THE FRIDAY LINES
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Delaware Democrat Up
2 Connecticut Democrat None
3 Nevada Democrat Up
4 Ohio Republican None
5 Missouri Republican Down
6 Colorado Democrat None
7 New Hampshire Republican Down
8 Kentucky Republican Down
9 Illinois Democrat Up
10 (tie) Pennsylvania Democrat Up
10 (tie) Louisiana Republican Down
Republican Recruiting and the National Environment (Oct. 9, 2009) Getting Mike Castle is the latest in a series of recruitment successes for Senate Republicans.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 LA-02 Republican None
2 LA-03 Democrat Up
3 NY-23 Republican Up
4 NM-02 Democrat Up
5 IL-10 Republican Down
6 AL-02 Democrat Up
7 MD-01 Democrat Down
8 PA-06 Republican Down
9 CO-04 Democrat Up
10 PA-07 Democrat Up
A GOP-Friendly Environment (Sept. 25, 2009) The signs of an environmental change are everywhere.
Rank Race Current Party Change
1 Kansas Democrat None
2 Tennessee Democrat Up
3 Oklahoma Democrat Up
4 Vermont Republican Up
5 Hawaii Republican Down
6 R.I. Republican Down
7 Michigan Democrat Down
8 N.J. Democrat Up
9 Nevada Republican Down
10 Virginia Democrat Down
The First 15! (Sept.11, 2009) With 39 governors races between now and Nov. 2010, the top ten races just wasn't enough.
Rank Race Primary Change
1 Texas Gov. Republican None
2 Pa. Senate Democrat None
3 Calif. Gov. Republican Up
4 Connecticut Sen. Republican Up
5 Ky. Senate Democrat None
6 Illinois Gov. Democrat Up
7 California Gov. Democrat Down
8 Kansas Senate Republican Up
9 Colo. Senate Republican Up
10 Michigan Gov. Republican Down
The Four Elements of Great Primaries (Oct. 2, 2009) The Fix's top 10 list of best intraparty battles.
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South Dakota, Montana Primary Predictions

All good things must come to an end.

Today's primaries in South Dakota and Montana mark the official end of voting in the Democratic nomination fight and, as importantly, the last chance for Fixistas to win official Fix t-shirts in our primary prediction contest.

Unlike states earlier in the process where scads of polling made it easier to know what to expect, there is very little data to go on when it comes to these final two states.

American Research Group released surveys yesterday in both states. In South Dakota, ARG had Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) ahead 60 percent to 34 percent over Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.); in Montana, the ARG poll put Obama ahead 48 percent to 44 percent.

Strategists for both candidates don't buy those numbers, however, believing that Obama is comfortably ahead in Montana and more narrowly in the lead in South Dakota.

It's up to you to figure out who's right. As always, we want the correct order of finish (with percentages) in each state. Closest to the pin in each wins an official Fix t-shirt. Another t-shirt is up for grabs for the person who most accurately predicts the dominant story line coming out of tonight's voting.

All predictions must be made in the comments section below. Any predictions emailed to the Fix will not be counted. Polls close in South Dakota at 9 p.m. eastern time so any predictions posted after that will be ruled ineligible.

Winners will be announced later this week. (Looking for the winners from the Puerto Rico primary on Sunday? It's been a little busy here over the last 48 hours, but we will have the results later in the week as well.)

Go to it!

By Chris Cillizza  |  June 3, 2008; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008 Share This:  E-Mail | Technorati | Del.icio.us | Digg | Stumble Previous: Montana Governor, Senators Set To Jump Off Fence
Next: Clinton To Acknowledge 'Where We Are' Tonight

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