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Prediction Time!



It's time to lay down your bets on the 2009 races. Photo by Joel Richardson of the Washington Post

Polls are open in New Jersey, New York and Virginia and voters are voting!

That means the return of the Fix's election prediction contest. So, in the comments section below offer your predictions -- with percentages! -- of the results in the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia and the special election in New York's 23rd district.

As a tiebreaker, make sure to include your best guess on whether Democrats or Republicans will make gains -- and how many seats that gain will entail -- in the Virginia House of Delegates. (Oh yeah! A real brain-teaser!)

All predictions must be made in the comments section to qualify. And, since polls close in Virginia at 7 p.m. tonight, any predictions made after that time will be ineligible.

The Fixista closest to the mark in all three contests will win an official Fix t-shirt and the undying admiration of your fellow political junkies.

Let the predicting begin! Best of luck.

By Chris Cillizza  |  November 3, 2009; 10:14 AM ET
Categories:  Fix Notes  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Election Day 2009: The Fix's cheat sheet
Next: An Obama referendum (or not)

Comments

Phillies in 7!


wha? There's some other kind of contest going on?

Posted by: margaretmeyers | November 3, 2009 7:56 PM | Report abuse

NJ Gov
Corzine- 45%
Christie- 43%
Daggett- 8%

VA Gov
McConnell- 52%
Deeds- 43%

NY 23
Hoffman- 42%
Owens- 38%
Scozzafava- 12%

Tiebreaker-
Republicans pick up 4 VA Assembly seats

Posted by: matthewa83 | November 3, 2009 6:51 PM | Report abuse

VA-Gov:
McDonnell 57%
Deeds 43%

NJ-Gov:
Corzine 45%
Christie 43%
Daggett 12%

NY-23:
Hoffman 50%
Owens 44%
Scozzafava 6%

VA-House:
GOP +6

Posted by: fangmeier | November 3, 2009 6:11 PM | Report abuse

NY-23:
Hoffman 49%
Owens 46%
Scozzafava 5%

NJ-Gov:
Christie 44%
Corzine 46%
Daggett 8%

VA-Gov:
McDonnell (R) 56%
Deeds (D) 44%

VA Republicans +3

Posted by: quegg | November 3, 2009 6:05 PM | Report abuse

EDIT:

I'd like to change the NJ GOV prediction in the below post:

Christie: 46
Corzine: 42
Daggett: 9

Posted by: toddterps62 | November 3, 2009 5:55 PM | Report abuse

NJ:
Corzine 45%
Christie 43%
Daggett 11%

VA:
McDonnell 55%
Deeds 45

NY-23:
Hoffman 51%
Owens 44%
Scozzafava 5%

VA HoD: R's pick up 4 seats.

GDK

Posted by: GmanBlue | November 3, 2009 5:54 PM | Report abuse

NJ GOV
Christie 47
Corzine 45
Daggett 8

VA GOV
McDonnell 58
Deeds 42

NY-23
Hoffman 51
Owens 43
Scozzafava 6

GOP +8

Posted by: toddterps62 | November 3, 2009 5:53 PM | Report abuse

NJ Governor:
Corzine (D) - 45%
Christie (R)- 44%
Daggett (I) - 11%

VA Governor:
McDonnell (R) - 57%
Deeds (D) - 43%

NY - 23
Owens(D) - 49%
Hoffman (R) - 48%
Scozzafava (R) - 3%

Posted by: dd1101a | November 3, 2009 5:36 PM | Report abuse

NJ GOV
Christie 47
Corzine 45
Daggett 8

VA GOV
McDonnell 57
Deeds 43

NY-23
Hoffman 50
Owens 46
Scozzafava 4

GOP +4

Posted by: NoVaJ | November 3, 2009 5:11 PM | Report abuse

Corzine - 44.4 percent
Christie - 43.9 percent
Daggett - 8.9 percent

McDonnell - 56 percent
Deeds - 44 percent

Hoffman - 41 percent
Owens - 47 percent
Scozzafava - 12 percent

VA House : +7 GOP

Posted by: am94891 | November 3, 2009 4:48 PM | Report abuse

NJ Governor
Corzine 45, Christie 44, Daggett 10

VA Governor
McDonnell 59, Deeds 40

NY-23
Hoffman 48, Owens 46, Scozzafava 5

VA House of Delegates
+2 GOP

Posted by: JayPen | November 3, 2009 4:39 PM | Report abuse

NY 23:
Hoffman - 50%
Owens - 41%
Scozzafava - 6%

NJ Gov:
Corzine - 45%
Christie - 44%
Daggett - 9%

VA Gov:
McDonnell - 57%
Mr. Deeds - 41%

Virginia House of Burgesses (or Delegates as the Hoi Polloi nowadays like to it)
Republicans gain 3

Posted by: tgraff1 | November 3, 2009 4:27 PM | Report abuse

My first comment on the Fix!

NY23: Hoffman 46%
Owens 44%
Scozzafava 8%

NJ: Christie 45.6%
Corzine 45.4%
Daggett 9%

VA: McDonnell 55%
Deeds 44%

Va delegates: R+5

Posted by: guvnahhicks | November 3, 2009 4:14 PM | Report abuse

Virginia Gov.
McDonnell-54%
Deeds-39%

NY-23
Hoffman-55%
Owens-40%
Scozzafava-5%

NJ Gov.
Christie-43%
Corzine-48%
Daggett-9%

Tiebreaker- GOP picks up 7 seats

Posted by: CommitteeofFive | November 3, 2009 4:13 PM | Report abuse

NJ Gov
Christie 45.2
Corzine 44.8
Daggett 10

VA Gov
McDonnell 57
Deeds 43

NY-23
Hoffman 53
Owens 43
Scozzafava 4

VA GOP +4

Posted by: Hoops11 | November 3, 2009 4:10 PM | Report abuse

Virginia Gov.
McDonnell-60%
Deeds-39%

NY-23
Hoffman-47%
Owens-45%
Scozzafava-8%

NJ Gov.
Christie-47%
Corzine-43%
Daggett-8%

Tiebreaker- GOP picks up 10 seats

Posted by: pdenbaum | November 3, 2009 3:55 PM | Report abuse

NJ-gov:
Corzine 45.8ish%
Christie 45.2ish%
Daggett 9%
Other 1%

VA-gov:
McDonnell 53%
Deeds 47%

NY-23:
Hoffman 48%
Owens 44%
Scozzafava 8%

VA house:
GOP +3

Posted by: anonymiad | November 3, 2009 3:50 PM | Report abuse

NJ GOV
Corzine 45
Christie 44
Daggett 10

VA GOV
McDonnell 58
Deeds 42

NY 23
Hoffman 48
Owens 46
Scoffazza 5-6

VA House of Delegates
GOP+4

Posted by: afarber87 | November 3, 2009 3:38 PM | Report abuse

"New York's 23rd
Hoffman: 53%
Owens: 42%
Scozzafava: 6%"

Let me guess: home-schooled conservative?

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | November 3, 2009 3:36 PM | Report abuse

VA: Mcdonnell 57 Deeds 43. GOP picks up 6 seats in HOD.

NJ: 46 Christie 45 Corzine Daggett 9

NY 23: Hoffman 52 Owens 48

Posted by: dee150586 | November 3, 2009 3:30 PM | Report abuse

NY:
Owens 49
Hoffman 39
Scozzafava 12

VA:
McDonnell 54
Deeds 46

NJ:
Corzine 47
Christie 43
Daggett 10

Tiebreaker: GOP +7

A thought on the Maine referendum:
Yes- 49
No- 51
I know, I'm an optimist...

Posted by: HannahBanana | November 3, 2009 3:15 PM | Report abuse

New Jersey
Christie: 48%
Corzine: 47%
Daggett: 5%

Virginia
McDonnell: 58%
Deeds: 42%

New York's 23rd
Hoffman: 53%
Owens: 42%
Scozzafava: 6%

Va. House of Delegates: R+10

Posted by: real-estatenovelist | November 3, 2009 3:10 PM | Report abuse

NY:
Owens 48
Hoffman 46
Scozzafava 5

VA:
McDonnell 55
Deeds 44

NJ:
Corzine 44
Christie 43
Daggett 12

Tiebreaker: GOP +5 seats

[Tiebreaker should've been something more national, such as the Maine referendum, but I'll guess...)

Posted by: billmcg1 | November 3, 2009 2:57 PM | Report abuse

NY-23:
52% Hoffman
40% Owens
8% Scozzafava
NJ-Gov:
45% Corzine
44% Christie
9% Daggett
VA-Gov:
58% McDonnell
41% Deeds
VA-House: Republicans gain 8 seats

Posted by: WGladstone | November 3, 2009 2:56 PM | Report abuse

VA
McDonnell 57%
Deeds 41%
R+6 seats

NJ
Corzine-42%
Christie-42%
Daggett-15%
Race goes to recount, winner settled in weeks, Corzine wins but is accused of stealing the election

NY 23
Owens 37%
Hoffman 45%
Scozzafava 18%

Posted by: Haners | November 3, 2009 2:52 PM | Report abuse

NY-23-
48% Hoffman
41% Owens
11% DeDe

NJ-Gov-
44% Corzine
43% Christie
10% Daggett
3% other

VA-Gov-
55% McDonnell
44% Deeds
1% other

VA ASSEMBLY = R+5

Posted by: cubgac | November 3, 2009 2:31 PM | Report abuse

NJ guv:
Corzine 45.7
Christie 43.1
Daggett 11

VA guv:
McDonnell 53.8
Deeds 45.3

NY23
Hoffman 46.8
Owens 47.1
Scozzafava 5.8

Tie-breaker: VA GOP +2

Added prediction: Maine upholds equality by voting no 56 percent; yes 44 percent

And one more: Headline from NY23: "Hundreds change vote at last minute due to Limbaugh's ugly comments"

Posted by: prairiepopulist | November 3, 2009 2:16 PM | Report abuse

Democrap Socialists

==

What an immature person you are

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | November 3, 2009 2:15 PM | Report abuse

NY-23
Hoffman 46%
Owens 42%
Scozzafava beans 12%

Scozzafava captures a large amount of absentee votes.

NJ-gov

Corzine 46%
Christie 43%
Daggett 10%

The usual NJ race with the R leading but then fading and losing. A lot of Dagget supporters end up going with another candidate.

VA-Gov
McDonnell 57%
Deeds 42%

House of Delegates, I don't know anything but I'll throw out a guess. R+5

Posted by: AnthonyJBrady | November 3, 2009 2:07 PM | Report abuse

Va. Gov.:
McDonnell (R) 53%
Deeds (D) 45%

New Jersey Gov.:
Corzine (D) 42.5%
Christie (R) 40%
Daggett (I) 11.5%

NY-23:
Hoffman (C) 40%
Owens (D) 39%
Scozzafava (R) 11%

Tie Breaker: GOP + 4

Any way to buy a fix shirt if I don't win?

Ike

Posted by: iketheyeti | November 3, 2009 1:56 PM | Report abuse

McDonnell 58%
Deeds 42%
+7 House of Delegate Seats

New Jersey
Daggett 9%
Christie 45.3%
Corzine 45.7%

Doug Hoffman 52%
Dede 8%
Owens - 40%

Maine same sex marriage overturned 51%

Posted by: sandersedward | November 3, 2009 1:54 PM | Report abuse

VA-Gov:
McDonnell 56%
Deeds 44%

NJ-Gov:
Christie 46%
Corzine 45%
Daggett 9%

NY-23:
Hoffman 52.5%
Owens 44.5%
Scozzafava 3%

VA-House:
GOP +5

Posted by: mattmfm | November 3, 2009 1:43 PM | Report abuse

VIRGINIA
McDonnell 54
Deeds 44

NEW JERSEY
Corzine 44 W
Christie 42
Daggett 12

NEW YORK 23
Hoffman 48
Owens 41
Scozzafava 10

VIRGINIA HOUSE
GOP +4

Posted by: fslpcm | November 3, 2009 1:40 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for the contest. Lots of consistency in all of the predictions. Have fun parsing the results.

Corzine 46%
Christie 43%
Daggett 10%

McDonnell 57%
Deeds 43%
Delegates R+5

Owens 47%
Hoffman 46%
Scozzafava 6%

Posted by: dognabbit | November 3, 2009 1:15 PM | Report abuse

NY-23:
Hoffman - 48%
Owens - 46%
Scozzafava - 6%

NJ-Gov:
Christie - 46%
Corzine - 45%
Daggett - 9%

VA-Gov:
McDonnell - 59%
Deeds - 41%

R+6 in Virginia.

Posted by: andyroo312 | November 3, 2009 1:02 PM | Report abuse

McDonnell : 62
Deeds: 38

Corzine: 45
Christie: 41
Daggett: 14

Hoffman: 48 **Winner
Owens: 48
DeDe: 4

Posted by: BelleHaven | November 3, 2009 1:01 PM | Report abuse

VA gov
Deeds 45
McDonnell 55

NJ
Corzine - 47
Christie - 43
Daggett - 10

NY23
Owens - 42
Hoffman - 52
Scozzafava - 6

Maine Q1 (overturn gay marriage)
46 - yes
54 - no

Posted by: DDAWD | November 3, 2009 1:00 PM | Report abuse

VA-Gov:
McDonnell 60%
Deeds 40%

NJ-Gov:
Christie 45%
Corzine 44%
Daggett 11%

NY-23:
Hoffman 51%
Owens 43%
Scozzafava 6%

VA-House:
GOP +7

Posted by: johnnydrama36 | November 3, 2009 1:00 PM | Report abuse

VA GOV
Taliban Bob 54
Dumb*SS Deeds 46
Tie Breaker No pick up of house seats
*Headline: The Dem vote stayed home!
NJ
Corzine 48
Christie 46
Daggett 6

NY-23
Hoffman 45
Owens 43
Deede 12
Headline: Let the GOP Civil War begin as Rush and company hijack the GOP

Posted by: hoss516 | November 3, 2009 12:57 PM | Report abuse

Va. Gov.:

McDonnell (R) 59%
Deeds (D) 41%

New Jersey Gov.:
Christie (R) 46%
Corzine (D) 45%
Daggett (I) 9%

NY-23:
Hoffman (C) 47%
Owens (D) 41%
Scozzafava (R) 12%

Tie Breaker: Republicans gain 4 delegate seats.


Posted by: reason5 | November 3, 2009 12:45 PM | Report abuse

VA GOV- McDonnell (R) 58%
Deeds (D) 42%
Republicans pick up 8 HOD Seats

NJ GOV- Corzine (D) 43%
Christie (R) 42%
Daggett (I) 15%

NY 23-Hoffman (I) 46%
Owens (D) 43%
Scozzafava (R) 11%

Posted by: jaf5x | November 3, 2009 12:44 PM | Report abuse

VA-GOV
McDonnell 56
Deeds 44

NJ-GOV
Corzine 47
Christie 46
Daggett 7

NY-23
Owens 49
Hoffman 47
Scozzafava 4

VA House
GOP +6

Posted by: fudd30 | November 3, 2009 12:42 PM | Report abuse

"Most Mafioso vote Republican."

You'll hardly find bigger advocates of an unregulated free market than the Mafia.

Posted by: nodebris | November 3, 2009 12:40 PM | Report abuse

I don't know about the others... but my money is on Corzine, because the R party has already started their fear and smear campaign:

"Another election, another boatload of evidence-free Republican claims of voter fraud...

In part because it's the closest of the major races, the New Jersey governor's race has been the focus of the GOP's dire warnings. Here's how the campaign to stoke fears over voter fraud in the Garden State has ramped up in recent days:"

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/whats_new_lacking_evidence_conservatives_again_sto.php?ref=fpa

Posted by: drindl | November 3, 2009 12:38 PM | Report abuse

loves me some free t-shirtage.. btw when does the fix by ed hardy line come out?

ny23-
hoffman 47
owens 44
scozzafava 9

njgov-
corzine 45
christie 44
dagget 11

vagov-
mcdonnell 54
deeds 45

tiebreaker va house- r +6

Posted by: pikachu_the_impaler | November 3, 2009 12:36 PM | Report abuse

NY 23:
Hoffman 48
Owens 45
Scozzafava 7


NJ Guv:
Corzine 46
Christie 43
Daggett 11

VA Guv:
McDonnell 57
Deeds 42

VA House:
Repubs +4

Portland, Maine becomes the next San Francisco (without the palm trees)...equality wins out 52-48

Posted by: timateo1 | November 3, 2009 12:29 PM | Report abuse

New Jersey gubernatorial--

Christie (R): 44.1
Corzine (D): 43.9*
Daggett (I): 12

Christie leads by less than 1,500 votes; Corzine demands recount; enough votes are "found" to put Corzine ahead by a few hundred, and he ultimately wins.

Virginia gubernatorial--

McDonnell (R): 56
Deeds (D): 44

McDonnell shocks by winning Fairfax county.

New York 23rd--

Hoffman (C): 50
Owens (D): 45
Scozzafava (R): 5

New York mayoral--

Bloomberg (I? or is it R now?): 57
Thompson (D): 43

Virginia House of Delegates--

R: 63
D: 37

Posted by: jlc41886 | November 3, 2009 12:29 PM | Report abuse

VIRGINIA
McDonnell 57
Deeds 43

NEW JERSEY
Christie 47
Corzine 45
Daggett 8

NY (23)
Owens 47
Hoffman 46
Scozzafava 7

VIRGINIA HOUSE
GOP +5

Posted by: jcw_colby | November 3, 2009 12:26 PM | Report abuse

"In any close race the NJ Mafia, who are all Democrap Socialists, will find the votes to put their guy over the top."

Two comments for the idiot armpit:

1. If you are older than 12, I really feel sorry for you.

2. Most Mafioso vote Republican.

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | November 3, 2009 12:25 PM | Report abuse

NJ:

D: 47.3
R: 45.1


VA:

R: 52
D: 46

NY:

D:48
R:43


VA House:

R +4

Posted by: Snakeheader | November 3, 2009 12:23 PM | Report abuse

VA Governor
McDonnell(R) 56%
Deeds(D) 44%

NJ Governor
Corzine(D) 45.8%
Christie(R) 45.6%
Daggett(I) 8.0%

NY District 23
Owens(D) 44.5%
Hoffmann (C) 44.0%
Scozzafava(R) 11.5%

Va House of Delegates GOP gain of 7

Posted by: dwatson1 | November 3, 2009 12:22 PM | Report abuse

Here are the results, straight from my 8-ball:

VIRGINIA
McDonnell 56
Deeds 44

NEW JERSEY
Corzine 43
Christie 42
Daggett 15

NEW YORK 23
Hoffman 48
Owens 45
Scozzafava 7

VIRGINIA HOUSE
GOP +5

Posted by: hilltopper1 | November 3, 2009 12:21 PM | Report abuse

VIRGINIA
McDonnell 55
Deeds 44

NEW JERSEY
Christie 46
Corzine 45
Daggett 9

NEW YORK 23
Hoffman 46
Owens 42
Scozzafava 12

VIRGINIA HOUSE
GOP +5

Posted by: akinsdem | November 3, 2009 12:20 PM | Report abuse

First: I never did receive the Fix- T-Shirt that I "won" back in early 2008. My follow-up e-mail was ignored and somehow, I went on with my life.

Anyway, here is my prediction for election 2009:

New Jersey:

Krispy Kreme Christie: 45.2%
Gordon Gecko Corzine: 44.8%
Stripped Bass Daggett: 10.0%


Virginia:

McDonnell: 56%
Deeds 44%

NY 23

Hoffman 50%
Owens 45%
DeDe 5%


Virginia House:

Republicans pick up 6 seats

Posted by: Digital_Voter | November 3, 2009 12:17 PM | Report abuse

NY 23rd

Hoffman 50%
Owens 47%
Scozzafava 3%

NJ Gov

Christie 46%
Corzine 42%
Daggett 12%

VA Gov

McDonnell 58%
Deeds 42%

Tie-breaker- GOP will gain 3 seats.

Posted by: MBwithCRC | November 3, 2009 12:16 PM | Report abuse

VA
McDonnell 58%
Deeds 40%

NJ
Corzine 48%
Christie 46%
Daggett 6%

NY-23
Owens 44%
Hoffmann 52%
Scozzafava 8%

VA Delegates R+5

Maine Ref
No on 1 52%
Yes on 1 48%

WA Ref 71
Keep Civil Unions 58%
Oppose 42%

NYC Mayor
Bloomberg 55%
Thompson 45%

Posted by: abc1235 | November 3, 2009 12:08 PM | Report abuse

My prediction:


NY 23rd

Hoffman 49%
Owens 41%
Scozzafava 10%

NJ Gov

Christie 45%
Corzine 44%
Daggett 10%

VA Gov

Deeds 44%
McDonnell 56%

Tie-breaker- GOP will gain 4 seats.

Posted by: paulmcmaster1 | November 3, 2009 11:53 AM | Report abuse

VIRGINIA
McDonnell 55
Deeds 44

NEW JERSEY
Corzine 46
Christie 43
Daggett 10

NEW YORK 23
Owens 47
Hoffman 47
Scozzafava 5

VIRGINIA HOUSE
GOP +5

Posted by: SilverSpring8 | November 3, 2009 11:48 AM | Report abuse

McDonnell 58%
Deeds 42%

Christie 47%
Corzine 45%
Daggett 8%

Hoffman 52%
Owens 45%
Scozzo 7%

VA House of Delegates:
GOP+3

Bloomberg 54%
Thompson 46%

Maine

For Gay Marriage 48%
Against Gay Marriage 52%

CA US House

LT Gov (D) 54%
Republican 46%

Posted by: TexasProud1 | November 3, 2009 11:48 AM | Report abuse

NJ
Corzine (D)45.6%
Christie (R) 45.5%
Although Christie will actually win there, the Democrap Socialists always find all kinds of votes in back of car trunks, stuck in the voting machines, or ones some Democrap Socialist--partisan forgot(?) to turn in. In any close race the NJ Mafia, who are all Democrap Socialists, will find the votes to put their guy over the top.

Posted by: armpeg | November 3, 2009 11:40 AM | Report abuse

VA-Gov
McDonnell (R) 56%
Deeds (D) 45%

NJ-Gov
Corzine (D) 44%
Christie (R) 42%
Daggett (I) 13%

NY-23
Owens (D) 45%
Hoffman (C) 44%
Scozzafava (R) 10%

Tiebreaker: VA House
GOP + 1

Posted by: theseventen | November 3, 2009 11:35 AM | Report abuse

NY-23
Owens 51 %
Hoffman 44 %
Scozzafava 5 %

NJ Governor
Corzine 49 %
Christie 45 %
Daggett 6 %

VA Governor
McDonnell 59 %
Deeds 41 %

VA House of Delegates
Republicans pick up 4 seats


Hopefully that nets a free t-shirt for yours truly!

Posted by: dannyricci | November 3, 2009 11:35 AM | Report abuse

VA Gov:

McDonnell: 54%
Deeds: 46%

NJ Gov:

Corzine: 46
Christie: 43
Daggett: 11

NY-23:

Owens: 47
Hoffman: 45
Scozzafava: 8

Virginia: Republicans +3

Posted by: maths887 | November 3, 2009 11:33 AM | Report abuse

NY-23:

Hoffman 52
Owens 46
Dede 2

NJ

Corzine 49
Christie 45
Daggett 6

VA

McDonnell 56
Deeds 44

VA House of Dels: GOP+3

Posted by: Burg2 | November 3, 2009 11:30 AM | Report abuse

Virginia
McDonnell 54%
Deeds 46%

NJ
Corzine 45.5%
Christie 44.5%
Daggett 10%

NY-23
Owens 49%
Hoffman 46%
Scozzafava 5%

R+2

Posted by: mozjesse | November 3, 2009 11:14 AM | Report abuse

Oh what the heck. I'm not good at football picks and no better at elections.

NY-23:

Hoffman 46
Owens 45
Dede 9

NJ

Corzine 46
Christie 45
Daggett 9

VA

McDonnell 54
Deeds 46

VA House of Dels: GOP+5

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | November 3, 2009 11:12 AM | Report abuse

Angela Merkel is addressing the House. I wonder if Joe Wilson will shout You Lie! Or perhaps he only does that for leaders of his own country.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | November 3, 2009 11:11 AM | Report abuse

NY-23
Hoffman - 46
Owens - 42
Scozzafa - 12

NJ
Corzine - 48
Christie - 39
Daggett - 17

VA House of Delegates - +4 Republicans

VA
McDonnel - 52
Deeds - 48

Posted by: WhoKnewIt | November 3, 2009 11:09 AM | Report abuse

I love free t-shirts

McDonnell 55
Deeds 45

GOP sweep in statewide races and gains 7 delegates


Christie 49
Corzine 45 (i think that's higher than he ever polled, but $ counts)
Daggett 6 (3rd party candidates outpoll actual votes)

Hoffman 48
Owens 43
Dede 9

Maine approves gay marriage by 3pps

Gibbs disavows Deeds by Friday

Blue Dogs issue a letter opposing Pelosicare within the week

Posted by: HappyReader | November 3, 2009 11:06 AM | Report abuse

McDonnell 57 - Deeds 43
Christie 45 - Corzine 43 - Daggett 10 - Others 2
Hoffman 49 - Owens 42 - Scozzafava 9
VA House of Delegates - 59 Rs - 41 Ds

Posted by: ahfdemocrat | November 3, 2009 11:04 AM | Report abuse

Doug Hoffman is a creature of the far right -- a sock puppet for vicious power-mad 'entertainers' like Limbaugh and Beck, whom he grovels and crawls for. And this is the kind of thing you can expect from them--Limbaugh saying that Scozzafava is 'guilty of bestiality.'

There really are no lows to which they will not sink.

'Democratic NY-23 candidate Bill Owens is jumping to the defense of Dede Scozzafava, his Republican former rival who dropped out of the race and endorsed him against Conservative Doug Hoffman, following an attack on her by Rush Limbaugh.

Limbaugh declared today that Scozzafava was "guilty of widespread bestiality. She has screwed every RINO in the country." Owens released this statement:

"This despicable attack on Assemblywoman Scozzafava offends me personally and exemplifies exactly what's wrong with Hoffman and his right wing backers. Assemblywoman Scozzafava is an honorable public servant who has served Upstate New York as an independent and principled leader who always prioritized the best interests of Upstate New York ahead of a partisan agenda. Rush Limbaugh and the rest of the right wing special interests that are running Hoffman's campaign can't even begin to compete with what she has accomplished over her career."

Doug Hoffman and his supporters have sunk to a new low today. There is no excuse for this kind of shameful rhetoric and Doug Hoffman ought to denounce Limbaugh immediately."

But he won't. The little weasel will suck up to Rush even harder. He's a nothing, a non-entity without his powerful puppeteers.

Posted by: drindl | November 3, 2009 11:04 AM | Report abuse

NY 23 Hoffman 55% Owens 37% Dede 8%
NJ GOV Christie 47% Corzine 43%
Daggett 8% Other 2%
VA GOV McDonnell 58% Deeds 42%

VA DELEGATES Rs +8

Posted by: gsmit42 | November 3, 2009 11:03 AM | Report abuse

NY-23
Owens 46%
Hoffman 45%
Scozzafava 9%

NJ Gov
Corzine 44.3%
Christie 43.7%
Daggett 12%

VA-Gov
McDonnell 55%
Deeds 45%

R's pick up 2 seats in the House of Delegates

Posted by: lsf888 | November 3, 2009 10:58 AM | Report abuse

NY 23 - Owens 48, Hoffman 42 Scozzafava 9
NJ Gov - Corzine 46 Christie 44 Daggett 10
VA Gov - McDonnell 55 Deeds 44
R's pick up 3 seats in House of Del's.

Posted by: jpgrinnell8 | November 3, 2009 10:57 AM | Report abuse

Oops -- in earlier comment, I meant +4 GOP in the *VA* House of Delegates.

Posted by: jeff_hauser95 | November 3, 2009 10:55 AM | Report abuse

McDonnell -- 55
Deeds -- 45

Christie -- 44
Corzine -- 42
Daggett -- 12

Hoffman -- 52
Owens -- 47

VA GOP picks up 5 in House of Delegates

Posted by: jondeuser | November 3, 2009 10:54 AM | Report abuse

Deeds 52%, McDonnell 48%

Corzine 47%, Christie 43%, Daggett 10%

Owens 45%, Hoffman 40%, Scozzafava 15%

Prediction: If this is a winner, there will be no tie to break. But to hedge, I'll say Rs pick up 4 seats.

Posted by: shrink2 | November 3, 2009 10:53 AM | Report abuse

Virginia:
McDonnell--56%
Deeds--44%
Republicans pick up 10 seats in the House of Delegates.

New Jersey:
Christie--46%
Corzine--45%
Daggett--9%

New York-23:
Hoffman--50%
Owens--45%
Scozzafava--5%

Posted by: JMShuffield | November 3, 2009 10:48 AM | Report abuse

NY23

Hoffman 52
Owens 40
Dede 7

NJ
Christie 46.5
Corzine 46
Daggett 7

VA

McD: 58
Deeds 41

House of Delegates: Rs pick up 9 seats

Posted by: EastDillonHighFan | November 3, 2009 10:47 AM | Report abuse

Heh. I guess I should have waited another 7 minutes before starting predictions on the other thread. To repeat:

VA - McDonnell 54%, Deeds 46%
NJ - Corzine 46%, Christie 44%, Daggett 10%
NY23 - Huffman 48%, Owens 42%, Scozzafava 10%

Republicans gain 3 seats in the House of Delegates.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | November 3, 2009 10:45 AM | Report abuse

NY-23: Hoffman (C) 47%
Owens (D) 45%
Scozzafava (R) 8%

NJ-Gov: Corzine (D) 45%
Christie (R) 44%
Daggett (I) 11%

VA-Gov: McDonnell (R) 53%
Deeds (D) 47%

Republicans will gain 5 seats in the VA House of Delegates.

Posted by: NovaGOPer | November 3, 2009 10:41 AM | Report abuse

NY-23-
50% Hoffman
39% Owens
11% DeDe

NJ-Gov-
46% Christie
44% Corzine
6% Daggett
4% other

VA-Gov-
56% McDonnell
43% Deeds
1% other

CA ASSEMBLY = R+4

*ALSO*

MAINE:
DON'T DISCRIMINATE: 50.1
DISCRIMINATE: 49.9
(I don't get why this is so close. So ridiculous. Then again, I have heard that straight people have had to flee Massachusetts to salvage their marriages....)

Garamendi & Bloomberg each win by single digits....

Posted by: jeff_hauser95 | November 3, 2009 10:41 AM | Report abuse

Corzine by 1%
McDonnell by 6%
Hoffman by 2%

Republicans will gain 5 seats in the VA House.

Posted by: NovaGOPer | November 3, 2009 10:36 AM | Report abuse


Are Tuesday's elections a referendum on Obama?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=6419

.

Posted by: usadblake | November 3, 2009 10:35 AM | Report abuse

I really want the t-shirt.... So, I'll make guesses even though they're mostly stabs in the dark.

NY-23: Hoffman (C) 47%
Owens (D) 43%
Scozzafava (R) 10%

NJ-Gov: Christie (R) 46%
Corzine (D) 45%
Daggett (I) 9%

VA-Gov: McDonnell (R) 59%
Deeds (D) 41%

And, tiebreaker (almost a random guess - but I really want the t-shirt): Rs pick up 6 VA Delegate seats.

Posted by: acasilaco | November 3, 2009 10:34 AM | Report abuse

I admire a man who could come up with something like your Virginia House of Delegates question. I don't admire him enough to make a fool of myself by making a guess, but I do admire him.

Posted by: Penazoid | November 3, 2009 10:20 AM | Report abuse

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