THE FRIDAY LINES
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Delaware Democrat Up
2 Connecticut Democrat None
3 Nevada Democrat Up
4 Ohio Republican None
5 Missouri Republican Down
6 Colorado Democrat None
7 New Hampshire Republican Down
8 Kentucky Republican Down
9 Illinois Democrat Up
10 (tie) Pennsylvania Democrat Up
10 (tie) Louisiana Republican Down
Republican Recruiting and the National Environment (Oct. 9, 2009) Getting Mike Castle is the latest in a series of recruitment successes for Senate Republicans.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 LA-02 Republican None
2 LA-03 Democrat Up
3 NY-23 Republican Up
4 NM-02 Democrat Up
5 IL-10 Republican Down
6 AL-02 Democrat Up
7 MD-01 Democrat Down
8 PA-06 Republican Down
9 CO-04 Democrat Up
10 PA-07 Democrat Up
A GOP-Friendly Environment (Sept. 25, 2009) The signs of an environmental change are everywhere.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Kansas Democrat None
2 Tennessee Democrat Up
3 Oklahoma Democrat Up
4 Vermont Republican Up
5 Hawaii Republican Down
6 R.I. Republican Down
7 Michigan Democrat Down
8 N.J. Democrat Up
9 Nevada Republican Down
10 Virginia Democrat Down
The First 15! (Sept.11, 2009) With 39 governors races between now and Nov. 2010, the top ten races just wasn't enough.
Rank Race Primary Change
1 Texas Gov. Republican None
2 Pa. Senate Democrat None
3 Calif. Gov. Republican Up
4 Connecticut Sen. Republican Up
5 Ky. Senate Democrat None
6 Illinois Gov. Democrat Up
7 California Gov. Democrat Down
8 Kansas Senate Republican Up
9 Colo. Senate Republican Up
10 Michigan Gov. Republican Down
The Four Elements of Great Primaries (Oct. 2, 2009) The Fix's top 10 list of best intraparty battles.
About Chris Cillizza  |  On Twitter: The Fix and The Hyper Fix  |  On Facebook  |  On YouTube  |  RSS Feeds RSS Feed

Ohio Falls to Obama

Ohio, the state in which Democrats' hopes for the presidency fell short four years ago, has gone for Barack Obama in this election -- a hugely important symbolic and practical victory for the Illinois senator.

Ohio

Ohio was called for Obama by around 9:30 p.m., making it the first red state to switch to blue so far on this election night.

Even in the days before the vote, Obama's campaign expressed some trepidation about their chances in Ohio -- perhaps once bitten, twice shy given the results from 2000 and 2004. (Important to note: No Democrat has ever been elected president without carrying Ohio.)

The so-called "Rust Belt" -- and its blue collar, white, rural voters -- was seen as a crucial battleground in this election; so far, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Ohio all have been won by Obama.

With Ohio going to Obama, John McCain's path to the presidency -- already narrow -- grows ever more difficult.

With Ohio off the map, McCain absolutely must pull out wins in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia. If he loses Florida, it's nearly impossible for him to make a reasonable case that he can get to 270 electoral votes tonight.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 4, 2008; 9:23 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008 Share This:  E-Mail | Technorati | Del.icio.us | Digg | Stumble Previous: Obama, Senate Democrats Add To Totals
Next: Obama Inches Closer

Comments

Real change in American history has always been tough. I do not feel the warm fuzzies of change yet because I hope Obama challenges the liberal status quo and streamlines ineffective govt. programs that Bush could never tackle because he was always under abuse as a lightweight and connected to intolerance (yet he federalized much of his agenda and ended up a Wilsonian nationabuilder in Iraq.)

Posted by: rsmith24 | November 5, 2008 10:48 PM | Report abuse

I believe you'd find that Nixon won Ohio in 1960, when JFK won the national election.

Posted by: davidscott1 | November 5, 2008 1:47 PM | Report abuse

No Democrat has ever been elected president without carrying Ohio
--------
Ditto to the others correcting this error.

Posted by: davidscott1 | November 5, 2008 1:45 PM | Report abuse

When Ohio went to Obama I expected the networks to call the race and declare Obama the winner. I guess they all turned chicken-sh*t after Florida 2000. The only way McCain could get to 270 after that was by winning California and we all knew that was not going to happen.

Posted by: Opa2 | November 5, 2008 1:29 AM | Report abuse

And yes, before people point it out Kennedy won without Ohio too... but I'd quibble the point that Kennedy actually won the vote with living real people. *cough* Chicago-machine ballot box stuffing *cough*

Posted by: wlmorgan | November 4, 2008 10:00 PM | Report abuse

ballot stuffing ? surely your not talking about ACORN ? that's not stuffing , that's registration. 2 very separate things . now 'ballot stuffing '? tampering with black boxes ? that's the cons' game.

Posted by: ripley8 | November 4, 2008 10:37 PM | Report abuse

CNN & MSNBC both have West Virginia in McCain's column. Real Clear Politics has it in Obama's column. Does anybody have any better information?

Posted by: mtcentrist | November 4, 2008 10:25 PM | Report abuse

So, the only question that remains is how big will Obama's margin be? He's still looking good in FL, VA, NC and IN. This could end in a EC landslide and a strong mandate for the Dems. Don't blow it Senator (or should I say President-elect)...

Posted by: CohtR | November 4, 2008 10:10 PM | Report abuse

"(Important to note: No Democrat has ever been elected president without carrying Ohio.)" More sloppiness from a guy who blogs politics. Just another sign of the WaPo's rapidly falling standards. But woe be unto you if you fail to capitalize the "T" ...

Posted by: gbooksdc | November 4, 2008 10:08 PM | Report abuse

To answer myself, McCain will have to pick up OR, WA or CA to make up for the loss of OH & NM.

Game Over.

Posted by: bsimon1 | November 4, 2008 10:03 PM | Report abuse

Hey! I voted in Ohio. I've got family in VA and FLA. They are crossing their fingers and are thanking me because the Buckeye State finally got it right. People, we are on the cusp of history. God bless Ohio. God bless us all.

Posted by: kweenbee | November 4, 2008 10:02 PM | Report abuse

And yes, before people point it out Kennedy won without Ohio too... but I'd quibble the point that Kennedy actually won the vote with living real people. *cough* Chicago-machine ballot box stuffing *cough*

Posted by: wlmorgan | November 4, 2008 10:00 PM | Report abuse

With New Mexico already gone, Ohio's fall seems to seal the deal, does it not?

Posted by: bsimon1 | November 4, 2008 10:00 PM | Report abuse

An error in the commentary above. You say: "(Important to note: No Democrat has ever been elected president without carrying Ohio.)" That is true for the GOP, but not the Dems. JFK lost Ohio in 1960.

Posted by: BEHJ | November 4, 2008 9:58 PM | Report abuse

Chris,

No Republican has won without Ohio... FDR lost Ohio back in '44 and still won.

Posted by: wlmorgan | November 4, 2008 9:57 PM | Report abuse

Chris --
I believe you are mistaken. No REPUBLICAN (not Democrat) has won the presidency without Ohio. I realize that this is a hectic night; a misstep is understandable.

Posted by: mtcentrist | November 4, 2008 9:56 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2009 The Washington Post Company