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Primary Predictions Redux: Mont., S.D., P.R.

It's t-shirt time!

In the runup to the final three primaries of the Democratic race -- Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota -- we asked Fixistas to predict the result of the races and the next day's story line for a chance to win an official Fix t-shirt!

Let's backtrack to Puerto Rico's primary on June 1. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) emerged with 68 percent of the vote, to Barack Obama's (D-Ill.) 32 percent. One Fixista, Emily, accurately nailed the finish.

Two days later Obama won Montana, besting Clinton 56 percent to 41 percent. Many people accurately predicted Obama's percentage, but no one predicted Clinton's. In order to keep the t-shirts as hot as they currently are (read: sizzling), we can't just give them out willy nilly, so no winner out of Montana.

Clinton earned a split on the final primary day in South Dakota where she took 55 percent to Obama's 45 percent. We had two winners who nailed the finish in South Dakota: AsperGirl and MarkinAustin.

Beyond guessing percentage points awarded to each candidate, we asked the community to predict the story line that would dominate coming out of each vote.

Of course, this is an inherently subjective process. But, we did it anyway.

For Puerto Rico's primary, we picked sfcpoll's storyline: "Clinton gets landslide victory in territory -- still not enough to close delegate gap," he/she said.

Scrappy in MA is our winner for accurately predicting the headline following Montana and South Dakota results. He/she predicted: "An historic moment, as Obama becomes the first black nominee for president of the US. Clinton suspends campaign, but does not yet concede. New split among Dems -- should Hillary be offered the VP?"

Winners: Claim your Fix t-shirts! Send your preferred t-shirt size and mailing address to chris DOT cillizza AT washingtonpost DOT com. Losers: Well, there's not much to say.

While last Tuesday marked the end of our primary predictions contest, never fear. We are currently scheming up ways to keep the t-shirt giveaways going.

By Washington Post editors  |  June 9, 2008; 5:00 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Wag the Blog: A Second 'Race' Speech for Obama?
Next: How Many House Seats Will Be in Play This Fall?

Comments

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Posted by: Nancy Barness | June 24, 2008 4:10 AM | Report abuse

The blatant prejudice of the DNC rules on May 31st demonstrated the hatred for the most effective President in recent years..Bill Clinton...and the May 31st TV show demonstrated..Blacks (almost half were Black) wanted Obama..understood, No Mexican..Latinos seemed present..and the whites were split 75/25..so Obama got it all..BUT unfortunately Democrats will not win the White House...Demoncrats are not integrated...as seen on that hearing..giving Obama Florida and Michigan disproportionately..

Posted by: Donald McLeaish | June 12, 2008 11:51 AM | Report abuse

"the obama people"? that's the same as saying "you people" which is RACIST you filthy racist pigs when Obama is President his hand will come down from the heavens and smite you all

Posted by: Anonymous | June 10, 2008 9:59 PM | Report abuse

Mark in Austin,

CONGRATULATIONS!!! That is awesome! Enjoy the T-shirt!

Posted by: theseventen | June 10, 2008 11:34 AM | Report abuse

Congrats Markinaustin & aspergirl. Good job for both of you.

Posted by: reason | June 10, 2008 11:18 AM | Report abuse

Arlington Voter asked me:

MiA -- Do "post" contributions effect his available RNC funding?

Posted by: Arlington Voter | June 9, 2008 2:20 PM
-----------------------------------
The RNC cannot give significant money to the McC Campaign in any event - $5k, I think, and zero if McC takes public financing for the GE.

But - I think it can spend an unlimited amount supporting his election!

Any election lawyers out there?

Posted by: MarkInAustin | June 9, 2008 11:37 PM | Report abuse

OBVIOUSLY


What do you think Chris??


Obama could start by apologizing to all white people for his campaign's actions in South Carolina - He should make a statement that FALSE CHARGES OF OFFENSIVE REMARKS set back race relations and should not be tolerated.


Obama should apologize to Gerry Ferraro and make clear that she said nothing wrong - and Obama should actually say that she was right all along. Obama should then apologize for attempting to convince Superdelegates to vote for him based on racial threasts of "riots in the streets."


The Obama should apologize for ATTEMPTING TO PREVENT THE REVOTE in Michigan and Florida. Obama should apologize to white voters in those states and state clearly that his campaign's motivations were to deny the white voters in Michigan and Florida all the delegates at the Convention so he could win with only 48 states.


hhhmmmmmm.


The Obama should apologize to all Italian Americans for the Rev. Wright's remarks and for all the other stuff Rev. Wright ever said.


That would be a good speech on race by Obama.


Finally Obama should apologize for his books, which made way too much of a big deal about perceptions of slights by white people while he was growing up.


Obama should apologize to the people who did not attend his college and law school because of affirmative action programs - and Obama should say he was sorry that they were denied admissions based on the color of their skin even though based on merit they deserved admissions.


That would make a good speech on race by Obama.

.

Posted by: 37th&OStreet | June 9, 2008 7:53 PM | Report abuse

OBVIOUSLY


What do you think Chris??


Obama could start by apologizing to all white people for his campaign's actions in South Carolina - He should make a statement that FALSE CHARGES OF OFFENSIVE REMARKS set back race relations and should not be tolerated.


Obama should apologize to Gerry Ferraro and make clear that she said nothing wrong - and Obama should actually say that she was right all along. Obama should then apologize for attempting to convince Superdelegates to vote for him based on racial threasts of "riots in the streets."


The Obama should apologize for ATTEMPTING TO PREVENT THE REVOTE in Michigan and Florida. Obama should apologize to white voters in those states and state clearly that his campaign's motivations were to deny the white voters in Michigan and Florida all the delegates at the Convention so he could win with only 48 states.


hhhmmmmmm.


The Obama should apologize to all Italian Americans for the Rev. Wright's remarks and for all the other stuff Rev. Wright ever said.


That would be a good speech on race by Obama.


Finally Obama should apologize for his books, which made way too much of a big deal about perceptions of slights by white people while he was growing up.


Obama should apologize to the people who did not attend his college and law school because of affirmative action programs - and Obama should say he was sorry that they were denied admissions based on the color of their skin even though based on merit they deserved admissions.


That would make a good speech on race by Obama.

.

Posted by: 37th&OStreet | June 9, 2008 7:53 PM | Report abuse

Well Aspergirl deserves one for all the stuff she has been putting up with from the Obama people


Posted by: Words of Wisdom | June 9, 2008 7:52 PM | Report abuse

Well Aspergirl deserves one for all the stuff she has been putting up with from the Obama people


Posted by: Words of Wisdom | June 9, 2008 7:52 PM | Report abuse

No need to overthink t-shirt giveaways. Just give me one.

See? Done. Easy.

Posted by: FlownOver | June 9, 2008 7:04 PM | Report abuse

Proud, Maybe we can convince CC to honor other contests, of our own invention and submission.

Posted by: MarkInAustin | June 9, 2008 6:47 PM | Report abuse

Us losers would like to buy the darn thing!

Posted by: ambolt | June 9, 2008 6:10 PM | Report abuse

Mark_in_Austin, Congrats on the shirt! Well done. All the rest of us "Losers" are jealous. :)

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | June 9, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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