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Ohio-Texas Down To The Wire

The polls close in less than an hour in Ohio. Until then we wait.

Here's our preview story...stay tuned for regular updates as polls in states close across the country.

By Chris Cillizza  |  March 4, 2008; 6:39 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
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Next: Ohio Update: Inside the Exits

Comments

The days ahead that may culminate in Puerto Rico should be enough time I hope for voters to wake up, clear their heads that Senator Obama just don't have sufficient qualification to be President. Three or four years experience as a Senator is just not enough to take over the complex responsibility of a President. A President can not solve problems in this country with oratorical speeches, using words such as 'change' and 'we can' in a dramatic way. Senator Clinton was clear when she announced in details how she would fix health care, the economy, bring home the troops in Iraq while maintaining a strong national defense, education and renegotiate NAFTA. Senator Clinton has always been a very proud American, not just after she wins a primary election a given state. Michelle, made a statement that for the first time she was a proud American - after she found out that her husband had been winning the primaries in 11 states. I think that her 'proud' statement would have been out of her vocab if her husband lost the primaries in those 11 states.

Posted by: sracilis | March 4, 2008 11:59 PM | Report abuse

sperrico, I think the writing was already on the wall with that one this morning when the Clinton camp was already downplaying Texas.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | March 4, 2008 8:48 PM | Report abuse

I wonder if the woman wins by 8 points in Texas that Clinton's team will change its tune they played when Obama won states that are sure wins for the GOP this Fall. Her handlers sure made a loud shout about that. Last time Texas went Democratic was 1964.

Posted by: sperrico | March 4, 2008 8:29 PM | Report abuse

Based on CNN's Ohio exit polls (http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#OHDEM), I averaged most of their columns (for instance, on gender Obama was(52*0.41)+(45*0.59) = 47.87%), and the results I got were:

Clinton: 49.5%
Obama: 47.0%

With a few Obama leaning counties still open, and this being the state Clinton has had the bigger lead on, those numbers can't be too comforting. A thin popular vote win and a probable delegate split, you really have to stretch the bounds of reason to call that a huge victory, but I'm sure the Hillary folks will be around (probably near 3am) to declare just that.

I wonder, as far as spin goes, we probably won't get a final call until late in the evening (and miss the morning paper cutoff), does that completely dampen any momentum Clinton may have been able to declare for Ohio?

Posted by: kreuz_missile | March 4, 2008 8:18 PM | Report abuse

Wondering if Hillary can still be able to spin any close finish as a pseudo-victory after the hubbub over "Obamamentum."

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | March 4, 2008 7:41 PM | Report abuse

Wondering if Hillary can still be able to spin any close finish as a pseudo-victory after the hubbub over "Obamamentum."

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | March 4, 2008 7:34 PM | Report abuse

I'm with you cowyard.

The media has done a complete 180 in an attempt to seem "fair" to Clinton, but in effect they dropped a dozen bombs on Obama in the two days before one of the biggest days in the nomination battle, all because they feel badly that Clinton scolded them on SNL.

It's almost as if every pundit and strategist across America decided to use Wolfson, Ickes and Penn as their staff writers for a week. It's pathetic and the media constantly messing with the mood of the race prior to a big contest borderlines on anti-democratic (and I mean the process, not the party).

Posted by: thecrisis | March 4, 2008 7:11 PM | Report abuse

I wish Obama good luck. I know that Right-Wingers like Limbaugh and Laura Imgram are encouraging Republicans to vote for Clinton. Terry McCauliff, of the Clinton camp, was on the woman's show. You know, the guy when he was was DNC chair could never get a Democratic majority or a Democrat in the White House. This guy was back-peddling on a withdrawal from Iraq like Hillary was McCain.
Clinton is and always has been a Republican using Democratic talk to attain power. When she fails to move-up on Obama tonight, top Democrats are going to make it clear to her that too much bloodletting is occurring with her spoiled-little-girl behavior. She will be told by Dean, Reid, Pelosi and others to get out of campaign and scorched earth approach. The woman is actually supporting McCain against Obama! What a b!tch.

Posted by: sperrico | March 4, 2008 7:09 PM | Report abuse

Texas Primary Prediction Time!

Who do you predict will win the Texas Democratic Presidential Primary?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=1793

.


Ohio Primary Prediction Time!

Who do you predict will win the Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=1794

.


Posted by: PollM | March 4, 2008 7:07 PM | Report abuse

The thing about the polls in Ohio at least is that the ones showing Clinton up by 10 are bad polls that were in the field for a week or only asked Democrats. I expect Clinton to win Ohio but only barely and loss Texas close. I then expect tomorrow to hear that her campaign is "contemplating' their options.

Posted by: AndyR3 | March 4, 2008 7:07 PM | Report abuse

As an Obama supporter, I have been feeling very queasy in the last 72 hours with the polls, the media, the storylines. And yet, as a financial markets trader, there is something about this big, big stretch the media is making right now to "be more fair" to her that in fact feels like the set-up, to her collapse. The biggest surprise right now, would be if Obama won all 4. In markets, it's the thing you last expect that often occurs.

Posted by: cowyard | March 4, 2008 6:50 PM | Report abuse

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