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The Live Fix!

Earlier today we fielded questions for an hour in our weekly "Live Fix" online chat. (Don't know about it? There's still time. Every Friday. 11 am to 12 pm. Impress your friends. Vanquish your enemies.)

Our two favorite questions (and answers) are below. You can always check out the whole kit and kaboodle here if you want the latest on funny politically-themed costumes, more handicapping of the New Jersey and Virginia governors races as well as the special election in New York's 23rd and the correct way to pronounce the Fix's last name.

Alexandria, Va.: I realize Deeds is not a very good candidate - but how could so many VA voters who voted for Obama, Warner, and Kaine, be so willing to hand over the keys to the governors mansion to a hard-right Falwell protégé? The mind boggles.

Chris Cillizza: This question made me think of "boggle" which is one of the greatest games of all time....

Back on topic, I think that Virginia's natural tendency is to keep power balanced between the state and federal government -- it's the reason that the last time the President's party won an governor's race in Virginia was in the late 70s.

I also think McDonnell has done a very god job of downplaying his social conservatism and focusing almost exclusively on his plans to create jobs in the state.

Deeds' messaging has been far less consistent. The only thing most voters probably know about Creigh Deeds at this point is that he sounded pretty awkward on taxes at a press conference in mid-September.

Most people I talk to believe a rout is coming in Virginia with McDonnell winning by double digits and Republicans sweeping the Lt. Gov. and Attorney General races as well as perhaps picking up seats in the House of Delegates.

Best race to watch next Tuesday night: The New Jersey governor's race. Is it really possible that the support for Daggett, the third party candidate, will stay at about 14-15%? What's the past history in situations like that? Do his voters change their mind when they go to the voting booth, realize they'd be throwing away their vote and go for Corzine or Christie? And who would they choose?

I don't see how it's possible to accurately forecast this race.

Chris Cillizza: Could not agree more.

This race is why I find politics so fascinating.

Gov. Jon Corzine (D) appeared dead in the water as recently as this summer but has used an all-out assault on Christie to claw back.

Interestingly though, Corzine has gained very little support during his "comeback" but has benefited anyway as the negative campaign has driven voters to the little known independent Daggett.

Daggett holds the fate of the election in his hands. If he gets 15 percent or higher, Corzine will almost certainly win. If he fades into low double digits or below, Christie is going to be the governor.

This is a race for the ages.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 30, 2009; 4:46 PM ET
Categories:  Fix Notes  
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Next: CA-Gov: Newsom Is Out

Comments

History will repeat itself.

In every Virginia gubernatorial election since 1977, the political party of the President at the time has lost the election.

This is not a reflection of Obama.

Posted by: kirsch59 | October 31, 2009 7:32 AM | Report abuse

Raj Goyle là ai?

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 30, 2009 9:03 PM | Report abuse

RAJ GOYLE AGAIN?

Wow

Guess you might as well keep the transcripts from the Live Chats so that if Raj Goyle ever becomes newsworthy (never can tell), you'll get booked on all the talking head shows as the only D.C.-based Raj Goyle expert?

Posted by: Corey_NY | October 30, 2009 6:57 PM | Report abuse

And to think that after Palin has so thoroughly immolated her political career we *still* get angry you-just-wait scolds warning against the dangers of underestimating her.

Yeah, right.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 30, 2009 6:55 PM | Report abuse

Whoa, snowie actually referenced his source instead of pretending he wrote it!

I think the last time I saw Dennis Miller on TV was the night of the election last year. After I came home from the party for Obama, I turned to FOX News. It was a rerun of the O'Reilly Factor. It was O'Reilly, Dennis Miller, and Dick Morris. The episode was around when McCain picked Palin to be his running mate. The three were falling all over themselves to praise her, talk about how she was a game changer and how the Democrats were so mad that Republicans made the progressive pick (hello, first black nominee anyone?) and how the Democrats were so scared since Palin would get all the women voters. They had to wipe the camera lens off a few times from all the jizzum that kept squirting everywhere. Fortunately, it was late night, so all the kiddies were alseep. It was a rather unfortunate programming choice by FOX, though to air such blown predictions.

Ah, it was great. A wonderful end to the night.

Posted by: DDAWD | October 30, 2009 6:37 PM | Report abuse

By: Dennis Miller
OpEd Contributor
October 30, 2009 Who'd have thought that the heretofore ubermeek Obama administration would attempt the first surge of its tremulous tenure against my Fox News Network? As every demented B-lister in a leopard skin fez and a doorman's outfit from the Plaza Hotel steps up to the psychotic speaker's corner to tear the Great Satan (uh, that would be us) a new one, our guy has been loathe to return rhetorical fire for fear of stepping on any sandaled toes.

But Fox News? That's another story. That's a sitter at the net for the quasimystical LOTUS POTUS. With the mainstream (downstream?) media more in his pocket than a grizzled train conductor's pocket watch, he had to look far and wide for a news organization that had not signed a 5 W's abrogation/suicide pact with David Axelrod. And there stood Fox, still skeptical of public officials and under the stellar rein of Brit Hume, still skilled in the ways of good old-fashioned "Woodstein" shoe leather journalism.

As The New York Times scribes stand fawning behind the sawhorses placed beneath Ringo-bama's top-floor window hoping for some acknowledgment, a glimpse, a smile, a hanky, something, anything!!!!! to drift down from the Great One's penthouse, Fox continues to grind. As the Secret Service actually contemplates filing a restraining order against some of BO's more amped-up devotees in the liberal press, Shep, Chris Wallace and the boys loom, eyebrows raised higher than a Rastafarian at a Phish concert.

Obama's play is to downsize as far as American chest-thumping goes. I happen to believe we have oodles to be proud of, he feels the nation would be better off as the lion that squeaked. But if in lieu of engaging our actual enemies, he believes he'd rather pick a fight with a straw man, he has definitely misidentified the Obi-Wan Kenobi of Fox News, Roger Ailes.

You see, a straw man is a straw man because he usually has no spine. Ailes has a spine made of a substance that they use to cut titanium. Ailes makes Rahm Emanuel look like an Amish Lamaze instructor and if they're gonna lock antlers with Ailes, they'd best wear a cup.

Posted by: snowbama | October 30, 2009 5:46 PM | Report abuse

Kicking Lieberman out of the caucus is long overdue. Especially if the Dems pick up more Senate seats, they should tell Joe to go hang. He's more beholden to AIPAC than the Democratic Party anyway.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 30, 2009 5:46 PM | Report abuse

One of the leading Senate Democrats on healthcare reform legislation fired a warning shot in Sen. Joe Lieberman's direction yesterday, previewing the possible consequences of joining a GOP filibuster. Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), chairman of the Senate HELP Committee, told reporters that Lieberman (I-Conn.) ought to consider the benefits of his membership in the Democratic caucus before he decides how to vote on healthcare reform.

It's getting nasty out there.

Posted by: snowbama | October 30, 2009 5:37 PM | Report abuse

I also think McDonnell has done a very god job of downplaying his social conservatism and focusing almost exclusively on his plans to create jobs in the state.

==

But as governor it won't be any job-creatin' that'll occupy his time, it'll be 24/7 pelvic conservatism and when he does turn his attention away from gays and abortion it'll be to act on nutty conservative economic beliefs.

I grew up in Virginia, I don't like to think of the state suffering through this, there ought to be an easier way to learn the lesson that GOP governance doesn't work.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 30, 2009 5:36 PM | Report abuse

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