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Primary Predictions Redux: The Mountain State Primary

In the run-up to the West Virginia Democratic primary, the Fix asked Fixistas to predict the outcome of the race and the next day's storyline.

Pollsters called Sen. Hillary Clinton's win, but few members of The Fix community accurately nailed the exact margin between Clinton and her rival, Sen. Barack Obama.

At the end of the night, Clinton easily defeated Obama by more than 40 points -- emerging with 67 percent of the vote to Obama's 26 percent.

Our winner, as selected by politics producer Sarah Lovenheim, is t. long who missed Obama's mark by a mere point, guessing Obama would secure 28 percent of the vote, rather than 27 percent. He/she missed Clinton's 67 percent result by .5 points, predicting Clinton would finish with 67.5 percent.

As for the storyline, many Fixistas were right on target but one prediction stood out for keeping it concise: "Clinton claims 'game-changer' victory, says that no Democrat can win in the fall without West Virginia. Obama congratulates her, and "Dream Ticket" speculation abounds." ---JakeDM.

Winners: Send your preferred t-shirt size and mailing address to me at chris DOT cillizza AT washingtonpost DOT com. Losers: There's always tomorrow -- literally. Keep an eye out for the Oregon and Kentucky primary prediction contest in this space tomorrow morning.

By Washington Post editors  |  May 19, 2008; 5:09 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Managing the Obama-Clinton Merger
Next: Kentucky and Oregon Primary Predictions

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