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Wisconsin Primary Prediction Time

Another day, another chance to win an official Fix t-shirt. (For a sneak peak at the design, click here.)

The highlight of today's action is in Wisconsin where Sens. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) are facing off in what looks to be one of the closer contests since Feb. 5. Wisconsin for the Republicans should be an easy win for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) although former governor Mike Huckabee has campaigned in the state and seems committed to remaining in the nomination race through March 4.

So, for today's prediction contest we want the correct order of finish (with percentages) for the two Wisconsin races as well as the storyline that emerges from today's voting. Polls close in Wisconsin at 9 p.m. ET so any predictions made after that will not be accepted. Register your prediction in the comments section below; any e-mailed entries will further jam the Fix inbox and not be counted as official entries.

The winners will have the opportunity of a lifetime -- to proudly wear an official Fix t-shirt. Prepare to awe your friends and vanquish your enemies.

Need guidance? Check out pollster.com's survey of the latest data for the Democratic and Republican races.

And, in early returns, there appears to be a clear frontrunner in our "Name March 4" contest. With nearly 850 votes cast, "Ohio-Texas Two-Step" is lapping the field with 54 percent in a four way primary. There's still time to vote.

By Chris Cillizza  |  February 19, 2008; 5:00 PM ET
Categories:  Eye on 2008  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Obama Camp: Clinton Tactics 'Damaging to the Party'
Next: One Hour Left!

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Posted by: akrhd ixbdckm | April 16, 2008 11:29 AM | Report abuse

Obama 58%
Hillary 41%

McCain 55%
Huckabee 37%

Headline: In desperate attempt to win Fix t-shirt, Nevada entrant past posts the race.

Posted by: abramfran | February 20, 2008 2:16 AM | Report abuse

Dems: Obama by at least 8 points, Hillary loses bigtime -- again.

Storyline: Wisconsin voters reject Clinton's same old, same old negative attacks.

Oops! Guess I'm too late. That's not a prediction, Chris. Now that the votes are being counted, it's fact. (Just thought I'd rub it in a little. Hope Howard Wolfson's reading this.)

Posted by: rippermccord | February 19, 2008 9:39 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 44%


McCain 65%
Huckabee 25%
Paul 8%

Posted by: lucyisadog2000 | February 19, 2008 9:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama 59.3
Clinton 40
Other .7

Voters reject negative Clinton tactics; Obama prepared to torch Clinton firewall in Texas

McCain 59
Huckabee 35
Paul 6

Big Mac can't shake the Huck

Posted by: wfunderburk | February 19, 2008 9:16 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin
Obama 58%
Clinton 35%
Hawaii
Obama 78%
Clinton 19%

Headline: Clinton Attacks Don't Work!

Reps: McCain 55%
Huckabe 35%
Paul 5%
Washington
McCain 51%
Huckabe 37%
Paul 7
McCain Tops 50%; End of Huckabee?

Posted by: weiant | February 19, 2008 9:12 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 46

McCain 63
Huckabee 35
Paul 2

Storyline: Clinton & Huckabee fail to stop momentum.

Posted by: johnmccormack1 | February 19, 2008 9:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama 53
Clinton 45

McCain 53
Huckabee 36
Paul 11
Front-runners eke out wins.

Posted by: quipson | February 19, 2008 9:05 PM | Report abuse

Obama 53
Clinton 45

McCain 53
Huckabee 41

Front-runners eke out wins.

Posted by: quipson | February 19, 2008 9:01 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 51
Obama: 49
What do you know? Going negative works for Hillary.

McCain: 59
Huckabee: 38
Huckabee soldiers on. It's not like there's anything for him to go home to.

Posted by: am9489 | February 19, 2008 9:00 PM | Report abuse

McCain 65
Huckabee 31

Obama 54
Clinton 44

"Huckabee's days appear numbered, Obama picks up another victory in a key swing state"

Posted by: clarktaylor9 | February 19, 2008 9:00 PM | Report abuse

clinton: 51% obama:48%

mccain: 68% huckabee: 30%


Posted by: klheard | February 19, 2008 8:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51%
Clinton 47%

Storyline: Obama claims steamroller momentum; Clinton "happy with result." Media sides with Obama! (And all eyes turn to Texas...)

McCain 59%
Huckabee 32%
Storyline: Huck suffers from establishment backlash but is determined to make himself a historical footnote.

Posted by: larry.handerhan | February 19, 2008 8:59 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

Storyline: Big Mo Reverses Field

Huckabee 29
McCain 71

Storyline: It's Over

Posted by: richard.nagel | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM | Report abuse

Smack Down to the Negative Clintons
Obama 56
Clinton 42
Other 2

McPain 56
Huck 39
Paul 5

Posted by: IwillkickyourrightwingA | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 50
Clinton - 49

Obama wins a close one and then attacks Clinton in his victory speech for her allegations of that he plagiarized in recent speeches.

Posted by: 06csg | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM | Report abuse

Obama 46
Clinton 43

McCain 51
Huckabee 42

Obama maintains streak with narrow win in WI; Clinton faces her Alamo on March 4.

McCain wins big in WI and WA; Huckabee manages to declare victory anyway.

Posted by: ramifakhouri | February 19, 2008 8:52 PM | Report abuse

Dems:
Obama 58
Clinton 42

Obama trounces Clinton in WI, continues to build momentum. Pollsters miss the mark again. This is getting redundant.

GOP
McCain 51
Huckabee 43
Paul 6

McCain still on track to take the GOP nomination, voters cite electablility as key quality.

Posted by: jgep | February 19, 2008 8:51 PM | Report abuse

Obama 59
Clinton 40

Storyline: People hate me, they really, really hate me.

Posted by: liberalboxxi | February 19, 2008 8:49 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 45

Headline: Obama 10-0; Clinton campaign faces final chance

McCain 57
Huckabee 36
Paul 5

GOP to Huckabee: Get a Life!

Headline:

Posted by: rohnjay | February 19, 2008 8:49 PM | Report abuse

whoops, forgot the GOP Headline

Obama - 55
Clinton - 45

Wisconsin voters can smell bad cheese a mile away. Clinton's divisive attacks on Obama cause voters to send her Packing.

McCain - 60
Huck - 40

Nobody cares.

Posted by: kberg02 | February 19, 2008 8:47 PM | Report abuse

D's
WI:
Obama 62%
Clinton 35%

HI: (gotta represent the home turf)
Obama 70%
Clinton 28%

Storyline: Obama expands base of support, runs streak to 10 in a row. The Battle of Little Bighorn or the Ides of March, Custer, Caesar, or Clinton, it's her last stand. If the Lone Star State is even close, she's done.

R's
WI:
McCain 58%
Huckabee 36%
Paul 5%

Warm up the squirrel fryer and stick a fork in Huckabee, he's done. McCain becomes the unwilling standard bearer of the right.

Posted by: trmasonic | February 19, 2008 8:47 PM | Report abuse

Obama 60%
Clinton 37%

Storyline: wisconsin finds sleazy attack ads sooo 1990!

McCain 65%
Huckabee 28%
Paul 6%
Storyline: all good republicans do as they are told, sooner or later.

Posted by: jmackesey | February 19, 2008 8:46 PM | Report abuse

PREDICTIONS!

Obama 56%
Clinton 43%

McCain 52%
Huckabee 39%

I probably gave myself bad luck by picking two 13-point margins. Oh well, it's just a t-shirt right? :-)

HEADLINES!

(D) Ohio & Texas will be Hillary's "Battle of the Little Bighorn"

(R) Chuck Norris knocks some sense into Huckabee with a round-house kick to the face, and Huckabee finally drops out of the race.

Posted by: braveheartdc | February 19, 2008 8:46 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56
Clinton 41
Obama's continued wins means the race doesn't change much, can Clinton keep taking hits like this and keep her numbers high enough in OH and TX.

McCain will be 63
Huckabee will be 38

McCain can't lose the nomination, which leaves us with really only one question, What the huck is Mike up to?

THE REAL STORY LINE
Everyone wants to know if The Fix shaving his primary beard is changing the votes on the ground.

Posted by: thescuspeaks | February 19, 2008 8:44 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55%
Clinton 40%
Other 5%

Headline: Hillary Clinton gets run over by a train (I mean a real train, and not the Obama express), making Barack Obama the democratic nominee

Posted by: vmunikoti | February 19, 2008 8:43 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55%
Clinton 40%
Other 5%

Headline: 'bama express runs over Hillary

Posted by: vmunikoti | February 19, 2008 8:42 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 52%
Clinton: 48%

McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 5%


Posted by: edison | February 19, 2008 8:38 PM | Report abuse

here we go with the predictions!

Dems/wisconsin
Obama-56%
Hillary-40%
Gravel(good lord he's still in this?)4%
plagarism charge backfires as hillary moves campagin headquarters to the alamo.Obamania runs wild, edwards endorses thursday and the superdelegates begins to close ranks around obama.

Dems/hawaii
Obama-80%
Hillary-20%
headline:local boy obama does good. chelsea clinton works on tan, not moms election.

GOP/Wisconsin
McCain-60%
Huckabust-35%
Paul-5%
McCain to Huckabust-Get the out! rank and file conservatives still wary of McCain being a closet dem.

Posted by: jaymills1124 | February 19, 2008 8:36 PM | Report abuse

All of these asinine wild guesses based on people's individual emotions are . . . boring.

You people are idiots.

Posted by: Seth27 | February 19, 2008 8:34 PM | Report abuse

Revised line of the day - Hillary jettisons key staffers midflight in an effort to get now-lighter plane to Texas/Ohio (and away from Wi and Hi) even faster.

Posted by: fourhourelection | February 19, 2008 8:33 PM | Report abuse

Additional storyline: Hillary expands her domination of the crucial 60 plus demo. Grannies in their strollers, chant "double-A-R-P, yeah, you know me!", while McCain runs scared. HRC memo is released that shows the campaign's secret Texas strategy: encourage the old folks homes to serve meatloaf on election day in the shape of HRC's face.

Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 65
Clinton - 34

The O-Train keeps on rolling, and Clinton's team cites Obama kindergarten essay as an example of plagiarism.

McCain 58
Huck - 36

Posted by: benjamingeballe | February 19, 2008 8:28 PM | Report abuse

WISCONSIN:

DEMS: CLINTON 51%
OBAMA 47%

REP: McCAIN 64%
HUCKABEE 31%


CLINTON WINS WITH LATE SURGE IN POLLS FROM WORKING WOMEN....O-MENTUM BECOMES NO-MENTUM!

CALLS INCREASE FROM REPUBLICAN ESTABLISHMENT FOR HUCKABEE TO STAND ASIDE AFTER ANOTHER MCCAIN ROUT.

Posted by: yank1082 | February 19, 2008 8:24 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 57
Clinton (44): 42

Storyline: "Do anything, say anything" is a failed comeback strategy.

McCain: 53
Huckster: 42
Paulie: 5

Storyline: McCain seals the deal. Huckster only wishes he was the one on third base.

Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:20 PM | Report abuse

Wisconson
Obama 70
Clinton 28

story... Hillary is the titanic folks!

Posted by: pvogel88 | February 19, 2008 8:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama:
Clinton (44):

storyline: "do anything, say anything" is a failed comeback strategy.

McCain: 53
Huckster: 42
Paulie: 5

Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:17 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49
Obama 48.5

McCain 57
Huckabee 40

Headlines: Hillary In It To Win It; Obama insists rules must be applied to Florida/Michigan delegates, but not to super-delegates. They must vote proportionally for him.

Anonymous Insider Reports Huckabee Off McCain VP Short List

Posted by: Mudrock63 | February 19, 2008 8:16 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:
Obama: 63%
Clinton: 37%

Republicans:
McCain: 73%
Huckabee: 24%%
Paul: 3%

Clinton and Huckabee both need a miracle March 4th

Posted by: chris.downes | February 19, 2008 8:13 PM | Report abuse

Mules:

Obama - 49.8%
Clinton - 48.6%

Storyline: last minute endorsement by Free Hot Lunch keeps Obama under 50%. [Oh come on! You haven't heard of them. Help me out Cap City!]

Heffalumps:

McCain - 55%
Huckabee - 39%
Paul - 6%

Story line: Vacationing in the Cayman Islands doesn't set well in Lambeau field.

BB

[Don't know what hurts worse. The hideous prediction for the Potomac primary or the 2 1/2 hour commute I had to endure.]

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | February 19, 2008 8:09 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

McCain 59%
Huckabee 44%
Paul 4%

Obama wins war of "word" ten losses in a row no matter what the contest ain't goood.

McCain steam rolls Gomer Pyle and the Keebler Elf Steals some cookies from both.

Posted by: t_heaberlin | February 19, 2008 8:08 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:
Clinton- 52%
Obama- 48%

Republicans:
McCain: 60%
Huckabee 38%

Clinton on the comeback trail, McCain's march to the nomination remains on track

Posted by: kmis139t | February 19, 2008 8:07 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45:
Other: 2%

Hawaii: Obama: 72%
Clinton: 25%
Other: 3%

Storyline: Obama hurt by missteps; Clinton close enough to be in the race. On to Texas!

Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:06 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 45

The media led us astray once again.

McCain 56
Huckabee 38
Ron Paul 5

Huckabee in tow for another couple of weeks.

Posted by: shannons1 | February 19, 2008 8:04 PM | Report abuse


Clinton 52.5%
Obama 47%

No Mo Moo

McCain- 53%
The Huckabee 44%
Ron Paul 3%
Headline:White guy wins

Posted by: mul | February 19, 2008 8:03 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin Primary Forecast:

Democrats:

Obama 55
Clinton 42
Other 3

Republicans:

McCain 53
Huckabee 38
Other 9

Storyline: Going negative doesn't help Clinton; McCain continues to roll.

Posted by: hackett | February 19, 2008 8:02 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin primary prediction:

Obama: 59 %
Clinton: 41 %

McCain: 58%
Huckabee: 37%
Paul: 5%

Posted by: pooler | February 19, 2008 8:01 PM | Report abuse

Wiconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45%

Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:00 PM | Report abuse

Wiconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45%

Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:00 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50.5%
Clinton 49.5%
Headline-still a dog fight..

McCain- 51%
The Huckabee 44%
Ron Paul 5%
Headline:It's almost over

Posted by: neale0407 | February 19, 2008 7:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 48%
Obama 46%

McCain 63%
Huckabee 33%

Posted by: krnewman | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

Storyline: Cheesed-off HRC begs Carville to join campaign. He declines on grounds he will not participate in negative campaign vs. Obama.

McCain 58%
Huckabee 42%

Storyline: Cindy McCain questions Huckabee's patriotism for visiting the Cayman Islands during WI primary.

Size small please, and long-sleeved if possible.

Posted by: jbutterfield1 | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55%
Clinton 44%

Obama continues to build momentum as the campaign heads to Texas and Ohio.

McCain 52%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 5%

McCain closes in on the nomination--starting to win conservatives.

Posted by: PastorGene | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 60%
clinton 39%

McCain: 56%
Huckabee 40%

Posted by: leftofcenter | February 19, 2008 7:54 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin-Dem.
Obama 56%
Clinton 42%

Wisconsin-Rep.
McCain 64%
Huckabee 30%
Paul 6%

Hawaii
Obama 72%
Clinton 27%

Headline: "Clinton Claims Victory, Everyone Else Claims She's Getting Desperate"
Weekly Headline: "Edwards Endorses Obama!"

Posted by: murawski | February 19, 2008 7:52 PM | Report abuse

Obama 59
HRC 40

McCain 46
Huck 45
Paul 8

Dem Headline - "K.O.-Bama! Clinton Campaign on Life Support After Dairyland Drubbing, Donors and Supporters Ready to Pull the Plug"

GOP Headline - "Huckabee is History: McCain Puts Field Away and Readies for November Date with Destiny"

Posted by: bondjedi | February 19, 2008 7:51 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54.5
Clinton 43.8

McCain 55.1
40.3

Republican turnout low

Percent of Wisconsin Voters wishing for an early Spring 97%. Percent of Wisconsin voters who state that they hope to be wintering in Florida during the 2012 Presiderntal Primary 79%

Posted by: dennis20d | February 19, 2008 7:49 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53
Obama 47

"Clinton Negative Ads Propel Her to Upset in Wisconsin"

McCain 60
Huckabee 34
Paul 6

"McCain Moves Closer to Nomination; Huckabee Losing Relevance"

Posted by: justmanj | February 19, 2008 7:49 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 54%
Obama 45%

McCain 55%
Huckabee 43%
Paul 2%

Storyline: Clintons Scores Upset In State She Was Bound To Win

"Clinton won a state everyone knew she would, given all known information on how Democrats have voted in the primaries. Obama's winning 8 states in a row rose expectations improbably high, allowing the media to project a state he never would won in the first place.

"The high turnout of women, working-class voters and older voters made Wisconsin a virtual shoe-in for Clinton, but she managed to lower expectations by seeming to write off the state, campaigning in Texas for most of the week."

Posted by: atomculture | February 19, 2008 7:47 PM | Report abuse

The Disreputable REPS:
Huckabee - 51
McCain - 48

HEADLINE:
Midwest Hails Southern Charm,
(offers Mike support... and money for new teeth)


The young and the "rested" DEMS:
Obama - 58
Clinton - 41

HEADLINE:
Words take flight, Independents catch a ride
(leaving JMac in the dust to chuckle with old Bushes "honoring" "conservative" "patriotic" fear-mongering)

Posted by: surenza | February 19, 2008 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55
Clinton 44

storyline: after another defeat the gloves are off, clinton conceding nothing goes after obama in speech

Posted by: smmalonso | February 19, 2008 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Storyline Republicans-
McCain wins. Wow.

Democrats-
Obama wins tenth in a row, but Clinton keeps it close enough to stay viable.

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 7:43 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:

Obama 54%
Clinton 45%

Republicans:

McCain 53%
Huckabee 41%

Storylines: McCain nabs Wisconsin win, but Huckabee hangs on, denying McCain full bragging rights. Obama surges in Wisconsin. Combined with his Hawaii victory, Obama makes TX and OH must wins for Clinton.

Posted by: sofiamj | February 19, 2008 7:41 PM | Report abuse

Obama 48
Clinton 43

The future of the party depends on a clear winner in Texas, Ohio

McCain 57
Huckabee 35
Ron Paul 5

Will Huckabee finally quit?

Posted by: Xerxes501 | February 19, 2008 7:40 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:

50% Obama
49% Clinton
1% Other

Republicans:

52% McCain
42% Huckabee
6% Paul

Storyline:

"Clinton is the Comeback Kid again! Facing elimination, she's back to challenge Obama in Texas and Ohio. With Obama's star fading a little after "borrowing" lines from Deval's speech, can he hang on?"

Posted by: mustafa.hirji | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 44
Edwards 1.5

HILLARY GIVES IT UP AND ENDORSES OBAMA


;)

Posted by: SMARTINSEN | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58
Clinton 40

McCain 72
Huckabee 25

Storyline: Big win for Obama; is it over for Hillary?

Posted by: novamatt | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55%
Clinton 42%
Headline: Obama train rolls on

McCain 49%
Huckabee 42%
Headline: McCain Winning, Still Not Reaching Conservative Base

Posted by: jimmydur | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM | Report abuse

Deomcrats:

Obama - 50 %
Clinton - 47%

Republicans:

McCain - 58%
Huckabee - 37%

Posted by: whatthefruckisgoingon | February 19, 2008 7:36 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin:

Obama 54
Clinton 44
Others 2

HEADLINE: 10-0 FOR THE O, CLINTON SEES THE ALAMO!

Posted by: meldupree | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM | Report abuse

Wis.-D
Clinton: 49%
Obama: 48%
Others: 3%

Storyline: Clinton Slows Obama's Surge

Wis.-R
McCain: 60%
Huckabee: 38%
Others: 2%

Storyline: Huckabee Drops Out of Race

Wash.-R
McCain: 57%
Huckabee: 31%
Others: 11%

Hawaii.-D
Obama: 67%
Clinton: 32%
Others: 1%

Posted by: juliancasal | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM | Report abuse

Deomcrats:

Obama - 50 %
Clinton - 47%

Republicans:

McCain - 58%
Huckabee - 37%

Posted by: whatthefruckisgoingon | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 42

McCain 58
Huckabee 37

Is it over for Clinton and did the negative campaigning back fire?

Posted by: flwilliams87 | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM | Report abuse

Obama 66%
Clinton 33%

"Cheeseheads board the O-train. Next stop Texas and Ohio. ALL ABOARD!"

McCain 50%
Huckabee 49%

"McCain just scrapes by the hair of his chinny-chin chin."

Posted by: chopperoni | February 19, 2008 7:34 PM | Report abuse

Dang it, I meant to say 2012, not 2021 !!

Posted by: cferry3124 | February 19, 2008 7:34 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 59.5
Clinton - 39.5

Huckabee - 50
McCain - 49

McCain embarrased as Huckabee takes giant stride towards 2021 GOP Nomination

Obama's now 10 in-a-row but still playing whac-a-mole with Hillary.

Chris C wins 32nd annual T-shirt design contest

Posted by: cferry3124 | February 19, 2008 7:33 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 45%

Storyline: Obama Prevails! Is Texas Next?

McCain 58%
Huckabee 32%

Storyline: McCain One Step Closer

Posted by: bleon2000 | February 19, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49
Obama 49

Wisconsin freezes the race. Ohio the next big contest.

McCain 52
Huckabee 38
McCain storms through Wisconsin. Huckabee is left out in the cold.

Posted by: goldersgreen | February 19, 2008 7:31 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58
Clinton 42

Storyline: Edwards endorses Obama

McCain 51
Huckabee 45
Paul 4

Storyline: Limbaugh repents (maybe...not)

Posted by: blueinva | February 19, 2008 7:29 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56
Clinton 43

The double-guessing begins: should Hillary have run negative ads? Should she have competed in Wisconsin sooner? Is she losing her grip on her demographic bases?

McCain 50
Huckabee 46
Paul 4

Comparably high turnout among Huckabee supporters keeps this race tight; like Virginia, the race takes longer than expected to call.

Posted by: gezi | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46

Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"

McCain 51
Huckabee 44

Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is too cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a paying job after the primaries and lay claim to front-runner status next time."

Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama- 57
Clinton- 41

McCain- 52
Huckabee- 40

Obama has huge momentum boost with larger than expected victory. More stories about Clinton's demise and backlash from negative ads.

McCain wins again but still loses among very conservative voters. He still has a lot of reaching out to do as the presumptive nominee. Lots of questions heading into Texas.

Posted by: jthemann | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58
Clinton 42

McCain 57
Huckabee 38
Paul 5

It's now clear to Dem superdelegates that Obama is stronger than Clinton against Rep opponent. Likewise, it's clear to Republicans that McCain is strongest against Dem opponent. Barring any dramatic unexpected tragedy, the races are settled: it's Obama vs. McCain

Posted by: patrican | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46

Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"

McCain 51
Huckabee 44

Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is too cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a paying job after the primaries and lay claim to front-runner status next time."

Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:27 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49%
Clinton 50%

McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%

Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.

Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:27 PM | Report abuse

Obama 53
Clinton 46

McCain 58
Huckabee 41

Posted by: BENDIKC | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46

Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"

McCain 51
Huckabee 44

Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."

Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46

Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"

McCain 51
Huckabee 44

Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."

Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46

Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"

McCain 51
Huckabee 44

Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."

Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56%
Clinton 44%

McCain 62%
Huckabee 33%
Paul 5%
Twice as many people will vote democratic as republican

Posted by: jjjparks | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...

Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%

McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%

Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...

Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%

McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%

Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...

Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%

McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%

Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49%
Clinton 50%

McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%

Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.

Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49%
Clinton 50%

McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%

Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.

Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49%
Clinton 50%

McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%

Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.

Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama 66%
Clinton 33%

"Cheeseheads board the O-train. Next stop Texas and Ohio. ALL ABOARD!"

McCain 50%
Huckabee 49%

"McCain just scrapes by the hair of his chinny-chin chin."

Posted by: chopperoni | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Democrats
Obama 49%
Clinton 47%

GOP
McCain 59%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 4%

Means absolutly nothing for the upcoming ones :)

Posted by: rabja | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Wow - looks like Hillary is really going to be cream cheese in WI today - women are even breaking for Obama:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/02/19/exit_polls.html

Exit Polls
Fox News, CBS News and the Associated Press have released preliminary exit poll information from the Wisconsin Democratic primary.

Key highlights:

* Women: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
* Change vs. experience, 52% to 24%.
* Just 17% are first time voters
* Families with income under 50,000: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
* Independents: Obama 63%, Clinton 34%
* Seniors: Clinton 60%, Obama 39%
* Top quality - experience: Clinton 95%, Obama 5%
* Union households: Clinton 50%, Obama 49%

Update: Mike Allen has more: "Democratic officials with access to exit polls say Sen. Obama looks like he's headed for a huge win in today's Wisconsin primary. The polls could turn out to be off, as they have in the past. But the officials' revelation reflects the chatter in the campaigns in advance of the 9 p.m. Eastern poll closing... Obama encroached deeply into three of Clinton's core groups of voters -- women, those with no college degree and those with lower incomes -- while giving up none of his own."

Posted by: joemetro | February 19, 2008 7:19 PM | Report abuse

Obama 60%
Clinton 40%

Storyline- Texas and Ohio absolute must wins for the Clinton camp.

McCain 58%
Clinton 42%

Storyline- McCain virtually ensures the nomination, campaign turns toward the general.

Posted by: whitty | February 19, 2008 7:18 PM | Report abuse

Obama 57% , Clinton 42%
McCain 55% , Huckabee 44%

Storylines: Obama nets another solid win, McCain very close to magic number..

Posted by: aestern | February 19, 2008 7:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama 57
Clinton 43

McCain 52
Huckabee 43
Paul 5

Obama wins with women, McCain makes lousy victory speech

Posted by: dciandy | February 19, 2008 7:15 PM | Report abuse

obama 51.5%
Clinton 48%

McCain 58%
Huck 25%
Paul 17%

Posted by: spears404 | February 19, 2008 7:15 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin Predictions:
Obama 54
Clinton 46
Storyline: Obama Wins Wisconsin-Eyes Of Texas And America Turn To Texas And Ohio.

McCain: 58
Huckabee: 42
Storyline: In Wisconsin, Straight Talk Express Is Not Derailed.

Posted by: vicsilver | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM | Report abuse

DEM:
Wis:
Obama: 55.7%
Clinton: 43.4%
Edwards: 0.9%

Hawaii:
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 32%

Story: "Just Votes??"

GOP:
Wis:
McCain: 56%
Huckabee: 38%

Story: McCain Really Proud of Wisconsin, Cilizza Wondering Why Votes Don't Add to 100%

Posted by: regand | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM | Report abuse

Democrats
Obama 49%
Clinton 47%

GOP
McCain 59%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 4%

Means absolutly nothing for the upcoming ones :)

Posted by: rabja | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49
Obama 49
Other 2
Storyline: Clinton revives campaign with a razor thin victory winning a plurality in the cheese state.

McCain 56
Huckabee 42
McCain consolidates his base

Posted by: richardlab2 | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:
WI
Obama 54.7%
Clinton 45.3%

HI
Obama 71%
Clinton 29%

Obama continues to be buoyed by youth vote. Clinton unveils sharp new attacks against Obama.

Republicans:
WI
McCain 49.6%
Huckabee 42.2%
Paul 8.2%
McCain virtually inevitable despite reservations within party.

Posted by: sonjunk | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin Predictions

Obama 50
Clinton 48

Storyline: Clinton wins among Demos; independents give Obama the win

McCain 50
Huckabee 48

Storyline: Huckabee wins hearts with Green Bay Packer story

Posted by: jdana | February 19, 2008 7:07 PM | Report abuse

Dems: Obama Inevitable?
Obama 55
Clinton 45

Reps: God Continues To Ignore Huckabee's Prayers.
McCain 66.6
Huckabee: 29.3
Others: 4.1

Posted by: BrawleyHall | February 19, 2008 7:07 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 55
Clinton - 45

McCain - 60
Huck - 40

Wisconsin voters can smell bad cheese a mile away. Clinton's divisive attacks on Obama cause voters to send her Packing.

Posted by: BentKerg | February 19, 2008 7:04 PM | Report abuse

Dems:
Obama 55
Clinton 44


GOP:
McCain 64
Huckabee 31
Paul 5

Storylines:
Obama rides working class whites to victory, Clinton fears chances in Ohio

GOP nomination all but sealed up

Posted by: gabemeister | February 19, 2008 7:04 PM | Report abuse

****** PRIMARY PREDICTION: THE CLINTONS WILL HAVE LOAN THE CAMPAIGN $10 MILLION DOLLARS TO STAY LIVE OR ****** FOR TEXAS & OHIO

Posted by: FutureJumps | February 19, 2008 7:02 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin results:
Obama 54%
Clinton 43%

McCain 50%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 6%

Clinton Loses Again, Continues to Tout Victory Strategy

Posted by: jchaney | February 19, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 52
Obama 48

He ain't the bomb no more.

McCain 64
Huck 36

Time for Huck to float home.

Posted by: earlmorriss | February 19, 2008 6:56 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 47

Clinton not done yet


Mccain 65
Huckabee 30

McCain comments on the national rase.

Posted by: lovell.bill | February 19, 2008 6:55 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 0%
Obama: 0%
Gravel: 100%

McCain: 0%
Huckabee: 0%
Gravel: 100%

Headline: A bizzare software failure in Wisconsin primary causes every vote cast to be for Mike Gravel

Gravel calls a recount "Unconstitutional'

Posted by: ewrules | February 19, 2008 6:54 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 60%
Clinton - 39%
Other - 1%

Will Clinton survive until March 4th?.

McCain - 64%
Huckabee - 35%
Other - 1%

How much longer will Huckabee stay in the race?

Posted by: 17platt | February 19, 2008 6:54 PM | Report abuse

Obama 57
Clinton 42
Others 1

Clinton Super Delegates Grow Uneasy as "do or die" March 4th looms.

McCain 62
Huckabe 34
Others 4

Conservatives Still Not onboard straight talk express

Posted by: bobnsri | February 19, 2008 6:51 PM | Report abuse

WI:
Obama 69%
Clinton 29%

Headline: Hillary drops out after huge losses in WI & HI

McCain 51%
Huckabee 44%

HEadline: High independent support for Obama and low Republican turnout hurt McCain

Posted by: joemetro | February 19, 2008 6:51 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56% Clinton 43%
McCain 47% Huckabee 42% Paul 7%

Obama seals the deal, only straws left for Clinton. Time for Huckabee to quit

Posted by: mttrevan | February 19, 2008 6:50 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Edwards 2%

McCain 61%
Huchabee 30%
Paul 9%

Clinton in Wisconsin surprise, stalls Obama momentum.

McCain solidifies lead position

Posted by: kitbritton | February 19, 2008 6:49 PM | Report abuse

Dem:

Obama 49%
Clinton: 46%

Rep:

McCain 64%
Huckabee 28%
Paul 6%

Posted by: jforauer | February 19, 2008 6:49 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 49%

McCain 60%
Second Coming 40%

I do like the Huckleberry Hound reference.

Posted by: mikedooley | February 19, 2008 6:48 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 53
Clinton: 47

McCain: 54
Huckabee: 43
Paul: 3

Headlines:
Clinton spins 6 point loss as a "win". Tony spins around to model his Fix T-Shirt.

Posted by: Boutan | February 19, 2008 6:48 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 51%
Clinton: 48%

story: Silk out of a sow's ear for the Clinton campaign, a state they should have won is somehow seen as an accomplishment in a loss.

McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 4%

story: Noone really cares anymore, Huckabee seals a show on Fox News.

Posted by: arlee1 | February 19, 2008 6:45 PM | Report abuse

Obama 57
Clinton 42
Others 1

McCain 62
Huckabe 34
Others 4

Posted by: bobnsri | February 19, 2008 6:44 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 49%
Obama: 48%

Storyline: The Comeback Kid.

Posted by: jburke | February 19, 2008 6:44 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49
Clinton 48

Race too close to call for several hours, another Comeback Kid day for Clinton as Obama fails to seal the deal! Superdelegates getting very nervous.

McCain 52
Huckabee 37
Paul 7

Oh, and McCain won again. Now, back to more analysis of the Democratic slugfest...

Posted by: billmcg | February 19, 2008 6:43 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58%, Clinton 41%

McCain 49%, Huckabee 41%, Others 10%

Headline: Independents push Obama to big win

Kit Taylor

Posted by: kitaylor | February 19, 2008 6:41 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Clinton 49%

Obama Momentum Stopped

McCain 54%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 3%

McCain extends leads

Posted by: mutanttoasterfiend | February 19, 2008 6:40 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 48
Obama 46

McCain 56
Huckabee 40
Another surge of women voting

Posted by: donaldmatson1 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM | Report abuse

Obama 63%
Clinton 37%
Dam breaks and smothers Clinton.

McCain 89%
Huckabee 8%
Paul 3%
McCain Wins, kooky Huckabee brakes own record with "Huckabee!" book sales.

Posted by: johng1 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56
Clinton 39

Storyline: Obama stronger going into Texas Ohio. Obama surprises with blue-collar voters.

McCain 54
Huckabee 45

Storyline: Huckabee still attracting hard-line conservatives and evangelicals.

Posted by: jh1062 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 43

McCain 55
Huckabee 38
Paul 6

Status Quo Reigns: Obama still chugging along, McCain still struggling to close the deal

Posted by: comtrevor | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 49%
Obama 48%

Hillary got her groove back!

McCain 58%
Huckabee 37%

McCain crushes Huckabee but the Huckster pledges to keep rolling on.

Posted by: LadyEagle | February 19, 2008 6:38 PM | Report abuse

thecrisis:

Sorry, my sarcasm doesn't work as well in print. I'm predicting that the all-hype, oversensationalized MSM will explode with "Obama is Finished"-type blather stories if he fails to win WI today.

Naturally, that is completely ridiculous, but still I predict we'll be reading a lot of those storis in the next 48 hours.

Posted by: ablackstormy | February 19, 2008 6:37 PM | Report abuse

Obama:61%
Clinton: 38%

Cheeseheads love Obama! Obama cuts into Hillary's base, turns out independents and Obamacans. Hillary will make her last stand at the Alamo.

McCain: 49%
Huck: 44%

Huck comes close in Badger State, heads deep into the heart of Texas. Conservatives still lukewarm about McCain, will they ever come around to him?

P.S. The Fix shirt is the stuff, I'm hoping for brokered conventions so I can keep guessing all the way to Puerto Rico.

Posted by: EricLopez1067 | February 19, 2008 6:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 44

Obama still has the mo', but fails to knock out Hillary.

McCain 55
Huckabee 37

He was going to be veep, but now he's just being annoying.

Posted by: fxsj | February 19, 2008 6:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 56%
Clinton: 39%

McCain: 61%
Huckabee: 32%

Posted by: MikeReynard | February 19, 2008 6:35 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 45%

Big turnout in Madison, same-day registrations by young voters statewide, heavy voting by independents and Republicans in Dem primary carry Obama to decisive victory, but Clinton maintains narrow edge among working class and older white voters, especially women. Another win for Obama, but no knockout punch.

McCain 52%
Huckabee 41%
Paul 6%

McCain vote held down by Republicans crossing over to vote in Dem primary, pesky Huckabee can't win but won't go away.

Posted by: bclintonk | February 19, 2008 6:34 PM | Report abuse

Obama 57%
Clinton 42%
Ten in row! Hillary downplays WI loss, too many Obama-crazed students.

McCain 49%
Huckabee 47%
Paul 4%
McCain squeaks out a winner but Huckabee vows to fight on!

Posted by: zb95 | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 58%
Clinton: 40%

Spin: Strong showing for Obama because it was (1) a primary, (2) he cut into her demo groups.

McCain: 49%
Huckster: 40%
Paul: 9%

Spin: McCain can't win a majority even though he's annointed? Why is Huckabee still in it (ignoring the fact that he's winning huge shares of the votes)? No substantial comment on Ron Paul.

Posted by: shc | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 48%

McCain 54%
Huckabee 39%
Paul 7%

Story line: Huckabee stands firm on staying in, but campaign insiders predict a coming bow out and endorsement of McCain.

Obama eeks out a big win as Clinton prepares for a last stand in Texas and Ohio.

Posted by: cubgac | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM | Report abuse

cheeseheads 55%
hula girls 45%

Posted by: octavio | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51%
Clinton 46%

McCain 56%
Huckleberry Hound 36%
Paul 6%

Posted by: collins | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Democrats
Obama: 51%
Clinton: 44%
Storyline: Same again - Obama keeps the momentum; Clinton still in contention.

Republicans
McCain: 50%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 2%
Storyline: McCain almost over the line; Huckabee firms as potential VP candidate.

Posted by: aegisal | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 48%

Huge youth vote BUT the approx 30% of WI college/uni students, who are out-of-state, can't vote.

Also, HRC swamps Obama in the Fox Valley industrial corridor from Green Bay to Kenosha.

Posted by: garth | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56%
Clinton 43%


McCain 48%
Huckabee 46%

Dems: Clinton's negative attacks and her campaign reshuffle back-fire, Obama wins on strength of young and indpendents, the elderly vote is almost evenly split. Ohio and TX are the Last Stand for Clinton.

GOP: Huckabee hails the evening as a victory and looks to TX as his greatest chance to swing the fate of the primary. McCain, unfazed by the narrow margin, keeps plodding through trying to rally conservatives.

Posted by: joseph.urso | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 54%
Clinton: 46%

McCain: 58%
Huckabee: 42%

Posted by: sethmarc | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Dems: Obama 51
Clinton 39

GOP: McCain 52
Huckabee 40

Storyline:

Clinton camp's going negative fails to pay off, Straight-talk express continues straight toward the nomination.

Posted by: MrWallace | February 19, 2008 6:29 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 52
Obama - 48

Storyline: It's the Economy, Stupid!

McCain - 64%
Huckabee - 31%
Paul - 5%

Storyline - Huck Fans Fade. McCain Moves On.

Posted by: jeffreyraymond | February 19, 2008 6:29 PM | Report abuse

DEMS
Clinton 53%
Obama 46%

Storyline: Clinton's new populist tone pays off.

REPS
McCain 56%
Huck 40%

Storyline: McCain begins to win over conservatives.

Posted by: dmoralestx | February 19, 2008 6:28 PM | Report abuse

I hope I'm wrong but I'll guess:

Obama - Clinton are to all intents and purposes tied in Wisconsin (both 49.x%). Obama only hundreds ahead and Clinton saying this is a huge victory for her (whilst querying the result with lawyers).

The storyline (with the result less than clear the following morning) being, "Whoever out of Obama and Clinton clinches the state, the real victor is the nagative campaigning tactic as the Democrats brace themselves for a messy and long fight."

Posted by: dballagher | February 19, 2008 6:27 PM | Report abuse

I predict

Obama 56%
Hillary 43%
1% Other

McCain 45%
Huckalberry 39%
Ron Paul 12%

Posted by: janswan | February 19, 2008 6:26 PM | Report abuse

Obama and Hillary are spending a lot of time and money just for the honor of being the answer in a triva game in 20 years, when the question is, "Who ran against President McCain in '08?".

Posted by: aolondon | February 19, 2008 6:26 PM | Report abuse

ablackstormy -

If you think a 2% loss in Wisconsin would mean it's over for Obama, you clearly haven't been paying attention.

Posted by: thecrisis | February 19, 2008 6:24 PM | Report abuse

Obama 99%
Peter Griffin .09%
Chris Cillizaa .01%
Clinton -100%

Storyline: Are you an Obama mama?

Huckabee 100%
McCain turns out to be Hillary Clinton in disguise trying to rig an election!

Storyline: America Deceived?

Just curious what happens if Obama wins pledged delegates but Clinton wins super delegates. Seems pretty non-democratic to me!

Posted by: ThoughtfulMonk | February 19, 2008 6:23 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 56%
Clinton: 44%

McCain: 48%
Huckabee: 39%
Paul: 5%

Storyline: Obama scores another win, adding more momentum to campaign. Clinton slams brakes on negative ads. McCain still on his merry way to the GOP nomination. Renewed calls for Huckabee to exit.

Posted by: gordie_foote | February 19, 2008 6:22 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 43%
Other: 2%
Headline: Clinton Retreats to Texas Alamo for Last Stand

McCain: 58%
Huchabee: 36%
Other: 6%
Headline: McCain Readies Swiftboats

Posted by: NewEra | February 19, 2008 6:21 PM | Report abuse

*DEM*
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 44%

Storyline: "Obama's Words Are More Than Cheese: Wins Wisconsin."

*GOP*
McCain: 51%
Huckabee: 39%

Storyline: "Badgers? Conservatives Don't Need No Stinkin' Badgers: McCain Wins Again."

Posted by: wwkayaker | February 19, 2008 6:20 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51%, Clinton 48% (although this race may still be too close to call based on the weather, with a projected 35% registered voter turnout and the lingering sting of the "style" versus "substance" criticism).

McCain 67%, Huckabee 20%, Paul 12% (is it time for Huckabee to step aside for the presumptive Republican nominee already?)

Posted by: dparkdon07 | February 19, 2008 6:19 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 56
Obama 43
Edwards 1

Headline: The Comeback Kid
Reality: Negative campaigning works... particularly with stupid people

Huck 46
McCain 44
Paul 10
Headline: Huck delays McCain for only a few weeks
Reality: Evolution loses to religion.

Posted by: dcraven925 | February 19, 2008 6:19 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:
- Obama - 54%
- Clinton - 45%

Republicans:

- McCain - 57%
- Huckabee - 42%

Posted by: nic.roxylife | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM | Report abuse

Clinton:53%
Obama: 47%
McCain 60%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 5%
Reasons: Clinton is a blue collar candidate,economy is the key, not the Obama fervor. Also there are far more whites Wisconsinettes than blacks. Obama can not play the racial game.There will be a big surprise for the Obama camp. Clinton will eventually win the momimee in the conference fight.

Posted by: johnycheng1 | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM | Report abuse

Dem
Clinton 49
Obama 47

Headline - Clinton start to inspires again.

Rep
McCain 62
Huckabee 30
Headline - conservative Republican vote for Clinton instead of McCain.

Posted by: j2yueh | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama 49.3
Clinton 48.8

Clinton campaign spins close result as a 'victory'

McCain 65
Huckabee 28
Paul 4

Pressure increases from party elders for Huckabee to withdraw

Posted by: jimoneill50 | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM | Report abuse

Dems-
Obama 51
Clinton 46

Reps-
McCain 57
Huckabee 38

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM | Report abuse

Against all odds - it's a tie!
Obama wins by 150 votes, Clinton claims victory.

Posted by: diabloquick.wa | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM | Report abuse

Dems-
Obama 51
Clinton 46

Reps-
McCain 57
Huckabee 38

Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:

Obama 54%
Hillary 44%

Republicans:

McCain 39%
Huck 33%
Ron Paul 28%


Posted by: dogsbestfriend | February 19, 2008 6:15 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56
Hillary 44

Storyline---Going negative blows up in Hillary's face as Obama wins 9th and 10th in a row

Republicans---does it matter?

Posted by: samerickson | February 19, 2008 6:15 PM | Report abuse

Clinton: 53
Obama: 46

Story: Negativity Pays Off for Clinton

McCain: 58
Huckabee: 36

Story: McCain Rolls On

Posted by: cdavis1381 | February 19, 2008 6:14 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55
Clinton 43
Headline: ObamaMo!

McCain 63
Huckabee 32
Paul 5
Headline: Time for Huck to give it up?

Posted by: psfiske | February 19, 2008 6:14 PM | Report abuse

Obama gets a mere 51% in Hawaii?! No way ... he'll clear 70%. It's a caucus state, remember?

OK, for the WI stakes:

Obama 56, Clinton 43, other 1
McCain 52, Huckabee 42, Paul et al 6

Storyline:

Obama: Electability electability electability. Graciously thanks WI for key win, but the real story is in head-to-head national polls showing big leads over McCain (who beats HRC in swing states).

McCain: Wisconsin voters would rather have a beer with McCain, especially since the Huckster doesn't drink (at least I'm guessing that he doesn't ...).

Posted by: julie | February 19, 2008 6:13 PM | Report abuse

Democrats;
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 43%
storyline: When will Hilary concede?

Republicans:
McCain: 61%
Huckabee: 39%

Storyline: McCain's prayers answered.

Posted by: thebobbob | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM | Report abuse

Dems:
Obama:50
Clinton: 48

Storyline: 10 in a row causes worry in Clinton. She looks towards Texas to save her campaign.

Rep:
Mac: 45
Huck: 40
Paul: 15

Storyline: Establishment continues lining up behind McCain but conservatives dont care. They know a wolf in sheep's clothing when they see one.

Posted by: Normscoffee | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 59
Clinton: 41

Obama cuts into key Clinton demographics: whites, women. In the next few days, public signs of exasperation at the Clintons from party big-wigs who want a clean shot at McCain.

McCain: 71
Huckabee: 22

When is Huckabee outta here?

In other news: Chuck Norris attacks fellow Texan George H.W. Bush, not because of the latest endorsement, but to steal the former president's new Fix t-shirt.

Posted by: wtomasko09 | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54.2%
Clinton 43.8%
Other 2%

McCain 55%
The Huckster 30%
Williard Romney 10%
Paul 2%
Other 3%

Trojan

Posted by: ataridem | February 19, 2008 6:09 PM | Report abuse

Dems:

Obama: 53%
Clinton: 43%
Other: 4%

Storyline: "Going negative doesn't kill hope."

(I was pretty certain Clinton was going to do well, but after checking the blog @ Wispolitics.com, it looks like the huge metro student turn-out, lower-than-expected rural turn-out and related blog posts probably put Obama in better shape than I thought).

Republicans:
McCain: 69%
Huckabee: 30%
Paul: 1%

Storyline: (Do we really need one? McCain's the nominee. Game over.)

Posted by: VoiceofReason5 | February 19, 2008 6:08 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56.5
Clinton 48.4

McCain 58
Huckabee 32
Paul 6

Clinton Camp: Election Results "Just Words"

McCain Camp: For Whom is the Bell Tolling, Mike?

Posted by: judgeccrater | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 44

Huckabee 47
McCain 44
Paul 7%

Posted by: grassboots | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 56
Clinton: 43
Other: 1

McCain: 59
Huckabee: 35
Paul: 4
Other: 2

Headline: Barack's streak continues, but Texas and Ohio stand in his way of the nomination; McCain in complete control, but Republican's apathy reflected in turnout.

Posted by: GoHuskies2004 | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM | Report abuse

McCain's locking of his nomination and an open primary give Obama added support from independents.

Obama 54%
Clinton 45%

Posted by: BABucher | February 19, 2008 6:06 PM | Report abuse

Ds:

BHO 55 HRC 45

Rs:

McC 50 MDH 43 RP 7

Clinton: "I beat expectations!"
Huckabee: "This is fun!"

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 19, 2008 6:06 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin:
Clinton- 49
Obama- 47

Headline: 'WI Wants More Than Words: Clinton Surprises Pollsters, Mounts Comeback #2'

Hawaii:
Obama- 51
Clinton- 45

Headline: 'First Daughter Helps Clinton, but Hawaii Chooses Native Son'

Posted by: AC19 | February 19, 2008 6:05 PM | Report abuse

Democrate:
Hilary 54
Obama 45

Republican:
McCain 51
Huckabee 39
Paul 10

Posted by: fzheng501 | February 19, 2008 6:04 PM | Report abuse

p.s. that fix shirt design is the BOMB, as the youngsters would say. can I just buy one?

Posted by: thecrisis | February 19, 2008 6:04 PM | Report abuse

WI
- Obama - 64%
- Hillary 35%

Democrats uniting around Obama.

Within a week, Edwards endorses Obama.

Posted by: fourhourelection | February 19, 2008 6:03 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin is an open primary with lots of independents and - with sameday registration - the young people are going to turn out in droves. Yeah NH had independents too, but that was before South Carolina when the campaigning started to go downhill and dirty for Clinton.

Obama 61%
Clinton 39%

McCain 49%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 9%

Posted by: grimmix | February 19, 2008 6:03 PM | Report abuse

Obama 65-68
Clinton 32-35

What the huck is wrong with Huckabee? Just cant let go of all the media attention? What a joke!

Posted by: amitavar | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Barrack Obama- 48%
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton- 47%

Sen. John mcCain- 54%
Former Gov. mike Huckabee- 29%

"Clitnon not dead yet; Mccain seals the deal...again"

Posted by: AM91091 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Barrack Obama- 48%
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton- 47%

Sen. John mcCain- 54%
Former Gov. mike Huckabee- 29%

"Clitnon not dead yet; Mccain seals the deal...again"

Posted by: AM91091 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 53%
Obama 45%
Other 2%

McCain 64
Huckabee 28
Romney 4
Ron Paul 4

Posted by: john_hull2004 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 53
Clinton: 45

McCain: 62
Huckabee: 31

Storyline: American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie and Fitch simultaneously sue Chris Cillizza for design infringement over Fix logo.

Also, Clinton negative campaigning has negligible effect on voter preferences - Obama still wins fairly comfortably.

Posted by: ManUnitdFan | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin
Obama-60%
Clinton-39%

Hawaii
Obama-75%
Clinton 25%

More Clinton Staff fired. Carville and Begala brought into the fold in last gasp.

Wisonsin
McCain-58%
Huckabee-35%
Paul-7%

McCain asks Huckabee "WTF". Huckabee uses last of frequent flyer points to get home. Drops out Thursday.

Posted by: kim | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 59
Clinton - 41

Republicans:

Huckabee - 49%
McCain - 47%
Paul - 4%

Headline 1: Huckabee Stuns McCain, Activists call for McCain to drop out (and I win the shirt as being the only reader to pick huckabee!)

Headline 2: Maggie Williams out as Clinton campaign manager afetr only one contest... Ragin Cajun calls for Clinton to drop out.

Posted by: bob | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 50
Clinton: 48
Other: 2

Storyline (Regardless of who wins): Ohio/Texas is now most important election since the guys with the togas in the coliseum, so be sure to tune in to our 36 hour Ohio-Texas Two-Step non-stop coverage extravaganza (and watch Wolf's beard grow on air as a bonus).

McCain: 53
Huckapower: 39
Paul: 7
Other: 1

Story: Can't McCain just challenge Laura Ingraham to a boxing match or something and get this "true conservative" storyline over with?

Posted by: pinkopatriot | February 19, 2008 6:00 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55
Clinton 44
Other 1

McCain 68
Huckabee 31
Other 1

Obama's In Tall Cotton Now!

Posted by: llarsen | February 19, 2008 5:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55
Clinton 47

McCain 50
Huckabee 47
Paul 2

10th time not a charm for Clinton. McCain growing more perturbed by Huckabee's prescence, behind doors push for him to drop out and endorse McCain

Posted by: davehomuth | February 19, 2008 5:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama 55%
Clinton 42%

Headline - Clinton Camp, "Wisconsin Doesn't Count".

Posted by: derrick | February 19, 2008 5:58 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 46
Other 2

McCain 64
Huckabee 33
Other 3

Posted by: jaclyn.dilauro | February 19, 2008 5:56 PM | Report abuse

Here it is ...

Obama 56%
Clinton 41%
Other 3%

McCain 55%
Huckabee 39%
Paul 4%
Other 2%

Posted by: phoenixresearch | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58%

Clinton 41%

Other ~1%

McCain 54%

Huckabee 42%

Other ~ 4%

Independents largely vote in the Democratic column, 66% to 34% in the GOP race.

The big story is that Independents are favoring the Democrats and Obama by a much larger percentage than either Hillary or the GOP.

Secondly, women are now trending more towards Obama than before and this trend is going to rattle the Clinton campaign a great deal even while Hillary still gets a majority of the female vote but by a lessening margin.

Lastly, white males are continuing to trend toward Obama,.

GOP turnout is only marginally higher than in prior primaries, the ones already held (this excludes caucuses). This shows a continuing lack of enthusiasm, either for the candidates or in anticipation of a lost cause in November. This is a direct effect of the GWB regime's "accomplishments" for America and for the GOP.

Posted by: can8tiv | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

For Wisconsin:

Obama: 59%
Clinton: 40%

Storyline: Obama clinches a good margin by making inroads to Clinton's core areas of support (women, working-class) and, because of independents.

McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 44%

Storyline: McCain fails to draw independents and thus Huckabee loses, but by a smaller margin than expected, emphasizing McCain's dilemma of uniting Republican voters.

Posted by: darkestcloud | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

clinton 52%
obama 48%
story: clinton manages to break obama momentum going to the march 4

McCain 58%
Huckabee 32%
others 10%
story: Huckabee are u going to wrap up yet?

Posted by: agrawal_roopa | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

Dems:
Obama 59%
Clinton 39%
Other 2%
White men won't vote for Obama?

Reps:
McCain 46%
Huck 45%
Paul 7%
Other 2%
McCain thanks god that the Republicans are not using the Dems primary system otherwise he would have to admit he is the one in the closer race.

Posted by: Southeasterner | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 47

McCain 61
Huckabee 33
Paul 6

Obama keeps riding his momentum and Huckabee becomes even less relevent.

Posted by: bigrusslds | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

D's

Obama 50
Clinton 45

Storyline: Obama picks up two more states, but Clinton closes back in. Race will get more negative as we move to Ohio and Texas...

R's

McCain: 50
Huckabee: 40
Paul: 6

Storyline: Huckabee hanging in the race, while McCain continues to go after the possible Democratic nominees...

Posted by: rpy1 | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

McCain 52%
Huckabee 43%

Obama 54%
Clinton 46%

Obama is 10-0. Clinton do or die on March 4.

Posted by: lmeert | February 19, 2008 5:53 PM | Report abuse

D:
Clinton: 51%
Obama: 47%
Others (Gravel, Edwards, etc): 2%

Story: The soft negative works for Clinton, the "facts over rhetoric" line starts to stick, makes a dent in the Obama momentum movement.

R:
McCain: 52%
Huckabee: 38%
Paul: 10%

Story: Not much of one, the Straight Talk Express is chugging along.

Posted by: mtconnelly | February 19, 2008 5:51 PM | Report abuse

Oh yeah, the republicans vote, too:

McCain 54 Huck 40 Paul 6

Obama 55 Clinton 44

Weather from North Pole delivers gift to Obama

Posted by: optimyst | February 19, 2008 5:48 PM | Report abuse

Clinton = 52%
Obama = 46%
Other = 2%

McCain = 65%
Huckabee= 30%
Other = 5%

Clinton bounces back tonight.
McCain steals Obama voters.
Race for both nominations continues.

Posted by: brendanneal | February 19, 2008 5:46 PM | Report abuse

Clinton-49%
Obama-49%

McCain-51
Huckabee-36
Paul-10

Headline--Wisconsin too close to call on Democratic side; McCain sures up conservative voters.

Posted by: brianspak | February 19, 2008 5:46 PM | Report abuse

Guys/Christ?!?! Who won last week's prediction contest for the Potomac Primary?

Wisconsin
---------------------------------
Democrats
Obama - 56
Clinton - 44
Obama Roll Continues; Hillary's Negatives Prove Fail to Stunt Momentum

Republicans
McCain - 49
Huckabee - 44
Paul - 5
McCain Continues to Underperform as the Frontrunner

Posted by: jpsherer | February 19, 2008 5:45 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 45
Other 1
'With key demographics deserting her, will Clinton make it to Ohio/Texas?'

McCain 53
Huckabee 43
Paul 3
Other 1
'McCain continues to face problems uniting the GOP'

Posted by: JiffyMoo | February 19, 2008 5:44 PM | Report abuse

Just one question, if I get pulled over while wearing that shirt, will the police ask to search my car for drugs? :-)

Posted by: optimyst | February 19, 2008 5:44 PM | Report abuse

Either way, you can bet Hillary will find something to moan about! Snow is so unconstitutional!

Obama 56%
HRC 44%

For the good of the party Hillary stand down.

Posted by: pr8mrh | February 19, 2008 5:43 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 47%

Clinton strategists remember that going negative can work and will ramp up the negativity. The question is, will Obama follow suit?

McCain: 63%
Huckabee: 30%
McCain declares victory as conservatives cry and yweissm1 laughs all the way to his fix tshirt

Posted by: yweissm1 | February 19, 2008 5:42 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 57%
Clinton: 43%

McCain: 52%
Huckabee: 41%
Paul: 7%

Obama notes his victory comes in spite of Clinton's apparent demographic advantage; Clinton yet again fails to acknowledge Obama in concession.

Huckabee admits he is remaining in race because McCain "is really really old."

Posted by: jallenba | February 19, 2008 5:41 PM | Report abuse

Democrats:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 44%

Storyline: Obama's Winning Streak Unbroken

Republicans:
McCain: 57%
Huckabee: 34%,
Paul: 5%

Posted by: prantha | February 19, 2008 5:41 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58
Clinton 40
Obama maintains momentum into March 4th Junior Tuesday (aka Ohio-Texas Two-Step)

McCain 49
Huckabee 42
Paul 7
McCain continues to march to GOP nomination, but unable to unify party


Posted by: asacks | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51
Obama 48

Storyline: Dems still struggling to select a nominee through Nov 5.

McCain 64
Huckabee 26
Paul 10

Storyline: Why can't you just get it through your head, it's over ...

Posted by: pjd56 | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM | Report abuse

Obama 59%
Clinton 41%

McCain 48%
Huckabee 44%
Paul 8%

Headline: "Obamamentum" continues, Obama picks off key Clinton demographic groups, looks strong going into March 4; Huckabee continues to be a thorn in McCain's side, McCain still looks inevitable in spite of it all

Posted by: jumpin_bob | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 50.5
Obama 48.7

McCain 56
Huckabee 36
Paul 7

Storyline: Obama has work to do with women. Clinton wins women by 24 points.

Posted by: steveboyington | February 19, 2008 5:39 PM | Report abuse

Clinton:56
Obama:42
Other:2

McCain:58
Huck:38
Paul:4

Headline1:"Wisconsin says 'No' to the big 'O'"
Headline2:"Calls for Huckabee to drop out intensify following Wisconsin loss"

Posted by: bend | February 19, 2008 5:39 PM | Report abuse

WI Dems:
Obama 54
Clinton 41
Gravel 0

WI Reps:
McCain 55
Huckabee 39
Paul 5

Storyline: In defeat, Clinton speech writers start combing the speeches of Neil Kinnock for ideas.

Posted by: xiibaro | February 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 53%
Clinton: 46%
Headline: Obama weathers negative press cycle to gain momentum going into March 4.

McCain: 62%
Huckabee: 21%
Paul: 8%
Headline: Are we in St. Paul yet?

Posted by: rook.hine | February 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Obama 50%
Clinton 48%

McCain 54%
Huckabee 38%
Paul 7%

MEDIA STORYLINE: Obama wins 9th in a row. The end of Hillary?!

[Subverted storyline: Unlike close Clinton victories, media doesn't play up closer than expected result in Wisconsin as proof of anything negative about winning candidate.]

Posted by: JSnapper | February 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52%
Clinton 45%

McCain 56%
Huckabee 43%

Newspaper headline (D1): Reports of infighting among the Clinton campaign: Should they have gone to WI sooner? Reporters are re-doubling their efforts to fracture the Clinton campaign so they have more to report.

Newspaper headline (D2): Closer than expected, does this bode ill for Obama in Ohio? Reporters are re-doubling their efforts to cause turmoil in the Obama campaign so they have something good to report.

Newspaper headline (R): McCain still dogged by Huckabee: Reporters are re-doubling their efforts to pester McCain into saying something stupid about Huckabee not taking the hint and dropping out.

Cable News Headline (D): What does the uninterrupted string of victories mean going into Super Tuesday II: Our promise to our viewers: Two weeks of incessant punditry.

Cable News Headline (R): When will Huckabee get the Hint: Our promise to our viewers: Two weeks of incessant punditry.

Real Headline (WI only): Record primary turnout and record number of invalidated ballots. Apparently putting both Rep & Dem candidates on the same piece of paper and then instructing voters in a dense, small-type paragraph to not vote in both primaries wasn't the swiftest idea.

Or maybe the Real Headline was only in my district.

Posted by: caribis | February 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

New GOP spin: Somehow WI GOP produces 104% voter turnout. Results are credited to new math curriculum in charter schools.

(bsimon revises Paul prediction to 10%)

Posted by: bsimon | February 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 52
Clinton: 44

McCain: 59
Huckabee: 30

Nothing changes in either race. Wait until March.

Posted by: gla4 | February 19, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

Hillary: 51
Obama: 48

McCain: 51
Huckabee: 43
Paul: 6

Posted by: perkins.nathaniel | February 19, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

Obama 51
Clinton 48
Other 1

McCain 62
Huckabee 33
Paul 5

It will be tighter than we think, lots of rural middle and lower class whites with a bad press day for Obama yesterday, still he wins because of Madison's student population.
- matt crow

Posted by: mecrow | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 62
Clinton 34

McCain 59
Huckabee 30

Obama appears unstoppable.
Huckabee numbers falling.

Posted by: mksengel | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 53
Clinton 42
Most voters have comitted plagiarism, decide it's not an issue.

McCain 64
Huckabee 23
McCain's validation nearly set.

Posted by: exploiler | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Barack Obama 54%
Hillary Clinton 42%
John Edwards 4%


John McCain 68%
Mike Huckabee 23%
Ron Paul 9%

Posted by: pab9c | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 44

10 double digit victories in a row fail to vanquish the Clinton dreadnought.

McCain 59
Huckabee 30
Paul 15

Record low turnout for WI Republicans a sign of a dim future for GOP in November.

Posted by: bsimon | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama 61%
Clinton 37%
10-0 Obama continues to build momentum going into March 4 primaries

McCain 54%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 9%
Conservatives still resisting McCain coronation

Posted by: rjciardo | February 19, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama - 49
Clinton - 47
Others - 4

McCain - 56
Huckabee - 39
Paul - 5

Last second "style over substance" doubts about Obama are given credence because of the borrowing of Deval Patrick's phrasing - making the storyline Clinton's closer than expected showing and making Texas even bigger than it was before today.

Posted by: bilrus | February 19, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

Obama 56%
Clinton 42%
Story: Words are enough.

McCain 53%
Huckabee 36%
Paul 10%
Story: It's over.

I'm only entering because I finally saw the t-shirt design...

Posted by: ryanstai | February 19, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 63%
Clinton: 36%

McCain: 59%
Huckabee: 35%
Paul: 5%

Storylines: Will Huckabee concede, and pressure increases on Clinton to drop out.

Posted by: jsgoldberg | February 19, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

Reposting this morning's first prediction from earlier thread:

Wisconsin

Obama 55% Hillary 44%

Hawaii

Obama 78% Hillary 22%

"Obama carries win streak, momentum into TX, OH"

Posted by: optimyst | February 19, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

Clinton - 52%
Obama - 47%

Clinton Comeback in Wisconsin, Sets Sight on March 4th

McCain - 55%
Huckabee - 37%
Paul - 6%

McCain Cruises to Victory in Wisconsin

Posted by: zzachtan | February 19, 2008 5:34 PM | Report abuse

DEMOCRATS: Obama Express Derails in Madison
Clinton - 52%
Obama - 48%

REPUBLICANS: Huckawho ?
McCain: 72%
Huckabee: 24%
Paul: 4%

Posted by: ashafer_usa | February 19, 2008 5:33 PM | Report abuse

Obama 58%
Clinton 42%

McCain 60%
Huckabee 40%

Obama is pulling away, with Hillary's last stand in Texas looking more and more uncertain

McCain finally is closing out the contest

Posted by: hermanSF | February 19, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

Dems:
Obama 55 Clinton 42, with Edwards picking up residual support.

Repubs: McCain 53 Huckabee 41, with Ron Paul hitting the 5% mark for one last hurrah.

Posted by: sghost75 | February 19, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 54
Clinton: 45

Headline: Obama Fights Off Clinton's Attacks with Decisive Victory

McCain: 60
Huckabee: 31

Headline: McCain Wins Wisconsin, is Just Short of Delegates Needed to Clinch Nomination

Posted by: celdred | February 19, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

McCain 50
Huckabee 26
Paul 8

McCain Wins, Rounds Out Support From GOP

Obama 55
Clinton 38

Obama Decisive Victory, Gets Needed Momentum For Texas and Ohio

Posted by: halloitsmark | February 19, 2008 5:30 PM | Report abuse

Reps:
McCain - 58%
Huckabee - 40%

Dems:
Obama - 54%
Clinton - 45%

Storyline: Obama wins thanks to high Negro turnout.

Posted by: darwinek | February 19, 2008 5:30 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 52%
Clinton: 47%

Line: Is Obama now inevitable?

McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 39%

Line: McCain continues on the path to the nomination

Posted by: cameron.geoffrey | February 19, 2008 5:29 PM | Report abuse

Clinton 51%
Obama 49%

Clinton puts the brakes on Obama Momentum - is the electorate suffering from Obama fatigue?

McCain 62
Huckabee 38

McCain wins convincingly - calls for Huckabee to join him in healing the Republican party.

Posted by: liviag | February 19, 2008 5:29 PM | Report abuse

DEM:
Obama 49% Clinton 51%

Storyline: Is it Over for Obama?


REP:
McCain 60% Huckabee 35% Paul 5%

Storyline: Huckabee Defiant in Defeat.

Posted by: ablackstormy | February 19, 2008 5:29 PM | Report abuse

The moon isn't the only thing to get eclipsed tonight.

Obama - 58%
Clinton - 39%
Gravel- 3% (Is he on the ticket?)

Not so fast, Johnny Mac...

McCain - 50%
Huckabee - 46%
Paul - 4%

Posted by: WWWexler | February 19, 2008 5:29 PM | Report abuse

Dem:

WI: Obama - 60, Clinton - 39
HI: Obama - 71, Clinton - 29

Storyline: Obama shocks with two more resounding wins. Clinton strategists change subject to March 4 and claim they expected this outcome all along - cite winning of Fix t-shirt as proof.

GOP (why this counts this week and DC and MD didn't last week is beyond me...):

WI: McCain - 54, Huckabee - 35, Paul - 9

Storyline: McCain add to his delegate count - inches closer to clinching nomination. Huckabee refuses to bow out - inches closer to being committed.

Posted by: faberman.jason | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Edwards 1%

McCain 61%
Huckabee 33%
Paul 6%

Posted by: raj.thadani | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama: 52%
Clinton: 45%

McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 42%

Storyline: Clinton keeps the Wisconsin contest close with Obama, but failing to win the state won't stop his momentum heading into March 4.

Posted by: txsig78 | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

I neglected to add a Republican prediction, as it's just playing out the string.

I don't think it will be much of a contest:

McCain: 67%
Huckabee: 29%
Paul: 4%

McCain with fairly big number with the relatively few Evangelicals in Wisconsin.

Posted by: NMF1 | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Obama 52
Clinton 47
McCain 62
Huck 26

Illinois' Favre-ite Son Squeaks out a Victory in Cheeseheadland

McCain Polishes Off Melted Huckaburger

Posted by: dangreenstone | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Democrats
* Obama 57%
* Clinton 43%

Republicans
Who Cares

Not so close after all Hillary

Posted by: devcondg | February 19, 2008 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Democrats;

Obama: 55%
Clinton: 45%
storyline: Obamamentum to March 4th primaries

Republicans:
McCain: 57%
Huckabee: 43%

Storyline: The fat lady is about to sing for Huckabee

Posted by: CurtLader | February 19, 2008 5:25 PM | Report abuse

Dem:
Obama: 56%
Clinton: 43%

Storyline: Will March 4th be the end of the Clinton campaign?

Repubs:
McCain: 58%
Huckabee: 37%
Paul: 4%

Storyline: Why is Huckabee still running?

Posted by: matt_ahrens | February 19, 2008 5:25 PM | Report abuse

Wisconsin is voting after the worst winter in years. The winter blues have set in. I live in Missouri and people here want the weather to change - and it is affecting their attitude about everything. The weather gives the advantage to Obama.......
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/02/20/america-hope-or-prazac-nation/

Posted by: glclark4750 | February 19, 2008 5:25 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 45

McCain 57
Huckabee 42

2/19/09: Date when the Fix will finish "grading" predictions from the Potomic Primaries.

Meeting expectations, Obama prevails by a healthy margin; Huckabee all but out of the race after being routed by McCain.

Posted by: mrassam60 | February 19, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

Obama 54
Clinton 45

McCain 51
Huckabee 42
Paul 7

Posted by: thecrisis | February 19, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

I guess I'll make the first prediction...

I think Obama will win Wisconsin over Clinton in a closer vote, 53% to 47%, carried over the top by new voter registrations and independent and cross-over Republican voters.

Posted by: NMF1 | February 19, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

Obama 53%
Clinton 44%
Obama extends his streak to 10; Clinton Campaign changes slogan for 115th time.

McCain 51%
Huckabee 46%
Paul 3%
McCain Wins, but Huckabee makes it entertaining.

Posted by: Schoone | February 19, 2008 5:22 PM | Report abuse

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