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Primary Prediction Contest: The Hoosier-Heel Primaries

It's T-shirt time!

Primaries in Indiana and North Carolina today offer twin chances for Fixistas to claim their official Fix t-shirt.

Heading into today's votes, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) clearly has the momentum in the contest -- the result of Sen. Barack Obama's (Ill.) struggle with Rev. Jeremiah Wright's re-emergence on the political scene last week.

Neutral strategists see Clinton moving in the right direction in both Indiana and North Carolina, and the average of polls conducted in each of the states provides empirical evidence of that movement.

Real Clear Politics gives Obama a 49.7 percent to 42.7 percent average lead over Clinton in North Carolina; in Indiana Clinton carries a five-point lead.

North Carolina could well be somewhat momentum-proof due to the heavy early voting in the state. Early voting spanned 16 days -- ending last Saturday -- and more than 350,000 people cast ballots. That means that many people voted before the Wright controversy had even happened or before Clinton had built the momentum she now enjoys.

Another factor working in Obama's favor in North Carolina is that of the 350,000 early voters, nearly 40 percent were black. If the early vote is indicative of what is to come today in terms of the composition of the electorate, it's hard to imagine Clinton winning. Obama has dominated the black vote in nearly every contest, often claiming 90 percent or more of this crucial bloc. If he can repeat that performance today -- and African Americs comprise somewhere between 30 and 40 percent of all voters in the Democratic primary -- it's hard to imagine Clinton overtaking him.

As always, we're looking for the correct order of finish (with percentages) of the two candidates in Indiana and North Carolina. We're also looking for the storyline coming out of today's votes -- the more creative and imaginative the better. Three T-shirts are at stake; one each for the winner of the Indiana and North Carolina horse race predictions and one for the person who gets the storyline closest to right.

Polls close in Indiana at 6 p.m. eastern time, so any prediction sent in after then won't qualify you for the T-shirt. Also ALL predictions must be posted in the comments section, NOT emailed to The Fix.

So, have at it. It will be a light posting day on The Fix as we get ready for tonight's festivities.

By Chris Cillizza  |  May 6, 2008; 8:05 AM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Prediction Winners: Mississippi and Pennsylvania
Next: What to Watch For: Indiana and North Carolina

Comments

Maru,
Why are the votes not counted, bcause it would be like stuffing the ballot, which you, I imagine, would be against. If there is a re-vote, Obama is allowed to campaign, and out his namr on the ballot (michigan), then we can count without pain and doubt, those votes? Counting the votes now without reference to HOW one at least one candidate was not fairly represented is CHEATING!!! There is no other word for it. Isn't it the same thing that we accuse the Mugabe's if the world of doing, and yet that is what you want to do. An election is a bout choice, It's like the Burmanese/Myramar gov't holding an election and then saying they one, well guess what, when there is NO CHOICE, it can't be a win. One horse in a race is NOT a race. For me it is fairly simple, clear as a bell!!! And I cwouldn't want to have to be forced to vote for Hillary either, conniving scheming, lying, manupulating chameleon Hillary. Policy, her ideans change with the wind, and dependng on what crowd is in front of her. Yeah truth. Does she know truth? No thank you

Posted by: lasublime | May 9, 2008 1:33 AM | Report abuse

In addition to my previous posting on Howard Kurtz's article which I reposting below, why are the votes from Florida not counted? Hillary Clinton won in Florida, and she is very popular there. So, the votes that the Democratic primary are counting are misleading, and giving a technicality advantage to Senator Obama. This is OUTRAGEOUS!

As an independent voter I was too nervous to watch the Indiana and North Carolina's Democratic primary election results last night.

I will not vote for Senator Barack Hussein Obama if he were the Democratic candidate.

Please know for the record that if former Secretary of State Colin Powell, or Condoleeza Rice were candidates I would be pleased since I trust them both. So, the campaigns would have been easier to tolerate.

Thus, this puts me in a very uncomfortable situation. I do not trust Senator Osama (excuse me) Obama at all since he reminds of me of infamous Hugo Chavez and "his hidden agenda". I have seen how a once peaceful, and wonderful nation has been destroyed by a deranged dictator full of hate and clownery.

I am worried about Senator John McCain since I do not trust him either. As far I have read he is mentally unstable with a terrible temper.

Senator Clinton is the best candidate, and I trust her. I can not believe that people have prejudice against her abilities to be our next president, and fall for Senator Obama's rhetoric!

Maru Angarita
My blog is: http://maruangarita.blogspot.com/

Posted by: Maru Angarita | May 7, 2008 11:07 AM | Report abuse

For once, I'm extremely greatful not to be close to winning the t-shirt for Indiana this go-around...time for the party to come together around the presumptive nominee. OBAMA 08!

Posted by: kreuz_missile | May 7, 2008 12:33 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama wins 54-46

Indiana
Clinton wins 54-46

Storyline
Clinton vows that shes the stornger candidate, and pledges to stay in until the convention, but over the next couple of days superdelegates start to move in droves to Obama to end the never-ending Primary...

Posted by: JayPe | May 6, 2008 7:45 PM | Report abuse

NC
OBAMA - 56
Clinton - 44

IN
CLINTON - 53
OBAMA - 47

Hillary Clinton: "I'm a fighter. The American people do not want me to quit."

Barackc Obama: "Clinton should stay in the race as long as she wants."

FIX: Good news for FIXISTAS because we have more chances to win a t-shirt!!!

Posted by: Johnny Mac | May 6, 2008 6:37 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton +8
North Carolina: Obama +5

Posted by: Realist1929 | May 6, 2008 6:23 PM | Report abuse

NC, Obama 58, Clinton 42
IN, Obama 51, Clinton 49

Posted by: Anis Shivani | May 6, 2008 6:19 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 54.4
Obama: 44.6

N-Carolina:
Clinton: 48.9
Obama: 51.1

Posted by: DutchStudent23 | May 6, 2008 6:12 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama - 59
Clinton - 41

Indiana
Obama - 49.2
Clinton - 50.8

Too close for comfort in Indiana. Clinton presses on saying a win is a win, but party leaders now start calling for her to get out. Within the week, Obama takes the lead in pledged superdelegates.

Posted by: IowaShouldBeFirst | May 6, 2008 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Obama 50.5
HRC 49.5

North Carolina

Obama 55
Clinton 45

Clinton drops out tomorrow or Thursday.

Posted by: Dan | May 6, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

NC
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

"A split decision, the greuling race for the nomination continues."

Posted by: jmamusic | May 6, 2008 5:47 PM | Report abuse

revised estimates (polls not closed yet):

IN
Clinton - 51.6%
Obama - 47.2%

NC
Clinton - 43.6%
Obama - 55.1%

Headline: Both sides claim wins.

Subtext and analysis: On the whole Obama scores better as he gains more delegates as well as popular votes than Clinton. Clinton crows that she beat Obama in a neighboring state, forgetting that Obama has done that to Hillary more than once.

More Super Delegates announce for Obama than for Hillary but can she read the handwriting on the wall? Noooooooo!

Posted by: Davidcan8tiv | May 6, 2008 5:47 PM | Report abuse

NC -
Obama: 53
Clinton: 45

Indiana -
Clinton: 54
Obama: 46

Storyline: Another split decision keeps the contest going, but time and superdelegates' patience are running out on Hillary.

Posted by: acope27 | May 6, 2008 5:46 PM | Report abuse

Hoosier:

Clinton 51%, Obama 48%

Tar Heel:

Obama 56%, Clinton 43%

Deja Vu all over again... nothing changes after Hooier-Heel primaries. Obama will be the nominee, but has been damaged by Wright. Can he unite the party and win in November?

Posted by: Eric Lopez | May 6, 2008 5:35 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 58%
Clinton 41%

IN
Clinton 54
Obama 46

Posted by: CT Dan | May 6, 2008 5:33 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
HC 56.6
BO 44.4

North Carolina
HC 48.3
BO 51.7

Note to the Democratic Party Chieftains: Just because some party hacks in FL and MI made a stupid decision is no reason to disenfranchise my vote as a Floridian. We've had too many poor decisions by "those in charge in Florida". Kick those idiots out of the party convention maybe and/or use some statistical techniques to normalize the voting distributions in MI and FL if you want but, and I'm sure I speak for folks in MI when I say this: you had better COUNT MY VOTE. Ignore voters in FL and MI at your peril.

Posted by: Stan9b9 | May 6, 2008 5:29 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 38%

Indiana:
Obama: 49%
Clinton: 49%
Other: 2%

Obama is close to putting Hillary away Clinton camp somewhat silent

Posted by: johng1 | May 6, 2008 5:21 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton- 53
Obama- 47

North Carolina-
Obama- 56
Clinton- 44

The status quo reins supreme. Clinton and Obama now will certainly play out the rest of the contests through June. Clinton tries to raise questions about Obama and white voters, but superdelegates still announce for Obama in greater numbers than Clinton.

Overall, Clinton cannot change the story or instill enough doubts about Obama to gain a major win. However she does do enough to stay in the race till June.

Posted by: JtheMann | May 6, 2008 5:21 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton 53.5
Obama 46.5


North Carolina

Clinton 46
Obama 54

Obama wins first state Post-Wright and it was the biggest one remaning. Superdelegates flood to Obama to prevent Brokered Convention.

Posted by: Fred, DC | May 6, 2008 5:20 PM | Report abuse

From NBC/NJ's Aswini Anburajan
INDIANAPOLIS, Ind. -- On the second day of his Indiana bus tour, Obama said the state could be a potential "Tiebreaker" in the lengthy nomination process.

Could be a TIEBREKER, may be a TIEBREAKER, exactly what difference does that make? He obviously said that days after losing Pa to deflect attention to his loss, that Indiana would be an important test today and a TIEBREAKER.

No one is twisting his words I posted hisquote and we know that is exactly what he said and we should take him at his word. Once again words have meaning and when you say after losing an important state like Pa losing 73% of their Catholic vote that he fully expects to win the next 2 elections in Indiana and N. Carolina and that Indiana is the TIEBREAKER then he should account for his own comment.

Posted by: Leichtman | May 6, 2008 5:20 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 54
Clinton 45

Indiana:
Clinton 45
Obama 49

Posted by: Felipe Ayala | May 6, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse

NC
HRC 43.4
Obama-56.6

Indiana
HRC 51.3
Obama- 48.7

Posted by: mango juice | May 6, 2008 5:08 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54.5
Clinton 45.5

IN:
Clinton 50.7
Obama 49.3

Storyline:
The small margin of victory in IN gives the Clinton campaign an excuse to lumber on, because most cable outlets report the day as a split. Only a little mention is given to Obama actually expanding his delegate lead on the day because of his greater victory in the larger state. Super Ds continue to trickle in for Obama, but no flood. Clinton gets no additional super-Ds for an entire week.
The media will go on to use the terms "scrappy" and "trench warfare" in describing the Clinton campaign from now through June.

Posted by: Patrick | May 6, 2008 5:07 PM | Report abuse

Storyline: The return of the Howard Dean scream. Arggghhhh!!

Posted by: cprussin | May 6, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina is Obama's 53% to 45%;
Indiana is Clinton's 50% to 48%
(I know those number don't add up to 100).

Super's start flocking to Obama to put a fork in this thing. The fat lady sings.

Posted by: Iconoblaster | May 6, 2008 5:05 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 49
HRC 45

Ind:
Obama 43
HRC 53

Sotry lines:

HRC lives to fight another day. Obama simply cannot put her away, however, he has overcome his "Pastor Disaster"

Posted by: Matt K. | May 6, 2008 5:02 PM | Report abuse

NC

Clinton 52
Obama 48

IN

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Story: Obama may have the "Wright" stuff, but Clinton starting to look more like a front runner.

Posted by: Bethany Sanders | May 6, 2008 4:49 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 54
Clinton 45

Indiana:
Clinton 52
Obama 48

Storyline: "Split Decision/Split Party?: Democrats Now Poised to Drag Contest to the Convention"
Secondary storyline, pushed hard by the Clinton Camp: "It's Now ALL about Michigan and Florida."

Posted by: murawski27 | May 6, 2008 4:48 PM | Report abuse

Hoosier
Obama 47%
Clinton 53%

Tar Heel
Obama 51%
Clinton 49%

And the race goes on...and on...and on...and on...and...

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 4:44 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 53
HRC 47

IN

Obama 45
HRC 55

Clinton's General Election Campaign Against Obama.

Posted by: Kyle Dingman | May 6, 2008 4:39 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Clinton 48.9 %
Obama 51.1

Indiana
Clinton 56.1 %
Obama 43.9 %

Posted by: Martin Tollen | May 6, 2008 4:38 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
BO 60.9%
HC 39.1%

Indiana
HC 52.8%
BO 47.2%

Exit polls suggest Obama was saved by early voters. Clinton continues to hammer on that only she can win for the Dems in November. No-one is conceding anything.

Posted by: David Gallagher | May 6, 2008 4:33 PM | Report abuse

Tar Heel State:

Barack Obama 54.1
Hillary Clinton 45.3

Hoosier State:

Hillary Clinton 54.1
Barack Obama 45.4

Headline: Obama still can't win Reagan Democrats, worrying many party insiders; although she fights on, Hillary's "fairy tale" campaign runs up against the hard, cold delegate math.

Posted by: GoHuskies08 | May 6, 2008 4:31 PM | Report abuse

IN:
Clinton 53.3
Obama 46.7

NC:
Obama 54.1
Clinton 45.2
Other 0.7

Headline:
"It's hard to be a superdelegate; it's really, really hard."
OR
"Democratic turnout records starting to slow, showing weariness of the campaign for voters"

Posted by: hulteen in mn | May 6, 2008 4:27 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama - 57
Clinton - 43

IN:
Obama - 50.5
Clinton - 49.5

Headline:
"The Dems are ready to heal the wounds of primary battle"

Posted by: natsinthevalley | May 6, 2008 4:26 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Obama 49
Clinton 51

North Carolina
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Despite a weaker night than anticipated, the Clinton campaign will not cease operations, knowing she will win 3 of the next 4 contests handily.

Posted by: David Blaylock | May 6, 2008 4:26 PM | Report abuse

Indiana - HRC 56%, BHO 44%
NC - HRC 43%, BHO 57%

Hillary claims victory, momentum; Obama claims 3 more super delagates

Posted by: P Baden, London | May 6, 2008 4:25 PM | Report abuse

INDIANA
Clinton 53.9
Obama 45.4

NORTH CAROLINA
Obama 57.3
Clinton 41.9


Candidates split Indiana/North Carolina but Obama expands delegate lead and closes in on 2025. Clinton campaign limps forward.

Posted by: JMOToole | May 6, 2008 4:21 PM | Report abuse

NC:
BHO: 57
HRC: 43

IN:
BHO: 49,7
HRC: 49,6

Hillary, time to start packing

Posted by: Eythain | May 6, 2008 4:15 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
HC - 55.2
BO - 44.8

N.C
HC - 48.5
BO - 51.5

Winning night for Hillary. NC closer than expected, leading pundits to trot out the "Wilder/Bradley" effect in describing what happened.

Posted by: NMB | May 6, 2008 4:08 PM | Report abuse

Obama wins both states; Hillary's campaign is all but over.

Indiana
Obama 50.1
Clinton 49.5

North Carolina
Obama 59
Clinton 39

Posted by: btrast | May 6, 2008 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton: 53.4
Obama: 46.2

North Carolina:

Obama: 54
Clinton: 44
Other: 2

Storyline: Obama, Clinton split states. Analysis shows that Clinton won't win popular vote or delegate vote, but vows to fight on.

Posted by: BillBolducinMaine | May 6, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

IND:
Obama 48
Clinton 52

NC:
Obama 55
Clinton 45

Clinton will claim victory, say she won the state "even Obama called a tie-breaker".
Supers will be forced to start coming forward and end this thing before it gets any worse. I say we'll see 30 endorsements within a week.

Posted by: erin | May 6, 2008 3:56 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Indiana
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Revised Storyline: Clinton wins Indiana, Obama wins North Carolina. With a split slate going forward (Obama-Oregon/Clinton-Kentucky, etc), the media begins talking about a compromise candidate. Get ready for some Al Gore talk in the next month.

Replacing post from earlier. Numbers remain the same, only the story changed.

Posted by: Matt Butler | May 6, 2008 3:54 PM | Report abuse

By the way the anon poster was me.

Posted by: f_krueger | May 6, 2008 3:52 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 54.5 %
Clinton 45.5%

IN
Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Headline: Will superdelegates switch?
What about Fl and MI?
A deus ex machina headline might hit us from left field.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 3:51 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 56
HRC 44

IN
HRC 52
Obama 48

"The Beat Goes On: Candidates Split. Demo Race Turns to Superdelegates"

Posted by: bog | May 6, 2008 3:49 PM | Report abuse

I think this is the moment for Sen. Barack Obama to drop out from the race. Sen. Hillary Clinton is by far the most qualified president fo our great country.!!!

Posted by: Akber A. Kassam. | May 6, 2008 3:48 PM | Report abuse

IN -
Hillary-51.2
Obama - 48.2

NC -
Obama - 54.8
Hillary-44.5

Obama does well, but just barely misses sealing the deal. Hillary clings to her rust belt appeal and says that it's the reason to fight on to West Virginia and Kentucky.

Posted by: Joe in SS | May 6, 2008 3:48 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 54
Hillary 46

IN

Hillary 54
Obama 46

Hoosiers go for Pandering Ho

Posted by: Bobo | May 6, 2008 3:45 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina

Obama 55.4
Clinton 33.6

Indiana

Obama 51
Clinton 49


Posted by: Alabama.Independent | May 6, 2008 3:41 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54.1
Clinton 45.9

IN:
Clinton 55.1
Obama 44.8

storyline:
Clinton: Why can't Obama close it?
Obama: Hope, change, hope, change, typical politics

AJ: I finally win a t-shirt after many tries!

Posted by: AJ | May 6, 2008 3:40 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton 56
Obama 44

North Carolina

Clinton 45
Obama 55

Storyline: Delgates split and the race continues.

Posted by: ObamaFan | May 6, 2008 3:35 PM | Report abuse

In NC:
BO 51
HC 47


In IN:
HC 49
BO 45

Posted by: Wanakee Hill | May 6, 2008 3:29 PM | Report abuse

IN
Clinton 49
Obama 51

NC

Clinton 45
Obama 55

Finally, the knockout blow.

Posted by: cb | May 6, 2008 3:27 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton 53
Obama 47
North Carolina: Obama 56
Clinton 44

Hillary Rodham Clinton declares herself to be the Democratic Nominee because, just like in Michigan, only the voters that voted for her count.

Posted by: crspratt | May 6, 2008 3:26 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama: 53%
Clinton: 47%

IN:
Obama: 46%
Clinton: 54%

Hillary camp ignores increased calls to drop out, pointing out her large margin in IN. Leaving Obama, Dean and Superdelegates to continue their hand wringing. Media attention starts to turn to the "what ifs" of a divided convention.

Posted by: Em | May 6, 2008 3:18 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama:53.5
Clinton: 44.5

Indiana
Obama:45
Clinton:54

Posted by: Sandra | May 6, 2008 3:18 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54.5%
Clinton 45.5%

IN
Obama 46%
Clinton 54%

Clinton touts win in Obama's backyard. Obama braces himself for a rough string of body blows in WV, KY, and PR.

Posted by: JakeMac | May 6, 2008 3:15 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Hillary 53
Obama 46


North Carolina

Obama 55
Hillary 44

" John McCain enjoying the show and Rush Limbaugh's wish of Denver chaos might come true!!"

Posted by: supradeep narayana | May 6, 2008 3:11 PM | Report abuse

Here are my predictions for tonight's fun!

Indiana:
Clinton 51.3
Obama 41.2

North Carolina
Obama 48.9
Clinton 43.2

Please just quit Hillary.

Posted by: Neal_the | May 6, 2008 3:09 PM | Report abuse

NC
OBAMA 55
CLINTON 43

IN
OBAMA 50
CLINTON 49

"Obama wins the big states; Clinton returns to New York for expected withdrawl"

Posted by: 03Bison4Barack | May 6, 2008 3:09 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
BHO: 51
HRC: 49

NC:
BHO: 55
HRC: 45

Obama torches last Clinton firewall.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 3:08 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 51.3
Obama 41.2

North Carolina
Obama 48.9
Clinton 43.2

Please just quit Hillary.

Posted by: Neal | May 6, 2008 3:08 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 51.3
Obama 41.2

North Carolina
Obama 48.9
Clinton 43.2

Please just quit Hillary.

Posted by: Neal | May 6, 2008 3:08 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama-53%
Clinton-47%

Indiana:
Clinton-55%
Obama-45%

Someone might notice that Ron Paul is still on the ballot and ask why. Besides that, the focus will be on the "endgame." What Democratic leader could bring the party to a consensus? What is happening to Florida and Michigan?

Posted by: wt09 | May 6, 2008 3:04 PM | Report abuse

The only poll that counts posts in the voters' booth. Can't resist a prediction, nevertheless:
Obama by 3 points in Indiana
Obama by 12 points in N. Carolina.
Public finally catches on to fact that Clintons create their own reality, as does G.W. Bush,

*Here's a gasoline holiday that would crush the oil speculators: four "Don't-Drive" holidays monthly. It would work better than sprinkles of Hillary Fairy dust.
*Excuse me!? WHO can't close the deal, especially after having been the "inevitable" nominee?
*Beg your pardon? WHO has momentum? "Momentum" is fleeting and the Clintons can have that disappearing act. I'll take the steady, strong, well-organized growth of Obama's: ahead in total votes; ahead in states won; ahead in pledged delegates; ahead by far in "Super Delegate" growth since "Super Tuesday."

Put 'er away today, Barack!

Obama's been steady, consistent, ethical and silently powerful.

Hillary's been here, there, everywhere and still asks, "what careless new thing can I say or do on THIS day to get your vote?


*

Posted by: dizzsays | May 6, 2008 2:50 PM | Report abuse

IN

Obama 51
Hill 49

NC

Obama 58
Hill 42

After Obama sweeps the primaries on May 7 the superdelegates close ranks behind him and he becomes the presumptive nominee.

Posted by: M Rassam | May 6, 2008 2:48 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Obama 50,6
Hillary 50,4

North Carolina

Obama 53
Hillary 47

We wait all night to see who wins Indiana, perhaps even a recount will be ordered. The media begins its will Hillary quit rant, while Hill quite possible either a) hides out b) campaigns like nothings wrong. Bill will definetly say some uncouth things. Finally after the next primary she bows out.
voila my take.

Posted by: Abby | May 6, 2008 2:47 PM | Report abuse

N. Carolina:
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Indiana:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Next stop: May 31st Superdelegate Meeting

Posted by: Padrick | May 6, 2008 2:46 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 57
HRC 43

IN
Obama 51
HRC 49

"Obama strengthens delegate lead; Clinton facing escalating calls to drop out"

Posted by: dltharp | May 6, 2008 2:43 PM | Report abuse

Headline:

....And the beat goes on - Destination Denver

Posted by: Peter L. | May 6, 2008 2:38 PM | Report abuse

N. Carolina:
Obama @ 47.5
Clinton @ 45.3
Tarheels deliver a win to Obama, but is it really a win?

Indiana:
Clinton @ 54.4
Obama @ 47.3
Indiana keeps Hillary's chances alive, delivers big victory for her.
Bud Curtis
Miami, OK

Posted by: Bud Curtis, Miami, OK | May 6, 2008 2:38 PM | Report abuse

IN

Hillary 53.1%
Obama 46.9%

NC

Obama 53.1%
Hillary 46.9%

Posted by: Peter L. | May 6, 2008 2:35 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 55
Clinton 45

IND
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Pollsters will say: We can't understand this.

Posted by: clayton conger | May 6, 2008 2:35 PM | Report abuse

Indiana - Hillary 53, Obama 47
N. Carloina - Obama 53, Hillary 47

The magic number is "6"...

WesR

Posted by: kallie@localnet.com | May 6, 2008 2:33 PM | Report abuse

IN

Obama 47
Clinton 52
Gravel .05 (who didn't enjoy the obama debate throwndown challenge?)

NC
Obama 57
Clinton 42

Headline
Obama wins over subrban whites in NC, closes the cap among rurla voters in IN. CLinton begins hearing calls to step aside for the good of the party. Gravel reiterates challenge for obama issues debate on you tube.

Posted by: John Bessey | May 6, 2008 2:32 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Hillary 53, Obama 47

N.Carolina: Obama 53, Hillary 47

rounding up, the magic number is "6"

Posted by: kallie@localnet.com | May 6, 2008 2:31 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Hillary 53, Obama 47

N.Carolina: Obama 53, Hillary 47

rounding up, the magic number is "6"

Posted by: kallie@localnet.com | May 6, 2008 2:31 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Hillary 53, Obama 47

N.Carolina: Obama 53, Hillary 47

rounding up, the magic number is "6"

Posted by: kallie@localnet.com | May 6, 2008 2:31 PM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 53, Clinton 47

IN: Clinton 53, Obama 47

Headline: Superdelegates begin to waver as demographic narratives about Obama campaign solidify.

Posted by: Sad Rabbi for Obama | May 6, 2008 2:29 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 51.3
Clinton 48.7

IN
Clinton 52.4
Obama 47.6

Posted by: danmarch | May 6, 2008 2:27 PM | Report abuse

NC - Obama 56, Clinton 43
IN - Obama 51, Clinton 47
My feeling is that HRC would rather have McCain win than any other Democrat other than her!!!

Posted by: Lee Wolfson | May 6, 2008 2:27 PM | Report abuse

NC O54 C43
IN O47 C53

Story
Obama pads delegate lead
Clinton vows she'll quit "when hell freezes over!"

Related Story
Satan announces Grand Opening of Ski Resort is set for June 4 - Al Gore and John Edwards to attend

Posted by: Otistd | May 6, 2008 2:22 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 68
Hillary 32

IN
Obama 66
Hillary34

Posted by: Marie | May 6, 2008 2:21 PM | Report abuse

Curious why the media has conveniently forgotten this quote Senator Obama gave to CNN?

"Sen. Barack Obama has called Tuesday's Democratic primary in Indiana a potential "Tiebreaker"

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/05/indiana.guide/index.html

Shouldn't that be tomorrow's story?

Posted by: Leichtman | May 6, 2008 2:17 PM | Report abuse

NC
HRC 47.5
OBAMA 52.5

INDY
HRC 54
OBAM 46

headline
going to convention- bill delivers small town to defy the spread
dont be too shocked if hrc pulls upset in nc due to bill in small towns

Posted by: warren-Mich | May 6, 2008 2:17 PM | Report abuse

IN 50/50

NC Obama by 15

Storyline - Hillary Clinton shuns Dems, finally realizes she can beat out McCain for Republican nom, storms GOP convention.

Larry Craig caught in bathroom of Minneapolis airport again, says he was sent there to look for McCain's running mate.

Posted by: modsiW fo sdroW | May 6, 2008 2:16 PM | Report abuse

NC - Obama - 55, Clinton - 45
IN - Clinton - 52, Obama 48

It will all be settled in a cage match on Mt. Rushmore.

Posted by: LResz | May 6, 2008 2:15 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 57%
Clinton 43%

IN

Obama 51%
Clinton 49%

The fix has learned Hillary will drop out after meeting with donors on Wednesday.

Posted by: jr1886 | May 6, 2008 2:14 PM | Report abuse

INDIANA--
Clinton: 54
Obama: 46

NORTH CAROLINA--
Obama: 55
Clinton: 45

STORYLINE--
1) Clinton victory fuels doubts about Obama's middle-class appeal

2) Superdelegates gather to Obama as Clinton loses last chance to change primary dynamics

UNWRITTEN STORYLINE--
"So what if Obama keeps losing primaries? Forget what middle America wants, they'll vote for who we give them and they'll like it."

Posted by: Joseph L. Chambers | May 6, 2008 2:14 PM | Report abuse

Predictions -- IN: Clinton 53.9% - Obama 46.1% || NC: Obama 53%- Clinton 47.1%

Posted by: Eric | May 6, 2008 2:14 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Obama 50
HRC 48

N.C,
Obama 54
HRC 41

Posted by: Tim | May 6, 2008 2:12 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton 54 Obama 46

North Carolina: Obama 52 Clinton 48

Is Obama electable in November? Clinton continues to give superdelegates pause.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 2:11 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Indiana:
Clinton 51
Obama 49

Posted by: Swinford | May 6, 2008 2:10 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 55
Clinton44

Indiana
Obama49
Clinton51

Posted by: Doug Hawkins | May 6, 2008 2:08 PM | Report abuse

Clinton wins in IN 55 to 45
Clinton wins in NC 51-49

Clinton becomes the nominee after today.

Posted by: Larry R DC | May 6, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Hillary 54%
Obama 46%

North Carolina
Hillary 48%
Obama 52%

Posted by: Timi | May 6, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

NC: 51.8 Obama
48 Clinton

IN: 53.5 Clinton
46.3 Obama

Headline: Clinton, Obama both claim wins but the delegate and vote count math doesn't change very much as Obama wins more delegates than Clinton thanks to NC's greater number available.

Posted by: Davidcan8tiv | May 6, 2008 2:01 PM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 54
Clinton 46

IN

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Rush Limbaugh's Operation Chaos delivers another one, Indiana, for Clinton, but Obama widens his delegate lead, picking up 100 additional pledged delegates in the two contests, followed in the next week by a slew of superdelegates who decide it's time to close ranks around the inevitable nominee, as Obama overtakes Clinton in superdelegates. At that point the impossibility of the math becomes compelling even to Clinton's most die-hard supporters who begin to urge her to drop out.

Posted by: Brad K | May 6, 2008 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Indiana: Obama 56% Clinton 44%

Storyline - Clinton narrows Obama's spread which proves that she has gained the momentum and is more electable

North Carolina: Obama 52% Clinton 48%

Storyline - Clinton barely looses Indiana which proves that she has gained the momentum and is more electable

Posted by: Steve WDC | May 6, 2008 1:58 PM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton: 52
Obama: 48

North Carolina

Clinton: 46
Obama: 54

The real storyline is that there really isn't a new story line. With no big move in one way or another, the media will largely report on the demographic splits in the exit polls - focusing more heavily on Indiana than North Carolina, even though NC has more delegates. However, in the very few coming days, there will be in increased flow of supers to the Obama camp.

Posted by: mschmidt73 | May 6, 2008 1:56 PM | Report abuse

NC
BHO 54.5
HRC 44.0
Edwards 1.0

IN
BHO 45.0
HRC 53.5

Storyline: Obama claims legitimate title to nomination while Hillary pledges to take the fight for Florida and Michigan to the convention.

Supers still waffle.

Posted by: smartinsen | May 6, 2008 1:56 PM | Report abuse

Prediction

Indiana:
Hillary 56%
Obama 44%

North Carolina
Hillary 51.2
Obama 48.8

Posted by: BZ | May 6, 2008 1:51 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama - 54.3
Clinton - 45.6

IN
Obama - 50.5
Clinton - 49.5

Story: Obama's wins, narrow though they may be, bring the nomination to a close. Clinton continues campaigning anyway

Posted by: corinthian | May 6, 2008 1:48 PM | Report abuse

NC: Obama: 54.8
Clinton: 45.2

IN: Obama: 47.6
Clinton: 52.4

Posted by: Lasko | May 6, 2008 1:46 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 52
Obama 48

North Carolina:
Obama 55
Clinton 45

Clinton remains adamant about staying in until convention, seating florida + michigan delegates, looking at popular vote; superdelegates think otherwise

Posted by: gabriel f. | May 6, 2008 1:43 PM | Report abuse

NC: Barack: 55%
Clintons: 45%

IN: Barack: 48%
Clintons: 52%

Posted by: Tim | May 6, 2008 1:43 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina

Obama 53
Clinton 47


Indiana

Clinton 54
Obama 46


Storyline:

Obama wins NC narrowly; Clinton wins Indiana, race to continue to the end.

Posted by: Digital_Voter | May 6, 2008 1:42 PM | Report abuse

Being in NC, I think it is going to be closer than expected between Barack and Hillary...there are a lot of interesting local referendums and a tough Dem governor primary here as well.

NC: Obama at 52, Clinton 47
IN: Clinton 53, Obama 46

Posted by: NCvoter | May 6, 2008 1:40 PM | Report abuse

Hillary loses both. The numbers are irrelevant, because she will spin the results into a victory.

Obama begins to look for a VP running mate.

Hillary says she has found a VP running mate, and it is Obama.

Posted by: Wisdom, Words of | May 6, 2008 1:37 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 56
Clinton 44

Indiana:
Clinton 51
Obama 49

Storyline: how much longer can hillary stay in?

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 1:36 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Hillary: 54.8%
Obama: 45.2%

North Carolina:

Obama: 55.2%
HillarY: 44.8%

Both sides claim the big mo'..On to Appalachia!

Posted by: Russell | May 6, 2008 1:35 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama 56
Clinton 44

Indiana:

Clinton 53
Obama 47

And Now Onto the Next Battleground: Superdelegates!

Posted by: Ryan | May 6, 2008 1:35 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 'Our lives -- if you look back over the last two decades -- more closely approximate the lives of the average voter than any other candidate.'

Soren Dayton, looking at Obama's statement declares that the candidate has 'The Audacity of Prep."...


Take, for example, his high school. The Chicago Tribune said this:


As much as young Obama stood out physically in the classrooms of Indonesia, so, too, did he at Punahou School, the elite private prep academy his mother moved him back to Hawaii to attend.

Again, the candidate, like his wife, is insisting that he cannot be an elitist because he had a humble upbringing. Elitism isn't a lifestyle, it's an attitude.

Also note, in today's Times,

"One of the ironies of the last two or three weeks was this idea that somehow Michelle and I are elitist, pointy-headed intellectual types," he said, referring to his wife. "The fact is Michelle and I, our lives -- if you look back over the last two decades -- more closely approximate the lives of the average voter than any other candidate. We struggled with paying student loans, we tried to figure out how to make sure that we got adequate day care, I filled up my own gas tanks."

Well, yes. But living a lifestyle closer to the average voter's, in competition with a former First Lady and a guy who married a beer heiress, isn't exactly the highest bar to clear.

Obama went to Columbia University and Harvard Law School. His first job out of college was a research associate at Business International Corporation. Obama did work as a community organizer for an extremely modest salary, but after law school he rather quickly picked up two jobs, one a lawyer at Davis Miner Barnhill & Galland (where he did his limited work for Rezko), and teaching constitutional law at the University of Chicago Law School.

His salaries for those jobs are unknown, but they seem at least enough to guarantee a middle-class lifestyle in one of America's largest cities. He had his book deal for Dreams From My Father in 1991, and the advance, while described as "modest," "allowed him to set aside six months after he graduated to write." By 2000, the couple's adjusted gross income was more than $240,000.


Again, the candidate is called "elitist" by some not because of his early lifestyle or even his recent standard of living, but by his attitudes -- i.e., I know what motivates small-town voters even more than they know themselves. Very few people I encounter, including my readers, really are bothered by him vacationing in the U.S. Virgin Islands with his kids.

It's also the complaining -- Michelle Obama time and again telling audiences how hard she and Obama have had it -- that spurs the elitism charge...

Posted by: Jim G | May 6, 2008 1:29 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama: 54.9
Clinton: 45.1

Indiana:
Obama: 47.1
Clinton: 52.9

Storyline: And the HEAT goes on...
but even with a big Indiana win, Clinton's math can't add up.

Posted by: wendyks | May 6, 2008 1:28 PM | Report abuse

NC: Obama--59.2 %
Clinton--40.8 %
IN: Obama--50.4 %
Clinton--49.6%

"Calls begin for Hillary to drop out; Clinton camp says a recount in IN is needed. Bill Clinton claims voters were intimidated in IN and groups disenfranchised; Obama camp says voters in other states need their voices heard but campaign will focus on Republicans; a deal may soon emerge on Florida, while Michigan plans still up in the air."

Posted by: RS | May 6, 2008 1:22 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina

Obama 55.5%
Clinton 44.5%

Indiana

Clinton 52.4%

Obama 47.6%

It keeps going on, but within 1.5 weeks Obama overtakes Clinton in the Super Delegate battle, and its all over by early to mid June.

Posted by: AndrewVoyer | May 6, 2008 1:16 PM | Report abuse

CC: "YesWeCanForFree" is also winner of previous three of "The Fix Predictions" but real T-Shirts yet to receive as of today.

Here are my another winning predictions for today:

Indiana:

BHO -- 43.4%
HRC -- 56.6%

North Carolina:

BHO -- 51.8%
HRC -- 48.2%

Hillary looks better than ever.

Posted by: YesWeCanForFree | May 6, 2008 1:16 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
HRC 53.1%
BHO 46.9%

NC:
BHO 52.5%
HRC 47.5%

Posted by: WB | May 6, 2008 1:10 PM | Report abuse

IN:
HRC 53.6% √
BHO 46.4%

NC:
HRC 45.4%
BHO 54.6% √

Dean's Dilemma Drags On!

Posted by: Nor'Easter | May 6, 2008 1:09 PM | Report abuse

Charlotte, N.C. -- "Tomorrow, we shall achieve the victory, that the kingdom of God may come on earth as it is in heaven, and all those who love the Lord and will vote for Obama, say Amen."

"AAAMMMMEEENNN!"

When it comes to giving a rip-roaring pre-election invocation, you just can't do better than Rev. Joseph Lowery. The 86-year-old civil-rights legend has come to the Ovens Auditorium here in Charlotte to work the crowd, perhaps 1,000-strong, into a prayerful mood before the last North Carolina appearance of Michelle Obama, wife of the man whose election will herald the coming of the kingdom of God on earth as it is in heaven. And as Lowery gets going, it's clear he's waited for this moment for a very long time.


"I remember, Lord, when Martin and others of us were in 1957, in New Orleans, we knew one day this day would come," Lowery begins. "We didn't know when or where, but we knew after Martin said, Lord, to this nation, 'Give us the ballot.'"

"Yes," says the crowd.

"We didn't know, Lord, that you were going to place so much significance on the great state of North Carolina -- "

"That's right --"

"but we know the people of North Carolina are able to bear the burden, and to meet the challenge, and to pass the test, and tomorrow the people of North Carolina will give climax to the campaign that seeks to lift America to another level -- "

"Uh-huh -- "

"to higher ground."

"That's right -- "

"And so, Lord, we thank you that we have in this campaign and this election an opportunity in this election to move America from the dark valley of doubt to the mountaintop of hope."

"Yes -- "

"To those days when black will not be asked to get back -- "

"That's right -- "

"when brown can stick around -- "

"Uh-huh -- "

"when yellow can be mellow, when the red man can get ahead, and when white will see the light."


(The Obama campaign, transcending race at every whistle stop.)

Posted by: Byron Y | May 6, 2008 1:07 PM | Report abuse

I'd say

IN:

Clinton 53.2%
Obama 46.8%

NC:

Obama: 55.6%
Clinton 44.4%

God I hope HRC packs it in. This is ego time.

Posted by: Mike A. (riboy1977) | May 6, 2008 1:06 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton: 54.7%
Obama: 45.2%

NC:

Clinton: 47.1%
Obama: 52.8%


Headline: Momentum shifts to Clinton as Obama can't put her away and polling against McCain shows Clinton with a better chance for Dems to take the White House

Posted by: | May 6, 2008 1:04 PM

Posted by: rjginter | May 6, 2008 1:05 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton: 54.7%
Obama: 45.2%

NC:

Clinton: 47.1%
Obama: 52.8%


Headline: Momentum shifts to Clinton as Obama can't put her away and polling against McCain shows Clinton with a better chance for Dems to take the White House

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 1:04 PM | Report abuse

sparksUSN-"What's the point of all the predictions? With the Democrats 'Superdelegates' picking the winner anyway, the Democrats Joe's and Jane's voting is pointless and a waste of their time."

The point is getting the Tee-Shirt! But a correct analysis nonetheless.

Posted by: Dave! | May 6, 2008 1:01 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Indiana
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Story: Clinton wins Indiana, but fails to gain enough delegates to overcome Obama's NC win. With only a few contests left, delegate math just doesnt add up.

Posted by: Matt Butler | May 6, 2008 12:58 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama: 53.3%
HRC: 46.7%

Indiana:
Obama: 43.8%
HRC: 56.2%

Posted by: Zach V | May 6, 2008 12:55 PM | Report abuse

NC- Obama 56, Clinton 44

Indiana- Obama 50.5, Clinton 49.5

Superdelegates Poised to Give Nomination to Obama

Posted by: hubwhid@msn.com | May 6, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Indiana
Obama 46
Clinton 54

Comeback Kid is alive again

Posted by: psugambit | May 6, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 49.7
Clinton 42.7

Indiana:
Obamam 47
Clinton 53

Clinton puts feelers out to Lieberman as VP to run as Independent.

Chelsea calls Miley Cyrus asking for tips how to regain her street cred.

Posted by: NoOneImportant | May 6, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

Indiana Clinton 53.5% wins Obama 46.5% +7 Points
North Carolina Obama wins 53% to Clinton 46.5% Obama +6.5

Clinton won't die. Reminds me of Fatal Attraction (from NPR) eek eek eek eek

Obama affected by Rev Wright

Posted by: Albert N. Milliron | May 6, 2008 12:53 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 54, Obama 46

North Carolina:
Clinton 48, Obama 52

Nothing decided. Superdelegates mostly stay put. Dream ticket dominates discussion.

Posted by: pnm4 | May 6, 2008 12:52 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 59
Clinton 41

Indiana
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Obama Sweeps Critical Contests; Chooses Fix Underling as VP in recognition of all the hard work looking through close to 200 (and counting) entries.

Posted by: Jason | May 6, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

Half of all registered Democrat NC voters are black who will vote for Barack Obama even if he turns out to be another Jack the Ripper, Benedict Arnold, or a desciple of white and America-hater Louis Farrakhan. It's a no-brainer to predict that Barack Obama will take NC.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 12:46 PM | Report abuse

NC O 54 C 45
IN C 53 O 47
Hillary still in it to win it, looks towards big victory in Kentucky and WVA.

Posted by: gfgoffman | May 6, 2008 12:45 PM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 58% Clinton 42%

IN: Obama 45% Clinton 55%

Headline: Stalemate!

Obama's "Tie-Breaker" comment will come back to haunt him.

Posted by: AzBob | May 6, 2008 12:45 PM | Report abuse

Storyline 1-20-2009

As dusk falls on President Obama's momentous first day in office, the Clinton's, dressed in black and slouching behind tall shrubs at the property line of the White House, ready their grappling hooks . . .

Posted by: Optimyst | May 6, 2008 12:44 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama 52%
Clinton 48%

Indiana:

Clinton: 52%
Obama: 48%

Storyline: "Dead heat guarantees a floor fight"

Posted by: Caleb | May 6, 2008 12:43 PM | Report abuse

IN:
HRC 53
Obama: 47

NC:
Obama:56
HRC:44

Storyline: HRC running out of time to catch Obama...

Posted by: Donnie Holzinger | May 6, 2008 12:43 PM | Report abuse

What's the point of all the predictions? With the Democrats 'Superdelegates' picking the winner anyway, the Democrats Joe's and Jane's voting is pointless and a waste of their time. Since the D's Superdelegates are not about to pi** off blacks, who are their most reliable voters come November, Barack Obama is their nominee, no matter what Hillary does. With all of Obama's baggage-and probably more to come-the GOP is almost a sure bet come November.

Posted by: sparksUSN | May 6, 2008 12:38 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama 56%
Clinton 44% (Margin of 12 points)

Indiana:

Obama: 51%
Clinton: 49% (Margin of 2 points)

Headline: "Obama turnout overwhelms Clinton in Indiana -- Clinton silent on next moves"

Posted by: rohnjaymiller | May 6, 2008 12:37 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 57
Clinton 43

IN:
Clinton: 52
Obama: 48

Pressure Mounts for Clinton to Quit as it is impossible for her to overtake Obama in pledged delegates.

Posted by: Payrod | May 6, 2008 12:37 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 52.5%
Obama 47.5

N Carolina
Obama 57.5
Clinton 42.5

Clinton: "This is not over, Obama can't win in blue states and the people of Florida and Michigan must count"

Posted by: martino | May 6, 2008 12:36 PM | Report abuse

ndiana: Obama 50.2% Clinton 49.8%
North Carolina: Obama 58.6% Clinton 41.4%
Headline: BAM IS BACK! Obama Sweeps North Carolina & Indiana primaries; End to Nomination Fight Now in Sight!

I live in NYC, BAM is the New York Post's sobriquet for Obama.


New York City Secession 2010

Posted by: legan00@ccny.cuny.edu | May 6, 2008 12:36 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Hillary -- 53.6%
Obama -- 46.4%

North Carolina:
Obama -- 54.2%
Hillary -- 44.8%

Storyline:
Hillary wins another battle, but the war was over months ago.

Posted by: azdaniel | May 6, 2008 12:33 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

North Carolina:

Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

Everyone calls it a tie and the beat goes on, but the math remains daunting for Clinton. Expect lots of hand-wringing about Obama and "white working class voters."

Posted by: nico | May 6, 2008 12:31 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
- Clinton 51
- Obama 47

North Carolina
- Obama 55
- Clinton 44

Group announcements by superdelegates begin May 7th

Posted by: toddenders | May 6, 2008 12:29 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 57
Clinton 43

IN:
Obama 52
Clinton 48

"Obama is resurgent after charging over Hill."

Posted by: myhojda | May 6, 2008 12:28 PM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 55.5
Clinton 44.5

IN
Obama 50.5
Clinton 49.5

"Everyone says it's over, but Clinton vows to go to the convention. Can you say 'Nuclear Options'?"

Posted by: TNSlim | May 6, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton: 52.7%
Obama: 47.3%

North Carolina
Clinton: 44.5%
Obama: 55.5%

Obama chides the Fix for not discussing his Guam win.

Posted by: tallman | May 6, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
56-44 for Obama

Indiana:
60-40 for Clinton

Clinton amasses more votes; Obama widens delegate lead. Demographics harden; Clinton does even worse than before among African Americans.

Tomorrow morning's papers: Clinton's Big Mo

By end of week: Multiple blue-chip supers for Obama, Clinton runs out of road, no obvious way for her to win.

Posted by: Scott-o | May 6, 2008 12:23 PM | Report abuse

IN:
HRC - 57%
BHO - 43%

NC:
BHO - 53%
HRC - 47%

Faux News adds Rev. Wright to their post primary coverage to 'add spice.' Most dems try to think of the last time IN's 11 electoral votes went their favor. Evan Bayh claims great victory for HRC. The rest of Americans cringe at more time for primary coverage.

Posted by: Sunny in CO | May 6, 2008 12:23 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina Obama 57.7% Clinton 42.2%

Indiana Obama 50.9% Clinton49.1%

Posted by: Zandra | May 6, 2008 12:21 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Obama 49
Clinton 48

NC:
Obama 56
Clinton 43

Posted by: Peter F. | May 6, 2008 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Obama 50.4
Clinton 49.6

NC:
Obama 55.1
Clinton 44.9

With her narrow loss in Indiana, will Clinton continue?

Posted by: jhanson | May 6, 2008 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Remember Ted Kennedy pushed through a rules change in the early 80s - the democratic Convention is open - any delegate including pledged delegates can switch at any time.


Any time.

Remember Denver is an Open Convention. Any 50 or 100 delegates can hold out for anything they want, like stopping all the free trade agreements so the manufacturing towns can start to recover.

Posted by: 37th&OStreet | May 6, 2008 12:20 PM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 47.6 Clinton 51.0
IN: Clinton 55.4 Obama 43.7

Will Superdelegates move to Clinton due to latest surge?

Posted by: steve boyington | May 6, 2008 12:19 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 52.6%
Obama 47.4%

NC
Obama 51.1%
Clinton 48.9%

Clinton uses closer-than-expected results in North Carolina to claim new life.

Posted by: brentb52 | May 6, 2008 12:14 PM | Report abuse

Indiana
Sen. Clinton: 54%
Sen. Obama: 46%

North Carolina
Sen. Obama: 51%
Sen. Clinton: 49%

Storyline: It continues.

Posted by: ans | May 6, 2008 12:13 PM | Report abuse

IN:
Clinton, 50.1
Obama, 48.6

NC:
Clinton, 41.9
Obama, 53.2

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 12:09 PM | Report abuse

IN

Clinton 53
Obama 47

NC

Clinton 50.2
Obama 49.8

Three words: Vice President Easley

Posted by: Fleur du Mal | May 6, 2008 12:08 PM | Report abuse


HILLARY WINS BIG!

Asks Obama to step aside

Posted by: Alexandra | May 6, 2008 12:08 PM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 56%, Clinton 44%

Indiana
Obama 51%, Clinton 49%

See Zogby poll posted today at
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_zogby_in_nc_545_final.php


Clinton folds her tent.

Posted by: Jordan Davies | May 6, 2008 12:07 PM | Report abuse

The big days this month are May 13 and May 31.


West Virginia primary is going to be huge.

The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee - will the FIX be staked out there - with the FIXCAM ???? This will be the most pivotal vote since February.


Let me fill you in:


30 people on the Rules Committee - one is from Florida and one is from Michigan - the Michigan delegate can vote on Florida and the Florida delegate can vote on Michigan.


got it?

The resolution before the Committee is whether the original decision on Florida and Michigan was in error - the resolution states that the DNC rules provide for a penalty of half the pledged delegates being seated plus all the superdelegates.


The other decision would be void, subject to another vote in the Credentials Committee in August at the Convention.

However, the new delegate totals will be in place until the Convention.


The other thing worth remembering if the resolution passes the number of delegates required for a majority at the Convention rises to approximately 2135.


May 31 is a Massive Day, much bigger than today.

Posted by: Words of Wisdom | May 6, 2008 12:04 PM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

IN
Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Story:
Probably something about Jeremiah Wright. Otherwise the McCainstream Media might actually have to do some real reporting.

Posted by: Noah` | May 6, 2008 12:03 PM | Report abuse

HOW BAD IS IT when Michelle Obama makes Shrillary Cankleton look like Shirley Temple?!?!?!

Posted by: Georgetwin | May 6, 2008 12:00 PM | Report abuse

Indiana:
HRC over BHO, 49.6% to 44%

N.C.
BHO over HRC, 54.2% to 43.6%

Headline:

Obama Out-Pandered in Indiana; Clinton Fades after North Carolina Loss

Posted by: Patricia in Idaho | May 6, 2008 11:59 AM | Report abuse

Today is not a big day at all - if one pencils in 45% for each of them in each state - what is at stake today?


what?


Above 45% there is a total of 18 delegates at stake.


Quite small.

The big days this month are May 13 when Obama is going to get blown out in West Virginia and May 31 when the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee meets and credits Hillary with the delegates she deserves.

Posted by: 37th&OStreet | May 6, 2008 11:58 AM | Report abuse

GORE VIDAL'S "THE BEST MAN" -- PLOTLINE FOR '08?

His early '60s movie was turned into a stage play in 2000. Here is the link to the New York Times' theater review:

http://theater2.nytimes.com/mem/theater/treview.html?res=9E04E5DF163BF93BA2575AC0A9669C8B63&fta=y

Here is the link to the NYT review of the original Henry Fonda movie:

http://theater2.nytimes.com/mem/theater/treview.html?res=9E04E5DF163BF93BA2575AC0A9669C8B63&fta=y

Posted by: scrivener | May 6, 2008 11:58 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Obama 46
Clinton 53

N. Carolina:

Obama 49.3
Clinton 49.7

STORYLINE: Comeback kid trope on steroids; extreme intraparty race/class polarization; Wright depressing Obama's AA support; we're headed to a convention fight; superdels paralyzed through the summer.

Posted by: Brian | May 6, 2008 11:57 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 56
HRC 44


IN
Obama 51
HRC 49

Posted by: dmwechs | May 6, 2008 11:56 AM | Report abuse

NC:

Obama 56
Clinton 44

IN:

Obama 46
Clinton 53

Headlines:
Clinton picks up another win, but without a path to the nomination

Obama closes the deal, sorta

Big states done, on to the supers

Posted by: jslotterback | May 6, 2008 11:52 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 45% Clinton 47%

IN: Obama 44% Clinton 49%

The big story will be that Clinton's campaign had internal polling showing a victory in NC, thanks in part of Bill Clinton's tour of rural counties. The Clinton campaign, however, intentionally set expectations low by leaking false information to the Drudge Report about a 15 point predicted loss.

Once again, the mainstream media will have overestimated Obama's appeal outside black communities and college towns.

Posted by: massrepublican | May 6, 2008 11:51 AM | Report abuse

Who do you predict will win the North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary?

North Carolina
http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=2320

Indiana
http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=2220


.

Posted by: DBlake, Austin TX | May 6, 2008 11:47 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 55, Clinton 45
IN: Clinton 53, Obama 47

Story:
Two more primaries do nothing to end the stalemate, but split decision may be all Obama needed to "run out the clock" on remaining delegates.

(And in other news, unnamed candidate offers Fix tax-free gas in return for trendy t-shirt.)

Posted by: faberman.jason | May 6, 2008 11:47 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina: Obama by 12%

Indiana: Clinton by 6%

Story line: Obama wins more popular votes and more delegates; Clinton soldiers on.

Posted by: Ross | May 6, 2008 11:46 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Obama 50.4
Clinton 49.6

North Carolina:
Obama 55
Clinton 45

Death blow delivered. Game over.

Posted by: ljackson77 | May 6, 2008 11:46 AM | Report abuse

Overall storyline: Clinton right about this race being like NASCAR- it lasts forever and never seems to go anywhere.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | May 6, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

NC:

Obama 55.7%
HRC 44.3%

Indy:

HRC: 54.4%
Obama: 45.6%

Hillary survives, by just enough to get her to June 3, but neither candidate had a convincing enough win in their respective victories to change the state of the race.

Posted by: TJA | May 6, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

IN:
Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Storyline:
Nothing settled, nothing changed

Posted by: FlownOver | May 6, 2008 11:43 AM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton 46 Obama 42

NC: Obama 56 Clinton 40

Obama does enough to turn the superdel trickle into a stream, Clinton turns to Yogi, eliminated "all but mathematically" by the end of the week.

Posted by: pwtrue | May 6, 2008 11:42 AM | Report abuse

NC-Ob-53/HRC-47 -----Ind--HRC55---Ob-45

Posted by: bob quirk | May 6, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse

IND:
Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

NC:
Obama 53%
Clinton 47%

Posted by: The Wiser Voter | May 6, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse

My prediction is that is it ON TO WEST VIRGINIA.


Today's primaries mean little to the overall race.


Obama is going to get slammed in West Virginia.


Kentucky is not looking good either.

Then on May 31 the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committtee is going to meet - Obama is going to get slammed again.

You can see it on Obama's face.

Obama looks tired and weak - he knows that this month is going to be difficult.

Posted by: Words of Wisdom | May 6, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama - 58.9
Clinton - 40.1

Indiana
Obama - 50.2
Clinton - 49.1

Only Clinton doesn't realize that Obama's double win clinches nomination

Posted by: cferry3124@aol.com | May 6, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 58
Clinton 42

Indiana
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Clinton camp vows to soldier on, but now walks along an uncertain path to the nomination.

Posted by: Andrew L. | May 6, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 54
Hillary 42

IN
Obama 49.5
Hillary 48.2

Posted by: mkec | May 6, 2008 11:36 AM | Report abuse

Bill Clinton evoked the Comeback Kid of old Monday, urging the people of North Carolina to carry his wife to a surprising win on Tuesday. His manner, the crowds he's pulled, and the sheer number of his stops suggests Clinton may have, at long last, become the asset he was meant to be on the trail--tireless, cheery and charming in the face of substantial odds.

Indeed, 49 stops in N.C. without saying something counterproductive and off-message is an accomplishment in itself for the politician formerly known as a master communicator.

He stopped in Sanford, a Sandhills town that hadn't seen a president since Truman. He stopped in Roxboro, where he reportedly spoke to 2,000 in a town of only 9,000. They are the places where Hillary's base lives, in Appalachia and along the so-called "Poverty Belt" of southern North Carolina where mill closings and hard times make Hillary's bread-and-butter message more palpable than Obama's lofty rhetoric.

Bill's regained aplomb on the trail combined with Barack Obama's "bitter clingers" remarks have given rural Tarheels something to turn out for. Voters in Asheville called the president "very exciting," and one churchgoer noted, "I'm shocked he's coming."

In Boone, N.C., thousands of college students and local residents waited two hours to see Clinton speak. The crowd wasn't short on enthusiasm:


"I love Bill and Hillary," she said. "I'm a longtime Bill Clinton fan. Our family has always been fans of Bill Clinton, and we've always supported Bill and Hillary."

Student Maggie Hindsman said, "A lot of us came whether we support Bill and Hillary or not. It's not often we get people of that stature here, and it's nice to get the recognition. It makes us feel better about ourselves."


For his part, Obama hasn't ventured west of Hickory, just an hour northwest of Charlotte, where Obama's big-city voters dwell in droves.

Bill also stands in stark contrast to Obama's closest surrogate, Michelle, who spoke extensively in Fayetteville and Charlotte today without cracking a smile at either event.

The local evening news showed Clinton's preternatural, gee-golly glad-hand routine next to Michelle's dour, stern-faced lectures about Obama's greatness. The juxtaposition did the Obamas no favors.

Posted by: Mary H | May 6, 2008 11:36 AM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton over Obama 54%-46%

I gotta speak on the party primaries of my own home state, North Carolina. The Tar Heel state is a grand place to live if I may say so. Politics are hotter than a branding iron on an o' cow's rear end round' here these days. This is the most fired up I have seen blacks about an election since Jessee Helms vs. Harvey Gant back in the 1990's. Helms won that election with the ever famous "dirty hands" commercial. It's obvious blacks see an opportunity to elect "one of them". Governor Mike Easley has endorsed and been campaigning with Hillary Clinton lately. So who has the upper hand? Obama has a bit more money and has been getting out his messege & has, in my view, ran a better campaign in this state. Governor Easley's endorsement & the Easley machine will do all it can today. In my opinon, it won't be enough as Obama will win the Tar Heel State.
Obama over Clinton 53%-47%

Clinton uses Indiana win & closer than expected finish in NC to press on to Kentucky. Obama touts win in NC & fact that the math is in his favor.

I'm going to give predictions for other tight races in NC primaries today.

The NC governor's race is wide open, and will be given some settlement today as R's & D's will choose nominees. Gov. Easley is term-limited and it's the good o' boy crowd of Treasurer Richard Moore vs. the liberal left of Lt. Gov. Bev. Perdue. The Republicans have Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory vs. State sen. Fred Smith. Smith has ran a great campaign in central NC & is already known well in the Raleigh/Durham area. McCrory is better known in the metro Charlotte area and he will have a great voter turn out in that area, where alot of people are. The race for Lt. Gov. is jumbled, but state senator Robert Pittinger will win easily. He has the coveted endorsement of Liddy Dole. Dole nor Burr endorsed Smith nor McCrory, and if they did it wasn't a good job doing it b/c I didn't hear about it. Dole will make light work of her primary challenger Pete Di Lauro. NC Republicans have our first shot in a long while to take back the governor's mansion this year! Especially if Obama is at the top of the Democratic ticket! OK, state prediction time.
Governor:
Republican: Pat McCrory 43%-Fred Smith 38%-Bob Orr 9% & Bill Graham 8%. So McCrory & Smith will compete in a run-off election on June 24.
Democrats: Beverley Perdue 52%-Richard Moore 48% Perdue wins and awaits winner of McCrory vs. Smith primary

Lt. Gov.:
Republican: Robert Pittinger wins with 82% of the vote
Democrat: Besse & Dillinger move on to a June 24 run-off primary.

US Senate:
Republican: Liddy Dole takes 94% of the vote over Di Lauro
Democrat: State Senator Kay Hagan disposes of gay Chapel Hill Investment banker Jim Neal 65%-31%

Posted by: reason | May 6, 2008 11:36 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 55
Clinton 45

Indiana
Clinton 54
Obama 46

Exit polls show late-deciding voters tilt heavily toward Clinton, so she successfully spins this as a huge win.

Obama emphasizes how his campaign picked up more popular votes today, and how his win in North Carolina gave him a net gain of about 10 delegates.

The media consensus is that the campaign is still Obama's to lose, but that he has been considerably weakened.

Posted by: Eric | May 6, 2008 11:31 AM | Report abuse

NC

Barak 52
Clinton 48

Indiana

Barak 42
Clinton 58

Posted by: Anthony Green | May 6, 2008 11:29 AM | Report abuse

Contest Over!
NC: Obama 53%
Clinton 37%

IN: Obama 51$
Clinton 49%

Of course, I've been making this same prediction for four months now.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 11:29 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Barack Obama, 54.5%
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 45%

Indiana:
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 53%
Barack Obama, 46.5%

Headline:
HRC stays alive, race to continue through June. But how much has Wright hurt Obama with working-class whites?

Posted by: corey prachniak | May 6, 2008 11:28 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama 56.5 percent, Clinton 43.5 percent

Indiana:

Clinton 50.8 percent, Obama 49.2 percent

Posted by: Trocchi | May 6, 2008 11:28 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 58.5
Clinton 41.5

Indiana
Obama 52.5
Clinton 47.5

Storyline: Clinton "mathematically" eliminated.

Posted by: Tom in NC | May 6, 2008 11:28 AM | Report abuse

IND:

Clinton 57%
Obama 43%

NC:

Obama 51%
Clinton 49%

Story line: Clinton's 14-pt. Indiana landslide and her near win in North Carolina signal Obama's continuing inability to deliver white votes in the suburbs and rural areas.

Supers pow-wow as speculation abounds that they will ask Obama to step aside. A vocal contingent of supers urges Obama to hang in until the convention, at which time Obama will be asked to throw his delegates to Al Gore and run as his veepee.

Obama decides not to wait. On Thursday, May 8th, he suspends his campaign and throws his delegates to Al Gore and accepts Gore's invitation to run as Gore's VP pick. The majority of Dems hail Obama's "selfless" act. Bill and Hillary are checkmated. Hillary sulks back to Chappaqua to plot her next move. Bill jets to London on "urgent business." The press whisper the name, "Belinda."

http://www.thefirstpost.co.uk/2622,features,bill-and-belindas-excellent-adventure,2

The "GO Team" duo barnstorms the nation as Hillary soldiers on, her support severely diminished. Dems unite in Denver for a joyous coronation, which is where Hillary's political obituary is written. Angry feministas burn their bras in vain protest.

Obama goes on to become the first African-American vice president in the nation's history.

Obama confides that his viewing of the early '60s movie, "The Best Man" on the eve of the Indiana/North Carolina primaries confirmed in his mind the wisdom of his strategy.

"Henry Fonda played Tom Joad, too," Obama remarked. "With my new screenplay being co-written by John Steinbeck and Gore Vidal, I knew that attention must be paid -- oops, that was Arthur Miller."

Posted by: scrivener | May 6, 2008 11:27 AM | Report abuse

cnn-"Sen. Barack Obama has called Tuesday's Democratic primary in Indiana a potential "Tiebreaker"

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/05/indiana.guide/index.html


Please remember that tonight.

N.Carolina

Obama--56%
HC-----44%


Indiana

Obama---47%
HC------53%

Prediction: Obama says he was just joking about Indiana being a tie breaker.

Curious why the media is letting him get off the hook with his clear pronouncement just like many of his supporters, predicted he would win in Pa., and that his win in Indiana would be the tie breaker.

Sounds like he was for Indiana being the tie breaker before he was against it.

And how about his supporters predictions here here that his opposition to the Gas Tax Holiday would sweep him to a clear Indiana victory tonight?

Posted by: Leichtman | May 6, 2008 11:25 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

N. Carolina:
Clinton 51
Obama 49

Headline:
"Insurgent Clinton; Obama retreats to Green Zone with campaign staff to plan next move."

Posted by: WillNewYork | May 6, 2008 11:24 AM | Report abuse

Hillary wins both. The headline, thanks to E. Robinson, is "American Idol."

Posted by: maud130 | May 6, 2008 11:23 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 57.6
HRC 42.4

IN
Obama 47.5
HRC 52.5

Storyline:
Time is running out on Hillary as Obama solidifies his lead in all the key barometers.
BUT...
Ever defiant Hillary vows to fight on!

Support for a 3rd Party ticket with Mike Huckabee and Jeremiah Wright starts to pick up momentum in the Internet and in churches across America.

Posted by: AdrickHenry | May 6, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 54.6
Clinton 45.4

Indiana:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

The big story will be a re-hashing of the racial split as Obama will win around 90% of the black vote and Clinton will continue to win the white working class. The phrase "can't close the deal" will be heard endlessly, amid timid reminders that there's no way that Clinton can take the pledged delegate lead and, after tonight, little chance of over-taking the popular vote, excluding MI and FL.

Posted by: Schellhase | May 6, 2008 11:18 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Obama: 48.7
Hillary: 51.3%

North Carolina
Obama: 55.8%
Hillary: 44.2%

And the beat goes on...Hillary claims blue collar voters in Indiana in less than compelling fashion, gets trumped in North Carolina convincingly...and keeps going despite window of opportunity getting really small.

Posted by: erikpdumont | May 6, 2008 11:18 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 54, HRC 46
IN: HRC 51, Obama 49

Story line: Obama completely cancels HRC PA delegate gains. Al Gore and John Edwards publicly call on HRC to stop delaying the inevitable. HRC still vows to fight on.

Posted by: gonzaga mike | May 6, 2008 11:16 AM | Report abuse

"Double digit margin in NC shows Wright issue a media obsession, not dem. voter issue '

nope it's GE issue.
the democrats like to nominate weak effete candidates.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 11:14 AM | Report abuse

NC
BO - 53%
HC - 47%

IN
BO - 46%
HC - 54%

HRC camp tells Ickes to exercise control of DNC rules committee and get MI and FL seated.

Posted by: FTC | May 6, 2008 11:13 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina

Obama 56.5
Clinton 43.5

Indiana

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Obama erases Clinton's gains in PA, another 10-15 Super Delegates line up, Clinton revelas her campaign is broke, again.
CNN/ ABC and Chris Matthews will still continue to report that it's still anybody's race to win and continue to bring up Reverend Wright, while Hillary announces her plan to build an anit-OPEC, Iranian, Islamo fascist, shield around the entire planet that she will pay for by cutting the federal gas tax over the summer months.

Clinton supporters will claim, "Well, at least she has a plan."

Posted by: swalker3 | May 6, 2008 11:09 AM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton 55%
Obama 45%

North Carolina: Obama 51%
Clinton 49%

Slog continues till June. Repubs ecstatic.

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | May 6, 2008 11:08 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 52
Obama 47

NC
Clinton 44
Obama 55

With no clear path to victory, Clinton faces the inevitable and bows out.

Posted by: smmalonso | May 6, 2008 11:07 AM | Report abuse

Way back in the day--before Reverend Wrong and bitterness and gutterballs sidetracked Obamaniacs--pundits were asking, Who will have the courage to tell Hillary when it's time to get out of the race? Now I have to ask, In the unlikely event that Hillary wins both North Carolina and Indiana, Who'll have the courage to tell MS([i]More[/i] Slanted)NBC that Obama's nomination is not inevitable?
-Wm Tate
http://www.atimelikethis.us/

Posted by: Wm Tate | May 6, 2008 11:06 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama 56%
Clinton 44%

Indiana:

Clinton 52%
Obama 48%

Although Clinton's win in Indiana is not that persuasive she pledges to fight on.

Posted by: nic.roxylife@gmail.com | May 6, 2008 11:05 AM | Report abuse

IN
Clinton - 54
Obama - 46

NC
Clinton - 47
Obama - 53

Candidates split NC and IN; Clinton is staying in and demands that MI and FL must count.

Posted by: brs3f | May 6, 2008 11:03 AM | Report abuse

NC
Hillary Clinton: 53.4%
Barack Obama: 46.6%

IN
Clinton: 56.8%
Obama - 43.2%

The Clinton campaign celebrates two more hard fought victories while Obama and his supporters look on in slack-jawed bewilderment. One of Obama's children is overheard saying... "The man on the TV says you don't have any mojo. Daddy? What's mojo? " Obama's Super Delegates are getting nervous... while Denver Police stock up on extra tear gas and rubber bullets.

http://www.FRedStates.com - Your Anti Obama Superstore

Posted by: FRedStates | May 6, 2008 11:03 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 56
Clinton 44

IN
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Double digit margin in NC shows Wright issue a media obsession, not dem. voter issue (although media will prepare us for it to return for Nov. race).
In Indiana, HRC in lead for most of night (too close to call), then population centers come in pushing Obama over (reminiscent of Missouri). Media discusses Indiana-Illinois bond, despite close race.

In the week that follows, the superdelegates start signing on with Obama en-mass, while Clinton superdelegates want a bone, asking for "Obama-Bayh" ticket to unite factions.

Posted by: jcscott | May 6, 2008 11:02 AM | Report abuse

IN:
Clinton: 53%
Obama: 47%

NC:
Obama: 54%
Clinton: 46%

High African American turnout drives Obama win in NC; pundits continue to lament Obama's inability to win the white rural vote.

Posted by: ManUnitdFan | May 6, 2008 11:00 AM | Report abuse

NC primary:

Obama 56%, Clinton 44%

Indiana primary:

Clinton 52%, Obama 48%

Tuesday's results increases the trickle of superdelegates to Obama into a river.

Posted by: Ted987 | May 6, 2008 10:59 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama - 59
Clinton - 41

IN
Obama - 50
Clinton - 50

Obama Halts Clinton in Indiana; Swamps Her in Carolina

Posted by: jpsherer | May 6, 2008 10:59 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
HRC 53.4
BHO 46.6

North Carolina
HRC 43.5
BHO 56.5

Storyline: Out of the ashes of the Democratic Primary McCain rises in Phoenix

Posted by: gerard | May 6, 2008 10:59 AM | Report abuse

NC - Obama +8.4
IN - Clinton +6.8

Clinton continues to dominate in the cracker and old biddy demographics. CNN still doesnt ask any useful exit poll questions. Is Clinton's newfound strength due to Rush?

Posted by: rrrr | May 6, 2008 10:58 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama - 59
Clinton - 41

IN
Obama - 50
Clinton - 50

Posted by: jpsherer | May 6, 2008 10:58 AM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

North Carolina

Clinton 45%
Obama 55%

Confusion reigns, what will happen next? who knows!!

Posted by: Dónal | May 6, 2008 10:58 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 58, Clinton 41

Indiana
Obama 49, Clinton 51

Posted by: SJ | May 6, 2008 10:57 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 54.7, Obama 45.3

North Carolina
Obama 56.8, Clinton 43.2

Story: Nothing changes. Delegates still drifting towards Obama, Clinton still in the race, Democrats still wringing their hands. Everyone but the journalists, the political columnists, and the campaign staffers quietly wondering to themselves what kind of banana-republic sideshow we've allowed ourselves to descend into.

Posted by: ander | May 6, 2008 10:53 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 56.9
Clinton 42.1

Ind
Obama 48.2
Clinton 51.2

With TV networks showing 57-42 in NC, Team Clinton makes a decimal point argument, saying they held Obama under 15. "It was always an uphill battle." For winning Indiana, Evan Bayh gets to stand with Sen. Clinton. Mike Easley gets voted off.

Sen. Obama will go second and give a SC-primary quality speech, not like Iowa but still pretty good. David Axelrod will say something about new campaign contributions. Ashton Kutcher officially gives his endorsement the next morning.

Posted by: Mike Cheesehead | May 6, 2008 10:53 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Obama 47
Clinton 53

NC
Obama 58
Clinton 42

Clinton claims victory for winning the last battleground state because NC was always Obama's territory.

Posted by: djeterpt1 | May 6, 2008 10:51 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama: 56.5
Clinton: 43.5

Indiana:
Clinton: 51.5
Obama: 48.5

Storyline:
Clinton squeezes by in battleground Indiana, Obama takes North Carolina convincingly

Subtitle:
Obama performs better than in Pennsylvania, but still cannot seem to "close the deal" with blue collar white voters.

Subtitle 2:
Clinton: "Momentum on our side"

Posted by: Renard - UMD | May 6, 2008 10:51 AM | Report abuse

I received this startling news from Blackboxvoting.org, yet I have seen nothing in the press on it, even though it would seem to HEAVILY affect today's Indiana primary. It also seems it would leave open the Indiana results to a legal challenge on disenfranchising black voters, if this story is true. It SHOULD be followed up in the press, I would think. With this story out there on election day in Indiana, I wonder why it hasn't appeared. CNN's lead is John McCain's take on Obama's "elitist" take on judges. That is not a story, but a report on what John McCain is saying in a political statement. Who will cover this MAJOR Indiana voting story?

Posted on Tuesday, May 6, 2008 - 6:22 am:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Yesterday, we reported that according to Indiana's own figures, 1.1 million voter registrations had been cancelled, one-quarter of a million of those in just two counties. Another researcher, Steve Rosenfeld, began tracking back through data from the Election Assistance Commission, finding that the cancellation quantities didn't jive with the numbers you'd expect. According to Rosenfeld, after talking with the office of the Indiana Secretary of State the explanation is that "cancelled" does not mean "cancelled registrations" it means "changes" to registrations.

IF TRUE, THIS RAISES ANOTHER CONCERN

Because Indiana is implementing an ID requirement, and this will require that voters name and address match when the voter registration database is compared with their ID, an unscrupulous data entry person would no longer need to PURGE registrations in order to knock people off the voting rolls. All that's required is CHANGING t he registration slightly, to introduce typos.

Many locations are now enamored of using "electronic pollbooks" instead of the paper printouts. We all know what happens when you enter a name with a typo: The computer says "can't find".

Try it. Use any computer program you have, and enter your name with a typo. Then do a search for your name. If I typo "Ben Harris" and search for "Bev Harris" I won't find it. Now, with the paper pollbooks, a pollworker might see that it's a typo, if my address is the same. Whether they accept that Bev Harris is Ben Harris is open to how flexible they feel at the moment.

With electronic pollbooks, they may not find the typo-name at all. And if an unscrupulous political hack enters "changes" or "updates" that introduce a typo into the address, or name and address, it may be impossible to find you at all. Example: I alter "Bev Harris" to make it read "Ben Harris" and then change "973 SW 43rd St" to "793 SW 43rd". Gone. Poof.
Some say the problems with the Florida 2000 election have now been codified into federal law nationwide. In terms of the now-mandatory statewide voter lists, that's true. These centralized records allow changes to be introduced from either your county or the state, and a single person can cook the list.

When you add voter ID into the mix, it allows very subtle attacks that will produce mismatches. Mark my words, the new watchword for 2008 will be "human error." Add "human error" to the term "computer glitch" for meaningless and unacceptable terms that introduce voter disenfranchisment without accountability.

SECOND CLASS BALLOTS

If your name is not found on the voter rolls, you are entitled to vote on a provisional ballot. However: The networks will call the race, engaging in their traditional journalistic malpractice of saying who "won" when they mean who they "project WILL win". NO PROVISIONAL BALLOTS ARE CONSIDERED AT ALL when the networks "call the race." They are taking their projections from called and faxed-in reports of the voting machine results tapes -- and no provisional ballots are in those results.

Provisional ballots are also "second class" ballots because:
- They are not counted until many days later
- Some of the rules applied to which ballots count or don't count actually disenfranchise voters based on pollworker errors. For example, in Volusia County Florida, citizen extraordinaire Susan Pynchon fought to get a whole set of provisional ballots counted that they were about to deny, based on the reason that "the poll worker didn't write the REASON it was a provisional ballot" on each one.

CANCELLED DOESN'T MEAN CANCELLED

The word "cancelled" is the one chosen by the Indiana election officials and their computers. They say it doesn't mean "cancelled." Here is a picture of Porter County from their report. Cancelled mean s cancelled, or cancelled means changed, but something happened in Porter County and there is no explanation as to what:


Here is a link to the original Indiana document containing voter registration information:

According to this document, here is a map with the percentage of voter registrations cancelled or changed, along with the quantities.

If you try to vote and they can't find you on the list, please report it to us for data collection and public records actions.

DISCUSS AND EVALUATE AS VOTER REP ORTS AND RESULTS ROLL IN

You can post and discuss the Indiana and North Carolina 2008 primary elections here.

Here is a compendium of links that you may find helpful when tracking incoming results. Some of them are live already, others will go live as results come in:

--
Fear, by Harry Truman
"When even one American - who has done nothing wrong -- is forced by fear to shut his mind and close his mouth, then all of Americans are in peril."

Posted by: Greetings From Pennsylvania | May 6, 2008 10:50 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 54
Clinton 46

Indiana
Obama 46
Clinton 54

African Americans propel Obama to victory in NC - but exit polls show he is still having serious trouble with working class whites. Clinton continues to press electability, but the delegate math looks increasingly bad for HRC.

Obama ties HRC in superdelegate support by end of week.

Posted by: Jason | May 6, 2008 10:49 AM | Report abuse

Indiana: Clinton 51.6
Obama: 48.4


North Carolina:Obama 54.6
Clinton: 45.4

Storyline: Clinton stuck on tarheel; Obama's hoops not good enough for the Hoosiers; On to West Virginia

Posted by: Curt Lader | May 6, 2008 10:47 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 54
Clinton 45

IN
Obama 49
Clinton 49

Superdelegates reach for the hook, but fail to yank Clinton off the stage.

Posted by: bsimon | May 6, 2008 10:46 AM | Report abuse

NC - 58 Obama Clinton - 47

Ind - 50 Clinton - 48

Storyline:

I predict Obama's wins will put more pressure on Hillary to drop out. She will refuse to and her supporters will begin tearing the Dem Party apart... Possibly pulling off some sort of back room deal at the national convention. Which will cause mass hysteria in Denver.

Posted by: James Ryder | May 6, 2008 10:45 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 50%
Clinton 48%

IN
Obama 40%
Clinton 58%

Storyline: Clinton calls on Obama to quit the race, declaring, "The masses have spoken."

Posted by: cdavis1381 | May 6, 2008 10:44 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 51
Obama 49

North Carolina:
Obama 55.5
Clinton 44.5

Headline: Gas tax proves Taxing to Clinton's campaign. With huge NC victory and tight race in Indiana, Obama bounces back from Wright. Supers predicted to flood his way in coming days.

Posted by: Boutan | May 6, 2008 10:42 AM | Report abuse

Forgot the storyline the first time.

NC Obama 55-45
Indiana Clinton 52.5 47.5

Both declare victory. Who will superdelegates believe?

Posted by: rich^kolker | May 6, 2008 10:42 AM | Report abuse

NC Obama 55-45
Indiana Clinton 52.5 47.5

Posted by: rich^kolker | May 6, 2008 10:40 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 55.3
Obama 44.7

North Carolina
Clinton 47.1
Obama 52.9

Posted by: MNDem | May 6, 2008 10:40 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama - 56%
Clinton - 43%
Other - 1%

IN
Clinton - 53%
Obama - 47%

Headline - Dems are GASSED and have had their FILL of this TAXING race.

Posted by: Kev | May 6, 2008 10:40 AM | Report abuse

IN

HRC 58
BHO 42

NC

BHO 51
HRC 49

Storyline: "Why did the polls understate Obama Support? Bradley Effect? What do you do when someone has an insurmountable lead but is fading down the stretch?"

Posted by: George Smilivici | May 6, 2008 10:39 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 52
Clinton: 40

IN: Obama 51
Clinton 49

"Obama's stunning win in IN puts pressure on Hillary to dropout as a plethora of superdelegates come out to support him"

Posted by: Clark | May 6, 2008 10:37 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 57.5
Clinton 42.5

Indiana:
Clinton 53.5
Obama 46

Storyline:
Obama 'rams' Clinton off balance in North Carolina, leading to a 'stampede' of super-delegates towards Obama.

Posted by: Ben S. | May 6, 2008 10:34 AM | Report abuse

IN

Obama 50.9%
Hillary 49%

Story - "Hoosier Daddy! Obama lands knockout blow, but Hillary lobbies for 30 second count instead of ten."

NC

Obama 59.1%
Hillary 40.5%

Story - "O! Carolina - Last second Edwards' endorsement not enough to stave off the obvious, as Clinton camp moves on for 'tiebreaker' in West Virginia."

We never got to do Guam predictions/storylines - "Oh-Guam-a! Barack clobbers Hill in South Pacific!"

Posted by: bondjedi | May 6, 2008 10:33 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 53
Clinton 48

IN:
Clinton 55
Obama 45

Obama has problem to close the deal

Posted by: ywusa2001 | May 6, 2008 10:32 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 53
Clinton 48

IN:
Clinton 55
Obama 45

Obama has problem to close the deal

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 10:32 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 60
Clinton 40

IN
Obama 52
Clinton 48

Headline
OBAMA SWEEPS!

Posted by: Tad | May 6, 2008 10:31 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 54
Clinton 46

IN:
Clinton 53
Obama 47

Posted by: RollaMO | May 6, 2008 10:25 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton -- 54%
Obama -- 46%

North Carolina:

Obama -- 52%
Clinton -- 48%

Storyline: Will Clinton be able to catch Obama in the popular vote with big wins in West Virginia and Kentucky?

Posted by: paulalgire | May 6, 2008 10:25 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
60.2 Obama
36.0 Clinton

Indiana:
51 Clinton
48 Obama

Fortunately for the Democratic Party, it's all over but the shouting.

Posted by: Tom J | May 6, 2008 10:25 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:

Obama: 52.5
Clinton: 47.5


Indiana:
Clinton: 53.5
Obama: 46.5


Posted by: jxejxe | May 6, 2008 10:21 AM | Report abuse

NC Obama 51, Clinton 47

IN Obama 47, Clinton 52

If Obama wins NC, the race is over. That's simple math.

Posted by: neb | May 6, 2008 10:20 AM | Report abuse

IN:

HC 57
BO 42

NC

BO 56
HC 43

Blowout for Clinton in IN, but she still loses delegates on the day. On to WV!

Posted by: Josh | May 6, 2008 10:15 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Ind
Obama 47
Clinton 53

..the next pivotal moment is the May 31 decision on Fla and MI. If Clinton loses that vote, she withdraws.

Posted by: Ken | May 6, 2008 10:14 AM | Report abuse

INDY:
Clinton: 54%
Obama: 46%
Obama tries to squirm around that 8 pts. down is a win for him. Sounds like Wright-speak to most.

NC:
Obama 50.5%
Clinton 49.3%

Obama calls this a win, but O's super-d's begin to abandon ship sensing the Nov inevitable.

Posted by: jaysalomon | May 6, 2008 10:11 AM | Report abuse

NC

BHO 53.7%
HRC 46.3%

IN

BHO 48.2%
HRC 51.8%

Storyline: Students turn out despite their final exams. Clinton loses ground in the delegate and popular vote columns, but reiterates that she's in it until the convention. Clinton and Obama announces more superdelegate support, with Obama getting more of them. Clinton and McCain voters line up for their $30 gas tax rebate.

Journalists yet again snookered by campaign spin. And the contest continues ...

Posted by: mnteng | May 6, 2008 10:11 AM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton: 52
Obama: 48


North Carolina

Obama: 56
Clinton: 43


Storyline: Hillary wins last "battleground" primary; split decision in Indiana and North Carolina likely ensures primary campaign will last until June

Posted by: jumpin_bob | May 6, 2008 10:10 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina:
Obama 51.2
Clinton 48.8

Indiana:
Clinton 55.8
Obama 44.2

Storyline (alliterative version):
Clinton comes close in Carolina; contest continues.

Posted by: acasilaco | May 6, 2008 10:09 AM | Report abuse

NC:
BHO - 50
HRC - 48

IN:
BHO - 45
HRC - 54

Posted by: Paul | May 6, 2008 10:09 AM | Report abuse

INDIANA

HRC 54%
BO 46%

N. Carolina

BO 53%
HRC 47%

HEADLINE

To HRC, "Indiana Matters" because it is next to Illinois, BO's home state.. North Caroina doesn't matter, bacause it is Southern, Predominately Afro-American, and she cut his lead so much.

Posted by: SPEARS404 | May 6, 2008 10:04 AM | Report abuse

Clinton, Obama split
New Yorker: "It ain't over..."

Posted by: FirstMouse | May 6, 2008 10:04 AM | Report abuse

Clinton, Obama split
New Yorker: "It ain't over..."

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 10:03 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 51.2%
Clinton 48.6%

IN:
Clinton 52.7%
Obama 46.0%

Headline: ZZZ...

Posted by: donttreadonme | May 6, 2008 10:01 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 54%
Clinton 46%
IN: Clinton 52%
Obama 48%
Storyline: Clinton vows to stay on despite mixed results and crushing math. Obama supporters begin to call for race to end. Hillary begins to have serious money problems.

Posted by: sholland85 | May 6, 2008 9:58 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
HRC 52.5
BHO 47.5

(But delegates split due to BHO's strong vote in 1st and 7th)

NC
HRC 46.5
BHO 53.5

Early Voting makes the difference.

The Story: Clinton claims that momentum has shifted and prepares for the Nuclear Option. Superdelegates swarm to Obama to end it before Hillary splits the party.

Posted by: David C | May 6, 2008 9:58 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 54.8%
Clinton 45.2%

IN: Clinton 54.5%
Obama 45.5%

Headline: And the beat goes on. Obama fails to expand his voting bloc; superdelegates muttering that he should have knocked Hillary out by now. Four more supers announce for Obama.

Posted by: KB | May 6, 2008 9:54 AM | Report abuse

IN

HRC 51.8
OBAMA 48.0

NC
OBAMA 54.4
HRC 45.3

Closing time: The tap dance on Hillary's head to withdraw begins.

Posted by: halfaworldaway | May 6, 2008 9:54 AM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton 55
Obama 45

North Carolina

Clinton 48
Obama 52

Headline: Clinton now seen as legitimate contender. Obama's electability strongly questioned.

Posted by: JSnapper | May 6, 2008 9:53 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 54
Clinton 45

Indiana

Obama 48
Clinton 52

Storyline: The game changing day changes nothing and the long slow march to Bataan continues.

Posted by: Mr. 5th | May 6, 2008 9:53 AM | Report abuse

NC
BHO 53
HRC 47

IN
HRC 55
BHO 45

HRC's line - a "huge" win - double digits in IN and a strong finish that cut a double digit lead down to 6 in NC. Tells Obama "You can take your elitist attitude and KISS MY GAS!"

BHO's line - we still lead in every category and the IN win was only double digits after rounding so technically it was really not double digits despite what CNN says. His campaign enlists help to develope a workable muzzle for one Rev. Wright.

Focus shifts to wooing the SuperDelegates who now have the most votes left to be won. This HRC win makes the SD's job that much more difficult, providing numerous stories about the pressure they are under and how the DNC wants, I mean, how they are supposed to decide how to vote.

Posted by: Dave! | May 6, 2008 9:52 AM | Report abuse

NC:

Obama 52
Clinton 48

IN:

Clinton 54
Obama 46

Storyline:

Stalemate continues; June can't come soon enough for Dean, DNC, and pretty much everyone watching this thing.


Posted by: msheik | May 6, 2008 9:52 AM | Report abuse

NC:
Obama 56
Clinton 42

IN:
Clinton 52
Obama 48

The Super trickle becomes a gusher, and by the end of the week, HRC is free to return to DC and apply her "testicular fortitude" to getting that gas tax holiday enacted.

Posted by: It's Better in the Obamas | May 6, 2008 9:50 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:

HRC - 53
BHO - 47

North Carolina:

HRC - 43
BHO - 57

Despite huge win in Carolina, Obama still unable to claim the throne. Hillary says Hooray for Hoosiers as they keep her bid alive.

Posted by: Jonny A | May 6, 2008 9:50 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
- Barack Obama 47%%
- Hillary 53%

North Carolina
- Barack Obama - 58%
- Hillary 42%

Posted by: Mike Tell | May 6, 2008 9:44 AM | Report abuse

Tarheels:

Obama 56%
Clinton 44%

Obama gets over the magic 10% threshold (whatever that means).

Hoosiers:

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Clinton picks up a neighboring state and claims the best 2 out of 3.

Onto Puerto Rico!

BB

Posted by: Fairlington Blade | May 6, 2008 9:44 AM | Report abuse

NC:

Obama: 52
Clinton: 44

IN:

Clinton: 51.2
Obama: 48.8

Obama fails to diversify his voting block and capture the blue-collar midwestern Democrats. Two disparate coalitions split the Democratic vote.

Posted by: clee | May 6, 2008 9:43 AM | Report abuse

(already posted in the previous comment section, but hey, I want it to count!)

Here's what I think will happen:
Results:
IN: Networks call it late. Clinton 53, Obama 47 (+2 delegates for Clinton)
NC: Immediate call. Obama 57, Clinton 43 (+15 delegates for Obama)
Newspaper headline: "Obama and Clinton win as expected, but Edwards' endorsement could speed up things. Edwards endorses Obama, says he's the new leader America has been waiting for."

If Edwards endorses, then expect many more to come Obama's way.

Posted by: coloneldiego | May 6, 2008 9:41 AM | Report abuse

Indiana BHO 51%
HRC 49%

North Carolina BHO 54%
HRC 46%

Obama eeks out win in Indiana, and wins by "enough" in North Carolina, Clinton bows out tomorrow.

Posted by: theaberlin | May 6, 2008 9:40 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina has a lot of college students and now they are in the middle of final exams or are on their short break before graduation. That does not bode well for Obama.

Clinton has clearly had the better two weeks and she looks more like she has her fingers on the pulse of middle class voters. Obama's looking increasingly out of touch, even if he is right on the merits of his arguments (e.g., gas tax).

NORTH CAROLINA
Obama 50%
Clinton 46%

INDIANA
Clinton 54%
Obama 44%

Storyline: Clinton is the Comeback Kid again! Is Obama Howard Dean?

I offered a more thorough take on these primaries here:
http://www.theseventen.com/2008/05/handicapping-indiana-and-north-carolina.html

Posted by: theseventen | May 6, 2008 9:37 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
HRC - 52
BHO - 48

No. Carolina:
BHO - 56
HRC - 44

Superdelegates continue toward Obama; HRC vows to fight all the way to the convention, says she won't "cast her lot with the mathematicians."

Posted by: Lisa K | May 6, 2008 9:36 AM | Report abuse

IN
Clinton 55%
Obama 45%

NC
Clinton 49%
Obama 51%

Clinton fights Obama to a virtual tie in North Carolina and scores a solid win in Indiana, forcing reassesment by the Supers. Calls for dream ticket gather force.

Posted by: Tommy Barban (Buenos Aires) | May 6, 2008 9:36 AM | Report abuse

IN

HRC 56
BHO 44

NC

BHO 52
HRC 46

Storyline:

Obama's much narrower than expected win in NC and big loss in IN cause heartburn in his camp, and HRC has another big fundraising day, but nothing fundamental has changed except the perception of Obama.

Posted by: leuchtman | May 6, 2008 9:35 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina

Obama- 53%
Clinton- 47%


Indiana-

Clinton- 55%
Obama- 45%

Storyline- Split in today's primaries brings out true divisions within the Democratic Party. No candidate seems ready to give up, so the primary continues.

Posted by: iaschwartz | May 6, 2008 9:34 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 53.3%, Clinton 46.1%
IN: Clinton 52.6%, Obama 47.4%

Storyline tomorrow is the same as the media has been perpetuating since the GOP nomination was sewn up: "Whew, what a horse race! This may go on until August!" Circulation, page views, and media buys continue to set a record pace at both a national and local level.

The big beneficiary of the Indiana race? Local television networks and all the cool traffic helicopters they can now buy. As Hoosiers across the state enjoy "Eyewitness Coverage" of everything from little Timmy's lost dog to a shooting in Muncie, they can thank the Democratic race for giving them aerial and man on the street views in glorious HD.

The big loser in the Indiana race? The rest of America.

Posted by: P Diddy | May 6, 2008 9:31 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton -- 56.4
Obama -- 43.6

North Carolina
Clinton -- 48
Obama -- 52

Clinton campaign turns to backroom deal making -- it's last hope for the nomination!

Posted by: vmi98mom | May 6, 2008 9:27 AM | Report abuse

NC--Obama 52.2 Hillary 47.8--IN Hillary 53.3 Obama 46.7--The race continues and yet we cannot figure how the X-Over votes are playing.

Posted by: lylepink | May 6, 2008 9:27 AM | Report abuse

NC
Clinton 44
Obama 56

IN
Clinton 51
Obama 48

The story is `the show continues'. With a narrow win in Indiana, and clear loss in NC, Hillary claims she's still a "fighter" and will continue while watching Obama's delegate/pop vote proportion slowly grow. A trickle of new superdelegates pledges support for Obama; Obama says he's learned a lesson about connecting with "just folks". Bill yet again unleashed? Bill gives a red-faced rant to a reporter with a mic, which his spokesman says he didn't know was hot.


Posted by: fromWesternMI | May 6, 2008 9:26 AM | Report abuse

story.. obama gets the nomination.

Hello President McCain.

Obama blames HRC.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 6, 2008 9:23 AM | Report abuse

NC: O 53 C 47
IN: O 49 C 51

Both candidates celebrate victory parties.
Clinton claims to be more motivated than
ever. A surprising calm settles on the Democratic Party. It's partly exhaustion, a balanced stasis, and partly a patient waiting to see, who is going to tell her that she has to quit. Many senior Dems are heard to say that on June 3 the race has to be settled.

Posted by: patrican | May 6, 2008 9:22 AM | Report abuse

Sen. Obama wins by 10% in North Carolina erasing his opponents Pennsylvania gains in the popular vote.

Senator Clinton wins the popular vote in Indiana by 4%, but, with a less than well known Hoosier hitch, loses in overall delegates because Obama wins the 1st and 7th Congressional Districts by very large margins.

Overall story: Sen. Clinton fails to have a knock out win and does not have a much needed fundraising windfall like she had after Pennsylvania. Media begins asking strategists how far in debt she can go before getting out.

Sen. Obama's camp spins to make media believe he won both contests since "delegates are what matter at the convention" and the super's continue to announce their support for him. He reaps huge fundraising numbers because of the saavy play and uses the total to further argue he "has what it takes to win in November".

Posted by: Region Rat in DC | May 6, 2008 9:20 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
HRC 53, Obama 47

North Carolina:
Obama 55, HRC 45

Posted by: Kellyg2 | May 6, 2008 9:19 AM | Report abuse

IN

55% Obama
45% Hillary

NC
55% Hillary
45% Obama


Hillary makes back room deal to be senate Majority Leader. Reid retires and continues book tour.

Posted by: Patrick NYC | May 6, 2008 9:15 AM | Report abuse

NC:

BO - 56
HRC - 45

IN:

BO - 48
HRC - 52

bonus: 100 Supers pledge for Obama on Weds.

Posted by: Rockville Liberal | May 6, 2008 9:10 AM | Report abuse

NC
Obama: 54
Clinton: 46

Indiana
Obama: 45
Clinton: 55

Nothing changes neither Hillary or Obama is able to throw a knockout blow & the game of attrition continues. We are back to square 1!

Posted by: Ram | May 6, 2008 9:09 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton - 53.2
Obama - 46.8

North CarolinaL

Obama - 53.7
Clinton - 46.3

Super delegates have seen enough.

Posted by: kb | May 6, 2008 9:08 AM | Report abuse

Indiana

Clinton - 54.5%
Obama - 45.5%

North Carolina

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 46%
Gravel - 1%
No preference - 2%

Clinton battles Obama to a tie in NW IN. She immediately offers free lumps of coal to West Virginia voters and Obama says that it is too unsound environmentally.

Posted by: Blue Stater in a Red State | May 6, 2008 9:06 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:
Clinton 55
Obama 45

North Carolina:
Obama 54
Clinton 46

The story: Obama continues to reject "dream ticket".

Posted by: alyssa | May 6, 2008 9:06 AM | Report abuse

INDIANA

OBAMA 50.2
CLINTON 49.8

NC

OBAMA 57.5
CLINTON 42.5

Clinton calls Indiana a "moral victory," but the supers start lining up for Obama Wednesday morning and she's out by Friday at the latest.

Posted by: jac3 | May 6, 2008 9:02 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina: Obama 56, Clinton 44
Indiana: Obama 50, Clinton 50 (Narrow Clinton win)

Clinton soldiers on despite nearly double losses. However, the drip-drip-drip of superdelegates to Obama will allow him to claim victory before the June 3 last contests.

Posted by: chrisc | May 6, 2008 9:01 AM | Report abuse

Why no shout out for Obama winning in Guam?

Posted by: chadibuins | May 6, 2008 9:00 AM | Report abuse

IN:
Clinton- 56
Obama- 44

NC:
Cliton- 50
Obama- 49

Story: Obama continues to become non-viable candidate

Posted by: Seed of Change | May 6, 2008 9:00 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 57% Clinton 43%

IN: Clinton 52% Obama 48%

Clinton's unfavorables are up as is her momentum and support among blue collar democrats. Obama cuts into her demographic slightly.

May 31st and Supers become NEXT "Most Important Showdown" of the election.

Posted by: chadibuins | May 6, 2008 8:59 AM | Report abuse

NC: Obama 54.5, Clinton 45.5 (spread 9)
IN: Obama 46.5, Clinton 53.5 (spread 7)

Wednesday's Story: Obama nets +3 delegates; Another split decision leaves all eyes on Superdelegates.

Thursday's Story: 15 Supers declare for Obama, 3 for Clinton

Posted by: egc52556 | May 6, 2008 8:54 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 53
Obama 47

North Carolina
Obama 56
Clinton 44

Storyline: Hillary plods on despite a widening delegate gap, Don Quixote analogies beginning to emerge. Superdelegates still on the fence receive another prod from Dean.

Posted by: jallenba | May 6, 2008 8:52 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina
Obama 55.02
Clinton 44.98
Headline: Obama Shoots to Win.

Indiana
Clinton 55.02
Obama 44.98
Headline: Hoosiers Heart Hillary

jtn960
Louisville, Kentucky

PS: As I drove to work down Main Street this morning in downtown Louisville, Hillary supporters were greeting the Hoosiers working in Louisville who daily cross the Clark Memorial Bridge from Clarksville and Jeffersonville. They are working the parking garages in downtown Louisville when they see an Indiana license plate. It is pretty aggressive - something I've never seen before.

Posted by: jtn960 | May 6, 2008 8:49 AM | Report abuse

IN:
HRC 54.6
BHO 45.2

NC:
BHO 53.5
HRC 46.1

Coalition's hold on both sides. HRC argues that Obama called IN a 'tiebreaker.' Obama camp argues it changes nothing.
Stalemate continues and all eyes turn to May 31 meeting of DNC Rules and Bylaws committee.

Posted by: Zach | May 6, 2008 8:46 AM | Report abuse

N.C.
Obama 55
Clinton 45

I.N.
Obama 51
Clinton 49

Obama closes the deal.

Posted by: aaronankers | May 6, 2008 8:40 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina: Obama 58, Clinton 42

Indiana: Clinton 55, Obama 45

Clinton uses Indiana results to push on; the math shows otherwise.

Posted by: JDugas | May 6, 2008 8:37 AM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 48
Clinton 40
Edwards 2

IN

Clinton 49
Obama 48

Storyline: Clinton stays in, looking for wins in KY and WV, McCain laughs so hard his pointy cheek falls off and impales a squirrel. PETA rebukes McCain by airing ads containing naked famous people making out with squirrels.

Posted by: TMo | May 6, 2008 8:37 AM | Report abuse

Indiana
Clinton 53.5
Obama 46.5

North Carolina
Obama 57
Clinton 43

Clinton claims major victory in tiebreaker state, but most analysts see the writing on the wall, and Wednesday morning more Supers begin to move toward Obama.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | May 6, 2008 8:35 AM | Report abuse

Indiana:

Clinton 53
Obama 47

North Carolina:

Obama 54
Clinton 46

Clinton team spins it as a win

Posted by: Sam | May 6, 2008 8:34 AM | Report abuse

IN

Clinton 53
Obama 47

NC

Clinton 43
Obama 57

Women and the elderly make HRC in IN, African Americans balance the night out for Obama in NC. Obama nets more delegates tonight.

Posted by: stevefogleman | May 6, 2008 8:28 AM | Report abuse

NoCarolina

Obama: 56
HRC: 44

Indiana

HRC: 51
Obama: 49

Storyline: The HRC team spins the media into a case of vertigo, the supers are not impressed and start ending the race. The whole thing is reminiscent of the "bring out your dead" scene in holy grail, HRC says she's "not quite dead yet" and "is feeling better" supers hit her with a block of wood.

Posted by: arlee1 | May 6, 2008 8:27 AM | Report abuse

IN

CLINTON 54
OBAMA 46

NC

CLINTON 45
OBAMA 55

The NC spread will actually be 9.3 per cent and the roles will be reveresed from PA. The Obama maniacs will round to 10. The Hillraisers will claim that it was a single digit loss for the candidate.

And the beat goes on...

Posted by: The Pittsburgh Kid | May 6, 2008 8:24 AM | Report abuse

N.C. Obama 55.3
Clinton 44.7

Ind. Obama 50.9
Clinton 49.1

On to Kentucky!
Age and Trechery

Posted by: Russell H. Walker Sr. | May 6, 2008 8:22 AM | Report abuse

NC:

Obama 54
Clinton 46

IN:

Clinton 56
Obama 44

Storyline:

MSNBC says it's a good day for Obama. Everyone else says it's a good day for Clinton.

Posted by: Petey | May 6, 2008 8:19 AM | Report abuse

NC

Obama 54
HRC 46

IN

Obama 48
HRC 52

Clinton campaign unsure of what's next.

Posted by: Ben | May 6, 2008 8:11 AM | Report abuse

North Carolina: Obama 58% Clinton 42%

Indiana: Obama 50.05% Clinton 49.95%

Obama asks, what else do I have to do? I won. Clinton will claim she is still in, but in a few days she succumbs to the inevitable and bows out, (though using what accent she will use is still up in the air) she calls for unity in the Party and demands a primetime speaking berth at the convention.

Posted by: SoonerThought | May 6, 2008 8:11 AM | Report abuse

NC
BHO 55
HRC 45

IN
HRC 54
BHO 46

The heroine of Tuszla survives.

Posted by: MarkInAustin | May 6, 2008 8:06 AM | Report abuse

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