The Live Fix!
Earlier today we fielded questions for an hour in our weekly "Live Fix" online chat. (Don't know about it? There's still time. Every Friday. 11 am to 12 pm. Impress your friends. Vanquish your enemies.)
Our two favorite questions (and answers) are below. You can always check out the whole kit and kaboodle here if you want the latest on funny politically-themed costumes, more handicapping of the New Jersey and Virginia governors races as well as the special election in New York's 23rd and the correct way to pronounce the Fix's last name.
Alexandria, Va.: I realize Deeds is not a very good candidate - but how could so many VA voters who voted for Obama, Warner, and Kaine, be so willing to hand over the keys to the governors mansion to a hard-right Falwell protégé? The mind boggles.
Chris Cillizza: This question made me think of "boggle" which is one of the greatest games of all time....
Back on topic, I think that Virginia's natural tendency is to keep power balanced between the state and federal government -- it's the reason that the last time the President's party won an governor's race in Virginia was in the late 70s.
I also think McDonnell has done a very god job of downplaying his social conservatism and focusing almost exclusively on his plans to create jobs in the state.
Deeds' messaging has been far less consistent. The only thing most voters probably know about Creigh Deeds at this point is that he sounded pretty awkward on taxes at a press conference in mid-September.
Most people I talk to believe a rout is coming in Virginia with McDonnell winning by double digits and Republicans sweeping the Lt. Gov. and Attorney General races as well as perhaps picking up seats in the House of Delegates.
Best race to watch next Tuesday night: The New Jersey governor's race. Is it really possible that the support for Daggett, the third party candidate, will stay at about 14-15%? What's the past history in situations like that? Do his voters change their mind when they go to the voting booth, realize they'd be throwing away their vote and go for Corzine or Christie? And who would they choose?
I don't see how it's possible to accurately forecast this race.
Chris Cillizza: Could not agree more.
This race is why I find politics so fascinating.
Gov. Jon Corzine (D) appeared dead in the water as recently as this summer but has used an all-out assault on Christie to claw back.
Interestingly though, Corzine has gained very little support during his "comeback" but has benefited anyway as the negative campaign has driven voters to the little known independent Daggett.
Daggett holds the fate of the election in his hands. If he gets 15 percent or higher, Corzine will almost certainly win. If he fades into low double digits or below, Christie is going to be the governor.
This is a race for the ages.
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