Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity

Pennsylvania Primary Prediction Time!

The day Fixistas around the country -- if not the world -- have been waiting for has finally come.

No, not the Pennsylvania primary -- although that is today. We're talking about the arrival of the official Fix t-shirt at the offices of washingtonpost.com. If you've already won one of our primary (or caucus) prediction contests, look for the t-shirt in your mailbox over the next few days. If you want to buy one of the coveted shirts, stay tuned as we are still figuring out how to make that happen.

If you are neither a past winner nor the kind of person who pays for t-shirts -- even those as devastatingly cool as this one -- then this post is for you.

We're looking for the candidates' order of finish and percentage of the vote from today's Pennsylvania Democratic primary election between Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton. And, we also want a prediction on the dominant storyline coming out of the contest.

We'll award a Fix t-shirt to the person (or persons) who comes closest to predicting the final outcome and to the individual who most accurately describes the post-Pennsylvania media narrative.

For your pick to count, you MUST register it in the comments section by 8 p.m., when polls officially close in Pennsylvania. Picks e-mailed to The Fix will not be eligible.

Looking for The Fix's prediction? Here it is:

After you make your picks, make sure to watch this piece washingtonpost.com video journalist Akira Hakuta produced after spending a few days in Pennsylvania late last week.

By Chris Cillizza  |  April 22, 2008; 6:00 AM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: DNC Hits McCain, But Can They Keep It Up?
Next: What Kind of 'Win' Does Clinton Need in Pa.?

Comments

How ya gonna send me my t-shirt for predicting it right?

Posted by: livin_n_the_city | April 24, 2008 2:22 PM | Report abuse

Forget Ambercrombie & Fitch, FIX t-shirts will be all over America after delivery to everyone who got this one right.

Posted by: lappzimm | April 22, 2008 11:56 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55%
Obama 43%

Storyline: Can Hillary catch Obama in the popular vote. Will it matter if she does?

Posted by: paulalgire | April 22, 2008 7:59 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55%
Obama 43%

Storyline: Can Hillary catch Obama in the popular vote? Will that matter if she does?

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 7:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 44

Big Questions loom for Obama campaign. Can he connect with Reagan Democrats if he gets to the general election?

Posted by: GoHuskies08 | April 22, 2008 7:54 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50.3%
Clinton 49.6%

A Dozen Superdelegates Announce for Obama in Wake of Upset Victory; Party Elders Ramp Up Pressure for Clinton to Withdraw

Posted by: whatmeregister | April 22, 2008 7:52 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 48%

Hillary wins the round, while Obama fails to get a knockout, but wins on points. Obama announced the nominee by split decision. Hillary: "Yo Adrian!..."

Posted by: Eric Lopez | April 22, 2008 7:50 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54, Obama 48
Clinton attempts to soldier on but money running out as funding dries up

Repost with name attached

Posted by: SportsBiz | April 22, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Predicted %ages:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Predicted Narrative:
Clinton touts "crucial win" and vows to keep going to the convention, Obama touts his "comeback in a state that was tailer-made for Clinton" and his continued strong lead in pledged delegates. Media groans, leaves PA and relocates to Indiana & North Carolina as the never-ending primary carries on.

Posted by: JayPe | April 22, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54, Obama 48
Clinton soldiers on but money running out as funding dries up

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 7:30 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51
Obama 49

Despite a bad week Obama defies expectations, denying Clinton the decisive victory she needed to justify staying in the race.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 7:24 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 43
Other 2

Clinton claims a "big" win but fails to make up substantial ground in the delegate race. Tired candidates and journalists immediately head west towards Terre Haute, Indiana.

Posted by: Jacob Geiger | April 22, 2008 7:23 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50.1%
Clinton 49.9%

Hillary demands recount

Posted by: Chuck OR | April 22, 2008 7:19 PM | Report abuse

CLINTON - 48
OBAMA - 51
HEADLINE: Paul Tewes delivers another come-from-behind victory for Obama is predominantly white state.

Posted by: JMAC (Sydney) | April 22, 2008 7:17 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 54%
Obama - 45%

Clinton stays in the Race, however the Race for Delegates Remain Unchanged!

Posted by: Fred, DC | April 22, 2008 7:10 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 46

Win in PA keeps Clinton in the race, but single-digit margin fails to narrow the delegate gap.

Posted by: crodolfa | April 22, 2008 7:08 PM | Report abuse

clinton 52
obama: 46
other 2

edwards has strong support, obama did better than expected, clinton's not quitting without a presidential ambition patch, or at least a case of gum.

Posted by: taylor p | April 22, 2008 7:07 PM | Report abuse

If Obama is the nominee, he should strongly consider asking Clinton to be his VP. Let her be the one to say "no." If he can't do this, he will lose a TON of Clinton voters - and he will lose the general election to McCain.

If Clinton somehow pulls this out, she absolutely MUST ask Obama to be her VP. Then it's up to him to say "yes" or "no."

Together, they are unstoppable.

If they are not together, the Dems will have a tough time against the McCain/Crist ticket. McCain WILL go with Charlie Crist, Governor of Florida.

Posted by: Christina | April 22, 2008 7:01 PM | Report abuse

Obama would be an idiot not to "ask" Clinton to be his VP (assuming he gets the Dem nomination). Let her be the one to say "no" -- if he can't ask, he'll lose a ton of Clinton voters in the general election and will lose to McCain.

If Clinton pulls out the nod, she MUST ask Obama to be her VP. And he can be the one to say "yes" or "no."

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 58
Obama 42

Margin 16%

Posted by: Christina | April 22, 2008 6:54 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47


Clinton wins but cannot change campaign narrative. Obama still looks like the inevitable nominee. Supers still favor Obama.

Posted by: JtheMann | April 22, 2008 6:51 PM | Report abuse

46% Obama
53% Clinton
1% Other

Storyline: "Too little, too late? Clinton argues that another big win has given her the momentum, but are her wins large enough and her win early enough in the primary season for her to catch up?"

Posted by: Mustafa Hirji | April 22, 2008 6:49 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Clinton tells Obama to drop out afer she wins big in another big state.

Posted by: bscottup | April 22, 2008 6:38 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52%
Obama 47%

Clinton claims "we won and that's what matters"; Superdelegates don't see things that way and the steady trickle to Barack's column begins.

Posted by: Tom | April 22, 2008 6:36 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 59%
Obama: 41%

Oldies pull Clinton through!

[Uncle Paulie is a 12 year old master predictor and politics genius]

Posted by: Uncle Paulie | April 22, 2008 6:34 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 50.6
Clinton: 49.4

Surprise victory for Obama puts pressure on Clinton to drop out for good of the party. Clinton backers claim Obama win still too dependent on youth, african-americans and urban voters.

Posted by: ndrwlight | April 22, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48
Headline: Hillary Clinton win PA with non convincing margin. Hillary's is going to be out of the race tonight.

Posted by: Bee | April 22, 2008 6:26 PM | Report abuse

Gore would NEVER win the presidency.
Obama will not have HRC as VP.
Nader is an old fool.

McCain is a bigger than life old fool.

Posted by: Katerina Deligiannis | April 22, 2008 6:16 PM | Report abuse

In PA
Sen. Clinton 57.2%
Sen. Obama 42.4%
undercount/others 0.4

The story should be that Sen. Obama could not spend his to a closer loss or even a win. But, that's too difficult for the majority of the MSM sustain, so the story will go Sen. Clinton wins as expected... headlines won't even refer to being outspent.

Posted by: AndyC | April 22, 2008 6:15 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53%
Obama: 47%

Spin on both sides, but all the talk is on the math; Clinton joins Bush in "lame duck" category.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 6:09 PM | Report abuse

Operation Choas is going toward Obama this time.

Obama 60%
Clinton 40%


Really I think it will be

Obama 55%

Clinton 45%

They spilt WHITE MEN

YOUNGER NEW VOTERS VOTE FOR OBAMA 70% TO 30%

Her daughter has not help her very much with younger new votes. Take into consideration that some younger voters will be Voting for McCain

Posted by: MsRita | April 22, 2008 6:05 PM | Report abuse

Operation Choas is going toward Obama this time.

Obama 60%
Clinton 40%


Really I think it will be

Obama 55%

Clinton 45%

They spilt WHITE MEN

YOUNGER NEW VOTERS VOTE FOR OBAMA 70% TO 30%

Her daughter has not help her very much with younger new votes. Take into consideration that some younger voters will be Voting for McCain

Posted by: MsRita | April 22, 2008 6:05 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 52.5%
Obama: 47.5%

Both sides claim victory, but Clinton drops out before the last state primaries.

Posted by: Iconoblaster | April 22, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54
Obama: 46

Storyline: Comeback Clinton to fight to Convention; Win seen as swaying superdelegates

Posted by: Dan | April 22, 2008 5:48 PM | Report abuse

Hillary 52.7
Obama 47.3

"Hillary wins, just barely - vows to continue to the convention."

Posted by: Peter L. of Sun City Roseville CA | April 22, 2008 5:48 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 47

Headline: Clinton holds on to win PA
Dominant narrative: Why can't Obama close the deal?

Posted by: Candy | April 22, 2008 5:42 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 56%

Obama - 44%

Headline: Will Clinton's Win Equal omentum Heading into NC and Indiana?

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 50%
Obama: 43%

Posted by: Michael | April 22, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

Hillary Clinton - 54%
Barack Obama - 46%

Clinton wins close race, but money woes may force her out.

Posted by: FXSJ | April 22, 2008 5:35 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 49%
Obama: 44%


Headline: Clinton Wins PA, Sort Of; Little Change in Obama's Delagate Lead. But, Clinton vows to "Fight Until The Convention"; Obama Begins Campaigning In Indy. John McCain rips on Both Dem Candidates

Posted by: rth122 | April 22, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5%
Obama 44.8%

Posted by: Kevin Armstrong | April 22, 2008 5:18 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56%
Obama 44%

With deadlock convention looming and rancor growing between Clinton & Obama supporters, draft Al Gore campaign gains momentum.

Happy Earth Day.

Posted by: curtflood | April 22, 2008 5:16 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 45

With the voters not helping to decide the contest conclusively, calls mount for the remaining superdelegates to show their hand - but this is more a hope than an expectation.

Posted by: David Gallagher | April 22, 2008 5:09 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

Wolfson and Axelrod spinning furiously.

Posted by: tedjv | April 22, 2008 5:09 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 51
Obama: 48

Two victory speeches, two story lines, same result - a non-result.

Posted by: mschmidt73 | April 22, 2008 5:09 PM | Report abuse

What the heck ...

HRC: 52.7%
BHO: 45.8%
Other: 1.5%

HRC +14 delegates.

Headline: PA votes, glad to send the campaign to NC and IN. Loss of political spending sends PA economy into further tailspin.

Posted by: mnteng | April 22, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Obama will lose by a small margin ... leaving Hillary to live a few more episodes in the twilight zone ... the t.v. show was a mix of sci-fi, fantasy, and horror ... a world not to unfamiliar to the Hillary's campaign these days. If your interested, read more regarding Hillary resurrecting Rod Sterling on ... http://whatsmybeef.wordpress.com/

Posted by: Stevo | April 22, 2008 5:03 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 45

The struggle continues and continues and continues.

Posted by: wes | April 22, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

78% White 58%-41% Clinton
17% Black 89%-10% Obama
5% Other 59%-39% Obama

Total:
Barack Obama 50.1%
Hillary Clinton 48.9%
Clinton to drop out

Posted by: jr1886 | April 22, 2008 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52.5%
Obama 46.5%
Other 1%

The Show Must Go On!

Obama substantially closed 20% gap in last 6 weeks, but Clinton still wins Keystone State. PA delegates awarded almost equally; spin wars continue; effects on Dem nomination campaign inconclusive. National Dems nervous; calls for Hillary to step down go unheeded; remaining primaries set to continue for 6 more weeks.

Posted by: David in Durham, NC | April 22, 2008 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.2
Obama 46.8

Clinton ekes out a win in Pennsylvania, but with her campaign broke, will it make any difference?

Posted by: rippermccord | April 22, 2008 4:51 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 58%
Obama 42%

Voters have no confidence Obama can win general election.

Posted by: raisa_dudu | April 22, 2008 4:50 PM | Report abuse

Luke's Prediction:

*Obama: 50.1%
*Clinton: 49.7%
*Headline: "Obama Upsets Clinton in Keystone State; End to Nomination Fight Now in Sight!"

Posted by: legan00@ccny.cuny.edu | April 22, 2008 4:49 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 57.2

Obama 42.1

Posted by: ccarter | April 22, 2008 4:44 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.3
Obama 45.0

Clinton wins, nomination battle goes on... and on... and on...

Posted by: Daniel | April 22, 2008 4:38 PM | Report abuse

Quaker wrote:

"We predict you'll enjoy a trip to Pennsylvania as much as the candidates have. Learn more and plan your summer trip today:

http://www.visitpa.com"

Not in a million years. I don't want to get shot.

Posted by: Sam in Harlem | April 22, 2008 4:32 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 50.5, Obama 48.5. Storyline: on the one hand Obama can't close the deal and hasn't won a big state outside Illinois. On the other hand, HRC didn't do enough to make a dent in Obama's lead and is running out of time.

Posted by: Sean Wright | April 22, 2008 4:30 PM | Report abuse

svreader wrote:

"Even if it gets nasty, we can swallow anything that come our way, either that or spit it out."

Just don't let it get on your blue dress. I here its a mess to get out.

Posted by: johnny five | April 22, 2008 4:28 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5
Obama 46.5

Headline: Clinton Does Well Enough to Keep Going.

Reality: Clinton Hangs On For 7 Point Victory

Posted by: john91011 | April 22, 2008 4:27 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49.4
Obama 48.6

Posted by: Billy from Odenton MD | April 22, 2008 4:26 PM | Report abuse

C:52

Mr. O:47


The headline: PAIN in Pennsylvania. Blue collars got the blues, Obama says he "pities those fools" and moves on to North Carolina. 'Pitty-gate' quickly overwhelms the news-cycle after HRC's win. Hillary releases last ditch ad titled: "(Although he doesn't have a mohawk and gold chains) Don't you realize he's black?"

A-Team makes a resurgence, only good outcome of the never-ending Dem race.

Posted by: muaddib_7 | April 22, 2008 4:23 PM | Report abuse

Clinton gets her double digit margin and claims big win. However, HRC does not make up significant ground in delegates and questions arise about whether she'll have the resources to compete. Gore endorses Obama.

Posted by: JT | April 22, 2008 3:39 PM
-------------------------------
I agree with your numbers but if she gets double digits she'll raise the funds, especially if the MSM makes Obama fading a story for the next two weeks. Add another mistep and it could do him in.

As for Gore, I doubt he or any large amount of the supers do anything until voting is over in June. If they didn't come forward after Dean and that mess Pelosi told them to I don't see it happening before then.

One who may come forward is Edwards before NC, especially if Hillary does bad. If she does not, anyone who wants to cash in on a Clinton White House will stay quiet.

Posted by: Patrick NYC | April 22, 2008 4:22 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 51
Clinton - 49

Headline Will be "Hillary Chokes on a Philly Cheesesteak"

Posted by: JJ from Malvern, PA | April 22, 2008 4:20 PM | Report abuse

Clinton -- 53
Obama -- 45

Headline WILL be: Hillary wins Pennsylvania, says she has the momentum. (substory: how much did Obama's bitter "gaffe" hurt him?)
[Followed in the next few days w/ more superdelegates announcing for Obama]


Headline SHOULD be: Clinton's presidential hopes continue to wane: Hillary wins PENN, but fails to significantly narrow delegate lead.

Posted by: No Cal | April 22, 2008 4:11 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 51%
Clinton: 47%
Others: 1%

Headline: "Pennsylvania Oblitares Clinton's Hopes for Nomination"

Report: "Last minute change of heart among white female babyboomers clinches the deal for Obama. According to one report, Pennsylvanians - whose state has given more of its fair share of sons and daughters to the Iraq invasion -were aghast at Senator's Clinton's belligerent rethoric about Iran. As one lady put it: "Obliterate is the language of deranged tinpot dictators, not of a potential US President".

Posted by: piul05 | April 22, 2008 4:09 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 43
Other 1

Clinton's line that Obama can't win large battleground states starts to gain some leverage with media and superdelegates.

Posted by: Sully | April 22, 2008 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 56%
Obama - 41%

Storyline...."Not so fast, Sen. Obama!" PA as a state has a hard time voting for an African American (witness Lynn Swann last year). It is a taylor-made state for her--older, working class and not as many kids. Hillary is in it to the end and gathers momentum in final primary states. IS it enough? Probably not.

Posted by: Larz13 | April 22, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54
Obama: 45

Clinton parries a knockout once again; Obama insists that he will win on points.

Posted by: JakeMac | April 22, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

Hillary's pick-up of 18 more delegates than Obama will be poo-pooed by his designated mouthpieces, and related media talking heads.

After all, can't she see that she's out of time? She barely beat him by double digits.

Hillary 55.7%
Obama 44.3%

Posted by: leecb1 | April 22, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 54%
Obama - 45%

Pressures grow for Clinton to leave the race after major donors start to balk and Obama chalks up couple more high profile endorsements... but she won't.

Or ---

Clinton camp leaks false rumor that Obama campaign had hired "fat lady" to sing, then accuses Obama of being "fat-ist"

Posted by: msheik | April 22, 2008 3:55 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: --*%
Obama: --*%

* What's the point of the numbers? The story line is the same:

Clinton wins by the slimmest of margins, claims victory despite being broke (errr . . . "being outspent by a large margin")

Despite her increasing negatives - says that history will be the judge of her campaign.

The infamous "Nazi Teddy Bear" add will debut in Indiana. It's a split screen add with one side comparing Obama to Hitler, the other side Hillary hugging a fuzzy teddy bear.

Posted by: Steve | April 22, 2008 3:48 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56%
Obama 44%

Posted by: Martin Tollén | April 22, 2008 3:48 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56%
Obama 43%

Storyline: Clinton vows to fight all the way to the convention in Denver; Obama makes no headway among less-educated/lower-income Reagan Democrats; superdelegates wring their hands.

Posted by: harlemboy | April 22, 2008 3:48 PM | Report abuse

Obama 43%
Clinton 48%
Other 1%

PA is a tough state for Obama and journalists as well as those folks who live in PA know why but NO one wants to say it and Hillary wife of Billy keeps trying to push Obama to fess up, maybe people like Chris Matthews should be the one to fess up.

Posted by: Janie | April 22, 2008 3:47 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 50.87
Clinton: 48.63
other: 0.5

Posted by: Stuart | April 22, 2008 3:47 PM | Report abuse

I would like to see Barack Obama pull off the upset so I hope I'm wrong even though that will mean I won't get a Fix t-shirt.

I am calling it 51.3% for Billary Clinton & a respectable 48.7% for Barack Obama

Posted by: charles laffiteau | April 22, 2008 3:47 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 46

Narrative: Young voters don't turn out for Obama as much as expected. Clinton stays in the race claiming a blowout.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 3:47 PM | Report abuse

Clinton wins by 9 points.

Next day headlines:

1. Status quo - we know nothing more than we knew yesterday, and the race continues. Howard Dean is heard screaming, "Ahhhhhhhh....when will it end!"

2. "Cillizza Terrorizes North Carolina and Indiana." Much like in a Godzilla movie, the natives of North Carolina and Indiana run wild after seeing famed Fix reporter Chris Cillizza march through town and sample the best foods those states have to offer. Shouts of Cillizza (sounding like Godzilla) are heard. News at 11!

Posted by: IowaShouldBeFirst | April 22, 2008 3:44 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Clinton wins but its Obama rolling on to Indiana and North Carolina

Posted by: Paul UK | April 22, 2008 3:44 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5
Obama 46.5

And this whole mess begins all over again with nothing really changed, much to the Republicans' delight. On to Indiana and North Carolina for Rocky XII.

Posted by: Andy | April 22, 2008 3:43 PM | Report abuse

We predict you'll enjoy a trip to Pennsylvania as much as the candidates have. Learn more and plan your summer trip today:

http://www.visitpa.com

Posted by: The Quaker | April 22, 2008 3:41 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 43

Clinton gets her double digit margin and claims big win. However, HRC does not make up significant ground in delegates and questions arise about whether she'll have the resources to compete. Gore endorses Obama.

Posted by: JT | April 22, 2008 3:39 PM | Report abuse

I'm hoping for an Obama upset, but here's my real (still hopeful) prediction...

Clinton: 50%
Obama: 48%
Other: 2%

Clinton vows to fight on, despite narrow victory.

Posted by: Redline | April 22, 2008 3:32 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 51
Obama: 49

Clinton wins the primary, but Obama walks away with more delegates.

Posted by: paul | April 22, 2008 3:21 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 45
Other 2

Posted by: ucla84 | April 22, 2008 3:20 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

Clinton campaign vows to keep fighting; announces endorsements by superdelegates Santa Claus, Easter Bunny, and HardcoreConservative ForMcCain

Posted by: iainspapa | April 22, 2008 3:11 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

Media spin: A Google News search on Friday for "Democratic" and "stalemate" will turn up at least 1,000 hits.

Posted by: RossPhx | April 22, 2008 3:05 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54%
Obama: 45%
others: 1%

or

Clinton: 58%
Obama: 41%
Others: 1%

Posted by: Joe | April 22, 2008 3:00 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 46
Other 1

Clinton Camp Claims a Win is a Win. Most media analysts desperate to keep their gig of covering this election going (despite significant fatigue among most voters in the country who just want to see this whole ordeal over already) accept this spin and report that Obama has failed to seal the deal with the Democratic party still and thus that the race will continue through June.

Ignored at least until about a week later will be the fact that the margin of victory is not nearly enough to make up Obama's lead in pledged delegates or popular vote and that few remaining states will favor her enough demographically to make up the leads anywhere else. Slowly, we'll start to see stories that point these facts again, usually appearing on Take-out-the-Trash Friday/Saturday editions of papers or on late night posts to political blogs when bloggers are running out of other frantic nonsense (like flag lapel pins and Hillary's bar escapades) to talk about.

Obama's campaign will lamely try too late to play the expectations game to paint a 7-point loss as a victory and thus will be left to roll out a handful of new superdelegate endorsements that do little to change the popular narrative or conception of the race. Both candidates will target Indiana, as NC still skews too far in Obama's direction.

Hillary and Ed Rendell will be cocky at the victory speech. Wolfson and others will start hammering Obama on conference calls for reporters on Wednesday for not agreeing to a debate in NC.

Posted by: pgboger | April 22, 2008 2:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 48%

Headline - "PA is Temple of Doom for HRC; leaves her Jonesing for an Indiana win."

Posted by: bondjedi | April 22, 2008 2:58 PM | Report abuse

also, Obama camp and pundits begin to question claims of Hillary's wins in states where Limbaugh Democ-rats crossed over or registered as Dems to vote in Operation Chaos

Posted by: newddle | April 22, 2008 2:57 PM | Report abuse

I forgot the post-election media narrative:
Obama fails to close the deal;
Hillary stays in the race;
media people begin to report that some Democrats avoid "encouraging" Hillary to withdraw because that only eggs her on;
stories begin to emerge that Hillary's toughness and perseverance are not only assets but also millstones around her neck;
Obama takes a vacation befor Indiana and North Carolina;
Obama pivots more to McCain, which prompts Hillary to attack Obama more; Hillary cries in disappointment and disbelief

Posted by: newddle | April 22, 2008 2:53 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52%
Obama 47%
Media headline: "Clinton working class hero claws to victory in the Keystone state primary."
Despite record turn-out and vote totals in southeastern PA by Sen. Obama, the white working class woters in the, where else, rural and small town PA hand Sen. Clinton a victory, her cash strapped campaign badly needed to fight another day.
I predict that the May 6 primaries, in Indiana(leaning Obama) and North Carolina(strongly Obama) will be the final curtain on the "dead-enders," both inside the Clinton camp and in the media, who think Sen. Clinton can still, pull out a victory in either pledged delegates or popular vote.

Posted by: remjones | April 22, 2008 2:53 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 58%
Clinton: 42%

Hillary Clinton enters deep depression. Bill holidays in Caribbean.

Posted by: Jack | April 22, 2008 2:50 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55, Obama 45

Posted by: newddle | April 22, 2008 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5 Obama 46.5

Narrative: All that money, all that time, and we're no closer to closure. Hillary can't win the nomination, but it will take a loss in a state she's expected to win for her to drop out. Next possibility: Indiana

Posted by: rich^kolker | April 22, 2008 2:39 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47
Clinton slogs on

Posted by: jmh | April 22, 2008 2:39 PM | Report abuse

results:
Clinton 55.9
Obama 43.3

Headlines:
Clinton trumpets win while highlighting her strengths and doubts about Obama. Obama highlights a lead that's still nearly out of reach and the contests that lie ahead. Pundints find late push to Clinton still a major problem for Obama.

Posted by: tidoublegerpb4 | April 22, 2008 2:35 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

Although Clinton wins the PA primary by a comfortable margin delegates split almost evenly

Posted by: nic.roxylife | April 22, 2008 2:34 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

Although Clinton wins the PA primary by a comfortable margin delegates split almost evenly

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 2:33 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 51%
Obama: 47%

Headline: Clinton Wins Pyrrhic Battle, Obama Nomination Inevitable

Posted by: bb | April 22, 2008 2:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 49


Hillary drops out and the first sign of true positive change occurs!! Bill and Hillary vacation to the Cayman Islands to check on their bank account balances and pay see if they have enough to cover the campaign debt. They write the trip off on their taxes as a business expense.


Obama all the way!! =-)

Posted by: Lynne in Indiana | April 22, 2008 2:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 634%
Clinton 159%

Obama declared winner, but mathematicians called in from MIT to figure out what went wrong with Diebold calculations.

Posted by: Einstein | April 22, 2008 2:24 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52%
Obama 48%

Exit polls show that Obama makes better-than-expected gains with white male voters (especially the bitter ones).

Posted by: Brian H | April 22, 2008 2:24 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 50
Clinton: 49

Clinton concedes Wednesday morning.

Posted by: Harrison Case | April 22, 2008 2:21 PM | Report abuse

And the winner of the PA 2008 Democratic Primary is ... John McCain.

Hot job growth area for a McCain candidacy - manufacturing gas station signs that accomodate prices from 10.00 a gallon on up.

Posted by: bondjedi | April 22, 2008 2:19 PM | Report abuse

I think Clinton wins by 5.5% (52.75% to 47.25% if no other Democrats are officially still on the PA ballot, i.e. Edwards or Kucinich). The margin won't be large enough to justify her staying in the race so most media organizations will be delivering her campaign's obitiuary on her behalf. FOX News won't join in as loudly because they want the race to continue.

Posted by: Jesse Curry | April 22, 2008 2:18 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

Clinton wins poplar vote, but huge turnout in Philly allows Obama to nearly break even in delegates

Posted by: Ryan | April 22, 2008 2:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Bill Clinton's Wife 48%
Write-in 1%

Woody Woodpecker, Jack Daniels, and Heywood Jablowme write-in efforts doom Hillary's PA effort.

Hillary, unable to move goalposts any further, invents the Fifth Quarter.

Posted by: TheTruth | April 22, 2008 2:16 PM | Report abuse

svreader, you are a sick dude.

Obama: 45%
Clinton: 44%
Lancelot Link: 11%

Posted by: goodie two shoes | April 22, 2008 2:16 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

Clinton 'victory' clouds picture.

Posted by: John | April 22, 2008 2:14 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Clinton Win Steels Supporters for Battle Ahead

Rendell Scores Point in VP Stakes

Posted by: Michael Shapiro | April 22, 2008 2:14 PM | Report abuse

53-47, please make her go away

Posted by: Nclwtk | April 22, 2008 2:13 PM | Report abuse

Who cares. Neither Obama nor Hillary can win in the general election. McCain will be sworn in in '09.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 2:12 PM | Report abuse

HRC: 51
BHO: 49

Philly landslide for Obama. Little shift in pop vote; Clinton nets 3 delegates.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 2:12 PM | Report abuse

Obama 83%
Clinton: 17%

Obama reels in young hotties' votes

Posted by: Gobama! | April 22, 2008 2:12 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.4%
Obama 46.7%

Storyline:
Clinton wins, but not big enough to make a real dent in delegates or popular vote. On to the Tarheels vs Hoosiers.
Substory line: massive turnout of new voters, mostly for Obama, is what kept it as close as it was. Lookout GOP in the general!

Posted by: Erik | April 22, 2008 2:10 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Hillary claims victory, Obama touts the fact he reduced a 20 point lead to 6. Attention immediately turns to Indiana and NC.

Posted by: sth85 | April 22, 2008 2:10 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 58 Obama 42
Obama Reeling after Pa. Blowout

Posted by: Niall | April 22, 2008 2:09 PM | Report abuse


Clinton 54%
Obama 45%

Both sides spin a victory to the tune of the Pennsylvania Polka.

Posted by: Curt Lader | April 22, 2008 2:08 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51
Obama 49

Clinton wins but not convincingly; stays in race despite widespread calls to drop out

Posted by: sprout | April 22, 2008 2:08 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49.99%
Clinton 48.98%
Albert Jezerra: 1.03%

People of PA tire of being cast as stoopid rednecks and cast votes for elite!

Posted by: Snaggletooth Seahag | April 22, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

Apparently I can't count Obama should have 45%.

Posted by: JNoel002 | April 22, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 50
Obama: 47.5
Other: 2.5

Race much closer than everyone thinks, Edwards endorses Obama, Clinton drops out by the end of the week.

Posted by: Kurt | April 22, 2008 2:05 PM | Report abuse

Obama 42.3%
Clinton 57.7%

20 uncommited superdelegates including John Edwards endorse H.C. and H.C. raises $5 million over next 48 hours.

Posted by: Leichtman | April 22, 2008 2:04 PM | Report abuse

1) Clinton = 55.4%
2) Obama = 44.6%

Dominant Storyline: " 'Clinton' as Rocky: Lives to Fight Another Day"

Posted by: scout4blue | April 22, 2008 2:04 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55%
Obama 49%

Storyline:
Clinton wins "big"...states. Makes her plea to supers that only she can deliver "big" victory in November.

Posted by: JNoel002 | April 22, 2008 2:03 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 50.5
Obama 49.5

Statistical tie in the Keystone State proves to be the end of the Clinton campaign.

Posted by: Matt Fairley | April 22, 2008 1:59 PM | Report abuse

someone purporting to be JD writes
"Is it just me, or is Chelsea starting to look HOT with that long blond hair?"

That has got to be a spoofed post...

Posted by: bsimon | April 22, 2008 10:47 AM


You got it, completely spoofed. Unfortunately, I don't see any defense against it.

Posted by: JD | April 22, 2008 1:58 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

You ask for "order of finish and percentage." This would be Clinton in first place, Obama in second.... (Do I win because no one else noted this?)

Story line:
"Clinton wins, but stalemate continues"

fading into...

"Obama projected to win more delegates in North Carolina tham he lost in PA" and "Delegate Math insurmountable" (Clinton needs to win remining contests by more than 40% to catch Obama in pledged delegates.)

Posted by: MrMatttt | April 22, 2008 1:56 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obamba 46

Clinton barely stays alive. But the question remains whats wrong with Barrack Obamba can't he win a primary in a large state even being the presumptive nominee and out spending his opponent.

Posted by: Robinhood | April 22, 2008 1:55 PM | Report abuse

clinton 53.3
obama 46.7
story line: dems tearing themselves apart; clinton can't win but won't quit; obama can't close the deal.

Posted by: Charles | April 22, 2008 1:54 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Clinton becomes first candidate to drop out of race after winning a primary

Posted by: EMHMD | April 22, 2008 1:52 PM | Report abuse

Hillary 56/Obama 43.5

Posted by: douglasmintz | April 22, 2008 1:49 PM | Report abuse

People are focusing far too much on the demographics of Pennsylvania and completely ignoring national issues. Here's a link, I feel, that sums it up the problem in a very humorous way:

http://www.236.com/blog/w/jake_goldman/obama_and_hillarys_primaryeve_6013.php

Posted by: LordFlashheart | April 22, 2008 1:45 PM | Report abuse

I predict 54.8% for HRC and 45.2% for BO.

Posted by: Russell in NY | April 22, 2008 1:38 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51

Clinton 49

Record turnout spurs narrow Obama victory. Team Clinton huddles the night of and vows to remain in race. However, limited cash flow and increased pressure forces her to drop out a few days later

Posted by: zbaron | April 22, 2008 1:34 PM | Report abuse

1000 suicide attempts a month by Iraq war vets -- and the VA tries to cover it up. And John McCain refuses to support a bill to fund mental health care for out troops. Remember that come November:


"Yesterday marked the opening day of a class action lawsuit brought by Iraq and Afghanistan veterans against the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), arguing "that failure to provide care is manifesting itself in an epidemic of suicides" among veterans. The VA denies the charges, pointing to increased resources devoted to mental health.

Today, CBS News reports that the VA apparently concealed veteran suicide statistics, and fed the news organization faulty data for a story on the issue. The VA told CBS that there were 790 attempted suicides in all of 2007. Yet shortly after, the VA's head of Mental Health, Dr. Ira Katz, wrote in an e-mail to the VA's top media adviser that there were "about 1,000 suicide attempts per month among veterans we see in our medical facilities."

'Katz had attacked CBS last November, after a report exposed 6,200 veteran suicides in 2005'

More than 6000 bet suicides in one year, and McCain wants to continue the madness, occupy Iraq forever, and to hell with our troops.

Posted by: Cal | April 22, 2008 1:33 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 49

Hillary accuses Bill of sabotaging her campaign and files for separation. Rumors swirl of a secret affair between Hillary and Ellen. Hillary drops out and Obama announces selection of Senator Byrd as his running mate to woo the over 80 crowd.

Posted by: Joe M | April 22, 2008 1:32 PM | Report abuse

OBAMA 52%

CLINTON 48%

Storyline: Clinton drops out on thursday. She sheds some tears in the process.

Posted by: Lumi | April 22, 2008 1:31 PM | Report abuse

DEMOCRACY??? Democratic Party???? Election decided by the SUPREME COURT (9 judges) Not by the peoples VOTE,. Now!! it will be a primary decided by SUPER(MAN) DELEGATES, That its to contra de votes on the people!!NOT COUNTING THE REAL PEOPLES VOTES< LIKE IN FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN!! It's also a contrary to democracy should be!! (DEMOCRACY) Isn't it?????

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 1:26 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 49%
Obama: 46%

Headlines:

Clinton's attempt to recreate "3AM" surge in PA comes up short
Clinton camp claims win, vows to battle on, looks for bump in IN; Obama mum on Clinton quitting
Dean continues to press superdelegates
Edwards rumored to endorse soon

Posted by: Wild Pikachu | April 22, 2008 1:26 PM | Report abuse

Predictions? That is as trivial at this point as tea leaves at a county fair. Here is the real practical question.....
I would like to inject a sense of realism into a passionate and often ugly debate that rages here on Wapo blog boards on a daily basis. Truth is truth, and math does not lie. In order for Hillary to win the nomination she MUST win ALL the remaining 10 states by a margin of at least 12-14 percentage points (62-64%) and then she must win 64% of the superdelegates. All this talk back and forth cannot change the math. Hillary's efforts to get the nomination will be an exhaustive uphill battle. Before all you Hillary folks start to jump down my throat you should know I LOVE Hillary. I am constantly pleading for unity within the Dem party. I do not have a bias. What I have is a calculator, and a willingness to add things up the way they are, not the way I want them to be. Use this delegate calculator below and do the math yourself. Adjust the slider to 62-64% wins from here on out and see what you get. The delegate count used is the same as MSNBC and CNN
http://www.slate.com//id/2185278/

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 1:25 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49
Clinton 46

Media Narrative: Youth vote in record turnout grossly undercounted in polling due to cell phone/landline issue; Clinton vows to fight on, says real test is Indiana.

Posted by: chouteau | April 22, 2008 1:23 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.7%
Obama 45.3%

Clinton claims mandate to continue campaigning through North Carolina and Indiana while chorus of calls for her to drop out mount.

Posted by: brentb52 | April 22, 2008 1:21 PM | Report abuse

DEMOCRACY??? Democratic Party???? Election decided by the SUPREME COURT (9 judges) Not by the peoples VOTE,. Now!! it will be a primary decided by SUPER(MAN) DELEGATES, That its to contra de votes on the people!! If Super MAN is goin to decide!! then, what kind of democracy is this?

Posted by: rleb blco | April 22, 2008 1:21 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 56%
Obama: 43%

Obama still unable to close the deal with white,working class voters. Democratic race remains mired.

Posted by: markw | April 22, 2008 1:20 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 44

"big Clinton win still might be too little too late. Both camps start hunting for Hoosiers"

Posted by: JMOToole | April 22, 2008 1:19 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55.6%
Obama 44.4%

Clinton Wins Decisive Victory in Pennsylvania, Vows to "This Race is Just Beginning!"

Posted by: ClintonFan40 | April 22, 2008 1:16 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Whoever thought a boxing match had 16 rounds?

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 1:16 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

Clinton vows to fight on, becomes apoplectic arguing that MI and FL delegates should be seated.

Posted by: PhilD | April 22, 2008 1:15 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 45%

1. "Clinton Hangs on to Continue Fight"

2. Bradley Effect

Posted by: TomSeattle | April 22, 2008 1:11 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 52
Obama - 47
Others - 1
Like Rocky, Obama wins by losing. Clinton makes aggressive victory speech but superdelegates are not convinced.

Posted by: Chris Ferry | April 22, 2008 1:11 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 53
Obama - 47


Democratic Nomination Remains Muddled After Modest Clinton Victory In PA, Campaigns Prepare For Final Showdown In Indiana

Posted by: Alexander J. Cronon | April 22, 2008 1:10 PM | Report abuse

Third try to make it complete!

Clinton: 59
Obama: 39
Other:2

Headline: Clinton claims Obama can't win general election if he can't win in large states.

Posted by: DutchStudent23 | April 22, 2008 1:09 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52.7%
Obama 46.1%

Clinton wins narrow victory, vows to fight on

Posted by: JKC1967 | April 22, 2008 1:07 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 57%
Obama: 42%
Other: 1%

Clinto scores a huge victory and Governor Rendell once again shows his value in democratic Politics. Rumors of a Clinton/Rendell ticket quickly spread.

Posted by: BattleGroundiowa.squarespace.com | April 22, 2008 1:07 PM | Report abuse

Hillary 54%
Barack 46%

Hillary takes Pennsylvania on her strength with blue collar white males.

Posted by: gerard karcher | April 22, 2008 1:05 PM | Report abuse

Whoops--math typo on my original submission. The correct one is:

Clinton--52%
Obama--45%
Other/Don't Know--3%

Clinton Vows To Continue Fighting Until the Convention

Posted by: JH_Law | April 22, 2008 1:05 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 45

Clinton declares major vicory, claims supers must fall in line behind the big state champion. Obama camp says nothing has changed and supers must support popular and elected delegate victor which will be him.

Posted by: Photoman | April 22, 2008 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Clinton--48%
Obama--41%
Other/Don't Know--3%

Clinton Vows To Continue Fighting Until the Convention

Posted by: JH_Law | April 22, 2008 1:01 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 52
Obama: 48

Young "cell phone" voters not reached by polls; close the gap for Obama.

Posted by: I'm here because of Ashley | April 22, 2008 1:00 PM | Report abuse

HRC 60%
BHO 39%

Super delegates alarmed by Obama's inability to attract "RWR Democrats."

Posted by: Varnerism | April 22, 2008 12:56 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 53%
Obama - 47%

Obama spin - "time for her to drop out"
Clinton spin - " In it til the end" followed by an insensitive (possibly racial) comment by one of her spinmeisters on CNN/MSNBC. Comment gets 24 hr coverage for the next week

Press spin - "Hillary wallows in hate", "Obama can't close the deal" "McCain the only patriotic choice" "ABC debate was a 'turning point' Press is vindicated".
(aka - nothing changes)

End result - HRC drops out by Friday (4/28 - after 6 P.M.) blaming BHO and MoveOn for intimidating "real Americans" and sopping up all the money.

Posted by: jjemcm | April 22, 2008 12:55 PM | Report abuse

O: 47%, 75 delegates
C: 52%, 83 delegates

Despite modest win and dwindling warchest,
Clinton vows to "fight on to Denver"

Posted by: converse | April 22, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 110%
Clinton: -10%

Hillary Clinton climbs into bunker with inner circle of supporters. Considers calling the Clinton Youth into service. James Carvelle seen naked performing self-flagellation on National Mall. Oh the humanity!

Posted by: The end of the world as we know it | April 22, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 48
Obama 46

Story line: Pressure on Hillary to withdraw.

Posted by: The Professor | April 22, 2008 12:50 PM | Report abuse

Obama wins by 1 point.
Contest over. Hillary out.

Posted by: Anis Shivani | April 22, 2008 12:50 PM | Report abuse

Pennsylvania Results:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Headline: "Is It Enough? Can the Clinton Campaign Spin a 6-point Victory into Enough Cash and Superdelegates to Fight On?"

Headline of the Week: "Gore Endorses Obama!"

Posted by: murawski27 | April 22, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50, Clinton 49
massive number of people voting

Posted by: abseconfamilylawyer | April 22, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

I JUST HEARD ON THE NEWS THAT THE VOTING MACHINES ARE BREAKING DOWN PHILADELPHIA AND THEY ARE NOT WORKING IN THE BLACK AREAS OF PHILADELPHIA IT LOOKS LIKE THE SAME THING IS GOING ON LIKE IT DID IN NEW YORK AND NEW MEXICO AND NEW HAMPSHIRE THE FIX IS ON FOR HILLARY IN PENNSLYVANIA

(Earlier post from Ken, which prompted Scrivener's post, above...)

Posted by: scrivener | April 22, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

Dear America,
What has become of democracy?
Results in 2 states going down the tubes, because of organisational faults.
And now the voting machines collapse in another state.
Are you using the same "dedicated" team to organise these democrat elections ?
And you call Zimbabwe a banana republic democracy!
All a joy to hear.
Good to find that the blank voting paper trick works. Please send the team here for my election rerun.
R.M....... President Elect[ed]

Posted by: presidentelect almost | April 22, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51
Obama 46

Posted by: anticlimacus | April 22, 2008 12:47 PM | Report abuse

prediction:

W speaks about trade and economy today.
Dow drops 200 points.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 12:47 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52, Obama 48

A narrow victory for Clinton keeps her shot at the presidency alive (for now), and both campaigns spin this as a victory for their candidate. Obama heads to Indiana to try yet again to knock Clinton out in two weeks.

Posted by: TMBJon | April 22, 2008 12:47 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56%
Obama 43%

Clinton's win gives superdelegates second thoughts over electability, especially in swing states.

Calls for Gore to be the compromise candidate start to become a bit louder.

Posted by: jimoneill50 | April 22, 2008 12:46 PM | Report abuse

>

(earlier post by KEN)


Here's my today story from the Northern suburbs of Philly: A guy in an Obama tee-shirt raps on the door, asks by name for my two grown kids who haven't lived in PA for years, says he has them down as Obama supporters when in fact at least one of them is avidly for Hillary.

Suspecting that this guy is not who he says he is, I say I'm not interested. He's overly solicitious: "Oh, I'm so sorry to bother you, sir..." and all that okie-doke.

He leaves a piece of campaign literature which is blurry, looks like it came off a color Xerox and not typical offset printing.

I go back outside to ask him how he can have my kids listed as Obama supporters. He smiles and says, "Oh sometimes the information we're given is wrong." Then I look down at his clipboard, where he had written, "Father was very hostile."

I ask him why he's remarking on his perceptions of my demeanor. What kind of campaign volunteer does that? Again he's soliticious and says, "Oh, I'm so sorry, I'll just scratch that out."

As the song goes: "Somethin's happenin' here, what it is ain't exactly clear."

Operation Chaos may extend much deeper than Election Day. Perhaps this is a 21st century version of Donald Segretti-Plumbers dirty tricks? Kind of like the jugheads in camo jackets and bright white sneakers who show up to "cheer" Obama while taking digital photos of faces in the crowd...

Are politically aware Americans being targeted by a domestic Blackwater? Anyone else experience any such Election Day strangeness?

Posted by: scrivener | April 22, 2008 12:46 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 49

Clinton continues until she loses Indiana.

Posted by: NoBillary1 | April 22, 2008 12:42 PM | Report abuse

SEN. OBAMA's prediction: "Well, you know, I wouldn't be campaigning here if I didn't think that we could win"


My prediction is that his prediction will be shot down in flames as PA voters reject him and his gun-clinging, religious-nut, xenophobic, anti-immigrant, anti-trade comments about small town Americans.

Obama did and NPR interview yesterday, in which he once again espoused support for a ban on handguns. I guess the junior Senator doesn't think the rubes in flyover country are listeneing to NPR, so he's safe to prattle on about his elitist liberal views; sort of like that fundraiser in San Francisco at the billionaire's house where he didn't think the average voter would find out what he really thinks.


"MS. BLOCK: Do you have a position on the D.C. hand-gun ban, the case that has gone before the Supreme Court?

SEN. OBAMA: You know, my general view - and this is colored by having taught constitutional law for 10 years - is that as a constitutional matter, the second amendment probably should recognize an individual's right to own firearms. But just because you have an individual right doesn't mean that the public at large doesn't also have a countervailing right to protect the public safety.

I mean, we all have rights to own private property, but that doesn't mean that zoning laws are unconstitutional. And, you know, I don't know all of the details and specifics of the D.C. gun law, but I do know that local communities as well as states and the federal government can institute some common-sense gun laws that will survive constitutional scrutiny."


His position is to say whatever is politically expedient at the time and to avoid direct answers to tough questions at all costs. The bottom line is that Barack Obama supports a handgun ban, but he'd rather vote 'present' when the decisions are hard and have consequences.

He'd rather the average American doesn't find out what he really thinks - that he knows better than all of you typical white xenophobic gun-toting religious nuts out there. Just vote for him anyway.


Posted by: proudtobeGOP | April 22, 2008 12:42 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49.5
Clinton 49.3
Other .2

Storyline - Cue the music, turn out the lights, the party is over .... but she does not drop out till the weekend.

Posted by: Gatorboy50613 | April 22, 2008 12:40 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52.5%
Obama 47.5%

Storyline: Obama makes up ground with voters from the middle and West End of the State. Hillary fails to gain any significant margin in the popular vote.

Posted by: Randy S - Minneapolis | April 22, 2008 12:38 PM | Report abuse

McCain wins the Pennsylvania primary by a thumping majority.

Posted by: Jim DiPeso | April 22, 2008 12:36 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Clinton 53.5%
Sen. Obama 46.5%

No he can't (seal the deal). UpHill battle continues.

Posted by: ANS | April 22, 2008 12:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50.8%
Clinton 49.2
Game Over

Posted by: ORJay | April 22, 2008 12:34 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55.5
Obama 44.5

They're starting to hum "Hail to the Chief" in Ballston.

Posted by: Fleur du Mal | April 22, 2008 12:32 PM | Report abuse

55-45 Clinton.

PA Voters Bitter about Barack.

(suburban/exurban women -- watch the sep pa counties)

Posted by: David | April 22, 2008 12:31 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Clinton 49%
Other 1%

Regardless of the outcome, Hillary won't go away.... she's the "Freddy" factor!

http://whathappenedtomycountry.blogspot.com

Posted by: Truth Hunter | April 22, 2008 12:28 PM | Report abuse

can dejtio get a t shirt?

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 12:28 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52, Obama 48

Clinton vows to take it to the Supers. Next stop, Denver.

Posted by: wmi02000 | April 22, 2008 12:27 PM | Report abuse

PS

Posted by: KEN | April 22, 2008 12:15 PM

Ken, we can't hear you, could you speak up?

Posted by: jd | April 22, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54, Obama 45.

Media narrative: This is a much-needed win for Hillary Clinton. It raises doubts about whether Obama can connect with working-class voters. Some sad little pundit will suggest that Obama closed the gap by over 10 points, but that will be ignored as Wolf Blitzer shouts about Clinton's resurgence and the Democratic Party's disunity. "Elitist" will be thrown about repeatedly. Clinton will make a hoarse, smug victory speech in which she declares that the people of Pennsylvania know the value of her experience and her tough life. Obama's speech will include an inspiring line that will cause Chris Matthews to reach a state of ecstasy rarely seen without the use of illegal drugs. McCain will continue to be irrelevant.

Posted by: ABP | April 22, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

I predict the Caps will beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1, to complete their incredible comeback and advance to the next round.

(Hey, you said Pennsylvania prediction...)

Posted by: JD | April 22, 2008 12:24 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55.3
Obama 44.7

I think it will be a surprise that the spread will be as large with all the money Obama spent. Big returns with women and white men will send her just barely into double digits.

Posted by: KK | April 22, 2008 12:23 PM | Report abuse

I am working as a volunteer for Senator Hillary Clinton. She will win Pennsylvania in a big way. Senator Clinton keep moving forward.

Posted by: Maria | April 22, 2008 12:23 PM | Report abuse


Clinton 55.4
Obama 44.3

... Stayin' alive, stayin' alive...

Posted by: AnthonyJBrady | April 22, 2008 12:22 PM | Report abuse

Night and day service
TV screens
Ballot machines
Ballot papers.
No job too big or too small
We fix everything !

Posted by: acmetvrepair | April 22, 2008 12:21 PM | Report abuse

The Latest Proof that the Karl Rove Playbook Has Become the MSM's Bible

The mainstream media seems intent on confirming that it has so internalized the Right's framing and messages they have now become part of its DNA. The first of the latest round of exhibits proving this was offered into evidence during last week's ABC debate. This was followed by the New York Times' epic revelation of the unseemly complicity between the Pentagon and the media in delivering the Bush administration's talking points on Iraq via "a kind of Trojan media horse" -- Pentagon-approved, prepped, and financially-enriched "military analysts" dutifully parroting the Bush party line, with nary a raised eyebrow from the TV stations and newspapers offering these highly-decorated sock puppets their prestigious platforms. And it's not just the media. Witness Hillary Clinton repeating the Rove-promoted lie that MoveOn was against intervention in Afghanistan after 9/11.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 0%
Obama 0%
Alvin " Muskrat" Bodine 100%

Intense media pressure depresses the PA vote to a trickle, Diebold does the rest as Republicans use the PA primary as a dry run for the presidential election.
In the end, the state is won by a homeless tin can collector from Germantown on the strength of a single write in ballot completed with an aqua-marine Crayola crayon. Muskrat immediately signs on as Baraks Vice Presidential candidate but alas, it's not to be.
On the eve of the general election with rioting in the streets and class warfare raging in the heartland, Canada invades the US using a vast 5th column they have been building here for years.
Hockey becomes the national past-time, we all get health insurance and a government issued snow mobile. Needless to say, with the end of the US as a sovereign nation, our commitment to Iraq becomes moot, the troops come home, their is a celebration to rival VE day until the domestic supply of Molsen is exhausted, we all sing " Oh Canada" and then go home to bed, tomorrow is another working day after all.
Ten years from now, the Canadian eject us from their federation telling us "If we'd known what monumental idiots you people were we'd never have invaded you" and Jeb Bush is elected the first president of the new republic. Oddly, he too fails to ever take office as he is shot by his brothers ex-vice president at the inauguration when the doves are launched at the end of the new Presidents speech.
In the end, we decide we really don't need a president and make Nancy Pelosi our collective biatch, putting her in charge of domestic policy and governance. As for foreign policy, we just leave that up to the americans traveling oversees, which works quite well until a family from Abilene Kansas embroils us in the Pan-Lutheran attack on Monaco, but that's a prophesy for another blog.

Posted by: Dijetlo | April 22, 2008 12:18 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

"Clinton Wins PA, But Is It Enough??"
"Obama Closes Gap; Continues to Have Trouble with Blue-Collar Dems"

Posted by: JohnnyMcNugget | April 22, 2008 12:16 PM | Report abuse

50.5 Obama
49.5 Clinton
Rust Belt the difference, Better not Bitter, it's over!!

Posted by: Roger | April 22, 2008 12:15 PM | Report abuse

I JUST HEARD ON THE NEWS THAT THE VOTING MACHINES ARE BREAKING DOWN PHILADELPHIA AND THEY ARE NOT WORKING IN THE BLACK AREAS OF PHILADELPHIA IT LOOKS LIKE THE SAME THING IS GOING ON LIKE IT DID IN NEW YORK AND NEW MEXICO AND NEW HAMPSHIRE THE FIX IS ON FOR HILLARY IN PENNSLYVANIA

Posted by: KEN | April 22, 2008 12:15 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 43

Clinton by 12

Obama can't close the deal. Doubts among superdelegates grow as to whether Obama can carry enough of rural, small town, and middle America to win in general election.

Posted by: Paul Denbaum | April 22, 2008 12:15 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.3 (including the maggot vote fro Scaife)
Obama 45.6
Too Stupid to Know How to Vote: .1
(that is, besides the Billary voters)

What the Story Line Should Be:
1/3 of white Dem voters in Pennsylvania Vote Racist & Support Clinton (another 1/3 Clinton white voters pretend they're not being racist)

I'll take a double XX, I'm a fat ass as well as a fat head

But I don't really expect any of the white talking heads to acknowledge this elephant in the room, what they'll do is

"Our Drab Lives Mean Nothing, We'll Keep Pretending Billary Has a Chance to Win the Nomination"

Posted by: livin_n_the_city | April 22, 2008 12:14 PM | Report abuse

Dear Robert
Thank you for the support.
Will let you know if I need help with the supers.
Regards H.

Posted by: acrossthepond | April 22, 2008 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47
Headline: Hillary wins moral victory, but can't win nomination.

Posted by: John Schroeder | April 22, 2008 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 49

Headline: "Obama Scores Upset, Likely Headed Towards Nomination"

The narrative in the MSM involves how you guys messed up so bad ala New Hampshire. You're not too hard on yourselves, declaring that the entire race has been unpredictable and your expectations of a Clinton 6 (or so) win were reasonable.

Meanwhile, you try your hardest to figure out how Obama did it. You figure out that 1) all that money he raised didn't just go to ads, it helped with organization and he had a superior GOTV operation; 2) the polls weren't completely accurate because those who don't have landlines tend towards Obama; 3) MOST IMPORTANTLY, you finally reject the "Obama blew it" narrative of last week's debate, you watch it again through the eyes of a normal (non-Beltway) person and realize that, objectively speaking, Obama got piled on in a way that Clinton never had, and that Clinton fed into it. You'll realize how sickening the debate was, how representative it was of a crappy old politics, and how people just want that stuff to be over with because they have real problems and want those discussed.

Meanwhile, the pressure on Clinton to drop out will reach a deafening volume. Scores of superdelegates will come out for Obama. Perhaps party elders will as well. She'll either drop out, or Obama will completely ignore her and begin general election mode. If it's the latter, Clinton will turn into a selfish joke.

Posted by: Nathaniel Holton | April 22, 2008 12:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 49%
Clinton: 49%

Story: Recount goes on for days, calls for Clinton to drop out grow louder and louder; she drops out on Friday and Obama begins courting her as VP.

Posted by: Sally | April 22, 2008 12:09 PM | Report abuse

Hillary Clinton is a great politician. I wish I was as good at getting votes as she is.

Posted by: Robert Mugabe | April 22, 2008 12:07 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Clinton narrowly wins the Keystone State, pressure mounts for her to pull out, but campaign continues to look towards the convention.

Posted by: ObamaFan | April 22, 2008 12:06 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

Clinton delegate gain immediately wiped out by Obama superdelegate wave

Posted by: Josh K. | April 22, 2008 12:06 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 46

Its on to the Tar Heel and Hoosier states- Clinton faces money and delegate crunch. Can she get enough of both to win?

XL please!

Posted by: P Mac | April 22, 2008 12:03 PM | Report abuse

Changing my estimate because of the broken machines and the ballot papers without candidates names
Obama 48.0
Hillary Clinton 45.0
Bill Clinton 1.0
Chelsea Clinton 2.0
The Lone Ranger 1.5

pi$$ed off/ Mugabe/ Monica/ other 2.5

Posted by: overthe pond | April 22, 2008 12:01 PM | Report abuse

Politisite Political Projections

[q url="http://www.nowpublic.com/world/politisite-political-projections-pennsylvania-key"]
Polls track Senator Clinton Lower than she produces in final results. Senator Obama tracks higher than he produces in final results. Real Clear Politics has Hillary Clinton winning by 5.7% . Obama has produced some real negitives during this campaign cycle. Politisite projects Senator Clinton to win by 8-12 percentage points. Hilliary Clinton wins by 54-56% to Obama's 42-44%

[/q]

Posted by: Albert N. Milliron | April 22, 2008 12:01 PM | Report abuse

PA:

Clintn 49.7%
Obama 49.2%

Clinton edges out Obama, but the race is written up as an essential draw. Pundits argue that Clinton's window of opportunity is closed, and the calls for her to drop out begin.

Posted by: faberman.jason | April 22, 2008 11:59 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 55
Obama - 44

Storyline: Big Victory for Clinton, but it probably won't be enough. Campaign moves onto last stand in Indiana.

Posted by: Kristin | April 22, 2008 11:55 AM | Report abuse

yes steve..Let us pray...god certainly is on Obama's side..

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 11:53 AM | Report abuse

I thought this was a joke. I guess it is, only the joke is on us:

"Somewhere in between the parade of busty women in low-cut gold lamé minidresses and contestants spinning the wheel, George Bush made a star turn.

"I'm thrilled to be on 'Deal or No Deal' with you tonight," Mr. Bush said from a giant screen in a cameo taped for the Monday episode of one of NBC's most popular prime-time shows. The president paused a beat. "Come to think of it, I'm thrilled to be anywhere with high ratings these days."

Elitism is to the 2008 campaign as communism was to 1950s politics: a career breaker."

Posted by: omigod--life has turned into The Onion | April 22, 2008 11:53 AM | Report abuse

It doesn't matter who wins Pennsylvania. The media has already decided it for us. They will destroy whoever the Dem nominee is -- as they always do. All that's left is the coronation of McCain, who will once and for all, destroy this country--what 'conservatives' desire most, for far from being patriots, they HATE government, which is, after all, what makes America America... soon we'll be just another banana republic.

'In a blunt piece inside, the WSJ says that the tax cuts Sen. John McCain is vowing to push through as president "would either cause the federal deficit to explode or would require unprecedented spending cuts."

He has proposed a total of more than $650 billion in tax cuts a year that would mostly benefit "corporations and upper-income families."

Details are scarce, but he has promised deep cuts which would equal $160 billion a year, which was "the total budget in 2007 for the departments of Education, Energy, Homeland Security, Justice and State."

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 11:51 AM | Report abuse

Obama - 51%
HRC - 49%

Pressure For HRC to End Run.
Obama Over The Top w/ Superdelegates!

Let us pray...

Posted by: steve nc | April 22, 2008 11:50 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 58
Obama 42

Clinton blows out Obama, but still quite far behind in the delegate count.

Posted by: Brian Adams | April 22, 2008 11:50 AM | Report abuse

Obama - 45%
Clinton - 54%
Other - 1%

"Senator Clinton Wins, Feels Need to Torture Us Further"

Posted by: Kev | April 22, 2008 11:49 AM | Report abuse

59.5% Clinton
48.6% Obama

Obama can't seal the deal, Clinton can't make up the delegate deficit. Where do we go from here?

I covet a Fix shirt, as long as Chris didn't make the age-old campaign mistake of only ordering larges and XL's.. skinny guys like politics too.

Posted by: Misha | April 22, 2008 11:47 AM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 48%


Clinton vows to fight on. Obama is the one who will receive the most pressure to accept a brokered deal: supers decide to throw Hillary over by stgrongly suggesting to Obama that he throw his delegates to Gore and accept VP slot.

Obama will sit on the demand for two weeks, then make a grand announcement with Gore that finally drives Hillary out of the race and gives the party a realistic shot at re-taking the White House.

Obama the Kingmaker is hailed as a healer, a peacemaker who has unselflessly put the interests of his party first, before his personal ambitions. But in the long-term calculus, he has set himself up for a possible 16 years in the White House.

He also in one fell swoop erases concerns about personal arrogance and mitigates any doubts about his electability. He finishes off Hillary while curing his own problems, giving the nation eight years to really get to know him before he vies for the top job.

Gore and Obama embark on a whirlwind campaign tour de force across the nation. The polls show the Dem ticket solidly in the lead over a fading McCain, whose own problems and peccadillos finally gain serious media scrutiny.

Gore and Obama are elected in a landslide.

Hillary and Bill retreat to Chappaqua, where Hillary once again takes to throwing the good china at him. Bill blames Hill for squandering his legacy; Hill blames Bill for doing himself in. They finally decide to divorce and begin separate lives.

Hillary faces a stiff challenge from a progressive Upper East Side Dem for renomination to the Senate. Totally fried and exhausted, Hillary decides not to run, but to back daughter Chelsea, who will go on to be elected to her Senate seat and preserve at some of the Clinton political legacy.

Hill moves in with a longtime woman friend and continues advocating for causes with which she's long been associated.

Bill takes up with a 30-year-old starlet, moves to Hollywood and takes a position as a studio executive in charge of evaluating "talent and acquisitions."

Posted by: scrivener | April 22, 2008 11:46 AM | Report abuse

I'd like to amend my original estimate (I miss counted delegates)

Popular Vote
Clinton: 52%
Obama: 46%
Other: 2%

Delegates
Clinton: 92
Obama: 96

The media will flaunt Hillary's major victory. Hillary will say the people have chosen the candidate they know is ready on day one. Hillary will leave a huge debt behind in Pennsylvania and immediately fly to Indiana and really start slinging mud. She figured it worked well in Pennsylvania.

Posted by: MikeMcNally | April 22, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52%
Obama 47%
Edwards 1%

Storyline - Because of a pledged delegate gain of less than 10, Clinton limps into IN/NC with money drying up and the 10 delegate gain being cancelled out by super delegate announcements for Obama prior to the May 6th vote.

Obama 10% or more wins in IN + NC, a new round of Obama super delegates and accumulating debt makes Clinton suspend campaigning on May 8th.

Posted by: wirro | April 22, 2008 11:44 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53

Obama 47

Storyline: The Beat Goes On

Posted by: broxocrat | April 22, 2008 11:43 AM | Report abuse

On CNN, Hillary stated: She will continue on if she loses in PA; she will continue on until Michigan and Florida are resolved (I thought they were); and she will continue on until all of the superdelegates vote. This takes us up to the convention, of course.

And now Bill says he wants the votes counted the way the Republicans count them. (Wow.. all that and meeting with Dick Scaife, too???)

This was quite a surprise (nearly as big a surprise as her declaration that we would provide a "nuclear umbrella" for various Arab States - many dictatorships).

Does this remind you at all of Bush's changing goalposts in the Iraq War (read Bush's War)? 1) There are weapons of mass destruction; 2) We need to get rid of the horrible dictator Saddam Hussein; 3) we need the Iraqis to stand up so we can stand down; and 4) we need to get rid of Al Qaeda in Iraq.

Also, can you see this attitude of Hillary's changing goalposts carrying over into her administration (if she miraculously succeeded in all of the tenets of my first paragraph and won)? If so, how?

Posted by: Richard | April 22, 2008 11:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.1%
Obama 46.9%

Posted by: HK Mason | April 22, 2008 11:41 AM | Report abuse

buzzardist asks
"What's her position on Iraq again?"

Which position will garner her more votes?

Posted by: bsimon | April 22, 2008 11:40 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 55.1

Obama - 44.9

Clinton continues... Fox and replublicans persist to bash Obama, in turn, weakening him for the general election.

Posted by: Alatise | April 22, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 46.5

Headline: With no clear winner, Obama, Clinton vow to keep fighting

Implied headline: OMG, will she just quit, already?

Watch for: Indiana becomes the new Pennsylvania becomes the new Ohio/Texas becomes the new California becomes the new New Hampshire becomes the new Iowa.

Posted by: Joseph L. Chambers | April 22, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 50%
Obama 48%

Storyline: With a 33% margin in November and now barely scraping a won, how can Senator Clinton justify staying in the race? Did Obama's bitter comments stop him from winning Pennsylvania? Will I break the bank to buy a awesome Fix T-Shirt?

Posted by: Fix T-Shirt Winner | April 22, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5
Obama 46

Storyline: No end in sight.

Posted by: Bethany | April 22, 2008 11:36 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 48 Obama 46

Despite the win, did Clinton do enough to stay in the race?

Posted by: Ben Weagraff | April 22, 2008 11:34 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52.8
Obama 47.2

Clinton vows to stay in race and declares intent to arrive in Denver and argue on behalf of FL and MI delegates. Howard Dean unleashes hip new "hrryyyaaaaaghhh!" though from a completely different emotion than before ... and his head explodes.

Posted by: Kurt | April 22, 2008 11:34 AM | Report abuse

It's curious that international news (namely, the BBC) has the lead story on its website about Clinton's saber-rattling against Iran, with a vow from Clinton that the US will attack Iran if she is president and if Iran attacks Israel.

In all honesty, probably any president would be forced to attack Iran in that situation, but Clinton goes farther, talking about the US ability to "obliterate" Iran.

Clinton is sounding more and more like John McCain all the time, a social liberal and a war hawk. What's her position on Iraq again?

Posted by: buzzardist | April 22, 2008 11:32 AM | Report abuse

OK: Hillary wins by 8%, both sides spin it as a game ending result; Obama spins his loss as a delegate-clinching triumph while HRC notes that she has won all of the big states ands that the super's need to think of the party, not the stupid voters in non-Hillary states.

The race still goes on...

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: matt | April 22, 2008 11:31 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 58, Obama 41.

Obama running out of steam? What's the end game? Frenzy of breathless speculation by cable-channel anchors, renewed talk about brokered convention, Dem leadership angst.

Posted by: billmcg | April 22, 2008 11:31 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52.5%

Obama 47.5%

Clinton drops out of the race on Wednesday or Thursday.

Posted by: Joe | April 22, 2008 11:30 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 54%
Clinton: 46%

The youth vote propels Obama to win in Pennsylvania and nomination. Clinton drops out.

Posted by: Charley | April 22, 2008 11:28 AM | Report abuse

The truth is that Obama does not right now have the delegates he needs to call it a victory.


Take a look at Obama's totals.

If one calculates out an amount of delegates in a low range that Obama should win in the remaining primaries, Obama still needs 100 - 130 superdelegates to win.


So go out and get them.

This race will end when Obama can secure 100 - 130 more superdelegates - that is what he should be doing - he has the added incentive of telling them that when he gets to that number, it will be over.

It's that simple.

Or is it?? There are indications that 70 - 100 superdelegates simply would prefer not to make a decision. OK


And there are still those add-on superdelegates which have not even been selected yet, so its difficult to get a commitment from someone who hasnt been selected as an "uncommited" delegate.

Obama and his people need to get 100 - 130 more superdelegates - go get them.


Posted by: Words of Wisdom | April 22, 2008 11:27 AM | Report abuse

67% - Obama
33% - Clinton
1 % - Jack Benny

There are plenty of "Typical White, Rural, Grandma, Gun Owning Church goers" that sure as hell ARE "bitter," but they were too lazy to get up in the morning and vote in PA, and elsewhere. She is fully cooked!

Posted by: Marbles | April 22, 2008 11:26 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54.5%
Obama: 44.5%
Other 1%

"Obama is looking less like a Wiz and more like a 'Whiz Wit' after this loss."

Posted by: TNSlim | April 22, 2008 11:26 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57.5
Obama 42
Others .5

Posted by: jessem | April 22, 2008 11:25 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53. Obama 47. The prevailing story will be the Senator Clinton's lost, last best chance, but the tenacity to carry on. It will be known as Hillary's Quixotic Quest. North Carolina will end it all, but negotiations will begin tomorrow for her speaking spot at the convention and possible position in an Obama admininstration. Her campaign will deny all of it.

Posted by: Steve | April 22, 2008 11:24 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54.5%
Obama: 44.5%
Other 1%

"Obama is looking less like a Wiz and more like a 'Whiz Wit' after this loss."

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 11:24 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 61%
Obama: 37%
Other: 2%

Headline: Clinton wins big enough, both move on to North Carolina. McCain the big winner in continuing primary!

Posted by: reason | April 22, 2008 11:23 AM | Report abuse

67% - Clinton
33% - Obama

There are plenty of "Typical White, Rural, Grandma, Gun Owning Church goers" that sure as hell ARE "bitter" with Mr. No So Wonderful Nobama In PA, and elsewhere. He cooked his own goose, no way he can win the general!

Posted by: Martha | April 22, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

54% Clinton
46% Obama

Clinton meets but does not exceed expectations, making this a tie; ties go to the front-runner. Storyline: Clinton wins, but time is running out for her candidacy -- basically unchanged narrative.

Posted by: Josh | April 22, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 78%
Clinton: 22%

Clinton secures the mountain men hillbilly vote, but still falls short of intelligent voters choice.

Posted by: Jethro | April 22, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54.5
Obama: 45.5

Storyline: Clinton meets, does not exceed expectations.

Posted by: ryanmi03 | April 22, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Nothing original here:

Clinton: 55
Obama: 45

Clinton wins by enough to continue

Posted by: yellowdogjz | April 22, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 49
Obama 44

Despite the fact that Clinton is mathmatically eliminated, she pushes on. She touts the victory as the catalyst that will put states like Oregon and Indiana in play, but the Obama camp reassures everyone that she will not be on the ticket.

Posted by: djeterpt1 | April 22, 2008 11:19 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54

Obama 46

"Clinton survives to figtht another day; McCain elated with PA vote result"

Posted by: wizinit1 | April 22, 2008 11:18 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55 Obama 44
Increasingly anxious super-delegates eye North Carolina, Indiana

Posted by: LESD | April 22, 2008 11:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 47%

Headlines:

*"Moral Victory" for Obama likely seals Clinton's fate

*The Fix opts into public financing for the general election, cites debt accrued from giving out countless t-shirts during the primaries

Posted by: jumpin_bob | April 22, 2008 11:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 45
Clinton gets much needed victory but still lags in delegates.

Posted by: MattL | April 22, 2008 11:16 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 56 %
Obama 44 %

Posted by: Bruce | April 22, 2008 11:14 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Outspending Clinton pays off for Obama; the San Francisco comments, Rev. Wright, and the flag pin nonsense don't make a dent in Obama's momentum - assumes larger leads in Indiana and NC and plans May 6 for the death blow

Posted by: LJackson | April 22, 2008 11:14 AM | Report abuse

"And would he view a loss to HC in Indiana as well as Pa, would in fact be a big deal to his campaign or will hear never mind if that should happen?"
1. CAW CAW CAW!

Since "he is going to SWEEP NC, PA, and IN," I don't think this is something you need to worry about.

Posted by: bondjedi | April 11, 2008 12:35 PM

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 11:13 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 54%
Obama - 45%

Headline reads "Clinton Survives" on Wednesday morning. Obama carries large Congressional districts, however, and puts a big dent in net delegate gain expected by Clinton camp. That story is lost, however, must to the chagrin of those of us who like responsible journalism.

Posted by: Shaun | April 22, 2008 11:13 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Clinton's 12 point win is larger than expected, breathing new life once again into the process, and making Indiana the new Pennsylvania.

Posted by: leuchtman | April 22, 2008 11:12 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 47

What the storyline should be:

"Clinton squanders her last major chance to cut into Obama's delegate and popular vote leads. It's clearer than ever she cannot win."

What the storyline will be:

"Clinton wins! We still have a race! Obama can't win working class voters. Superdelegates should start defecting to the clear favorite, Hillary!" - ie. Media wins.

Posted by: Greg | April 22, 2008 11:12 AM | Report abuse

CLINTON 52.1%
OBAMA 47.7%

HEADLINE NARRATIVE:

Clinton wins, but fails to win by the margin she needs to make significant dents in Obama's delegate and popular vote leads.

Posted by: Scott S. | April 22, 2008 11:09 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 55%
Obama: 41 %
Other: 4 %

Story: Clinton continues to fight on, Obama claims win.

Posted by: PSU Gambit | April 22, 2008 11:08 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Obama close in delegates

Storyline: Hillary claims that Obama unelectable. Obama ends the race in Indiana and North Carolina.

Sub Story Line

Washington Caps 4
Flyers 2

Posted by: Honest Dealer | April 22, 2008 11:08 AM | Report abuse

Obama 55
Clinton 45

Obama's $10 million expenditure finally pays off. Bonjedi you, Jac and JD were right all along. Send me one of those Obama t-shirts.

Posted by: Leichtman | April 22, 2008 11:07 AM | Report abuse

Hillary is gonna win convincingly in PA, but Obama is gonna kick her in NC. So?

So...

The song remains the same...

Posted by: AdrickHenry | April 22, 2008 11:06 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57%
Obama 42%
Other 1%

Clinton's larger-than-expected win moves her decidedly into lead in Indiana polls, while Obama's lead in North Carolina shrinks to single digits. Large majority of undeclared super delegates ignore Dean's and Pelosi's calls to choose sides now, and many publically state that they will choose after the May 6 primaries.

Posted by: Kelly | April 22, 2008 11:05 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.6

Obama 46.4

Women carry Clinton to victory.
Obama struggles with blue collar voters.

Posted by: Mississippi | April 22, 2008 11:01 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%

Obama 47%

Clinton wins and drags this thing on to North Carolina revitalized by her whopping success among blue-collar voters.

Posted by: Peter | April 22, 2008 11:01 AM | Report abuse

Getting strong now, won't be long now,
Gonna fly now, flying high now ...but not quite high enough.

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | April 22, 2008 10:58 AM


Anybody see that on John Stewart last night? Pretty funny...

Posted by: AdrickHenry | April 22, 2008 11:00 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 43


Getting strong now, won't be long now,
Gonna fly now, flying high now ...but not quite high enough.

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | April 22, 2008 10:58 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 52
Obama: 48

Blue-collar workers going for Obama make Clinton campaign blue...Obama angles for knockout blow on May 6.

Posted by: Mr. Wallace | April 22, 2008 10:56 AM | Report abuse

...very shrewd bsimon

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:56 AM | Report abuse

I'll make two - b is most likely to be honest.

a: Philly overwhelming supports Obama in a upset
Obama - 50.2%
Clinton - 49.8%

b: Clinton wins but not by enough
Clinton - 53%
Obama - 47%

Posted by: bobthebuilder | April 22, 2008 10:55 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 48.6
Obama 45.5

Posted by: goodwater1 | April 22, 2008 10:55 AM | Report abuse

I have no earthly idea what will happen, but as an Obama supporter I fear the latest polls are right, and that Drudge's report about HRC's internal polling showing her up by 11 was true (which explains vammap's description of the contrasting moods at the rallies last night). So, assuming that the late-deciders break for HRC as usual, but also assuming the young voters and late registrants turn out for Obama:

Clinton 53
Obama 46
Others 1

Story line: "Clinton wins; significance of margin debated. Candidates await reaction of superdelegates, donors."

Posted by: jac13 | April 22, 2008 10:52 AM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 47

Clinton again declares herself "comeback kid." Says planetary influences should be factored in the nomination. Offers Obama vice-president spot on her ticket.

Posted by: Cheeky in Chicago | April 22, 2008 10:50 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

Clinton wins a very tight race. The media will harp on how this was not the margin she needed to catch up. The delegate count is unchanged, and it might be time for the superdelegates to step in.

policythought.blogspot.com

Posted by: policythought | April 22, 2008 10:49 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 48
Obama 46

Razor-thin margin and no delegate movement sparks cascade of Supers, nomination sealed.

Posted by: pwtrue | April 22, 2008 10:49 AM | Report abuse

Clinton wins by 11 points, 55% to Obama's 44%. Her campaign touts it as a major victory, but the win still comes up far short of what she needs in the delegate count, which Obama's side is equally quick to point out.

Clinton, in Pennsylvania for her victory night, tries hard to hold onto the good vibes from Pennsylvania, while Obama is already in Indiana looking ahead to the next critical fight as a more realistic chance to deliver a knockout punch.

Honestly, though, I like Chris's "pain" prediction best of all.

Posted by: blert | April 22, 2008 10:47 AM | Report abuse


The result today- Obama 49.5
Clinton 49.6
The balance 0.9 is made up of other, {and spoiled votes }?
Bill congratulates Hillary running against such a negative opponent. Announces that the process has taken too much out of her and because of health reasons, she will end her campaign.

Posted by: acrossthepond | April 22, 2008 10:47 AM | Report abuse

someone purporting to be JD writes
"Is it just me, or is Chelsea starting to look HOT with that long blond hair?"

That has got to be a spoofed post...

Posted by: bsimon | April 22, 2008 10:47 AM | Report abuse

And John McCain's 'fiscal policies' are so TOTALLY LOONY that even the WSJ is shocked:

"In a blunt piece inside, the WSJ says that the tax cuts Sen. John McCain is vowing to push through as president "would either cause the federal deficit to explode or would require unprecedented spending cuts." He has proposed a total of more than $650 billion in tax cuts a year that would mostly benefit "corporations and upper-income families." Details are scarce, but he has promised deep cuts would equal $160 billion a year, which was "the total budget in 2007 for the departments of Education, Energy, Homeland Security, Justice and State."

and how weird is this? McCain takes thousands in government aid that he clearly doesn't deserve--these so-called 'conservatives' are always the biggest welfare queens:

'In other McCain-related news, the LAT points out that when the senator released his tax return last week, he disclosed that he received a tax-exempt $58,358 for what his staff called a "disability pension" from the Navy because of "his limited body movements due to injuries as a POW."

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:46 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50.5%
Clinton 49.5%

College Kids make the difference to give Obama the edge, but somehow Clinton declares herself the winner.

Posted by: Tim | April 22, 2008 10:44 AM | Report abuse

Obama 56%]
Clinton 44%

story: huge turnout of new, young voters powers Obama to unexpected big win in PA. Leading Dems tell Hillary it's over.

Posted by: Bob | April 22, 2008 10:44 AM | Report abuse

"Is it just me, or is Chelsea starting to look HOT with that long blond hair?"

It's just you.

Posted by: bondjedi | April 22, 2008 10:43 AM | Report abuse

"Meanwhile, it's becoming clearer just how little oversight there is of imported products"

Think twice before you buy that next imported product. Is this the one that's going to kill you? This is what deregulation is all about, my friends. Far more people will die from lack of government inspection than will ever die from terrorism.

'conservatism' is just another name for terrorism.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55.3%
Obama 44.7%

There is no news to come out of the results, only fodder for more spin.

Clinton is going all the way to the convention with this one. Dean is too much of a pu$$y to do anything about her.

The zaniest thing to come out of this is that the Clintons have found a way to further debase theie legacy. Hill can talk about how great the 90s were and peace and prosperity, but upon leaving office Bubba knew that the only thing he would be remembered for involved an intern, a cigar, and a blue dress. This campaign of Hillary's will give the historical perspective and insight to his behavior - he had to carry on like that because his wife was a psychopath kamikaze.

Posted by: bondjedi | April 22, 2008 10:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 45

Headline: Clinton catches up in the overall vote thanks to Pennsylvania, vows to fight all the way to Denver.

Headline 2 (buried on page 11): Clinton only picks up 9 delegates.

Posted by: BrianRF | April 22, 2008 10:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 42%
Oops! She did it again...
PA undecided break for Hillary again.

Posted by: Nancy in Dallas TX | April 22, 2008 10:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 56
Obama: 43

Obama still ahead, but thanks to low-income and female voters, Clinton is giving him a run for his money.

Posted by: smmalonso | April 22, 2008 10:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 43
Other 1

Big win for Clinton puts focus on NC and IN

Posted by: brs3f | April 22, 2008 10:40 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

Both Clinton and Obama show they won't be brought down by mis-statements; keep each other to what might as well be a tie in Pennsylvania.

Posted by: lattajb | April 22, 2008 10:40 AM | Report abuse

Although a Obama supporter I predict Clinton will win by 10%-- 55% Her 45% Him because of the support by the local pols.

Posted by: Ralph Indianapolis | April 22, 2008 10:39 AM | Report abuse

Was it Chelsea who went to all those gay bars or was it Hillary??

Posted by: Hello | April 22, 2008 10:17 AM

Is it just me, or is Chelsea starting to look HOT with that long blond hair?

Posted by: JD | April 22, 2008 10:38 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52 Obama 48
Clinton eeks out a victory, but it isn't enough to keep her struggling, debt filled campaign alive

Posted by: pierredude | April 22, 2008 10:36 AM | Report abuse

And GWBush's good buddies the Saudis continue to r*ape us at the pump:

The Los Angeles Times leads with new record prices for both oil and gasoline. The average price of gas nationwide passed the $3.50 mark and the price of crude oil reached $117.48 a barrel. Many predict that it won't be long before gasoline costs more than $4 a gallon in many parts of the country and the barrel of oil reaches $125.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:36 AM | Report abuse

While Chinese products continue to murder Americans:

The New York Times leads with the Food and Drug Administration announcing that contaminated heparin from 12 Chinese companies has been found in 11 countries and is linked to 81 deaths in the United States.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:35 AM | Report abuse

Who will end the madness?

The strain on the military continues:

" USA Today leads with Pentagon records showing that the Army has increased the use of involuntary extensions to maintain troop levels despite the fact that Defense Secretary Robert Gates said last year that they should be kept to a minimum. The number of soldiers affected has increased 43 percent since May, to a total of 12,235 in March."

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:34 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55%
Obama 44%
Undecided/Other 1%

The Pennsylvania groundhog sees its shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of primaries.

Obama spin - we have an insurmountable delegate lead
Clinton spin - only I can win the swing states and the general election.

Posted by: Alex | April 22, 2008 10:34 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 46

Clinton has a net gain of 7 delegates for the night, which doesn't really change the dynamic of the race, as Obama picks up 7 more Super Delegates over the upcoming weekend.

Posted by: Marcus3 | April 22, 2008 10:32 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 49%

High profile Clinton supporters holding "secret" meetings on ending the civil war.

Posted by: David | April 22, 2008 10:32 AM | Report abuse

Clinton wins popular vote 52% to 48% but nets only 5 delegates. Future of the Clinton campaign uncertain

Posted by: Mark G. | April 22, 2008 10:30 AM | Report abuse

Clinton wins PA big (8-12 points). Tomorrow 1pm EST she announces that she wants to be Obama's VP running mate. After 2 more days, Obama declines

Posted by: Sloan | April 22, 2008 10:30 AM | Report abuse

HRC = 54.5
Obama = 45.5

Storyline:

As expected Hillary wins PA handily -- but not by a large enough margin to cause a "momentum shift". Obama still holding strong lead in delegates. Hillary to continue hoping for Obama misstep.

In other words, nothing is decided either way because of PA. Battle goes on. Hillary is, first of all, hoping for an Obama meltdown. Some sort of Rev Wright flap, only much worse.

If that doesn't happen, she is hoping to have enough strength to be the logical (meaning logical in the way of "uniting" the Party) choice for Veep.

Her strategy is simple: stay in as long as it is financially possible. Face it: she has a lot of support, both in votes and financially. She will be around until the Convention.

Posted by: AdrickHenry | April 22, 2008 10:29 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Clinton 48%

Posted by: dburck | April 22, 2008 10:29 AM | Report abuse

Obama 45%
Clinton 53%

Little decided as margin large enough for Clinton to continue but not enough to swing money and superdelegates. Clinton's cash woes start to hurt her as we head into the Tar Heel Tussle and the Hoosier Hostilities.

Posted by: jallenba | April 22, 2008 10:28 AM | Report abuse

Clinton wins with 54% of the vote. Basically no gain in the nomination race for Clinton. Delegate counts will be a close split, so Obama continues his significant margin. Clinton does pick up around 150,000 in the popular vote, but that's not enough to bring her close to Obama after the primary season.

Posted by: Joe | April 22, 2008 10:26 AM | Report abuse

This contest will not matter. Obama is the presumed Democrat nominee. Hillary should have had a post Super-Tuesday strategy.

Preditions
- Clinton-54
- Obama-45
- One more months of negative ads
- Those who thought that things were ugly now have not seen anything yet.
- McCain doing cartwheels for the first time in 60 years.

Posted by: Kelly | April 22, 2008 10:25 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 58
Obama - 49

Posted by: Ryder | April 22, 2008 8:39 AM

VOTE EARLY AND OFTEN!!!!!!!

Posted by: flarrfan | April 22, 2008 10:23 AM | Report abuse

Clinton-51%
Obama-48%
Other-1%

Headline: Clinton wins narrow victory in PA and vows to continue, superdelegates declare support en masse for Obama. Mark Penn's head explodes.

Posted by: ASinMoCo | April 22, 2008 10:23 AM | Report abuse

51-49 for Clinton who will finally end up at the top because, what she has not yet divulged, but every sane American suspects is that that sniper fire in Bosnia came from Osama! I mean Obama!

No...I mean Osama....

what the heck, I don't know any more who's who.....

Duck, you sucker!!!

Posted by: Ronn | April 22, 2008 10:23 AM | Report abuse

Hillary 75%
Obama 27%

Headline: Obama finally gets the picture, exits the campaign. McCain reads writing on wall, concedes presidency to Hillary before summer even starts.

Posted by: VAMMAP | April 22, 2008 10:22 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 59
Obama 41

Clinton wins bigger than expected. Do people say they're voting for Obama to pollsters, but actually vote Clinton? (racism, etc. etc.)

There are no new stories in this election, just recycled nonsense.

Posted by: littlestormcloud | April 22, 2008 10:21 AM | Report abuse

Obama 48%
Clinton 52%

Clinton claims "significant" victory and continues fight to Indiana and NC. Little movement in delegate numbers and superdelegates continue to slowly move toward Obama.

More calls for Clinton to leave race,but she refuses to do so, citing victory. All of this is re-run in two weeks in IN and NC.

Posted by: stevo | April 22, 2008 10:20 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.1
Obama 45.2

In her victory speech, Clinton points to this as the "turning point" in the campaign. The delegate breakdown, however, is not nearly as favorable as the popular vote and she still has a big hill to climb.

Posted by: 06csg | April 22, 2008 10:20 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 45

Clinton continues win streak in big states but relatively small victory margin steps up pressure for her to bow out.

Posted by: Clark | April 22, 2008 10:19 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 53.2%
Obama - 46.5%

Clinton gains only +9 delegates.

"Narrow Clinton win does not change delegate math. Will she be able to stay in?"

Posted by: cbl-pdx | April 22, 2008 10:19 AM | Report abuse

It was Chelsea, in PA and out on the West Coast.

Posted by: Patrick NYC | April 22, 2008 10:18 AM | Report abuse

HEADLINE OF WEDNESDAY

Hillary wins Pennsylvania - however do her lack of organization in small counties, Obama wins more delegates.


Posted by: Words | April 22, 2008 10:18 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51
Obama 49

America 0

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 10:18 AM | Report abuse

Hillary will win big tonite. John McCain will win the general.

I read somewhere that people vote more conservative the closer the election gets. Makes sense

Posted by: smitty | April 22, 2008 10:18 AM | Report abuse

Obama wins by 16 points, 58% - 42%, and the story line is:

Hillary refuses to submit. Vows to fight on, says she: "This 'close' primary only Strengthens my KUNG FU GRIP on the nomination."

Posted by: Metternich | April 22, 2008 10:18 AM | Report abuse

I am no Hillary supporter or Obama basher but I think that tonight's results will shake the primary election...at least for another couple of weeks. Obama will still be the Demo nominee but Hillary will live to fight another day.

Clinton 61%
Obama 39%


It will be a viewed as a huge win but in the end it will be meaningless to deny Obama the nomination. Sadly McCain will claim the Prez in 2008.

Posted by: Dave, Portland, Oregon | April 22, 2008 10:17 AM | Report abuse

Was it Chelsea who went to all those gay bars or was it Hillary??


Posted by: Hello | April 22, 2008 10:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton a percentage, Obama a percentage... In reality, it doesn't really matter, beacuse nomatter who wins this, corporate america will be the democrats nominee, just like every other year... If you truly want "change", vote for the independent candidate Ralph Nader in 08!!!!!

Posted by: matthew sieg | April 22, 2008 10:16 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.1
Obama 45.9

Should Clinton Drop Out? Pundits Waffle.

Posted by: Coral Gables | April 22, 2008 10:13 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Headline: Delegate count relatively unchanged, and we're right back where we started from.

Posted by: ChrisDC | April 22, 2008 10:09 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51.4%
Obama 48.6%

Tonight's talking head narrative will be structured so that CNN, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC, MSNBC, The WashPo, The NYTimes, Drudge, and the Huffington Post continue to enjoy record ratings, circulation, and page views and so that depressed local TV markets in Indiana, Oregon, and North Carolina can reap the benefits of Obama's largesse.

The majority of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates will wait until June 3rd.

The circus goes on!

Ancillary prediction: Paul Begala makes a fool of himself on CNN, Larry King does another puff interview, righteous indignation runs amok on Fox.

Posted by: P Diddy | April 22, 2008 10:08 AM | Report abuse

Clinton by 9 percentage points - 54-45.

Clinton's big victory propells her to the end. Obama's showing raises more doubts about his electibility.

Posted by: Lana Norwood | April 22, 2008 10:05 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53% Obama 47%

Hillary readies new theme song "Indiana Wants Me" but super delegates have a different message for her White House aspirations: "In the Year 2525."

Posted by: Optimyst | April 22, 2008 10:04 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 44%

The Battle Continues; Obama's Star Has Faded

Posted by: JSnapper | April 22, 2008 10:03 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51.5
Obama 48.5

After initial strong results from cities, Obama falls back to narrow loss, Clinton gives speech with overtones of finality.

Posted by: Aussieknowsbest | April 22, 2008 10:02 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50.5, Clinton 49
Pa. defy predictions, vote for change
New voters key to election
HRC considering options

Posted by: MartinHajovsky | April 22, 2008 10:00 AM | Report abuse

Obama 51.3
Clinton 48.2

Posted by: DaveT | April 22, 2008 10:00 AM | Report abuse

Hillary goes to a gay bar for breakfast and gets totally s-faced on Crown Royal.She declares that she is leaving Bill for Geraldine Ferraro and that if elected Geraldine will be First Life Partner. Pennsylvania has a massive regurgitation flooding Allentown with vomit and the election results are held up for months as Bush brings Brownie back to run the FEMA effort.

Posted by: LetthemdrinkCrownRoyal | April 22, 2008 9:30 AM
-------------------
Douche bag

Posted by: Idiotpatrol | April 22, 2008 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57%
Obama 42%
Other 1%

Clinton's larger-than-expected win moves her decidedly into lead in Indiana polls, while Obama's lead in North Carolina shrinks to single digits. Large majority of undeclared super delegates ignore Dean's and Pelosi's calls to choose sides now, and many publically state that they will choose after the May 6 primaries.

Posted by: Kelly | April 22, 2008 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57
Obama 43

Buyers' remorse? Now what!

Posted by: Chris | April 22, 2008 9:58 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 56%
Obama 43%

Clinton Comes Back Again. Will Money Follow?

Posted by: Patrick NYC | April 22, 2008 9:58 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Clinton lives for another primary

Posted by: M. Munson | April 22, 2008 9:58 AM | Report abuse

Hillary will win by 8 percentage points. She'll proclaim a victory but Obama will still lead significantly in delegates and money. Hillary will continue to push on. Edwards will declare for Obama. Howard Dean, Ted Kennedy, and Bill Clinton will get into a three-way fist-fight.

Posted by: susanpoet | April 22, 2008 9:55 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 51.2
Obama: 48.8

Posted by: cwb | April 22, 2008 9:55 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Obama stays competitive as Clinton campaign moves goalposts to Indiana, the nomination's next and final "tie-breaker."

Posted by: gabriel | April 22, 2008 9:52 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

The pattern holds of Obama erasing an early huge lead for Clinton in a big primary state, and she holds off a late Obama surge. But again, she fails to make up enough ground in the overall popular vote and delegate count.

The story is that Clinton isn't going anywhere, because the media is afraid to report the obvious (the race is over). The media is pro-McCain (not general republican or democrat) and pro-conflict.

Obama announces a new flood of SuperDelegates in the coming days to kill any misperceived Clinton momentum.

Posted by: Noah | April 22, 2008 9:52 AM | Report abuse

I'll take

Obama 49
Clinton 49

Storyline- How will Clinton justify staying in the race with no money & only an extreme long shot at winning delegates the traditional way?

Posted by: bsimon | April 22, 2008 9:51 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 45
Clinton has momentum

Posted by: Jim | April 22, 2008 9:50 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 59
Obama: 40

Front-runner?

Posted by: cdavis1381 | April 22, 2008 9:49 AM | Report abuse

Now the Iranians are trying to say that Al Queda did not do 9/11 - what does that mean???


Hillary says that she will pull out of Iraq, but immediately start bombing Iran.

Can anyone make sense of this?????


Posted by: WHAT | April 22, 2008 9:44 AM | Report abuse

CLINTON 63%

OB AMA 34%

Posted by: Fabio | April 22, 2008 9:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 50, Obama 48

Underpolled new voters keep Obama close and help him win the expectations game. Superdelegates start coming out for Obama in droves in the next two weeks, a double digit win in NC and a 5 point win in Indiana end the campaign.

Posted by: Charles Yeganian | April 22, 2008 9:40 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50
Clinton 49
Other 1

Obama wins a nail biter due to new voter registration among Young People and African Americans, and also wins the white male vote. Clinton schedules major announcement on Thursday.

Posted by: Freddie | April 22, 2008 9:39 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 48%
Obama - 43%

Clinton's wins narrowly and vows to stay in the race until the convention.

Posted by: LBK | April 22, 2008 9:35 AM | Report abuse

Pennsylvania results:

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Clinton wins, but not by enough; Obama expects surge in superdelegates.

Bonus Game 7 results (what most PAers probably care about):

Philadelphia Flyers 4
Washington Capitals 3

Final, OT.

Posted by: CTflyer | April 22, 2008 9:33 AM | Report abuse

Obama 49.7
Clinton 49.9
Delegates split evenly.

Hillary's total includes at least 2% operation Chaos. Anecdotally, the small town in PA where we vacation had a notable spike in party affiliation changes in February and March. (Similarly, my in-laws' votes for Hillary in the Ohio primary were their first for a Democrat, ever.)

Following her slim victory, Hillary will accuse Obama of conspiring with the vast right-wing conspiracy to undermine the signifiance of her victory. (by less than 14,000 votes.)(Nevermind that the Prince of Darkness' Scaife endorsed her.)

On Wednesday, superdelegates will shift to Obama en masse, including more than 10 committed Clinton delegates.

By Friday, Hillary decides to concede as there is too much important work to get done in the Senate. The deal brokered will call for leaks from the Obama campaign in August that he offered her the VP and she turned him down.

Posted by: I am correct, sir! | April 22, 2008 9:33 AM | Report abuse

Hillary goes to a gay bar for breakfast and gets totally s-faced on Crown Royal.She declares that she is leaving Bill for Geraldine Ferraro and that if elected Geraldine will be First Life Partner. Pennsylvania has a massive regurgitation flooding Allentown with vomit and the election results are held up for months as Bush brings Brownie back to run the FEMA effort.

Posted by: LetthemdrinkCrownRoyal | April 22, 2008 9:30 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52 %
Obama 48 %

Clinton eeks out the win; drum beat for her withdrawal getting much louder.

Posted by: theaberlin | April 22, 2008 9:28 AM | Report abuse

54 Clinton
46 Obama

"Clinton captures momentum, but all but out of time"

And the contest slugs on.

Flash
http://Centrisity.com

Posted by: Flash | April 22, 2008 9:26 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 50.5
Obama 49.0
Other .5

Headlines:

Clinton claims underdog victory! Obama smiles.

Posted by: wwwqueen | April 22, 2008 9:25 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 45%
Other 1%

Clinton wins 10 more delegates than Obama - 84 - 74. Obama's pledged delegate lead is now 154 (1488 - 1334) and his lead of overall delegates is 131 (1719 - 1588), according to the Associated Press.

Clinton wins 200,000 more votes than Obama, cutting his lead in that category to 500,000 plus.

Storyline: "Pennsylvania keeps Hillary alive, but she's running out of time. On to Indiana and North Carolina - the next battleground states."

Posted by: Chuck | April 22, 2008 9:25 AM | Report abuse

Obama - 49.15
Clinton - 49.85

Posted by: jj | April 22, 2008 9:24 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.5
Obama 46.5

Story Line: Clinton wins, but makes only small dent in Obama's overall delegate lead. Short on cash and facing a superdelegate rush to Obama, Clinton will leave the race.

Posted by: Swinford | April 22, 2008 9:23 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 50.5
Obama 49.0
Other .5

Headlines:

Clinton claims underdog victory! Obama smiles.

Posted by: wwwqueen | April 22, 2008 9:22 AM | Report abuse

There is a permanent split developing within the Democratic Party - women's groups and the black community are permanently at odds and are locked in a struggle for the priorities.


What has happened is this: Women's groups have consistently demanded more and more slots.


The black communtiy has countered by demanding more slots too - they want 20% because they believe that they make up at least that amount of the democrats.


Up to now the other groups in the Democratic coalition the hispanics, the gays the jewish groups have been content to take what they can from the remainder.


Everyone has been happy to slowly push out the white men - until finally this year, the white men have been unable to raise money to compete. However, what is left is a party hopelessly divided and completely lost.


Contrary to all the pronouncements that the two candidates are the same on the issues, the two groups have very little in common and really do not care about each others' issues.


It is a complete disaster.


Posted by: Words of Wisdom | April 22, 2008 9:20 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 54%
Obama - 46%

Clinton holds on, race to turn uglier as campaigns move to Indiana

Posted by: brent | April 22, 2008 9:19 AM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 49

When will she drop out?

Posted by: TomO | April 22, 2008 9:18 AM | Report abuse

HRC: 55.7
BHO: 44.2
Other: .7

Reporters clamor to spend the next month in Puerto Rico.

Posted by: Zach | April 22, 2008 9:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57
Obama 43

"Obama can't win white blue-collar voters"

Posted by: Sergio/Mike | April 22, 2008 9:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 50
Obama 49
Other 1

Headlines:

Obama beats expectations

Obama wins more delegates despite narrow popular loss

Clinton doesn't win big enough

White men, blacks & 20 somethings go for Obama

Clinton bitter small towns didn't cling to her

Posted by: Weiant | April 22, 2008 9:16 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 100 %
Clinton: 0 %

Calls for investigation of skewed results. Mass drugging of population or alien intervention suspected.

Posted by: baba-O | April 22, 2008 9:15 AM | Report abuse

Clinton--50
Obama--48

Headline: Clinton claims mandate to continue; sources report her campaign is out of cash

Analysis: Incredibly high turnout from "un-pollable" high school and college voters raises doubts about traditional polling system.

Opinion/Editorial: Chris Cillizza had almost lost us with his incessant discussion of Sen. Obama's SFO comments, and his focus on the horse-race to the detriment of the facts on the ground. We are proud to report, however, after his brilliant use of "Clubber" Lang as an analogy for this Rocky-esque Pennsylvania primary, that he is back in our good graces. --the crt12 gazette.

Seriously, CC, fantastic reference. I spit my coffee out when I saw the still-screen because I knew exactly the scene you had used, and played it about 30 times in a row to start my day. Cheers to you, sir.

Posted by: crt12 | April 22, 2008 9:15 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54%
Obama: 46%

Clinton hails it as a great victory and that it indicates buyers remorse amoung the democrates and that Obama can't win in big states.

Obama tries to downplay the results.

Posted by: Megaduck | April 22, 2008 9:13 AM | Report abuse

clinton 56%
obama 42%
nader/paul 2%

obama comes from behind, clinton sore winner

Posted by: mellie | April 22, 2008 9:12 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Clinton soldiers on, despite narrow victory. With nearly a 20 point lead in polls in North Carolina and a very close race in Indiana likely to favor Obama, Clinton still vows to carry on, despite pressure from the DNC. Superdelegates move to support Obama.

Posted by: Jordan Davies | April 22, 2008 9:11 AM | Report abuse

VAMMAP

I guess if you say its true, it must be, how about all those reports that the Clinton people have to seat everyone BEHIND Clinton to make it look like there is a packed gym?

How about all those reports that the Hillary people purposely close off half the room just to make sure there is a line in front???


How about all those reports that Hillary's people have an affirmative action plan for the seating behind Hillary?

I guess all that means that Hillary has finally connected with HER supporters?


The people who go to a Hillary rally are supposed to favor her - it is everyone else that wishes she would go back to Arkansas or the White Water property or wherever she came from.

Posted by: Words | April 22, 2008 9:09 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 51%
Clinton: 49%

Clinton camp shocked by waves of new voters for Obama. Inner circle holding meetings, decision pending!

Posted by: johng1 | April 22, 2008 9:04 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50
Clinton 49

Storyline: Obama squeaks out win!,Clinton: "Too Close To Call."

Posted by: chadibuins | April 22, 2008 8:58 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 55%
Clinton: 45%

Main Story:
The urban areas explode with newly registered voters who actually showed up and voted Obama!

Substory:
Hillary Clinton weeps inconsolably during post election speech. Vows to continue fighting, although many close to her feel she is destroying the party and what is left of her reputation.

Posted by: Chief Two Dogs | April 22, 2008 8:57 AM | Report abuse

Media narrative: Another huge comeback by Hillary Clinton! This is the biggest upset in political history!

It doesn't matter what the results are; that's the narrative. It also doesn't matter that Hillary was expected to win Pennsylvania all along, or that 6 months ago she was expected to steamroll the competition and win the nomination with no trouble. The media loves talking about Hillary, and they'll do whatever they can to keep her in the race.

Posted by: Blarg | April 22, 2008 8:54 AM | Report abuse

Clinton says, "Women know how to clean house."

I find that sexist and offensive. How about if Obama said, "Negroes have been cleaning up after white folks for centuries"?

Do you see how offensive Clinton's comment is?

Posted by: egc52556 | April 22, 2008 8:53 AM | Report abuse

clinton 51 %
obama 47 %
my highschool history teacher SGT Brian keslick-1 vote

al gore/john edwards- 1 percent

hilary clinton wins by a small margin and obama packs up move to nc and eats BBQ before midnight

Posted by: andy lane | April 22, 2008 8:53 AM | Report abuse

With the surge of new voters and Republicans changing party, the Panther predicts:

Obama 52
Clinton 48

Posted by: Pink Panther | April 22, 2008 8:52 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Clinton 48%

Let the floodgates open...

Posted by: TMo | April 22, 2008 8:51 AM | Report abuse

CC, I am waiting with baited breath for my t-shirt :-)

Now for prediction time,
Obama 49
Clinton 49

Headline tomorrow "Keystone State too close to call"

Posted by: Andy R | April 22, 2008 8:48 AM | Report abuse

A scrum, a cloud of dust, and the winner is........

Clinton 52
Obama 46
Other 2

Headline Story: Nothing changes -- Why are we continuing this race again?

Posted by: egc52556 | April 22, 2008 8:43 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 55
Obama - 44

Media narrative: Campaigns try to spin who won in state heavily tilted towards Clinton, but with no clear winner, super delegates start coming out for Obama to end the bloodshed.

Chris writes: "WOW"

Posted by: PinkoPatriot | April 22, 2008 8:43 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 57,3%
Obama: 42,7%

Posted by: Hans | April 22, 2008 8:43 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53.7
Obama 45.2

Democratic race becomes less clear after Pennsylvania with increasing talk of brokered convention

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 45

Story: Clinton wins PA by single digits, claims to be in it to win it. Obama campaigns in Indiana and looks forward to May 6th. Cable News rejoices that the campaign will continue giving them material to fill their broadcasts with.

Posted by: Matt Butler | April 22, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 52%
Obama: 46%

Late deciders swing to Clinton, but Obama brings young voters to the polls and performs better than expected amongst white women and white blue collar voters. Both campaigns trumpet their positive spin and the slog continues to Indiana and North Carolina.

Posted by: J.Rodd | April 22, 2008 8:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Like George Romero's zombies from Pittsburgh in "Night of the Living Dead," Hillary rises from her political death.

Posted by: John | April 22, 2008 8:41 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Clinton's victory will help her raise money but not likely enough to overcome Obama in the end.

Posted by: Frank | April 22, 2008 8:39 AM | Report abuse

Clinton - 58
Obama - 49

Posted by: Ryder | April 22, 2008 8:39 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53%
Obama: 47%

Accepting arguendo that HRC is Rocky, this race has become analogous to the end of Rocky II, she's trying to hammer away so much at Obama that they'll both go down at the end...only here, there's no chance that HRC can get up before the 10 count.

Hopefully the result of Pennsylvania will be that the Superdelegates treat it like like Rocky V, say enough is enough and stop watching and listening to her!

Posted by: arlee1 | April 22, 2008 8:29 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 58.6%
Obama 40.3%

Narrative: Clinton claims this is a turning point in the race, Obama points out he is still ahead in delegates. Hilary camp claims that Obama "must win" North Carolina comfortably to remain the leader in the race.

Posted by: Aidan Brack | April 22, 2008 8:27 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 58.7%
Obama 39.8%
Other 1.5%

Clinton gains 211,000 in the popular vote count

Posted by: Zvoll | April 22, 2008 8:25 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52%
Obama 47%
Other 1%

Big Turnout on Philly bodes well for keeping it close for Obama. He does well with working class whites in Scranton and the north east, but Hillary does better then expected with African Americans in Philadelphia to offset his gains.

The media will try to spin it into a big win to keep the race going, but super delegates start to go to Obama at a rate of 5 a day!

The party is over for Hillary!


Posted by: Gamblndan | April 22, 2008 8:25 AM | Report abuse


Who do you predict will win the Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=2127


.

Posted by: Frank, Austin TX | April 22, 2008 8:17 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 48%
Other 1%

Blue collar support evenly split between candidates

Posted by: Micah | April 22, 2008 8:14 AM | Report abuse

C-SPAN Coverage
Rallies Monday night


"Tonight, Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) [was on C-SPAN] in Philadelphia, at the Univ. of PA - Palestra. Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) speaks to supporters at the Univ. of Pittsburgh's Petersen Events Center. On Tuesday night, watch candidate speeches and follow AP Election results. "

Glimpse of what's happening on the ground. The Clinton camp was highly energized, happy, and Hillary was on message talking about VERY concrete solutions. They filmed both the audience and Clinton, Clinton supporters. Camera panned audience, which revealed the connection she was making to voters. Clinton did not mention Obama, other than to say there would be a unified party in Nov.

Obama was on after Clinton. John Kerry's wife introduced Michelle Obama and than she introduced her husband. The intensity wasn't there; the excitement wasn't there. Obama went negative right from the beginning; he didn't use any where near the specifics that Hillary explained for programs. He opined:

1. Kitchen sink thrown at him
2. Said you can disagree without being disagreeable.
3. You can have common sense without idealogy
4. Same old same old Washington politics.
5. Brought up Patriotism
6. Mentioned Hillary's ads with Osama
7. Repeated Clinton's ad promise to keep people safe.
8. Three in the morning he'll be ready too..

Instead of keeping on message, he was on the defensive.
Obama was not a happy camper. He did not connect with the crowd and he did not smile. This was another bad night for Obama. This was a rally to get out the vote? You would never have known it.

http://www.c-span.org/

NOTES: If last night was any indication of what both camps may have known about their own internal polling on the ground in PA, it would seem that Clinton and supporters were VERY happy and Obama and company were not. You have to watch it to see that there was a substantial difference in the candidates' enthusiasm level.

The other comment that really stuck out was Obama complained that he only gets to see his daughters once a week. I've never seen a candidate in an election complain about the sacrifices he's making.
Definitely another side of him that shows that in defeat he's a poor loser. Hillary despite the media onslaught, the defectors, the lack of funds, the spin that her doom is inevitable, soldiers on, with a smile and a consistent message. You've got to watch it; watch the crowd and the interaction between her and supporters...

Posted by: VAMMAP | April 22, 2008 8:14 AM | Report abuse

HEADLINE OF WEDNESDAY


James Buchanan Rises From the Dead

Makes Speech Attempting to Sway Gay Vote Back to Hillary


Fails Miserably, Factions Within Democratic Pary Succeed - Democratic Pary breaks in Two


Posted by: Words | April 22, 2008 8:10 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 47

Clinton spins her victory as unexpected while she ramps up doubts about Obama for not being able to win the "big" states.

Posted by: theseventen | April 22, 2008 8:09 AM | Report abuse

Obama: 46.5
Clinton: 53

Clinton wins, but not by the margin she needs. Doubts are again raised about Obama's ability to win over white, working-class voters.

Posted by: jbschroeder10 | April 22, 2008 8:09 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55
Obama 47

1. Clinton claims huge victory, despite earlier double-digit leads in the polls. Vows to remain in the race until the convention.

2. McCain supporters sending money to Clinton campaign. Okay, I was joking about the second one. ;-)

Posted by: HisRoc | April 22, 2008 8:07 AM | Report abuse

clinton 55.5%
obama 44.5%

Arguing about if 9.5% should be rounded up to a double digit win

Posted by: spears404 | April 22, 2008 8:06 AM | Report abuse

HEADLINE OF WEDNESDAY Benjamin Franklin rises from the dead and attempts to vote for McCain

Franklin turned away by Federal Monitors in Philadelphia.

Posted by: Words | April 22, 2008 8:05 AM | Report abuse

Clinton UP TEN
BEATS MARGIN OF ERROR

Maybe this is why the climes were so different at the Obama and Clinton rally.
You're probably not going to find this poll on any major media except maybe Fox. It's one of the ironies of this campaign.

Released: April 22, 2008
Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Clinton Up 10 Points; Beats Margin of Error

UTICA, New York - New York's Hillary Clinton continued to pull away from rival Barack Obama of Illinois as the campaigning in Pennsylvania ended and voters prepared to cast ballots today, the latest Newsmax/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll shows.

She now leads Obama, 51% to 41%, having gained three points over the past 24 hours as Obama lost one point, pushing her beyond the poll's margin of error to create a statistically significant lead for the first time in the Pennsylvania daily tracking poll.

Meanwhile, 6% remained undecided and another 3% said they preferred someone else in the two-day tracking poll. It was conducted April 20-21, 2008, using live operators working out of Zogby's on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 675 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.


http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1487

Posted by: VAMMAP | April 22, 2008 8:04 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 46%


Posted by: Dan | April 22, 2008 7:59 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 49.3
Obama 49.7

Underestimated "college kid" vote outplays the senior vote, PA has officially transitioned. The media will be covering themselves in butter and looking smug, and rather than admitting they got it all wrong - they will instead say join the pile on HRC to get out. She will not, she will soldier on til the end - unless her financials do not turn around soon.

Posted by: Huh | April 22, 2008 7:59 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54%
Obama: 45%

Clinton's larger-than-expected win vaults her back into a positive light, while Obama takes a hit for about a week... until Clinton's grace period ends. The race is still seen as neck-and-neck, but the upcoming 5/6 primaries in Indiana and North Carolina can only be good for Obama. Will Hillary drop out shortly thereafter?

Posted by: metstotop333 | April 22, 2008 7:58 AM | Report abuse

Popular Vote
Clinton: 52%
Obama: 46%
Other: 2%

Delegates
Clinton: 89
Obama: 92

The media will flaunt Hillary's major victory. Hillary will say the people have chosen the candidate they know is ready on day one. Hillary will leave a huge debt behind in Pennsylvania and immediately fly to Indiana and really start slinging mud. She figured it worked well in Pennsylvania.

Posted by: MikeMcNally | April 22, 2008 7:57 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.5
Obama 45.5

Campaign remains in stasis.

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 7:57 AM | Report abuse

It would help if my numbers added up to 100 (its late at night here in Australia)... that was MEANT to read...

Clinton: 54
Obama: 46

Headline 1: Clinton claims "big" win, but remains short of delegates and short of cash.

Headline 2: Pelosi and Dean say it's time for Delegates to take sides. Gore openly hints at Obama being his favourite.

Posted by: Boutan | April 22, 2008 7:56 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 45

Record turnout; off-the-charts in cities
Obama & Clinton hold respective coalitions
Late deciders again break for Clinton
Supers Slog: Clinton's window narrows / Obama's gets cloudy

Posted by: scott-o | April 22, 2008 7:54 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 46

Clinton's poll lead holds, with two qualifications: people who call themselves "late deciders" swing Clinton, while huge Philly and college turnout helps Obama counter. The race continues, but superdelegate drift to Obama becomes more significant prior to North Carolina.

Posted by: Vortigon | April 22, 2008 7:49 AM | Report abuse

Sadly, I think She Who Must Not Be Named will win 53-47. At least we here in Pennsylvania will stop being bombarded with the incessant television ads. Actually, as bad as Lady Voldemort's commercials here have been, the commercials in our congressional race (Pennsylvania 5th, open seat) have been even worse!!

Posted by: al_jal | April 22, 2008 7:47 AM | Report abuse

Clinton: 54
Obama: 48

Headline 1: Clinton claims "big" win, but remains short of delegates and short of cash.

Headline 2: Pelosi and Dean say it's time for Delegates to take sides. Gore openly hints at Obama being his favourite.

Posted by: Boutan | April 22, 2008 7:46 AM | Report abuse

Clinton will win by a couple percent. PA please vote with your brain and put Clinton out of our misery! I can't stand her.

Posted by: Vince in VA | April 22, 2008 7:46 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57
Obama 43

Clinton Stays Alive

Once again, Senator Clinton emerges from the brink of defeat. Obama says closing gap is a victory, but the Illinois senator must win Indiana and North Carolina to shut the door.

Posted by: sam mcdonald | April 22, 2008 7:45 AM | Report abuse

Obama 50
Clinton 49

Posted by: NotACynic | April 22, 2008 7:44 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Posted by: bmfc1 | April 22, 2008 7:42 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 57%
Obama 43%

The groundhog has seen its shadow. Clinton's double digit win confounds expectations yet again. Obama runs out of states in which to demonstrate his appeal to working class white voters. Democratic party leaders begin to squabble openly about the end game.

Posted by: tommy barban | April 22, 2008 7:36 AM | Report abuse

here is my prediction as it stands this morning


Clinton 51
Obaba 48

Clintons hail mary pass stops short of the sideline and end zone
Obama continues to play out the clock

Posted by: pvogel88 | April 22, 2008 7:33 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 55%
Obama 44.5%

Clinton rolls to victory and, suddenly, talking heads start to realise that Obama's national numbers are due to only two groups: African-Americans and young voters, hardly enough to win in the fall when the Obama-haters roll up their sleeves. In the ensuing panic, super delegates begin to grasp at everything and everyone from Al Gore to Jimmy Carter to Ed Koch (depending on how highly they value or discount the Jewish vote.) It all will make for good theatre, but in the end, the sad truth is that the two best potential candidates cannot be chosen unless there is a rush to change the Constitution: sorry, Arnold Schwarzenegger and Alex Ovechkin.

Posted by: jaysalomon | April 22, 2008 7:33 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52 Obama 48

Clinton Wins Narrowly but pressure to drop out builds

Posted by: Nancy | April 22, 2008 7:31 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Clitnon picks up 5 delegates and a 100,000
lead. Big story is that it's too little, too late. Clinton is basically Napoleon in Moscow -- broke, out of resources, not capable of fighting in NC or Indiana. Obama wins by losing.

Posted by: Dryden, NY | April 22, 2008 7:25 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51, Obama 49

Clinton Wins PA, Loses the Race

Posted by: DaveIL | April 22, 2008 7:23 AM | Report abuse

clinton 55, obama 45

female voters reassert hrc's power and the fight continues.

Posted by: JDugas | April 22, 2008 7:23 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 47

Clinton claims mandate to continue, begs for donations

Posted by: tenders | April 22, 2008 7:19 AM | Report abuse

Clinton -- 54.3
Obama -- 43.8

Clinton claims victory vindicates decision to go to the convention

Posted by: vmi98mom | April 22, 2008 7:16 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51.5%
Obama 48.5%
Clinton vows to stay in race to the convention, citing big-state victories; Obama camp points out that the math makes Obama's nomination inevitable, since Clinton did not get the big victory she needed.

Posted by: Tom G | April 22, 2008 7:16 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

Clinton vows to continue the fight; Clintonistas ignore math; Wise Men and Women Rush to Hillary's Door for "The Talk".

Posted by: SteveFogleman | April 22, 2008 7:15 AM | Report abuse

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 49%

Turn Out the Lights. The Party is Over for Clinton.

Posted by: Dominique | April 22, 2008 7:14 AM | Report abuse

Obama 53 Clinton 46
Mature white women not the solid
Clinton block as previously.
Widespread comments that it's time
to come together; i.e, Clinton
should drop out.

Posted by: patrican | April 22, 2008 7:11 AM | Report abuse

51 % Obama
48 % Clinton

The Internet stats proved to have spilled over to more MSM support for Obama in PA;

Pennsylvania Primary-
Hillary vs. Barack:
The Google Factor...

http://newsusa.myfeedportal.com/viewarticle.php?articleid=57

Posted by: Dave | April 22, 2008 7:10 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54% Obama 46%

Clinton wins, but not by the double-digit lead she needed

Posted by: Tom J | April 22, 2008 7:10 AM | Report abuse

50-50

Tie goes to the frontrunner, Clinton's out.

Posted by: Volballjock | April 22, 2008 7:09 AM | Report abuse

Obama 54 Clinton 46

It's Over!!!!

Posted by: Toddy8 | April 22, 2008 7:08 AM | Report abuse

That should be, adding up to a hundred:

Clinton 59
Obama 39
Other 2



Posted by: DutchStudent23 | April 22, 2008 7:07 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54% Obama 46%

Clinton wins big in PA

Obama sets his sights on Indiana and NC
Obama gets another super delegate
Obama fights back
Obama still has more delegates
McCain says something bad about Obama

Posted by: Lynn | April 22, 2008 7:05 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 59
Obama 38
Other 2

Posted by: DutchStudent23 | April 22, 2008 7:05 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 51, Obama 47

Clinton win does little to settle nomination battle

Posted by: Peter | April 22, 2008 7:02 AM | Report abuse

I predict she'll win by 9% 54%-45%, win a +8 delegates and +175,000 votes...

Posted by: Rob, Indianapolis, IN | April 22, 2008 7:02 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 84 delegates (new total: 1592)
Obama 74 delegates (new total: 1721)

Clinton wins Pennsylvania narrowly, vows to fight on to the convention and beyond, on the beaches, on the landing grounds, in the fields and the streets.

Sane people begin edging away from her nervously.

Posted by: novamatt | April 22, 2008 7:00 AM | Report abuse

Barry and Bobby show is coming to end today. Here is my prediction. Clinton will win PA by 16%.

Clinton -- 57%
Obama -- 41%

It is 2% better than BIG Rendell win over LITTLE Bobby.

Posted by: YesWeCanForFree | April 22, 2008 7:00 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 54.5
Obama 45.4

Clinton clings to chance, campaign continues (despite daunting delegate deficit).

Posted by: acasilaco | April 22, 2008 6:59 AM | Report abuse

Obama 53 Clinton 47

Obama Rolls, Clinton to Drop Out

Posted by: Dave8459 | April 22, 2008 6:52 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Clinton wins, but not by a convincing margin.

Posted by: aaronankers | April 22, 2008 6:51 AM | Report abuse

Obama 51 Clinton 49

Obama wins PA, Clinton to make major announcement tomorrow.

Posted by: LouisXIV | April 22, 2008 6:47 AM | Report abuse

Clinton 53 + 6 from Operation Chaos
Obama 41

Posted by: flarrfan | April 22, 2008 6:43 AM | Report abuse

Pennsylvania Primary results
Obama 52
Clinton 48

Posted by: Anonymous | April 22, 2008 6:35 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2010 The Washington Post Company