | Report abuse

As expected, Dems and independents(who are predisposed toward McCain) are not turning out today and that is helping Romney.

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/01/exit_poll_favor.html

If they went off of math instead of "expectations" Mitt would already be the front-runner.

And if you only count Republican votes, he is definately the Republican front-runner

Posted by: OCOV | January 15, 2008 7:25 PM | Report abuse


Romney: 36%
McCain: 33%
Huckabee: 15%

Headline: Romney wins battle, but not war

Posted by: thelutheranmonk | January 15, 2008 7:15 PM | Report abuse

REPUBLICANS

McCain 28
Romney 25
Huckabee 22
Paul 8
Giuliani 7
Thompson 5

Media story: Romney falls victim to votes from crossover Democrats and independents; Huckabee places third, but still spins that as a victory; McCain is the consensus frontrunner

DEMOCRATS

Uncommitted 53
Clinton 44
Kucinich 2

Media story: Anti-Clinton/anti-negativity vote rocks Clinton campaign after racism controversy, Clinton minimizes the significance of this primary, Obama gets bounce in SC

Posted by: theseventen | January 15, 2008 7:08 PM | Report abuse

I find it interesting that the Democratic experts both picked McCain and the Republican experts all picked Romney. The snow and extremely low turnout make predictions even harder. I would guess that would benefit Huckabee because his evangelical supporters are highly motivated. I have to think low turnout hurts Romney, I don't think he has die hard supporters.

McCain 33%
Huckabee 25%
Romney 24%
Paul 9%
Giuliani 8%

Story Line - Straight Talk Express rides a sleigh across Michigan to victory. Romney proves to be about as authentic a "native son" as he is a "life-long hunter". Huckabee's evangelicals turn out and surprise the world with second place finish.

Posted by: jimd52 | January 15, 2008 7:00 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 31
McCain 30
Romney 26

Storyline: Sign of God - Huck wins Michigan!

Clinton 53
Uncommitted 44

Storyline: Clinton surprisingly weak in lone contest.

Posted by: darwinek | January 15, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

McCain 30
Romney 28
Huckabee 24

Storyline: McCain wins with strong showing amongst Independents and Democrats. Huckabee surprises as his supporters brave snow in low turnout election.

Posted by: tedjv | January 15, 2008 6:47 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 31
Romney 29
McCain 28

Huckabee wins in low turnout election because of evangelical vote. Low turnout points to Democratic victory in November

Posted by: steven08817 | January 15, 2008 6:47 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 31%
McCain: 30%
Huckabee: 18%

Storyline: McCain, Romney, and Huckabee all survive heading into SC

Posted by: daniel | January 15, 2008 6:46 PM | Report abuse

Romney 33
Huckabee 24
McCain 21

Headline:
Romney wins big, but his momentum is overshadowed by Huckabee's strong showing and McCain's collapse with the low turnout.

Posted by: john.fetters | January 15, 2008 6:38 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35%

McCain 29%

Huckabee 15%

Storyline: Despite Democrats and independents voting for McCain and distorted news and excessive picking on Romney by the media, enough Michigan voters were smart and Romney still wins.

Posted by: srfncpa | January 15, 2008 6:35 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 34
McCain: 29
Huckabee:20

Headline:
Romney lives to fight (seriously) for another day, but really it's still what happens in South Carolina that matters.

Posted by: paulmcmaster | January 15, 2008 6:28 PM | Report abuse

Re: JKrishnamurti & Claudialong

Folks, could we please stay on topic? Make a prediction or wait for the usual threads.

Thank you,

Miss Manners

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | January 15, 2008 6:26 PM | Report abuse

Romney gets a small yet critical boost going into Carolina.

Mitt Romney 36
John McCain 32
Mike Huckabee 21

Posted by: DPeyton | January 15, 2008 6:26 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30%

McCain 28%

Huckabee 17%

Storyline: Romney's campaign is revived, he heads into south carolina as new Gop front runner.

Hillary 52%

Uncommitted 48%

Storyline: Hillary barely defeats uncommitted, bolds ill for her campaign in future contest.

Posted by: lumi21us | January 15, 2008 6:25 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 30
Huckabee 18

Storyline: 4 states choose 4 different winners. Will South Carolina and Florida make 5 and 6?

Second storyline: would Romney be in better shape if he had campaigned as a business technocrat instead of a right wing demagogue from the get go?

Posted by: LACinDC | January 15, 2008 6:22 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 29.5
McCain 29
Romney 28

Bad weather and committed voters create Huck-a-boom in Michigan!

Posted by: kenndeshane | January 15, 2008 6:22 PM | Report abuse

McCain 31%
Romney 28%
Huckabee 15%

Posted by: barno | January 15, 2008 6:18 PM | Report abuse

Romney 29%
McCain 23%
Huckabee 19%

"Snow Blows Away Support from the Arizona Snow Bird; Ron Paul Demands Recount."

Clinton 50%
Uncommitted 35%
Obama (write-in) 8%
Edwards (write-in) 3%

"Edwards Claims Moral Victory, Vows as President to Provide Free Pencils to all Michigan Residents"

Posted by: angrydoug1 | January 15, 2008 6:18 PM | Report abuse

Romney 28.7
McCain 28.2
Huckabee 25.4

Romney by whisker in low turnout
Huckabee surprises


Posted by: fllewellyn | January 15, 2008 6:14 PM | Report abuse

McCain 38%
Romney 27%
Huckabee 23%

Media take: "Independents and Democrats cross over to give McCain a solid win."

OH, and Hillary will beat the uncommitteds by 55/40%

Posted by: LarryMason1 | January 15, 2008 6:12 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32%
McCain 29%
Huckabee 21%

Storyline: Romney no Edsel, lives to fight another day. Giuliani one happy camper.

Posted by: rkmfcca | January 15, 2008 6:07 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 29.(higher)%
McCain: 29.(lower)%
Huckabee: 21

hizzoner should try to parlay this loss into modestly-sized city council bid in northwestern Florida.

Posted by: cougarcage | January 15, 2008 6:07 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 41
McCain: 39
Thompson: 9

Storyline: Romney gets needed win, muddles Republican field even more.

Posted by: b.gastel | January 15, 2008 6:04 PM | Report abuse

Romney - 32%

McCain - 30%

Huckabee - 13%

Story line: A close win buys Romney a bit more time.

Posted by: txsig78 | January 15, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Personally, even Vote that is going to suffer as much Attrition Voting as this Primary is suffering due to the Dimocrat interferance-because they do not have to decide for their own, almost makes the Winner, a "Tainted" Victor!

In other words, it is hard to view the results as legitimate!

Posted by: rat-the | January 15, 2008 5:59 PM | Report abuse

Ron Paul 28%
Romney 26%
McCain 24%
Huckabee 16%

Clinton 54%
Uncommitted 46%

"Ron Paul feeds Media Humble Pie"

Posted by: trambusto | January 15, 2008 5:59 PM | Report abuse

off topic - Zouk, would you agree that the race is now no longer as much about terrorism as about the economy? And if so, how does that affect your boy Rudy?

Posted by: bokonon13 | January 15, 2008 5:57 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 32%
McCain: 30%
Huckabee: 26%

Storyline: Well, Now We Have No Idea!

Posted by: comtrevor | January 15, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

Paul: 28%
McCain: 26%
Romney: 17%

Storyline: Republicans Seen Jumping Out of 10-Story Building Windows

Posted by: dlwellskc | January 15, 2008 5:53 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 31%
Huckabee: 27%
McCain: 25%

Storyline: Romney wins; surprise second by The Other Man From Hope. South Carolina race is truly unpredictable now.

Posted by: paulalgire | January 15, 2008 5:49 PM | Report abuse

KUCINICH WINS MICHIGAN!! It may not be of consequence for the delgate race, but Dennis has won every online poll among real progressives. For those progressives who are so hell bent on Obama for 'change' you should really look at Dennis. If you REALLY want change, Dennis is the only candidate who will bring it about. Obama and Clinton will only be the same corporate slaves as those in the past.

Posted by: deljunk | January 15, 2008 5:48 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 17%

Mitt strikes gold!Lightening did not strike twice for McCain.

Clinton 60%
Uncommitted 27%

Posted by: LadyEagle | January 15, 2008 5:47 PM | Report abuse

Romney-36%

McClown-32%

Huckster-26%

Storyline-"Romney only won because Daily KOS losers supported Him, even though most of us actually voted for McCain!"

And in the Real World, -Romney gets his laid out strategies across, and people realize a One Dimensional Demented Oldest Man, is not Statesman Material! And, that Huck is VP, so who cares if he wound up third? That Base is getting added to Mitt!

Posted by: rat-the | January 15, 2008 5:44 PM | Report abuse

Hey Chris,
Big crossover due to lack of interest in Dem primary puts McCain over top but also gives Romney an excuse to stumble on.
McCain 32%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 22%

Posted by: jthalsey | January 15, 2008 5:44 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 38%
Huckabee: 29%
Romney: 26%

Storyline: Huckabee shocker attributed to low turnout and evangelical fervor

REAL Storyline: pundits get it all wrong again; Huckabee charms not-necessarily-religious social conservative freakazoid voters who can't bear the thought of a John McCain presidency, but who are equally turned off by Romney. McCain holds the center and wins by attrition.

Posted by: stupid | January 15, 2008 5:42 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34%
McCain 31%
Huckabee 22%

Storyline: Romney wins close contest, GOP contest remains up for grabs.

Posted by: pbratt15 | January 15, 2008 5:40 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35%
McCain 27%
Huckabee 26%

McCain's star tarnished - limps into SC to be eliminated.

Posted by: dwilks | January 15, 2008 5:40 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 30%
Huckabee: 24
Romney: 22

Huckabee all but ends Romney's run.

Posted by: fourhourelection | January 15, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 35%
Romney: 25
Huckabee: 15
Paul: 10
Giuliani: 5
Thompson: 5

Voters want honest combined with experience. Romney's too low on the trust factor, and they're afraid they'll get the equivalent of an Edsel. Bain Capital was responsible for a lot of 'downsizing' to make more money for the owners, and that's not what the people of Michigan want.

Posted by: TomJx | January 15, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Well, well. Look at the McCainiacs taking a page out of the Ron Paul playbook of conspiracy theories. Ha.

Here's news to those who obviously don't follow politics:
1) The average Michigan Democrat has no idea what Daily Kos is.
2) The average Michigan Democrat is much more likely to vote for McCain than any other Republican candidate (anyone remember 2000?).
3) Having no real Democratic race helps McCain; however, the heavy snowfall and the new "declaring" party rule helps Romney.

My Predictions:
Romney 40%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 9%

Storyline: Motown fuels Romney Turnaround.

Posted by: OCOV | January 15, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Romney 39%
McCain 28%
Huckabee 16%

Absentee Voters Put Romney Over the Top

Posted by: ertel | January 15, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35%
Romney 28%
Huckabee 12%

Headline: "McCainiacs lead the charge!"

Posted by: williamland | January 15, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36%
McCain 29%
Huckabee 23%

Story: Low-turnout (increased importance of absentee ballots and organization) propels Romney to easy victory.

Posted by: mlazar | January 15, 2008 5:35 PM | Report abuse

Romney - 33.7%
McCain - 30.3%
Huckabee - 15.8%

Storeyline:
Romney Win Hurts Huckabee in S.C., Boosts McCain

Posted by: benstewart16 | January 15, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

Romney 33
McCain 31
Huckabee 22

The media will miss the real story, which is that Romney wins 10 of 15 congressional districts and thus a big majority of the delegates, while Huckabee's 3rd place finish is hollow, since he takes 0 districts and probably no delegates.

It's a delegate hunt, and Mitt remains in the driver's seat.

Posted by: ThunderMalloy | January 15, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 38%
Romney: 30%
Huckabee: 19%

Discruntled Democrats & Independants TKO Romney, McCain takes the Belt again.

Posted by: tonu1973 | January 15, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

Democrats

Clinton 48%
Uncommitted: 32%

Republicans:

Romney 38%
McCain: 32%
Huckabee 16%
Paul 5%
Guiliani 4%

Posted by: seriksson | January 15, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 32%
Romney 30%
McCain 29%

"Religious Voters Propel Huckabee to Victory"

Posted by: cmricha | January 15, 2008 5:27 PM | Report abuse

Prediction Time:

Romney 38
McCain 28
Huckabee 24

Storyline -- Absentee electorate lifts native son; Independents stay home while Huckabee shows surprising strength.

Clinton 56
Uncommitted 28

Storyline -- Democratic vote a no-show.

Jack
Tallahassee, Florida

Posted by: marathonjack | January 15, 2008 5:22 PM | Report abuse

Romney _33.01%

McCain __33.01/2%

Rudy ___.3%

Storyline:Unstoppable Mittmentum!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Michigan to America: You still have Ken Doll "The Adorable Pinata" to kick around!

Posted by: rfpiktor | January 15, 2008 5:21 PM | Report abuse

romney: 32%
mccain:30%
huckabee: 18:%

story: GOP race -- one big muddle.

Posted by: acowells | January 15, 2008 5:21 PM | Report abuse

Since we're throwing darts...

McCain - 36%
Romney - 28%
Huckabee - 28%
Paul - 7%

Storyline: Romney: his name wasn't enough; SC to again determine frontrunner

Posted by: femalenick | January 15, 2008 5:16 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 36
Romney 33%
McCain 31%

Low turnout and motivated evangelicals conrinue the Huckaboom!

Posted by: estebanwt2 | January 15, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse

McCain 34%
Romney 33%
Huckabee 19%

"McCain battles on, Romney settles for another silver, late rush for the polls and McCai"n.

Posted by: stjetters | January 15, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse

McCain 33%
Romney 30%
Huck 20%

Storyline: 3 silvers and out for Romney. The "Huck" stops here in SC, setting up McCain vs. Rudy on super Tuesday.

Posted by: Larsen770 | January 15, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse

McCain 33%
Romney 32%
Huckabee 19%

McCain wins narrowly, with veteran and bipartisan support, and riding energy from packed townhalls.

Romney wins on anti-McCain, hopeful auto industry talk, and memories of Daddy Romney.

Posted by: jof104 | January 15, 2008 5:12 PM | Report abuse

McCain - 37
Romney - 31
Huckabee - 15

McCain wins by a solid margin because of the lack of a real Democrat primary and his appeal to independent voters.

Posted by: adam_isackson | January 15, 2008 5:10 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 34%
Romney: 30%
Huckabee: 16%

Posted by: MikeReynard | January 15, 2008 5:08 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 30
McCain: 28
Huckabee: 18

Fluid GOP race shows no signs of settling.

Posted by: segatony | January 15, 2008 5:07 PM | Report abuse

Romney - 33
McCain - 31
Huckabee - 22

Storyline: Romeny is in it for the long haul. All eyes turn to South Carolina.

Posted by: burkemic99 | January 15, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
Huckabee 28
McCain 26

Low voter turnout gives win to native son and evangelicals and sends the straight talk express on a detour.

Posted by: anjos | January 15, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 36%
Romney: 30%
Huckabee: 16%

MI Democrats Give McCain the GOP Nomination

Posted by: cdmontgo | January 15, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36

Huckabee 33

McCain 31

Tight Three-Way Race Moves to SC

Posted by: lappzimm | January 15, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Couldn't help but notice that all the Republican consultants picked Romney and all the Democrats picked McCain. I guess it's true -- only Huckabee can make McCain the establishment choice.

My prediction:
McCain: 35
Romney: 33
Huck: 19

Storyline: "Independents & Dems cross over to boost McCain, enabling Romney to say results don't matter (Republicans really voted for him)"

Posted by: jamesstack | January 15, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 30
Huckabee 21

Posted by: democrat57 | January 15, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

What the heck, I'm going to go against the polls this time.

McCain 35
Romney 29
Huckabee 17

Red Rover, Red Rover: McCain Calls Crossovers Over

Posted by: judgeccrater | January 15, 2008 5:03 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 28
Huckabee 18

Romney Wins, Look for a Deadlocked Convention!

Posted by: adod | January 15, 2008 5:00 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30
McCain 29
Huckabee 23
Giuliani 7
Thompson 6
Paul 5

There is no story coming out of Michigan. Pundits and political writers brains are all exploded, and America is treated to a nice period of silence about the political race...until Nevada and South Carolina.

Posted by: blert | January 15, 2008 5:00 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 34
Romney: 25
Huckabee: 16

Posted by: PatrickNYC1 | January 15, 2008 4:59 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36
McCain 29
Huckabee 19

Romney Gets Gold at Last

Hillary 54
Uncommitted 41
Kucinich 4

Michigan Uncommitted to Hillary

Posted by: bstraw | January 15, 2008 4:59 PM | Report abuse

Uh-oh! A wrench thrown into the machinery...

A Michigan political blog notes that "...
Also remember that all ballots have a space for "Write-In" but DO NOT fill it out unless you want your ballot spoiled."

You just KNOW that half of the people who would have voted for Edwards or Obama are NOT going to have gotten the message. As long as there is a space for it, they will do their write-in rather than going uncommitted, and thus have their ballot invalidated. So the HRC versus Uncommitted percentages are going to be way skewed.

Posted by: govtDr | January 15, 2008 4:59 PM | Report abuse

Romney 33%
McCain 29%
Huckabee 13%

Storyline "Romney wins Michigan and no clear front runner in GOP race"

Posted by: karamjoyce | January 15, 2008 4:59 PM | Report abuse

I'll be nice today and not predict the winner as the one who gets the most votes. Seriously, the Huckster could play a major role in the faith dominated areas.

Posted by: lylepink | January 15, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 34%
McCain: 24%
Huckabee: 20%


Storyline: Michiganders go with who it knows (Romney) and Calvinists give Huckabee higher than expected boost in Western Michigan!

Posted by: trulywilde66 | January 15, 2008 4:55 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 30
Romney: 28
Huckabee: 17

Storyline(s): Reprising 2000, independents carry McCain to victory; Romney vows to carry on as criticism of his quixotic effort mounts; Huckabee, conservatives turn again to South Carolina to stop McCain.

Posted by: pres_elect45 | January 15, 2008 4:47 PM | Report abuse

The best blogger you've never read ALREADY called the Michigan Primaries at 4pm.

Seriously, may of us in SE Michigan enjoy this guy's writing. It's a blog with a healthy dose of humor. He's not afraid of ANYONE or ANYTHING.

http://www.ypsicitydesk.blogspot.com/

Me? I say Romney 30.6, McCain 30.4, Huckabee 22

Posted by: buttgoblin | January 15, 2008 4:45 PM | Report abuse

McCain 28%
Huckabee 27%
Thompson 18%
Sgt. Hulka 17%
The Ghost of Ronald Reagan 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Is This Thing On? 3%
Hulk Hogan 3%
Undecided 2%
Mitt Romney <1%

Storyline: Mitt Romney revealed to be a life-sized, animatronic Ken doll, with programmable memory, six identical sons, and three wives named Barbie. Mitt (TM) comes with memory card containing at least three fully detailed political positions and three backgrounds ("Massachusetts," "Salt Lake City," and the all-purpose "Campaign Trail"), and three outfits ("All-American Non-Threatening Mormon," "Conservative Christian," and "Heartless Capitalist.") "Sincerity," "Human Warmth" modules sold separately. This item available for a limited time only.

Posted by: bokonon13 | January 15, 2008 4:44 PM | Report abuse

It seems everyone but drindl and rufas are able to stay on topic. as usual.

Posted by: kingofzouk | January 15, 2008 4:43 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 28
McCain: 23
Huckabee: 17

Headline: WIDE-OPEN

Posted by: wtomasko09 | January 15, 2008 4:42 PM | Report abuse

Romney goes all in for make or break contest, McCain gets solid showing from independents but falls just short

Posted by: andre.jacque | January 15, 2008 4:42 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 32.5
Huckabee 16.5
Thompson 6.5
Paul 6.2
Giuliani 3.5
Other 0.8

Posted by: andre.jacque | January 15, 2008 4:40 PM | Report abuse

McCain 38 %
Romney 30 %
Huckabee 20 %

McCain closes the deal.

Posted by: apaulus | January 15, 2008 4:39 PM | Report abuse

I hope Romney wins because a screwed up GOP field is just plain funny. What idiots.

Posted by: thecrisis | January 15, 2008 4:39 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36%
McCain 31%
Huckabee 17%

Detroit Motors Mitt Move!
Huckabust!

Romney uses "comeback" at least three times in his victory speech.

Posted by: youcrew | January 15, 2008 4:39 PM | Report abuse

Romney +2 to +4 over McCain.

Story line: Idiot journalists begin babbling about a brokered convention. (Not really a prediction, since it's already started.)

Posted by: PeterPrinciple | January 15, 2008 4:36 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 32%
McCain: 30%
Huckabee: 19%

Evangelicals turn out for Huckabee, but there just aren't enough of them. Too little crossover voting means Romney takes it.

Posted by: usedto | January 15, 2008 4:34 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 26
Hucakbee 17

Despite the general dislike of Romney, he is the Republican frontrunner and will likely win the long hard slog to the nomination

Posted by: churtmah | January 15, 2008 4:32 PM | Report abuse

Romney 39
McCain 35
Huckabee 20

Romney's promise to save domestic auto industry garners win

Posted by: rbmorgan | January 15, 2008 4:32 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 31%
Romney 30
Mccain 29
Paul 8%

Storyline: Evengelicals and populist message carry Huckabee to victory; Mitten-shaped state does Mitt in.

Posted by: allensrose | January 15, 2008 4:30 PM | Report abuse

what does the light turnout say about voter enthusiasm for the canddiates?

Posted by: drindl | January 15, 2008 4:27 PM | Report abuse

Romney 37
McCain 31
Huckabee 22

The Romney victory will out a lot to low turnout and a lack of indepedents and Democrats crossing over to vote in the Republican primary. Going forward the big storyline will be McCain's failure to string together victories and persuade the establishment to back him. Without the perception of momentum his liabilities on immigration will hurt him in South Carolina and allow Huckabee to win there.

Posted by: caribouproject | January 15, 2008 4:23 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 31
Huckabee 24

Storyline: Michigan favored son got much needed victory, keeps McCain from being able to claim clear front runner status and the race is still wide open.

Posted by: thescuspeaks | January 15, 2008 4:22 PM | Report abuse

McCain 37
Romney 31
Huckabee 14

Posted by: Strong24 | January 15, 2008 4:21 PM | Report abuse

It turns out that AEC is closely tied to the Romney campaign -- something Landrith apparently didn't think to disclose. A scan through AEC's member rolls reveals the group's links to the Romney campaign:

Gary Marx, who holds the registration to the AEC website domain name, is "charged with handling conservative outreach for Romney."

Jay Sekulow, an AEC member, serves as "the co-chair of Mitt Romney's Faith and Values Coalition." His son, Jordan, is "a Romney staffer."

Paul Weyrich, a prominent leader in the social conservative movement who is listed third on AEC's list of members, endorsed Romney in November.

Lou Sheldon, an AEC member and chairman of the Traditional Values Coalition, endorsed Romney and serves as "one of the co-chairs of the 'Romney for President Faith and Values Steering Committee.'"

Gary Jarmin, seventh on the AEC list, is a vice-chair of Romney's National Faith and Values steering committee.

Posted by: drindl | January 15, 2008 4:17 PM | Report abuse

McCain 31
Huckabee 25
Romney 24

Independent voters and dems cross over to push Huck above native son.

In related news Romney stops at local Chrysler plant. Hair down 2 quarts.

Posted by: tonyjradco | January 15, 2008 4:17 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

Romney's latest attack on MCain:

'Last weekend, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney (R) previewed some of the right-wing attacks on global warming that will be featured during the upcoming presidential election, slamming Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) for his actions to confront climate change. He accused the senator of supporting "radical climate change legislation," and "pushing for a massive new energy tax."

To hit McCain, Romney has relied on an anti-environment front group, the American Environmental Coalition (AEC) to do the work for him. Last week, George Landrith, the co-Chairman of the group, likened McCain to Al Gore and compared the senator to a wolf in sheep's clothing:

When it comes to climate change, John McCain and Al Gore are far too much alike for my comfort. "

When listening to John McCain, it would seem that evangelicals should remember the biblical warning found in St. Matthew 7:15 to "beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves."

Posted by: drindl | January 15, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 34
Romney: 31
Huckabee: 17

Clinton: 51
Uncommitted: 32

"Too little, too late for Romney as Straight Talk Express barrels toward South Carolina"

Posted by: peter_kaplan | January 15, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
Huckabee 32
McCain 31

Romney survives; Crossover Dem. voters break more for Huck than McCain; Race still muddled.

Posted by: acasilaco | January 15, 2008 4:15 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:14 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:14 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:14 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:13 PM | Report abuse

McCain 34%
Romney 31%
Huck 17%

Posted by: alexlweaver | January 15, 2008 4:12 PM | Report abuse

I think Mark's numbers are good, although I would bet Paul turns out more voters than Guiliani.

I also think McCain was far more credible talking about creating new jobs and retraining than bringing back old jobs, when the workers of MI know very well they can't compete on wages with outsourced jobs in countries like China. Mitt just sounded like he was, once again, pandering.

Will Huckabee gain or lose more voters with remarks like this?

"I have opponents in this race who do not want to change the Constitution," Huckabee told a Michigan audience on Monday. "But I believe it's a lot easier to change the Constitution than it would be to change the word of the living god. And that's what we need to do -- to amend the Constitution so it's in God's standards rather than try to change God's standards so it lines up with some contemporary view."

Posted by: drindl | January 15, 2008 4:11 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes off Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:09 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes off Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Democrats:
Clinton 62
Uncommitted 34

Storyline: Who really cares?

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:08 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35
Romney 30
Huckabee 17
Paul 8
Giuliani 7
Thompson 3

Storyline: Suprising victory for McCain in Romney territory. Virtual end of Romney's campaign. One silver medal too far.

Posted by: gordie_foote | January 15, 2008 4:08 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 30
Romney 30
Mccain28

Huckabee shock as evangelicals embrace him

Posted by: irvoice | January 15, 2008 4:08 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 34%
McCain: 30%
Huckabee: 22%

"Romney wins his first victory. Brokered convention more likely."

Posted by: chocoguy0 | January 15, 2008 4:07 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes off Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:07 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 32
Huckabee 16
Guliani 7
Paul 6
Thompson 3
others 2

Storyline: Jobs not coming back to Michigan line loses Michigan for McCain. Romney pulls out a narrow victory by Jumping on that remark and pulling the extra votes needed. Romney of course will say whatever it takes to get elected. The Republican Primary is still wide open. Will it continue???? Stay tuned for South Carolina and Florida. This could go until the convention.

Posted by: mark_lusk30 | January 15, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

'no clear frontrunner, Rudy strategy working'

LOL

Posted by: drindl | January 15, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 29
Huckabee 19

'Homestate' keeps Romney alive

Posted by: martin.tollen | January 15, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35
Romney 34.5
Huckabee 27

McCain barely squeaks one out, as bad weather keeps independents home and voters see through Romney's "Everything to everyone" act.

Posted by: PBL4 | January 15, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

Republicans:
McCain 32
Romney 30
Huckabee 22

Storyline: Narrow McCain victory all but finishes off Romney, Huckabee takes strong third. It's off to South Carolina!

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | January 15, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee 27
Romney 26
McCain 23

Voters baffle pundits, pollsters yet again.

Posted by: gtb38 | January 15, 2008 4:02 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35
Romney 32
Huckabee 22

Romney finished yet vows to fight on, Huckabee's economic plan gives him higher than expected numbers.

Posted by: mg_the_slugger | January 15, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35
McCain 34
Huckabee 25

Story: Romney edges McCain in Michigan; Republican race in flux.

Posted by: billbolducinmaine | January 15, 2008 3:54 PM | Report abuse

34 Mitt
31 Mac
28 Mike

For well written article on Mac's money see:

www.phoenixnewtimes.com/2000-02-17/news/haunted-by-spirits/full - 129k

No big scandal... but interesting none the less... actually Im a little envious, what 42 year old wouldn't want to marry the 25 year old USC (Kappa Alpha Theta), Heiress to a Budweiser Distributor Fortune...

Posted by: fearirony2060 | January 15, 2008 3:53 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 36%
Romney: 32%
Huckabee: 19%

Storyline: "Non-event on Democratic side boosts second-largest independent turnout in Michigan GOP history and McCain victory. Facile promises of reclaimed jobs from Romney keep him close. Romney campaign celebrates another "silver", decides to plow ahead and see what happens in heavily-Mormon Nevada. McCain claims party mandate, despite losing the Republican-registered vote in Michigan."

Posted by: B2O2 | January 15, 2008 3:51 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 25
Huckabee 21
Paul 9
Thompson 6
Giuliani 5

"Romney lives to fight on to Super Tuesday."

(Commentary: I'm here in Michigan. My instincts are that independents aren't turning out for McCain because they don't want to have to register party affiliation.)

Posted by: edwardlahoa | January 15, 2008 3:50 PM | Report abuse

35 Romney
34 McCain
25 Huckabee

Romney's business background give him edge; Huckabee struggles to gain support of moderates

Posted by: montypython00 | January 15, 2008 3:49 PM | Report abuse

Election cancelled as mild cold snap causes mass breakdowns of voters' Detroit hunks-o-junk.

Posted by: kevrobb | January 15, 2008 3:47 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 33
Huckabee 19

Voters braving the bitter cold, hand Romney a slight victory in Michigan. Chaotic race leaves Rudy smiling in sunny Flordia.

Posted by: HokiePaul | January 15, 2008 3:45 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 28
Huckabee 17

"Romney's expensive victory keeps his campaign alive while the GOP race is still a mess after 3 contests."

Posted by: clarktaylor9 | January 15, 2008 3:45 PM | Report abuse

31 Romney
28 Huckabee
26 McCain

Confounding pundits, the Republican nomination mess moves to SC!

Posted by: aug10morris | January 15, 2008 3:43 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 35%
McCain: 29%
Huckabee: 17%
Romney's message of change and economic populism wins him a resurgence, and even some independents.

Posted by: myhojda | January 15, 2008 3:42 PM | Report abuse

Romney 31
McCain 30
Huckabee 14

Its a three-way race heading to SC

Posted by: goodwater1 | January 15, 2008 3:41 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 31
Huckabee 20

Storyline - Smart Democrats push Romney to narrow win, GOP doomed to spend more money swiftboating each other.

Posted by: kevrobb | January 15, 2008 3:38 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee: 30%

Romney: 29%

McCain: 28%

Headline: "What The Huck"

Posted by: zigman357 | January 15, 2008 3:38 PM | Report abuse

McCain 30
Huckabee 28
Romney 26

Exit poll statement: Voted against Romney because he represent the management that got us into this mess.

Posted by: SteelWheel1 | January 15, 2008 3:37 PM | Report abuse

McCain 32
Mitt 30
Huck 16

"McCain with back-to-back victories, and a much better speech, flying high into SC"

Posted by: rgustafs | January 15, 2008 3:37 PM | Report abuse

Michigan: Daily KOS wins Republican Primary; Romney heads to SC

Posted by: forces | January 15, 2008 3:36 PM | Report abuse

Romney 31

McCain 29

Huckabee 28

Posted by: lhaz | January 15, 2008 3:31 PM | Report abuse

GOP:
Romney - 31
McCain - 29
Huckabee - 22

Storyline - Romney lives to fight another day ...but does it matter? McCain still looks strong.

Posted by: ryanmi03 | January 15, 2008 3:31 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 34%
McCain: 31%
Huckabee: 17%

Storyline: Romney wins narrow victory, South Carolina is moment of truth for Huckabee.

Posted by: actanew | January 15, 2008 3:31 PM | Report abuse

Senator(Keating 5)McCain 35%

Governor (Flip-Flop) Romney 32%

Governor (Paroled that Rapist) Huckabee 17%


Storyline:

"Its over for Michigan's Favorite son. McCain heads to South Carolina with the wind at his back."


Posted by: Digital_Voter | January 15, 2008 3:27 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 37%
McCain: 33%
Huckabee: 21%

Storyline: Homecoming victory for Romney throws the GOP race even more wideopen.

Posted by: acope27 | January 15, 2008 3:26 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 20%

Romney's win makes it a 4 way battle between McCain, Huckabee, Thompson and Romney for South Carolina.

Posted by: yank1082 | January 15, 2008 3:25 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35%
Romney 33%
Huckabee 20%

McCain has big win, but fireworks at the Democratic debate steal the show.

Posted by: brs3f | January 15, 2008 3:24 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 32
Huckabee 20

Posted by: yank1082 | January 15, 2008 3:23 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32%
McCain 30%
Huckabee 24%

Tagline: "Romney Returns, and Breathes Life back into Giulani's Campaign"

Posted by: stephen.dreikorn | January 15, 2008 3:22 PM | Report abuse

McxCain edges Romney by 2-3%. And then Romney's campaign ends - in a blaze of failure in his native state...

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | January 15, 2008 3:21 PM | Report abuse

Romney 30%
McCain 26%
Huckabee 16%

"Michigan Gives Romney Victory, Muddles GOP Race"

Posted by: JSnapper | January 15, 2008 3:19 PM | Report abuse

GOP predictions
McCain-41%
Romney-27%
Huckabee-21%

Headline- "McCain is GOP's Golden Boy again! Can Romney survive another Silver."

Democrats-
Hillary-45%
Uncommitted-54%

Headline- "Hillary loses to a Nobody"

Posted by: AndyR3 | January 15, 2008 3:18 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 37%
McCain: 35%
Huckabee: 10%

Storyline: Romney wins on the economy, McCain makes a strong showing, and Huckabee is nowhere to be seen. Ron Paul hits a strong 4th place.

Posted by: dhmann | January 15, 2008 3:16 PM | Report abuse

Romney 33%
McCain 31%
Huckabee 21%

A narrow victory for Romney only prolongs the inevitability of his demise as rumblings of a Republican brokered convention grow louder. Giuliani lurks in the shadows with a wry grin.

Posted by: jallenba | January 15, 2008 3:16 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35%
McCain 33%
Huckabee 16%

Story,"Republican Race is wide open going into SC."

Dems:
Hillary 55%
Uncommitted 40%
Kucinich/other 5%

Story,"Hillary wins, strong uncommitted, result doesn't count anyway."

Posted by: jonathanmstevens | January 15, 2008 3:16 PM | Report abuse

Romney 38
McCain 30
Huckabee 18

Storyline: Economy overtakes national security, values issues even among Republican voters. Which will matter most on Feb. 5?

Posted by: inonit | January 15, 2008 3:16 PM | Report abuse

oh dave. I got your answer on that previous post.

Who cares about mi. the gop is doen for thrity years. Might as well talk about the dirt on mars.

""If it's dialogue that liberals want, why do they insist on throwing pies and trying to silence conservative speakers at universities and colleges instead of listening to their points of view and then putting forth counter arguements to show how wrong conservatives are? If it is a dialog that liberals want, why do they refuse to go on fox and carry on that dialogue? If it is a dialogue that liberals want, why are they trying so hard to take the talk radio choice away from the people and give that choice to the beaurocrats in the government instead of putting on shows that are intellegent and interesting to listeners so that they get ratings?

Posted by: dave | January 14, 2008 07:43 PM
"

you call what fox does dialoge? Rush Limbaugh is conversation? You mean to tell me, Sean Hannity does more quality reporting, than he does elementary school bullying. Nah.

Get the above off the air, and O'Reilly Savage, Coulter, Savage, Malkin. And so on and so forth and so on and so forth. The left does not have or want propoganda. Call a truce in verbal combat, and your vitrol attacks of americans, THEN WE CAN HAVE DIALOGUE. What you people now do is the same as russian and german propoganda of the early 20th century. You people havn't cahnged much. The world has. Stand down and we can fix the nation together. Or do not. your choice. But don't whine and complain about "fairness in the media". Free speech is not an issue here. There speech is not free. It's bought and paid for. Also the people they attack pay for what they say. Conflict of interests. That is what will get them. not the government, not liberals. conflict of interests.

Posted by: JKrishnamurti | January 15, 2008 10:19 AM

To call a rat a rat is not patisan reporting. that is wher the gop are lost causes. If your not a propogandist your "un-american". Not realizing it is the job of a newperson or journalist to tell the truth.

this is america. We are a self-government. In a self government you need all the real news you can get WITH AS LITTLE PROPOGANDA AN DLIES FOR PROFIT AS POSSIBLE. How can we vote and make educated decisions for the future with half truths and lies? We can't.

The gop and their cult is a party of sabotuers. But hey are doing good right? they know what's better for us than we do, right? this is america. I'd, and the american people, make the call what's best for me and my family myself. You can understand that can't you gop :)

Hypocrites.

Posted by: JKrishnamurti | January 15, 2008 10:25 AM
"

r

u

f

u

s

Posted by: JKrishnamurti | January 15, 2008 3:13 PM | Report abuse

McCain 28%
Romney 27.5%
Huckabee 19%

Storyline: McCain wins despite lower than expected turnout.

Posted by: jane.lockhart | January 15, 2008 3:11 PM | Report abuse

Romney 31%
McCain 28.9%
Huckabee 23%

"Romney lives another day"
"Democrats cheer, Republican race far from over"

Hillary 52%
Uncommitted 45%
Mickey Mouse 3%

Posted by: sjxylib | January 15, 2008 3:10 PM | Report abuse

McCain 33%
Romney 31%
Huckabee 19%

All eyes on SC for McCain-Huck showdown.

Posted by: krh23 | January 15, 2008 3:09 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36%
McCain 30%
Huckabee 18%

Michigan's native son takes the gold- were those who predicted his defeat brainwashed?

Posted by: mspiegelman | January 15, 2008 3:08 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 17%

Storyline: Chaos reigns for Republicans...no clear frontrunner emerges and a brokered convention could be possible.

Posted by: EricLopez1067 | January 15, 2008 3:07 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 24%

Romney survives, just.

Posted by: ezschwartz | January 15, 2008 3:00 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 35%
McCain: 27%
Huckabee: 19%

Storyline: A late-second surge helps Romney win Michigan by more than expected. GOP still has no frontrunner going into SC.

Posted by: paulnolette | January 15, 2008 2:57 PM | Report abuse

McCain 35
Romney 35
Huckaby 15

Storyline: Romney 'loses'.


Clinton 65
Uncommitted 28
Kucinich 7

Storyline: The delegates don't count.

Posted by: govtDr | January 15, 2008 2:54 PM | Report abuse

McCain: 31%
Romney: 30%
Huckabee: 22%

Storyline: Make that three silvers...or...Missed it by THAT much...

Posted by: dave | January 15, 2008 2:53 PM | Report abuse

Romney 42%
McCain 32%
Huckabee 21%

Posted by: gbachula | January 15, 2008 2:53 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 32%
McCain: 28%
Huckabee: 21%

Romney pulls off a "gold" victory based on a message of bringing jobs back to MI. The victory keeps his hopes alive and keeps the GOP nomination fight wide open heading into the all important South Carolina primary on saturday.

Posted by: politicsjg | January 15, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse

Romney 36
McCain 30
Huckabee 16

Storyline: Republican field in turmoil with Romney comeback.

Posted by: wiseguy205 | January 15, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse

Story line is nobody actually knows what happened; 3 RNCs control who gets majority of delegates.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | January 15, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse

McCain 32
Huckabee 26
Romney 25

Huckabee does better than expected while Romney is finished. It is officially a two man race.

Posted by: fetz | January 15, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse

Huckabee: 29%
McCain: 28%
Romney: 27%

Story line: Populist, Maverick, Native Son -- in that order.

Posted by: cybridge | January 15, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32, McCain 30, Huckabee 22

Low turnout seen as explanation for Romney victory, making this more a story of McCain's thwarted momentum than of Romney's narrow triumph.

Hillary 57, Uncommitted 40

Hillary beats back uncommitteds, but again low turnout gets much of the credit.

Posted by: gezi | January 15, 2008 2:51 PM | Report abuse

Mitt: 36%
Huckabee: 28%
McCain: 27%

Posted by: vbhoomes | January 15, 2008 2:51 PM | Report abuse

Romney 34
McCain 29
Huckabee 18

Romney stays alive and GOP free-for-all continues (but was it just unique factors like the snow or his dad?).

Posted by: billmcg | January 15, 2008 2:51 PM | Report abuse

Michigan should have 60 delegates but has 30.

Wwith 60 delegates Michigan Republicans would have: 45 district delegates[3 per district], 3 RNC delegates, 12 at-large delegates. RNC delegates are uncommitted; the district-level delegates are winner-take-all for the three delegates for each congressional district; and the at-large delegates are allocated proportionally with a 15 percentage point threshold to qualify.

Assuming 3 RNCs, 12 at larges, and 15 district delegates [1 per district]:

3 RNCs go uncommitted
12 at large split 5 McC, 5 WMR, 2 MDH
15 districts split 7 McC,5 WMR, 3 MDH

Posted by: mark_in_austin | January 15, 2008 2:50 PM | Report abuse

McCain 32%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 27%

McCain scores narrow win; exit polls, however, indicate Giuliani and Thompson were on voters' minds. Translated: voters thought they'd waste a vote on the latter two, but either might be more acceptable then the frontrunners in other primary circumstances.

Posted by: jaysalomon | January 15, 2008 2:50 PM | Report abuse

McCain- 31%
Romney- 28%
Huckabee- 15%

The comeback kid can close the deal by winning in South Carolina- Romney's money is all he has left.

Posted by: viola061985 | January 15, 2008 2:47 PM | Report abuse

Romney 35
McCain 34
Huckabee 18

Posted by: pcjnyc | January 15, 2008 2:47 PM | Report abuse

Can someone loan me some darts?

McCain 35
Romney 30
Huckabee 25

...

Rudy 'competitive in 50 states' Giuliani 3

storyline
"McCain surge is for real"

Posted by: bsimon | January 15, 2008 2:43 PM | Report abuse

Romney 38
McCain 26
Huckabee 19

Romney wins big, but was it "Democrats for Romney" (orchestrated by Daily Kos) that put him over the top? Republican nomination in chaos.

Posted by: mkopans | January 15, 2008 2:41 PM | Report abuse

Mitt - 29%
Mac - 27%
Huck - 12%

no clear frontrunner, Rudy strategy working

Posted by: kingofzouk | January 15, 2008 2:41 PM | Report abuse

Romney 26%
McCain 25%
Huckabee 17%

Storyline: Romney wins another 'gold" thanks to DailyKos.

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | January 15, 2008 2:41 PM | Report abuse

Romney: 33

McCain: 30

Huckabee: 23


Romney wins by addressing the state's economic woes. Could do better as recession looms.


Clinton: 52

Uncommitted: 48

Backlash against Clinton

Posted by: freedom41 | January 15, 2008 2:40 PM | Report abuse

Romney 32
McCain 30
Huckabee 21

Romney lives for another day

Posted by: brentb52 | January 15, 2008 2:33 PM | Report abuse

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