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Potomac Primary Prediction Time!

Today marks the much-anticipated Potomac Primary: Voters in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia head to the polls today to register their choice for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees.

Rep. Tom Lantos, 1928-2008

Sen. Barack Obama addresses the Democratic Party of Virginia's Jefferson-Jackson Dinner. Both candidates continued to campaign for the Potomac Primary on February 12. (Getty Images)

In Maryland and D.C., Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is expected to win easily over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.). Virginia is the battleground of the day, as Obama has Gov. Tim Kaine and a polling lead on his side while Clinton is banking on a strong focus on the economy in recent days to convince voters in the state's southern reaches that she is the better choice.

On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) seems to have the nomination fight wrapped up, but former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee's wins in Louisiana and Kansas over the weekend keep him in the mix. Like the Democratic race, Virginia looks to be the lone point of contention between the two Republican candidates.

For today's Fix prediction contest, we want to know the order of finish (with percentages) of the Democratic and Republican races in Virginia only. (This doesn't mean that we don't care about Maryland and the District; rather, we are trying to streamline the process of picking winners a bit.) We also want your guess about what the storyline will be on cable news and the newspapers on Wednesday morning.

Polls close in Virginia at 7 p.m. ET, so no predictions after that time will be accepted. Remember that you're playing for the official Fix t-shirt!

Speaking of Fix t-shirts, we (The Fix and politics producer Sarah Lovenheim) finally made it through all of the Super Tuesday predictions as well as the guesses from the weekend's slate of races.

The winners are:

* Super Tuesday state and delegate predictions: No one even close to getting the number of states and delegate counts for each of the candidate. No shirt for you!

* Super Tuesday storyline: There were a number of creative (and accurate) picks. The two winners are "Curtlader" on the Democratic side and "pwtrue" on the GOP side.

Curtlader's prediction: "Too close to call; The race goes on in primary states; Superdelegates, Superdelegates, Superdelegates." (The Fix can't resist a good Tim Russert reference.)

pwtrue's prediction: "Mitt drops out, Huckabee believes in miracles, will hang on."

* Washington/Nebraska/Louisiana percentages: Many people came close to predicting Obama's margin in Louisiana and Nebraska. Far fewer pegged his wide 68 percent to 31 percent win in Washington State. And only one poster put all three together. The winner? "muaddib_7".

muaddib_7's predictions:

Obama 60%
Clinton 39

Obama 67
Clinton 32

Obama 65
Clinton 34

* WA/NE/LA storyline: There were LOTS of good entries here but, as we have said before, we like to reward creativity and humor here at The Fix. With that said, here are our winners:

"dangreenstone": "Hurricane Obama Gathers Strength! Heads for Landfall on the Potomac"

"mspiegelman": "Obama gains pledged delegates as voters see him as the strongest challenger to McCain. Can they convince the superdelegates? Can this young Fixista show her college classmates just how nerdy she is with her new t-shirt?" (A "Fixista" reference deserves a t-shirt.)

Finally, the results are in on the Fix's Primary/Caucus Beard. To no one's surprise, "You had a beard?" crushed the competition with 44 percent of the vote. "Man that beard rocked" placed second with 34 percent. "Clean shaven is the righteous path" lagged with 21 percent showing, yet again, that The Fix knows little about voters' intentions! Thanks to all -- more than 1,100 of you! -- who voted.

By Chris Cillizza  |  February 12, 2008; 6:00 AM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Clinton vs. Obama on Electability
Next: The 'Other' Potomac Primaries

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