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Mississippi Primary Predictions

The focus of the Democratic presidential race turns today to Mississippi where Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) and Barack Obama (Ill.) square off for the last time before a long six week hiatus from votes.

The Magnolia State should be fertile territory for Obama due to its sizable (36 percent) black population and his past successes in southern state primaries, including Georgia, Alabama, Louisiana and South Carolina.

Polling in the state is scarce but Obama seems to be the favorite; Pollster.com shows Obama with an average of 54 percent to Clinton's 38 percent in Mississippi.

As regular Fix readers know, if there's a primary vote, there's a prediction contest going on here. We're changing things up a bit from our recent contests though. We still want the order of finish (with percentages) for Obama and Clinton but instead of predicting a storyline, which will almost assuredly be some variation of "On to Pennsylvania," we want your guess on what percentage of today's electorate African American voters will be.

Offer your predictions on both the order of finish and the black percentage of the vote in the comments section below. Any predictions e-mailed directly to me will not be counted. And, since polls close in Mississippi at 8 p.m. EDT, no predictions sent in after that time will be considered.

The winners will receive the official Fix T-shirt. Due to the extended primary (and caucus) season, The Fix had to order more t-shirts. But, the good news is that the shirts have been ordered and are on their way now. A past winner of the predictions contest? Soon you'll be the envy of your neighbors, friends and (most importantly) enemies as you sport your Fix t-shirt around town.

By Chris Cillizza  |  March 11, 2008; 2:14 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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